Marco Luciano — OGILVIE

Marco LucianoOF Somerset Patriots

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs AA HR +8%BB +8% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 1.3 · 2028

wRC+†vL 13595vR 46

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .274 / .331

PA250

HR7

K%35

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

60→60

SPD

50→50

EYE

58↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.6M
2028	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$10M		$18M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Giants Orange	178	156	33	6	1	7	17	56	4	8	6	.212	.305	.397	.703	.186	.277	31	10	.311	96	-1	-1	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2021	19	A	3 teams	540	494	100	15	5	19	35	194	7	6	6	.202	.265	.368	.633	.166	.284	36	6	.271	65	-21	-1	+0	+6	+15	-0.1
2022	20	A+	2 teams	257	236	47	9	0	7	17	79	3	0	0	.199	.262	.326	.588	.127	.265	31	7	.261	58	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2023	21	AA	4 teams	424	374	71	16	0	15	45	166	1	7	0	.190	.279	.353	.632	.163	.284	39	11	.283	75	-12	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.6
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	465	413	89	12	2	8	49	152	2	4	4	.215	.302	.312	.614	.097	.319	33	11	.277	70	-16	-1	-4	+2	+13	-0.6
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	570	500	82	17	1	18	62	223	2	11	3	.164	.259	.310	.569	.146	.242	39	11	.254	53	-31	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	65	58	16	5	0	4	6	22	0	1	1	.276	.344	.569	.913	.293	.364	34	9	.368	140	+3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	24	MLB	NYY	185	165	34	7	0	6	17	65	1	3	1	.206	.284	.358	.642	.152	.293	35	9	.288	79	-4	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.2
TOT	24	MLB	NYY	250	223	50	12	0	10	23	87	1	4	2	.224	.300	.413	.712	.188	.312	35	9	.309	95	-1	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	NYY	420	374	80	16	1	14	41	132	2	6	2	.214	.295	.374	.669	.160	.285	31	10	.297	85	-7	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.9
2028	26	MLB 26%	NYY	441	393	85	17	1	15	43	136	2	6	2	.216	.297	.379	.676	.163	.287	31	10	.305	91	-4	+0	-2	+5	+12	1.2
2029	27	MLB 44%	NYY	442	393	86	17	1	15	44	135	2	6	2	.219	.301	.382	.682	.163	.288	31	10	.306	92	-4	+0	-2	+5	+13	1.3
2030	28	MLB 53%	NYY	439	391	85	17	1	15	43	134	2	5	2	.217	.298	.381	.679	.164	.288	31	10	.305	92	-4	+0	-2	+5	+12	1.1
2031	29	MLB 64%	NYY	429	381	82	16	1	14	43	132	2	4	1	.215	.298	.373	.671	.157	.287	31	10	.303	90	-5	+0	-3	+5	+12	1.0
2032	30	MLB 73%	NYY	420	373	80	16	1	14	42	131	2	3	1	.214	.297	.375	.673	.161	.285	31	10	.300	88	-6	+0	-4	+4	+12	0.7
2033	31	MLB 81%	NYY	405	360	76	15	1	13	40	128	2	1	0	.211	.294	.367	.660	.156	.283	32	10	.296	85	-7	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.5
2034	32	MLB 88%	NYY	386	343	72	14	1	12	38	124	2	0	0	.210	.292	.362	.654	.152	.282	32	10	.291	81	-8	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.2
2035	33	MLB 94%	NYY	356	316	65	12	1	11	35	117	2	0	0	.206	.289	.354	.643	.149	.280	33	10	.286	77	-9	+0	-5	+4	+10	-0.1
2036	34	MLB	NYY	312	277	55	10	1	9	31	105	1	0	0	.199	.282	.339	.621	.141	.278	34	10	.279	72	-10	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6669	5939	1222	232	19	212	642	2209	39	70	30	.206	.287	.358	.646	.153	.284	33	10	.288	79	-161	+2	-39	+68	+189	6.1
