Jose Barrios

SS FCL Twins

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 152 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1185ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	143	.254/.355/.361	2	10	30	—	.167/.255/.222
2026	18	ROKMIN	121	.229/.378/.344	2	5	57	—	.184/.294/.282
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIN	231	.221/.292/.312	3	5	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	41	.225/.297/.324	1	1	77	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	104	.228/.301/.334	2	2	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%91

Z-Con%91

K%74

BB%58

wRC+49

ISO49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsAron Estrada (age 19) · Pedro Ramírez (age 19) · Diego Velasquez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .290 / .310

PA63

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	143	122	31	3	2	2	16	24	3	10	5	254	355	361	715	107	299	17	11	324	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	121	96	22	5	0	2	20	20	3	5	3	229	378	344	722	115	267	17	17	333	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	126	21	2	1	1	12	30	3	10	5	167	255	222	478	56	195	21	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	121	103	19	4	0	2	13	29	3	5	3	184	294	282	576	97	226	24	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	126	21	2	1	1	12	30	3	10	5	167	255	222	478	56	208	21	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	143	122	31	3	2	2	16	24	3	10	5	254	355	361	715	107	299	17	11	324	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	121	103	19	4	0	2	13	29	3	5	3	184	294	282	576	97	233	24	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	121	96	22	5	0	2	20	20	3	5	3	229	378	344	722	115	267	17	17	333	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	127	21	2	1	1	12	30	3	10	5	165	255	220	476	55	195	21	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	121	104	19	4	0	2	13	29	3	5	3	183	294	279	573	96	226	24	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	127	21	2	1	1	12	30	3	10	5	165	255	220	476	55	195	21	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	121	104	19	4	0	2	13	29	3	5	3	183	294	279	573	96	226	24	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	231	208	47	8	2	3	18	58	3	5	1	221	292	312	604	91	290	25	8	275	72	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	118	106	24	4	1	2	9	29	2	3	1	225	297	324	621	99	292	25	8	282	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	214	192	44	7	2	3	17	52	3	5	1	228	301	334	635	106	293	24	8	288	81	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	326	293	67	11	2	6	26	79	4	8	2	231	304	342	646	111	293	24	8	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	407	366	84	14	3	7	33	98	5	10	3	233	306	348	654	116	294	24	8	295	86	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	459	412	96	16	3	9	38	109	6	11	3	234	308	353	661	119	295	24	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	488	439	101	17	3	9	40	116	6	11	3	234	308	354	662	120	295	24	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	505	452	106	18	3	10	42	120	6	12	3	234	308	354	662	120	295	24	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	510	457	107	18	3	10	42	122	6	12	3	233	307	351	658	118	294	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	507	454	105	18	3	9	42	123	6	11	3	232	305	347	652	115	293	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	496	446	102	17	3	9	41	121	6	10	3	229	302	341	643	112	292	24	8	291	83	-10	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	62%	486	438	98	16	3	8	39	121	6	9	4	227	299	334	633	107	291	25	8	286	80	-12	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	469	423	94	16	3	7	38	118	5	8	4	223	294	324	619	102	288	25	8	281	76	-13	+0	-3	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	41	37	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	225	297	324	622	99	292	24	7	282	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	104	94	22	4	1	2	8	25	1	2	1	228	301	334	635	106	293	24	8	288	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	177	159	36	6	1	3	14	43	2	4	1	231	304	342	646	112	293	24	8	292	84	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	230	206	48	8	2	4	19	55	3	5	2	233	306	349	655	116	294	24	8	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	260	234	55	9	2	5	21	62	3	6	2	234	308	354	661	119	295	24	8	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	276	247	58	10	2	5	23	66	4	6	2	235	308	355	662	120	295	24	8	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	285	256	60	10	2	6	23	68	4	7	2	234	308	354	662	120	295	24	8	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	283	254	59	10	2	5	23	68	4	6	2	233	307	352	659	118	294	24	8	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	300	268	62	10	2	6	25	73	4	6	2	232	305	347	652	116	294	24	8	294	85	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	302	270	62	10	2	5	25	74	4	6	2	229	302	341	644	112	293	25	8	291	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	62%	302	270	61	10	2	5	25	75	4	6	2	227	299	334	633	107	291	25	8	287	80	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	296	267	60	10	2	5	24	75	3	5	3	223	294	325	619	102	289	25	8	281	76	-8	-0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2856	2562	591	98	20	52	233	694	37	60	21	231	304	345	649	115	295	24	8	293	82	-54	+4	-4	+31	+62	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	135	22	5	12	53	158	8	14	5	232	304	348	652	117	296	24	8	293	82	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5312	4764	1080	180	33	93	437	1283	68	126	41	227	301	337	638	110	289	24	8	289	82	-96	+9	-7	+54	+109	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	22	4	11	53	157	8	15	5	226	299	334	634	108	289	24	8	289	82	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Twins · 121 PAwOBA .328 → .253 (−76)K% 16.5% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.53%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	23.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.53%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	10.48%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	1.83%
Singles /BIP	19.74%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.022	17.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.58%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	5.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.63%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.10%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .328 → .253; ISO .115 → .092; BABIP .267 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Twins · 143 PAwOBA .318 → .212 (−106)K% 16.8% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.78%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	20.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.19%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×1.022	8.05%
HBP% /PA	2.10%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.50%
Singles /BIP	24.49%	÷0.991	×0.680	×0.968	×1.022	16.63%
Doubles /BIP	3.06%	÷0.982	×0.600	×0.968	×1.022	1.85%
Triples /BIP	2.04%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.968	×1.022	1.05%
Home runs /BIP	2.04%	÷0.953	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.03%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .318 → .212; ISO .107 → .058; BABIP .299 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.4	2,918	52	63	231	301	345	+31	+24	6.0	5.3
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+5.5	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Barrios (OGILVIE)	19	50→55	35→40	53→58	58	219/290/310	90	290	1	1	25%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0

Jose Barrios

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps