Jansel Luis — OGILVIE

Jansel Luis2B Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.6 · 2031

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .268 / .332

PA320

HR5

SB11

K%25

BB%5

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

32↗49

PWR

40↗48

SPD

53↘52

FLD

43↗52

EYE

38↘34

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$10M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.6	$15M	+$14M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$15M	+$12M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$15M	+$10M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.2	$12M	+$6M
Totals		$18M		$81M	+$64M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	193	177	44	4	0	1	9	35	5	9	3	.249	.304	.288	.592	.040	.301	18	5	.264	60	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2023	18	A	2 teams	263	244	50	9	3	6	11	68	7	16	4	.205	.260	.340	.600	.135	.257	26	4	.255	53	-14	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2024	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	523	483	105	24	8	5	28	145	11	20	10	.217	.276	.331	.607	.114	.300	28	5	.265	61	-23	+0	+0	+2	+15	-0.6
2025	20	A+	3 teams	567	529	135	22	6	5	20	127	3	32	10	.255	.286	.348	.634	.093	.318	22	4	.275	68	-20	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	72	66	15	3	0	3	4	23	0	4	0	.227	.271	.409	.681	.182	.293	32	6	.269	64	-3	+1	+0	+0	+2	0.0
ROS	21	MLB	ARI	248	232	51	10	2	4	12	65	2	7	2	.220	.264	.332	.596	.112	.288	26	5	.272	66	-9	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.1
TOT	21	MLB	ARI	320	298	66	13	2	7	16	88	2	11	2	.221	.266	.349	.615	.128	.288	28	5	.271	66	-12	+1	-0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 12%	ARI	532	492	112	21	5	11	30	119	5	16	4	.228	.279	.358	.637	.130	.276	22	6	.281	73	-16	+2	-1	+2	+15	0.2
2028	23	MLB 29%	ARI	576	529	123	23	5	13	36	126	6	17	4	.233	.289	.369	.658	.136	.277	22	6	.293	82	-12	+2	-1	+2	+16	0.8
2029	24	MLB 46%	ARI	605	554	130	24	5	15	40	131	6	17	4	.235	.293	.377	.671	.143	.279	22	7	.300	87	-9	+2	-1	+2	+17	1.2
2030	25	MLB 61%	ARI	621	567	134	25	5	16	43	133	6	17	4	.236	.297	.383	.680	.146	.280	21	7	.304	91	-7	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.5
2031	26	MLB 78%	ARI	628	573	136	25	5	17	44	135	6	17	4	.237	.299	.387	.686	.150	.280	21	7	.306	92	-6	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6
2032	27	MLB 93%	ARI	628	572	136	25	5	17	45	135	6	16	3	.238	.300	.388	.688	.150	.280	21	7	.306	92	-6	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6
2033	28	MLB	ARI	623	567	135	25	5	17	45	136	6	15	3	.238	.301	.390	.691	.152	.280	22	7	.305	91	-6	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.5
2034	29	MLB	ARI	613	557	131	24	5	16	45	135	6	13	2	.235	.299	.382	.682	.147	.279	22	7	.303	90	-7	+2	-2	+2	+17	1.2
2035	30	MLB	ARI	603	548	128	24	5	15	44	135	6	12	2	.234	.298	.378	.675	.144	.278	22	7	.299	87	-9	+2	-3	+2	+17	1.0
2036	31	MLB	ARI	589	535	123	23	4	15	43	134	6	9	1	.230	.295	.372	.666	.142	.276	23	7	.296	84	-10	+1	-3	+2	+17	0.7
2037	32	MLB	ARI	570	518	117	21	4	14	42	133	5	7	0	.226	.290	.363	.653	.137	.275	23	7	.291	81	-12	+1	-4	+2	+16	0.3
2038	33	MLB	ARI	540	491	109	20	4	12	39	130	5	5	0	.222	.286	.352	.638	.130	.273	24	7	.286	77	-14	+1	-5	+2	+15	-0.1
2039	34	MLB	ARI	493	451	98	17	4	11	35	122	4	4	0	.217	.280	.346	.625	.129	.272	25	7	.279	72	-16	+1	-5	+2	+14	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9415	8619	1997	366	80	210	611	2144	101	249	60	.232	.290	.366	.656	.134	.283	23	6	.291	81	-204	+26	-28	+34	+267	9.7
/ 162G	—			650	595	138	25	6	14	42	148	7	17	4	.232	.290	.365	.655	.133	.284	23	6	.291	81	-14	+2	-2	+2	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	193	174	60	7	1	1	12	23	5	9	3	.345	.403	.414	.817	.069	.388	12	6	.367	139	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	18	A	Visalia Rawhide	155	144	37	5	3	4	8	35	3	7	2	.257	.310	.417	.726	.160	.314	23	5	.323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	108	94	27	7	1	3	9	16	4	9	2	.287	.374	.479	.853	.191	.316	15	8	.375	145	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	523	471	125	29	10	7	40	109	11	20	10	.265	.337	.414	.751	.149	.332	21	8	.335	115	+9	+0	—	—	+15	2.4