/ 162G	—			650	579	120	23	2	21	63	215	4	7	3	.207	.290	.363	.653	.155	.285	33	10	.288	79	-16	+0	-4	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Giants Orange	178	146	47	9	2	10	27	39	4	8	6	.322	.441	.616	1.057	.295	.378	22	15	.455	206	+21	-1	—	—	+5	2.6
2021	19	A+	Eugene Emeralds	145	129	28	3	2	1	10	54	3	1	0	.217	.289	.295	.583	.078	.351	37	7	.264	60	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2021	19	A	San Jose Giants	308	266	74	14	3	18	38	68	3	5	5	.278	.375	.556	.931	.278	.309	22	12	.404	167	+23	-1	—	—	+9	3.2
2021	19	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	87	75	19	0	0	3	11	28	1	0	1	.253	.356	.373	.730	.120	.364	32	13	.335	114	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	20	A+	Eugene Emeralds	230	205	54	10	0	10	22	51	2	0	0	.263	.341	.459	.799	.195	.303	22	10	.353	128	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2022	20	ROK	ACL Giants Black	27	22	7	2	0	1	4	7	1	0	0	.318	.444	.545	.990	.227	.429	26	15	.437	192	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	MLB	San Francisco Giants	45	39	9	3	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	.231	.333	.308	.641	.077	.409	38	13	.299	87	-1	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.6
2023	21	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	78	67	14	2	0	4	10	28	1	0	0	.209	.321	.418	.738	.209	.286	36	13	.331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	21	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	242	202	46	12	0	11	36	72	0	6	0	.228	.345	.450	.795	.223	.285	30	15	.348	125	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	59	47	8	1	0	1	12	18	0	0	0	.170	.339	.255	.594	.085	.250	31	20	.291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	22	MLB	San Francisco Giants	81	76	16	5	1	0	5	28	0	0	1	.211	.259	.303	.562	.092	.333	35	6	.254	53	-4	-0	-4	+2	+2	-0.5
2024	22	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	384	316	79	9	1	10	65	103	2	4	3	.250	.381	.380	.761	.130	.338	27	17	.349	126	+11	-0	—	—	+11	2.2
2025	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	555	462	99	21	1	23	85	170	2	10	3	.214	.339	.413	.752	.199	.276	31	15	.335	115	+9	+1	—	—	+16	2.6
2025	23	INTL	Toros del Este	15	12	1	0	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	.083	.267	.083	.350	.000	.250	53	20	.200	11	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			126	115	25	8	1	0	11	45	0	1	1	.217	.286	.304	.590	.087	.357	36	9	.270	65	-5	-0	-4	+6	+4	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Luciano (OGILVIE)	24	35	60	50	60	.196/.274/.331	.136	.284	7	3	35%	9%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	50→55	53→50	45	.206/.286/.363	.157	.300	18	12	36%	10%	82	+0.5	.219/.316/.410	.191	.291	23	10	31%	11%	106	+2.2	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
●Trayce Thompson 2015 · AAA	24	36→46	48→65	52→50	39	.191/.253/.336	.145	.274	16	16	36%	7%	60	-1.0	.211/.266/.360	.149	.274	16	12	28%	7%	71	-0.3	.209/.298/.431	.221	.291	31	7	37%	10%	102	+1.1
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→41	48→55	48→50	44	.188/.265/.331	.144	.271	15	11	35%	9%	65	-0.7	.204/.278/.369	.165	.296	18	13	35%	9%	79	+0.3	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA	25	41→40	51→60	47→50	46	.209/.295/.369	.159	.303	19	11	35%	10%	87	+0.8	.207/.293/.398	.191	.284	24	9	35%	9%	94	+1.3	.201/.308/.395	.194	.284	25	5	36%	11%	96	+1.0
