Moises Morales — OGILVIE

Moises MoralesC DSL Miami

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .290 / .292

PA8

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	119	88	21	4	2	1	23	26	5	1	3	239	422	364	786	125	312	22	19	360	130	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	119	96	17	3	1	1	15	36	5	1	3	177	319	260	579	83	234	30	13	255	59	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	119	96	17	3	1	1	15	36	5	1	3	177	319	260	579	83	258	30	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	119	88	21	4	2	1	23	26	5	1	3	239	422	364	786	125	312	22	19	360	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	119	98	17	3	1	1	15	36	5	1	3	173	319	255	574	82	234	30	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	119	98	17	3	1	1	15	36	5	1	3	173	319	255	574	82	234	30	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		289	25	12	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	192	170	36	6	2	2	17	52	3	4	1	212	295	306	601	94	292	27	9	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	331	292	64	11	3	5	30	88	6	8	3	219	305	329	634	110	293	27	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	436	385	86	15	4	7	40	115	8	10	4	223	309	338	647	114	294	26	9	293	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	511	450	102	18	5	9	46	133	10	12	4	227	312	349	661	122	295	26	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	520	458	105	18	5	10	47	135	10	12	4	229	315	356	670	127	296	26	9	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	458	105	18	5	10	47	135	10	12	4	229	315	356	670	127	297	26	9	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	457	105	18	5	10	48	135	10	12	4	230	317	357	673	127	297	26	9	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	457	105	18	5	10	48	135	10	12	4	230	317	357	673	127	297	26	9	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	520	457	104	18	5	10	48	135	10	12	4	228	315	354	669	127	296	26	9	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	59%	520	456	104	18	5	10	49	136	10	12	4	228	317	355	672	127	296	26	9	302	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	520	456	102	17	4	10	49	137	10	12	4	224	313	344	657	121	295	26	9	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	520	456	102	17	4	10	49	138	10	12	4	224	313	344	657	121	294	27	9	297	87	-8	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	504	443	97	16	4	9	47	135	9	11	4	219	307	334	641	115	291	27	9	293	84	-9	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	64%	489	431	92	15	4	8	46	133	9	11	4	213	302	323	625	109	288	27	9	287	81	-11	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.5
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	473	417	87	14	4	7	44	131	9	10	4	209	298	312	610	103	284	28	9	281	76	-13	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2042	34	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	433	382	77	12	3	6	40	123	8	9	3	202	291	296	587	94	278	28	9	273	71	-15	+1	-5	+8	+9	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	66	59	13	2	1	1	6	18	1	1	1	220	303	339	642	119	284	27	9	261	76	-2	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	160	142	29	5	1	2	14	43	3	4	1	204	289	296	585	92	286	27	9	268	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	236	209	45	7	2	4	21	62	4	6	2	215	299	325	625	110	286	26	9	273	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	289	256	56	9	3	5	26	75	5	7	2	219	303	336	639	117	287	26	9	276	87	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	299	264	59	10	3	5	27	78	6	7	3	223	310	341	651	117	288	26	9	278	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	296	261	58	10	3	5	27	77	6	7	2	222	310	341	651	119	289	26	9	280	90	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	295	260	57	9	3	5	27	76	6	7	2	219	307	335	642	115	289	26	9	281	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	294	259	58	9	3	6	27	76	6	7	2	224	312	351	663	127	289	26	9	282	91	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	289	255	56	9	3	5	27	75	5	7	2	220	307	337	644	118	289	26	9	282	91	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	59%	307	269	60	10	3	6	29	80	6	7	3	223	312	349	662	126	288	26	9	281	90	-4	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	317	278	62	10	3	6	30	83	6	7	3	223	312	345	657	122	287	26	9	279	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	324	284	62	10	3	6	31	86	6	7	3	218	308	338	646	120	286	27	10	277	87	-5	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	318	279	60	10	3	5	30	85	6	7	3	215	305	326	631	111	284	27	9	273	84	-6	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.5
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	64%	312	274	57	9	2	5	29	85	6	7	2	208	298	310	608	102	281	27	9	268	81	-7	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	307	269	55	8	2	5	29	85	6	7	2	204	296	305	601	100	277	28	9	262	76	-9	+1	-3	+5	+7	0.1
2042	34	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	262	231	46	7	2	4	24	74	5	5	2	199	288	299	587	100	271	28	9	254	71	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4371	3849	833	134	40	75	404	1158	83	100	35	216	304	330	635	114	287	26	9	274	85	-75	+6	-12	+78	+95	9.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	124	20	6	11	60	172	12	15	5	217	304	330	634	114	288	26	9	274	85	-11	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7656	6728	1491	252	68	134	711	2034	147	172	62	222	310	339	649	117	295	27	9	294	85	-130	+11	-20	+135	+163	16.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	126	21	6	11	60	173	12	15	5	221	307	336	644	116	294	27	9	294	85	-11	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.7	4,473	79	102	222	306	340	+80	+40	12.8	10.2
/162	664	12	15	+11.9	+5.9	1.9	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Morales (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	206/290/292	86	289	1	2	28%	9%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	68	-1.0	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Omar Alfonzo 2022 · A	18	43→40	38→45	49→40	51	198/298/275	77	306	5	4	34%	12%	68	-1.0	194/282/284	90	295	8	4	33%	10%	64	-1.3	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	41→47	40→45	50	42	201/257/287	86	280	8	15	30%	7%	54	-2.0	198/247/280	82	297	6	9	33%	6%	48	-2.5	225/259/347	121	301	14	5	30%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	44	37→55	49→50	47	210/269/289	79	269	4	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	208/258/305	97	283	7	9	27%	6%	58	-1.7	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→45	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	57	-1.8	195/258/260	65	272	4	9	28%	7%	48	-2.5	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	45→44	40→45	49→50	47	213/280/317	104	276	5	11	24%	8%	70	-0.9	197/284/322	125	292	12	11	34%	10%	74	-0.6	172/276/289	117	257	13	12	35%	12%	62	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps