Moises Morales — OGILVIE

Moises MoralesC DSL Miami

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .291 / .292

PA100

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	119	96	16	3	1	0	15	35	5	1	3	167	310	219	529	52	250	29	13	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	119	88	21	4	2	1	23	26	5	1	3	239	422	364	786	125	312	22	19	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIA	—	100	89	19	3	1	1	9	27	2	1	0	213	300	303	603	90	289	27	9	271	65	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	192	170	36	6	2	2	17	51	3	2	1	212	295	306	601	94	292	27	9	281	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	331	292	65	11	3	5	30	87	6	3	1	223	308	332	640	110	293	26	9	289	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	436	386	87	15	4	7	39	113	8	4	2	225	309	339	649	114	294	26	9	294	83	-8	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	511	450	102	18	4	9	46	131	10	5	2	227	312	344	657	118	295	26	9	297	86	-8	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	520	458	105	18	5	9	47	133	10	5	2	229	315	349	664	120	296	26	9	299	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	520	458	106	18	5	10	47	132	10	5	2	231	317	358	675	127	297	25	9	301	89	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	520	458	106	18	5	10	47	132	10	5	2	231	317	358	675	127	297	25	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	520	457	106	18	5	10	48	132	10	5	2	232	318	359	677	127	297	25	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2035	27	MLB	MIA	55%	520	457	104	18	4	10	48	133	10	5	2	228	315	350	665	123	297	26	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2036	28	MLB	MIA	59%	520	456	104	18	4	10	49	133	10	5	2	228	317	351	667	123	296	26	9	302	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2037	29	MLB	MIA	61%	520	456	103	17	4	10	49	134	10	5	2	226	315	346	661	121	295	26	9	300	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2038	30	MLB	MIA	62%	520	456	103	17	4	10	49	136	10	4	1	226	315	346	661	121	294	26	9	298	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2039	31	MLB	MIA	63%	504	443	98	16	4	9	47	133	9	3	1	221	309	336	645	115	292	26	9	294	83	-10	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2040	32	MLB	MIA	64%	489	431	93	15	4	8	46	131	9	3	1	216	305	325	629	109	288	27	9	288	79	-12	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	66	59	13	2	1	1	6	18	1	1	0	220	303	339	642	119	287	27	9	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	160	142	30	5	1	2	14	42	3	2	1	211	296	303	598	92	289	26	9	271	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	236	209	46	8	2	4	21	61	4	2	1	220	303	335	638	115	290	26	9	276	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	289	256	58	10	3	5	26	74	5	3	1	227	310	348	658	121	290	26	9	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	299	264	59	10	3	5	27	76	6	3	1	223	310	341	651	117	291	25	9	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	296	261	59	10	3	5	27	75	6	3	1	226	313	345	658	119	292	25	9	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	295	260	60	10	3	6	27	75	6	3	1	231	317	362	679	131	292	25	9	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	294	259	59	10	3	6	27	75	6	3	1	228	315	359	674	131	292	26	9	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB	MIA	55%	289	255	58	10	2	6	27	74	5	3	1	227	314	353	667	125	292	26	9	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB	MIA	59%	307	269	61	10	3	6	29	79	6	3	1	227	316	353	669	126	291	26	9	285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.6
2037	29	MLB	MIA	61%	317	278	62	10	3	6	30	82	6	3	1	223	312	345	657	122	290	26	9	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2038	30	MLB	MIA	62%	324	285	63	10	3	6	30	85	6	3	1	221	308	340	649	119	289	26	9	280	72	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2039	31	MLB	MIA	63%	318	279	61	10	3	5	30	84	6	2	1	219	308	330	638	111	287	26	9	276	69	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2040	32	MLB	MIA	64%	312	274	59	10	2	5	29	84	6	2	1	215	304	321	625	106	284	27	9	271	66	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3802	3350	748	125	35	68	350	984	72	36	13	223	310	342	653	119	294	26	9	280	73	-118	+2	-7	+68	+108	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	128	21	6	12	60	168	12	6	2	223	310	344	654	120	293	26	9	280	73	-20	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	6842	6013	1353	229	59	120	633	1773	132	61	26	225	312	343	655	118	296	26	9	297	85	-115	+2	-10	+122	+194	19.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	129	22	6	11	60	168	13	6	2	226	314	343	657	117	298	26	9	297	85	-11	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	119	88	21	4	2	1	23	26	5	1	3	239	422	364	786	125	312	22	19	360	134	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,903	69	35	226	309	345	+70	+36	11.7	9.5
	/162	664	12	6	226	309	345	+11.9	+6.1	2.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Morales (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	207/291/292	84	289	1	1	27%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	42→40	37→45	48→40	49	193/291/265	72	306	5	4	35%	11%	59	-1.1	195/283/284	89	295	8	4	33%	10%	59	-1.1	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Tucker Barnhart 2010 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→40	43	204/257/275	71	277	4	6	27%	6%	45	-2.1	222/282/297	75	300	3	5	25%	7%	61	-1.0	242/327/368	126	287	12	2	19%	11%	89	+0.7
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	48→46	38→45	48→55	45	221/293/307	86	324	3	10	30%	8%	69	-0.4	230/319/305	75	320	3	13	26%	11%	79	+0.3	224/322/292	68	319	1	14	26%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5