Heriberto Hernández
LF Miami Marlins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AATB | 428 | .234/.348/.496 | 23 | 5 | 87 | — | .195/.282/.398 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAAMIA | 163 | .220/.321/.454 | 9 | 6 | 58 | — | .170/.247/.347 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBMIA | 294 | .266/.352/.438 | 10 | 1 | 129 | 1.4 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAAMIA | 25 | .273/.360/.364 | 0 | 3 | 75 | — | .261/.320/.348 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBMIA | 505 | .228/.313/.442 | 25 | 13 | 119 | 1.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBMIA | 426 | .239/.322/.429 | 18 | 10 | 118 | 1.6 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 28 | MLBMIA | 408 | .236/.320/.424 | 17 | 8 | 116 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 29 | MLBMIA | 393 | .234/.317/.417 | 16 | 6 | 114 | 1.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 239 | 178 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 53 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 468 | 635 | 1.103 | 343 | 315 | 17 | 22 | 468 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 192 | 66 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 344 | 435 | 646 | 1.081 | 302 | 440 | 25 | 12 | 463 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 320 | 254 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 90 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 252 | 391 | 453 | 844 | 201 | 325 | 28 | 15 | 370 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 167 | 25 | 15 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 494 | 419 | 107 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 155 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 255 | 368 | 499 | 867 | 243 | 346 | 31 | 14 | 383 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 478 | 389 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 76 | 134 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 379 | 411 | 790 | 162 | 341 | 28 | 16 | 353 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 183 | 150 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 326 | 407 | 733 | 220 | 202 | 27 | 15 | 327 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 245 | 209 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 268 | 365 | 560 | 925 | 292 | 321 | 28 | 12 | 395 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 294 | 256 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 352 | 438 | 789 | 172 | 335 | 26 | 11 | 348 | 129 | +10 | -0 | +2 | -5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 163 | 141 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 321 | 454 | 775 | 234 | 289 | 35 | 12 | 341 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 505 | 448 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 25 | 52 | 134 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 228 | 313 | 442 | 755 | 214 | 266 | 27 | 10 | 334 | 119 | +12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 25 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 91 | 286 | 4 | 12 | 331 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 799 | 704 | 170 | 29 | 3 | 35 | 83 | 211 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 241 | 327 | 440 | 768 | 199 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +15 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +17 | 2.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 239 | 195 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 164 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 169 | 187 | 21 | 15 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 203 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 232 | 300 | 433 | 734 | 202 | 335 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 320 | 272 | 54 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 127 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 199 | 301 | 346 | 647 | 147 | 288 | 40 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 494 | 447 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 203 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 183 | 261 | 358 | 619 | 174 | 274 | 41 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 478 | 416 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 160 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 315 | 349 | 663 | 123 | 328 | 33 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 183 | 157 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 146 | 260 | 293 | 553 | 146 | 185 | 32 | 11 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 245 | 220 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 83 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 299 | 477 | 776 | 245 | 287 | 34 | 7 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 294 | 256 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 362 | 465 | 827 | 188 | 335 | 26 | 11 | 359 | 129 | +10 | -0 | +2 | -5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 163 | 147 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 70 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 170 | 247 | 347 | 594 | 177 | 249 | 43 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 505 | 449 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 26 | 51 | 134 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 236 | 319 | 461 | 780 | 225 | 266 | 27 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 25 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 261 | 320 | 348 | 668 | 87 | 257 | 4 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 239 | 195 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 164 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 169 | 184 | 21 | 15 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 239 | 178 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 53 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 468 | 635 | 1.103 | 343 | 315 | 17 | 22 | 468 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 203 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 232 | 300 | 433 | 734 | 202 | 342 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 192 | 66 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 344 | 435 | 646 | 1.081 | 302 | 440 | 25 | 12 | 463 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 288 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 135 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 198 | 300 | 340 | 640 | 142 | 312 | 40 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 340 | 269 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 95 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 245 | 385 | 435 | 820 | 190 | 314 | 28 | 15 | 360 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 494 | 447 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 203 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 183 | 261 | 358 | 619 | 174 | 280 | 41 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 494 | 419 | 107 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 155 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 255 | 368 | 499 | 867 | 243 | 346 | 31 | 14 | 383 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 478 | 416 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 160 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 226 | 315 | 349 | 663 | 123 | 336 | 33 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 478 | 389 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 76 | 134 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 249 | 379 | 411 | 790 | 162 | 341 | 28 | 16 | 353 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 377 | 74 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 141 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 196 | 282 | 401 | 683 | 204 | 250 | 33 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 428 | 359 | 84 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 56 | 117 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 348 | 496 | 844 | 262 | 271 | 27 | 13 | 366 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 403 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 147 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 236 | 319 | 412 | 730 | 176 | 320 | 32 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 457 | 397 | 99 | 16 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 134 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 249 | 341 | 443 | 784 | 194 | 321 | 29 | 11 | 346 | 104 | +2 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 530 | 472 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 235 | 318 | 451 | 769 | 216 | 272 | 25 | 10 | 341 | 117 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 530 | 470 | 108 | 19 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 316 | 438 | 754 | 209 | 267 | 25 | 10 | 334 | 117 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 239 | 195 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 164 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 169 | 187 | 21 | 15 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 224 | 202 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 233 | 300 | 436 | 736 | 203 | 335 | 37 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 295 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 135 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 193 | 300 | 332 | 632 | 139 | 288 | 40 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 494 | 444 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 39 | 203 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 261 | 360 | 621 | 176 | 274 | 41 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 478 | 421 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 160 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 315 | 344 | 659 | 121 | 328 | 33 | 10 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 380 | 74 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 141 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 282 | 397 | 679 | 203 | 243 | 33 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 405 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 147 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 235 | 319 | 410 | 728 | 175 | 304 | 32 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 530 | 468 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 237 | 318 | 455 | 773 | 218 | 265 | 25 | 10 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 428 | 380 | 74 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 141 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 195 | 282 | 397 | 679 | 203 | 243 | 33 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 405 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 147 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 235 | 319 | 410 | 728 | 175 | 304 | 32 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 530 | 468 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 135 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 237 | 318 | 455 | 773 | 218 | 265 | 25 | 10 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 100% | 499 | 441 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 128 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 247 | 330 | 449 | 779 | 202 | 296 | 26 | 10 | 343 | 118 | +11 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 100% | 426 | 377 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 322 | 429 | 751 | 190 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 332 | 118 | +9 | +1 | +1 | -5 | +9 | 1.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 98% | 416 | 368 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 108 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 245 | 328 | 444 | 772 | 199 | 295 | 26 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +8 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 98% | 401 | 355 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 105 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 242 | 324 | 437 | 761 | 195 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 336 | 114 | +6 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 98% | 386 | 342 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 102 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 320 | 428 | 748 | 189 | 290 | 26 | 10 | 331 | 110 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIA | 98% | 368 | 326 | 76 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 314 | 416 | 730 | 183 | 285 | 27 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIA | 98% | 345 | 307 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 94 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 307 | 400 | 707 | 174 | 279 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -0 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 98% | 408 | 360 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 106 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 236 | 320 | 424 | 744 | 187 | 284 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 116 | +8 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 98% | 393 | 348 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 103 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 234 | 317 | 417 | 734 | 183 | 282 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 114 | +6 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 98% | 378 | 335 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 100 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 313 | 408 | 721 | 178 | 279 | 26 | 10 | 320 | 110 | +4 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIA | 98% | 361 | 320 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 97 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 307 | 397 | 704 | 172 | 275 | 27 | 10 | 313 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIA | 98% | 338 | 301 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 92 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 300 | 382 | 683 | 164 | 269 | 27 | 9 | 305 | 99 | -0 | -0 | -3 | -4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2677 | 2368 | 552 | 94 | 9 | 109 | 267 | 709 | 22 | 36 | 13 | 233 | 317 | 418 | 735 | 185 | 283 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 99 | +36 | +2 | -5 | -31 | +58 | 6.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 134 | 23 | 2 | 26 | 65 | 172 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 233 | 316 | 416 | 732 | 183 | 283 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 99 | +9 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5532 | 4876 | 1087 | 212 | 24 | 210 | 538 | 1670 | 67 | 90 | 34 | 223 | 309 | 405 | 714 | 183 | 289 | 30 | 10 | 315 | 99 | +45 | +3 | -4 | -36 | +68 | 7.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 25 | 63 | 196 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 223 | 309 | 408 | 717 | 185 | 289 | 30 | 10 | 315 | 99 | +9 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 25 PAwOBA .323 → .279 (−44)K% 4.0% → 4.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 4.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 17.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 7.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .279; ISO .091 → .078; BABIP .286 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 163 PAwOBA .334 → .254 (−80)K% 35.0% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.97% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.66% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.71% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 8.46% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .334 → .254; ISO .234 → .174; BABIP .289 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 245 PAwOBA .388 → .326 (−62)K% 27.8% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.76% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.02% | ÷1.022 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 15.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.06% | ÷0.972 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 11.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.115 | ×0.880 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.93% | ÷0.958 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 8.27% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 123, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .388 → .326; ISO .292 → .251; BABIP .321 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 183 PAwOBA .323 → .258 (−65)K% 26.8% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.78% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.75% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.86% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 13.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.96% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.033 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.91% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .323 → .258; ISO .220 → .160; BABIP .202 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 478 PAwOBA .347 → .294 (−53)K% 28.0% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.03% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.90% | ÷1.072 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 10.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 24.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.087 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .347 → .294; ISO .162 → .134; BABIP .341 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 494 PAwOBA .373 → .267 (−106)K% 31.4% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.38% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.56% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 7.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 17.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 7.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 7.83% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .373 → .267; ISO .243 → .187; BABIP .346 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACharleston RiverDogs · 320 PAwOBA .367 → .285 (−83)K% 28.1% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.37% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.81% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.56% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 20.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷0.871 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 8.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.70% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 74, 3B 130, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .367 → .285; ISO .201 → .155; BABIP .325 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Rangers · 224 PAwOBA .452 → .310 (−141)K% 25.4% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 6.32% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .452 → .310; ISO .302 → .207; BABIP .440 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .