Heriberto HernándezLF Miami Marlins
Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.709 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION253 act + 168 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 124124vR 124
AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .330 / .471
PA168
HR8
SB7
K%25
BB%10
BABIP294
ISO222
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +7.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+8BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +11.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.70+1.7WAR
0.01.22.50.72.01.91.71.41.1+$52M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
788.1%
xwOBA
840.347
POWER55
Barrel%
7111.3
Avg EV
7790.9
Bat Spd
7273.7
EYE60
Chase%
9015.2%
SPEED60
Sprint
7928.6
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 365 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
154
211
wRC+
105
106
wOBA
322
324
ISO
157
136
L
BABIP
311
310
K%
27.3%
22.8%
▶▶R
BB%
12.3%
10.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.709 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+0.7$3M+$2M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$15M+$14M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.9$13M+$12M
2029Arb-1$4M+1.7$11M+$8M
2030Arb-2$6M+1.4$8M+$5M
2031Arb-3$7M+1.1$6M+$2M
Totals $18M $56M +$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKDSL Rangers 2 239199 4211410 32596 55 211338457795 246242 2513 336 115
201818 ROKDSL Rangers 2 239178 5215512 53416 55 2924686351.103 343315 1722 468 216
201919 ROKAZL Rangers 224203 471138 16824 33 232300433734 202342 377 312 97
201919 ROKAZL Rangers 224192 6617411 27574 33 3444356461.081 302440 2512 463 212
202121 A2 teams 340289 591609 321409 84 204303353656 149333 419 288 79
202121 A2 teams 340269 6615012 52959 84 245385435820 190314 2815 360 134
202222 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 494445 8018117 412078 62 180261339600 160285 428 262 59
202222 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 494419 10728124 671558 62 255368499867 243346 3114 383 151
202323 AAMontgomery Biscuits 478419 9615210 461665 72 229313346659 117348 3510 294 83
202323 AAMontgomery Biscuits 478389 9718313 761345 72 249379411790 162341 2816 353 128
202424 AA2 teams 428377 7518220 381457 51 199284416701 218252 349 305 92
202424 AA2 teams 428359 8421223 561177 51 234348496844 262271 2713 366 138
202525 MLB2 teams 457404 9615219 431495 73 238319426744 188320 339 324 106 +3 +0 +2 -5 +13 1.4
202525 MLB2 teams 457397 9916219 501345 73 249341443784 194321 2911 346 123 +12 +0 +2 -5 +13 2.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 MLBMIA 253226 5411113 25541 82 239317469786 230256 2110 336 115 +4 +1 -1 -3 +7 0.9
YTD26 MLBMIA 253225 5411113 26541 82 240321471793 231258 2110 347 124 +7 +1 -1 -3 +7 1.1
ROS26 MLBMIA 100% 168148 37718 17431 71 249330471801 222284 2510 338 117 +3 +1 +1 -2 +5 0.8
ROS26 MLBMIA 100% 169149 36717 17441 71 242323443766 201279 2610 327 108 +2 +1 +1 -2 +5 0.7
FULL26 MLBMIA 422375 9018220 42982 153 240320459778 219270 2310 332 112 +6 +2 -0 -5 +12 1.5
TOT26 MLBMIA 421374 9118221 42972 153 243322470792 227271 2310 337 116 +8 +2 -0 -5 +12 1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBMIA 98% 395350 8415218 391023 153 240321449770 209283 2610 337 116 +7 +2 +3 -4 +11 1.9
202828 MLBMIA 98% 403357 8515218 401053 153 238320443763 204282 2610 336 115 +7 +2 +2 -4 +11 1.8
202929 MLBMIA 98% 398352 8315118 401043 133 236319438756 202281 2610 334 113 +6 +1 +1 -4 +11 1.6
203030 MLBMIA 98% 394348 8115117 401043 123 233317428745 195279 2610 330 111 +5 +1 +1 -4 +11 1.4
203131 MLBMIA 98% 379335 7714116 381013 102 230314421735 191275 2710 325 107 +3 +1 -0 -4 +11 1.1