2025	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	447	405	123	19	7	5	27	73	2	22	7	.304	.350	.422	.772	.119	.349	16	6	.335	114	+7	+2	—	—	+13	2.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	16	16	8	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	.500	.500	.750	1.250	.250	.533	6	0	.544	275	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	104	89	19	3	0	0	12	20	1	8	3	.213	.314	.247	.561	.034	.271	19	12	.264	60	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jansel Luis (OGILVIE)	21	32→49	40→48	53→52	34	.222/.268/.332	.110	.288	5	8	25%	5%	65	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	42→52	40→50	51→55	43	.206/.261/.296	.090	.274	8	14	27%	6%	52	-1.6	.202/.269/.286	.084	.291	7	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.228/.311/.359	.130	.302	13	25	27%	10%	87	+0.5
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	45→53	41→50	52→55	46	.215/.277/.324	.109	.271	6	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.212/.263/.367	.155	.273	18	19	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.239/.300/.355	.117	.301	11	27	23%	7%	81	+0.4
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2016 · AA	21	40→50	41→60	55→65	34	.198/.229/.297	.099	.277	9	17	32%	4%	37	-2.6	.219/.251/.362	.143	.302	15	32	32%	4%	65	-0.7	.248/.279/.427	.179	.328	19	49	30%	4%	92	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→50	53→55	43	.219/.269/.323	.104	.273	8	21	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.234/.301/.352	.118	.290	9	19	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
●Danny Santana 2012 · A	21	43→53	40→60	51→55	36	.211/.247/.304	.094	.290	7	16	30%	4%	47	-1.9	.247/.281/.350	.103	.319	6	17	24%	4%	73	-0.1	.244/.288/.452	.208	.303	27	22	29%	5%	102	+1.2
✕Ehire Adrianza 2012 · A	22	46→50	39→50	49→50	45	.220/.276/.313	.093	.282	5	13	23%	6%	63	-0.9	.218/.275/.308	.090	.282	5	13	23%	7%	61	-1.0	.239/.324/.368	.129	.285	11	1	19%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Henry Ramos 2013 · A	21	43→53	41→50	46→50	38	.211/.251/.308	.096	.282	8	11	28%	5%	50	-1.7	.221/.265/.328	.107	.293	9	8	26%	5%	62	-0.9	.251/.313/.394	.142	.314	16	7	24%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	43→49	42→55	48→55	39	.213/.259/.322	.109	.292	9	12	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.227/.286/.366	.139	.304	14	20	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.223/.285/.369	.146	.292	15	21	28%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Blake Swihart 2013 · A	21	44→52	42→45	49→45	40	.219/.253/.322	.103	.274	10	7	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.239/.278/.349	.110	.303	9	7	23%	5%	72	-0.2	.255/.302/.370	.115	.320	10	7	23%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→48	40→50	49→50	44	.205/.261/.303	.099	.264	7	10	25%	7%	54	-1.4	.223/.284/.349	.126	.283	12	10	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.227/.291/.359	.132	.280	13	10	23%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Jean Batista 2013 · A	21	45	43→55	50→45	36	.224/.248/.340	.116	.282	10	8	25%	3%	57	-1.2	.215/.244/.330	.115	.285	9	6	27%	3%	53	-1.5	.186/.200/.324	.138	.245	10	2	29%	1%	27	-0.7
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	43→53	42→50	52→55	39	.210/.265/.317	.107	.297	9	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.226/.289/.332	.106	.311	9	12	28%	7%	73	-0.1	.218/.295/.357	.140	.319	16	13	34%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	43→45	44→55	53→50	40	.212/.258/.328	.116	.263	11	15	24%	4%	59	-1.1	.215/.265/.345	.130	.278	13	10	27%	4%	67	-0.5	.222/.280/.396	.173	.255	23	3	23%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Leody Taveras 2020 · AA	21	45→54	38→50	52→55	42	.215/.257/.293	.078	.283	5	16	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.219/.272/.339	.120	.298	11	20	29%	7%	68	-0.5	.247/.298/.374	.126	.308	12	20	23%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Willi Castro 2018 · A	21	48→54	42→50	48→55	38	.234/.263/.334	.100	.290	9	12	23%	3%	62	-0.9	.241/.282/.359	.118	.312	10	13	25%	4%	77	+0.1	.240/.326/.383	.143	.305	13	23	24%	8%	98	+1.3
✕Dustin Fowler 2016 · A	21	45→52	42→55	51→55	37	.221/.247/.324	.103	.282	9	14	25%	3%	53	-1.5	.240/.266/.373	.133	.294	11	18	22%	3%	73	-0.1	.248/.273/.399	.151	.298	13	21	21%	3%	79	+0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Harold Garcia 2008 · A	21	46→56	39→45	48→55	44	.219/.295/.306	.087	.279	5	10	22%	6%	71	-0.3	.235/.295/.342	.107	.304	8	19	24%	5%	79	+0.3	.250/.302/.360	.110	.333	8	26	26%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→50	42→55	52→55	41	.202/.253/.302	.099	.256	10	14	25%	5%	50	-1.7	.228/.267/.382	.154	.289	16	19	26%	4%	77	+0.1	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)