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	42→32	48→55	48→55	42	.203/.283/.350	.147	.312	14	10	37%	8%	77	+0.1	.201/.287/.362	.161	.274	18	19	32%	9%	82	+0.5	.184/.279/.346	.163	.237	19	25	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Travis Demeritte 2019 · AA	24	36→43	50→60	47→50	39	.190/.251/.347	.157	.282	18	8	38%	7%	63	-0.9	.214/.279/.390	.176	.309	21	8	36%	8%	85	+0.7	.208/.274/.387	.179	.299	22	9	37%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	38→41	51→55	45	47	.200/.282/.366	.166	.265	19	7	32%	10%	80	+0.4	.191/.260/.336	.145	.273	18	6	35%	8%	63	-0.8	.166/.233/.298	.132	.227	20	2	36%	6%	40	-1.6
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	39→41	51→60	45→50	43	.201/.278/.358	.157	.299	19	8	38%	9%	77	+0.1	.213/.300/.410	.197	.288	26	11	34%	10%	99	+1.7	.202/.293/.398	.196	.262	27	11	33%	10%	90	+0.9
✕Michael Toglia 2023 · MLB	24	37	53→55	48→45	41	.199/.268/.368	.169	.289	21	8	38%	8%	75	-0.0	.199/.274/.372	.173	.274	22	7	34%	9%	79	+0.3	.194/.273/.372	.177	.259	24	6	34%	9%	74	-0.0
●Aristides Aquino 2018 · AA	24	37→40	47→65	49→50	35	.194/.235/.333	.138	.262	15	8	32%	4%	51	-1.7	.214/.263/.413	.199	.270	28	9	32%	5%	85	+0.7	.218/.283/.452	.234	.267	35	9	33%	7%	98	+1.0
●Jo Adell 2023 · MLB	24	40→44	54→65	47→50	35	.212/.262/.389	.176	.300	22	9	36%	5%	78	+0.2	.217/.279/.423	.206	.277	28	12	32%	7%	95	+1.4	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→60	46→50	44	.202/.279/.318	.116	.282	12	12	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.221/.280/.382	.161	.276	19	14	27%	6%	84	+0.6	.220/.279/.406	.186	.266	23	17	26%	6%	87	+0.6
✕Wladimir Balentien 2008 · AAA	24	42→45	52→55	49→50	41	.218/.275/.386	.167	.290	21	12	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.221/.281/.392	.171	.271	21	9	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.219/.279/.399	.180	.260	22	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Matt Davidson 2015 · MLB	24	37→44	48→60	41→30	41	.196/.262/.334	.138	.272	16	2	34%	7%	64	-0.8	.190/.250/.331	.141	.273	18	2	36%	6%	58	-1.2	.214/.287/.413	.199	.285	28	0	34%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→55	48→45	41	.196/.261/.330	.133	.269	15	9	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.203/.278/.366	.163	.280	20	6	33%	8%	79	+0.3	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2021 · MLB	24	41→45	44→55	52→55	41	.202/.272/.323	.122	.293	10	16	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.212/.275/.347	.135	.290	14	20	30%	7%	72	-0.2	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	41→46	54→60	49→50	41	.216/.279/.394	.178	.298	22	15	34%	7%	86	+0.8	.225/.298/.429	.204	.290	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	.219/.298/.421	.202	.276	27	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Richie Shaffer 2015 · AA	24	38→39	49→55	52→40	42	.200/.259/.348	.148	.263	16	6	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.201/.270/.363	.162	.278	20	5	34%	8%	75	-0.0	.189/.264/.348	.159	.268	20	4	36%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→35	44→50	48→45	44	.203/.282/.321	.118	.296	11	7	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.196/.293/.355	.159	.317	19	5	41%	10%	83	+0.6	.180/.284/.345	.165	.293	21	3	42%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Mike Olt 2014 · MLB	25	36→41	51→55	46→40	44	.194/.267/.345	.152	.270	20	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	.194/.262/.352	.158	.280	21	3	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.190/.260/.351	.160	.271	22	1	37%	8%	64	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)