203232 MLBMIA 98% 360318 7213115 36983 82 226311415726 189270 2710 319 102 +1 +1 -1 -4 +10 0.7
203333 MLBMIA 98% 330292 6411113 33912 61 219303397700 178264 2810 311 96 -2 +1 -2 -4 +9 0.3
203434 MLBMIA 94% 286254 549111 28812 41 213296386682 173261 2810 304 90 -3 +0 -3 -3 +8 -0.1
202727 MLBMIA 98% 387343 8115217 381003 153 236318440758 204278 2610 326 107 +3 +2 +3 -4 +11 1.5
202828 MLBMIA 98% 395349 8215217 401033 143 235319436754 201277 2610 325 107 +3 +2 +2 -4 +11 1.4
202929 MLBMIA 98% 390345 7914117 391023 133 229313423736 194275 2610 323 105 +2 +1 +1 -4 +11 1.2
203030 MLBMIA 98% 386341 7714116 391023 123 226311413724 188273 2610 319 103 +1 +1 +1 -4 +11 1.0
203131 MLBMIA 98% 371328 7313115 37993 102 223307405713 183270 2710 315 99 -0 +1 -0 -4 +11 0.7
203232 MLBMIA 98% 353311 6812114 36963 82 219306399704 180265 2710 309 94 -2 +1 -1 -4 +10 0.4
203333 MLBMIA 98% 323286 6110113 32892 51 213297392688 178259 2810 301 88 -4 +1 -2 -3 +9 0.0
203434 MLBMIA 94% 267236 508110 27762 31 212298381679 169256 2810 294 83 -5 +0 -3 -3 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 33352944 67512012136 33688826 8820 229314417730 188278 2710 318 102 +7 +10 +3 -37 +94 7.9
/ 162G 650574 13123227 651735 174 228312416728 188275 2710 318 102 +1 +2 +1 -7 +18 1.5
Career 57735090 113221825227 559177767 13139 222308409716 186289 3110 314 98 -10 +11 +3 -62 +164 10.7
/ 162G 650573 12925326 632008 154 225311415726 190293 3110 314 98 -1 +1 +0 -7 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKDSL Rangers 2 239178 5215512 53416 55 2924686351.103 343315 1722 468 216 +31 -1 +7 3.8
201919 ROKAZL Rangers 224192 6617411 27574 33 3444356461.081 302440 2512 463 212 +28 -1 +6 3.5
202121 ACharleston RiverDogs 320254 6415012 49909 74 252391453844 201325 2815 370 142 +15 -0 +9 2.4
202121 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 2015 2000 350 10 133278133411 167 2515 195 8 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202222 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 494419 10728124 671558 62 255368499867 243346 3114 383 151 +28 +0 +14 4.4
202323 AAMontgomery Biscuits 478389 9718313 761345 72 249379411790 162341 2816 353 128 +15 +1 +14 3.0
202424 AAADurham Bulls 183150 28419 27494 20 187326407733 220202 2715 327 109 +2 +0 +5 0.8
202424 AAMontgomery Biscuits 245209 5617114 29683 31 268365560925 292321 2812 395 160 +17 +0 +7 2.4
202525 MLBMiami Marlins 294256 6812110 31773 11 266352438789 172335 2611 348 125 +8 -0 +2 -5 +8 1.4
202525 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 163141 31419 19572 62 220321454775 234289 3512 341 119 +4 +0 +5 0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 294256 6812110 31773 11 266352438789 172335 2611 348 125 +8 -0 +2 -5 +8 1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA
134,87914661262321426-52-813.113.0
/162664208-7.1-1.11.8pk7: 13
#2Eric Hinskelast yr '13
career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA
124,31013761249332430-34-3313.012.9
/162664219-5.2-5.12.0pk7: 13
#3Wil Myerslast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA
114,290156107252326437-47-4510.710.7
/1626642417-7.3-6.91.7pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons
113,775162102235315431-40+011.210.2
/1626642818-7.1+0.02.0pk7: 9
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#5Scott Hairstonlast yr '14
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA
92,62410636242297444-18-166.06.6
/162664279-4.5-4.11.5pk7: 7
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Heriberto Hernández (OGILVIE) 26 50 55 60 60 243/322/470 227271 2115 23% 10% 116 +1.7
Trevor Story
2019 · MLB
26 44→49 57→60 53→55 45 232/298/434 201292 2417 29% 8% 105 +2.1 241/312/434 193297 2221 26% 9% 111 +2.5 234/312/421187284212325%9%104+1.7
Steven Souza Jr.
2015 · MLB
26 52→56 55→60 54→55 47 263/329/457 193325 2324 26% 8% 123 +3.3 245/323/433 188329 2416 31% 10% 115 +2.7 235/325/431197314261432%11%113+2.2
Jake Fraley
2022 · MLB
27 47→50 55→60 53→55 54 242/338/431 188308 2321 28% 12% 120 +3.1 249/333/411 162299 2021 23% 10% 113 +2.6 255/330/403148300172620%9%106+1.3
Eric Byrnes
2002 · MLB
26 48→57 58→60 51→60 53 254/329/457 203269 2712 18% 9% 124 +3.4 257/322/440 183285 1914 17% 8% 116 +2.8 261/323/441179281192815%7%112+2.5
Nolan Reimold
2010 · MLB
26 52→58 56→60 49→50 52 267/338/463 196300 2410 20% 9% 128 +3.7 231/306/382 151270 1811 21% 9% 95 +1.4 234/310/35912530813527%9%87+0.4
Chris Young
2008 · MLB
24 43→49 58→60 54→55 47 232/295/441 210259 2622 23% 7% 105 +2.1 238/312/432 194286 2117 24% 9% 110 +2.4 239/321/428189289201724%10%109+2.5
Jonny Gomes
2008 · MLB
27 47→52 58→60 48→50 51 243/336/454 212307 2613 29% 10% 125 +3.5 238/314/436 198295 2512 27% 8% 112 +2.6 244/338/42618230323726%10%115+2.0
Randy Arozarena
2021 · MLB
26 52→57 54→55 51→55 44 262/336/446 184324 2223 25% 6% 124 +3.4 263/342/453 190333 2122 26% 9% 128 +3.6 259/347/445186326212325%10%124+3.6
Wil Myers
2018 · MLB
27 49→53 60→65 53→55 52 258/338/478 219310 2720 26% 10% 132 +4.0 257/330/477 220334 2718 29% 10% 129 +3.7 262/340/480217347271330%10%130+2.6
Matt Kemp
2011 · MLB
26 53→63 56→65 53→55 48 273/331/468 195325 2423 24% 8% 127 +3.6 299/365/527 228361 2922 24% 9% 157 +5.7 309/378/540231375302424%9%150+4.3
Javier Báez
2019 · MLB
26 53→58 60→65 52→55 40 276/316/498 222335 2716 26% 5% 129 +3.7 264/305/487 223334 2914 29% 5% 122 +3.3 257/301/479222330301431%5%115+2.1
Ramón Laureano
2020 · MLB
26 51→57 56→60 54→55 43 262/321/459 196327 2418 27% 6% 121 +3.2 247/324/436 189308 2215 26% 8% 116 +2.8 263/329/458195337231328%7%122+2.3
Daulton Varsho
2022 · MLB
26 46→49 57→60 55→50 50 242/308/445 203271 2414 22% 8% 111 +2.5 227/294/415 188267 2315 24% 8% 98 +1.6 218/290/402184257231525%8%91+1.1
Mark Reynolds
2010 · MLB
26 49→55 64→65 50 49 255/337/501 246336 3215 33% 11% 138 +4.4 219/324/451 232284 319 33% 12% 120 +3.1 204/319/42522125930532%13%106+2.1
Cavan Biggio
2021 · MLB
26 48 55→60 54→50 61 241/355/432 191304 2116 26% 14% 128 +3.6 221/324/365 144292 159 27% 12% 98 +1.6 208/324/33712828113828%12%91+0.6
Efren Espinoza
2007 · AAA
26 54→56 56→60 52→50 44 277/326/478 201315 2315 21% 6% 128 +3.6 261/306/420 159305 1812 20% 5% 104 +2.0 261/308/42816727920415%5%106+1.0
Carlos González
2012 · MLB
26 52→56 56→60 56→55 49 267/329/462 195303 2322 20% 8% 124 +3.4 253/321/436 183301 2120 22% 9% 115 +2.7 245/315/429184293212023%9%102+1.4
Tyler O'Neill
2023 · MLB
28 48→55 59→65 51→50 46 252/326/463 211314 2817 29% 8% 124 +3.4 236/320/440 204296 2711 29% 10% 115 +2.8 224/314/43020627529829%11%106+1.2
Preston Wilson
2001 · MLB
27 51→53 59→60 54→55 46 262/329/476 214326 2728 28% 8% 128 +3.7 264/331/478 214310 2721 23% 8% 130 +3.8 265/335/486221302281822%8%130+3.7
Weston Wilson
2022 · AAA
27 42→43 59→55 51→55 46 231/296/433 202277 2814 28% 8% 104 +2.0 215/280/381 166290 2222 32% 8% 83 +0.6 212/291/397185265262530%9%90+0.7