BJ Murray — OGILVIE

BJ Murray3B Iowa Cubs

Age 26 S/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION364 act + 242 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .328 / .410

PA242

HR7

SB6

K%26

BB%9

BABIP314

ISO163

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$18M	+$17M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$14M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$12M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$21M		$70M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	270	33	5	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	405	353	86	17	1	8	44	113	6	8	4	244	337	365	703	122	333	28	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	405	334	94	19	1	9	63	83	6	8	4	281	404	425	830	144	348	20	16	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	484	105	27	4	13	50	164	6	14	3	217	298	370	668	153	298	30	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	418	370	62	10	0	8	44	123	2	14	1	168	260	259	519	92	224	29	11	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	418	357	70	11	0	11	57	100	2	14	1	196	310	319	629	123	238	24	14	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	467	104	19	0	22	59	135	5	20	8	223	316	405	721	182	259	25	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	CHC	—	364	325	89	16	5	10	32	91	6	8	3	274	350	446	796	172	351	25	9	349	125	+10	+0	+0	+1	+10	2.3
YTD	26	AAA	CHC	—	364	310	102	20	6	12	47	76	6	8	3	329	427	548	975	219	404	21	13	427	185	+35	+0	+0	+1	+10	4.8
ROS	26	AAA	CHC	10%	242	214	53	10	2	7	23	62	3	6	2	247	328	410	738	163	311	26	9	328	110	+3	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.1
ROS	26	MLB	CHC	10%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	227	292	409	701	182	312	25	8	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
FULL	26	AAA	CHC	—	388	347	94	17	5	11	34	97	6	9	3	271	346	444	790	173	346	25	9	347	124	+10	+1	+0	+1	+11	2.4
TOT	26	AAA	CHC	—	606	539	142	26	7	17	55	153	9	14	5	263	341	432	773	169	336	25	9	341	119	+13	+1	+0	+2	+17	3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CHC	38%	546	483	118	22	4	16	52	139	6	12	4	244	325	406	731	161	309	25	10	328	109	+6	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.4
2028	28	MLB	CHC	52%	568	501	123	23	4	17	55	145	7	12	4	246	329	409	738	164	307	26	10	327	108	+5	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.4
2029	29	MLB	CHC	57%	578	511	124	23	4	17	55	147	7	11	4	243	325	403	728	160	306	25	10	324	106	+4	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.2
2030	30	MLB	CHC	60%	579	512	124	23	4	17	56	149	6	10	3	242	324	402	726	160	304	26	10	321	104	+3	+1	-2	+2	+16	2.0
2031	31	MLB	CHC	62%	576	510	121	22	4	16	55	150	6	9	3	237	319	390	709	153	301	26	10	317	101	+1	+1	-3	+2	+16	1.7
2032	32	MLB	CHC	63%	570	505	117	21	4	15	54	150	6	7	2	232	313	378	691	147	298	26	9	311	97	-2	+1	-4	+2	+16	1.3
2033	33	MLB	CHC	63%	495	440	99	17	3	13	47	133	5	5	2	225	307	366	673	141	293	27	9	304	91	-5	+0	-4	+2	+14	0.7
2027	27	MLB	CHC	38%	205	181	45	8	2	6	20	52	2	4	1	249	330	414	744	166	310	25	10	321	104	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2028	28	MLB	CHC	52%	295	262	64	12	2	9	28	75	3	6	2	244	324	408	733	164	309	25	9	320	103	+1	+0	-0	+1	+8	1.1
2029	29	MLB	CHC	57%	330	291	71	13	2	10	32	84	4	6	2	244	327	405	733	162	307	25	10	318	101	+0	+0	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2030	30	MLB	CHC	60%	348	308	74	14	2	10	33	89	4	6	2	240	322	396	718	156	305	26	9	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+10	1.0
2031	31	MLB	CHC	62%	356	315	75	14	2	10	34	93	4	5	2	238	320	390	711	152	303	26	10	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.8
2032	32	MLB	CHC	63%	358	317	74	13	2	10	34	95	4	4	1	233	315	382	697	148	299	27	9	305	92	-3	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.6
2033	33	MLB	CHC	63%	314	278	63	11	2	8	30	85	3	3	1	227	309	367	676	140	294	27	10	298	86	-5	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2230	1974	471	86	14	64	213	579	24	35	11	239	320	394	714	155	303	26	10	312	97	-8	+3	-9	+8	+63	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	137	25	4	19	62	169	7	10	3	238	319	395	714	157	303	26	10	312	97	-2	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	6117	5408	1247	236	35	170	597	1630	65	130	40	231	314	381	696	151	296	27	10	310	95	-33	+10	-15	+22	+173	16.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	133	25	4	18	63	173	7	14	4	231	315	383	697	151	296	27	10	310	95	-3	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	136	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	224	187	51	8	1	5	36	46	0	8	4	273	390	406	797	134	336	21	16	361	135	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	161	128	39	11	0	3	26	31	6	0	0	305	444	461	905	156	379	19	16	407	170	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	20	19	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	250	30	5	275	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	146	+28	+2	—	—	+15	4.6
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	353	299	61	10	0	11	50	86	2	10	1	204	322	348	670	144	245	24	14	307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	65	58	9	1	0	0	7	14	0	4	0	155	246	172	419	17	205	22	11	206	16	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	127	+16	+1	—	—	+15	3.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#2Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	7	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	239	322	441	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
#3Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#4Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	6	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	19	2	258	315	408	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Brett Lawrielast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA	6	2,417	71	41	261	315	419	+9	+1	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	20	11	261	315	419	+2.4	+0.3	2.6	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,233	63	36	239	318	394	+8	+0	7.3	7.3
	/162	664	19	11	239	318	394	+2.4	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
BJ Murray (OGILVIE)	26	45→50	40	45	60	263/341/432	169	336	17	14	25%	9%	119	+3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jonathan India 2023 · MLB	26	51→53	49→50	45→50	51	252/343/402	151	306	16	8	22%	9%	115	+2.8	242/338/384	142	289	15	10	20%	10%	108	+2.3	238/339/373	135	282	14	9	20%	11%	104	+2.0
●Luis Rengifo 2022 · MLB	25	46→55	49→55	49→55	47	233/290/378	144	269	17	14	21%	7%	86	+0.8	263/312/427	164	296	19	14	18%	6%	108	+2.3	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
✕Max Moroff 2019 · MLB	26	42→52	51→50	48→50	53	216/308/376	160	276	19	8	28%	12%	94	+1.3	222/302/383	161	294	20	9	30%	9%	93	+1.3	180/267/305	124	250	16	6	33%	9%	55	-0.5
●Lane Thomas 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	51→55	48→55	50	229/308/395	165	299	17	13	28%	10%	98	+1.6	247/309/421	174	308	20	16	25%	7%	105	+2.1	248/309/423	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	104	+2.0
●Robbie Grossman 2017 · MLB	27	50→58	45→50	44→50	55	243/330/369	125	312	13	11	25%	11%	101	+1.8	252/349/379	127	307	11	6	19%	13%	111	+2.5	245/353/413	168	291	18	17	21%	13%	117	+2.2
●Niko Goodrum 2019 · MLB	27	46→54	50→55	49→55	42	235/288/396	162	305	17	13	29%	7%	90	+1.0	237/307/404	167	327	17	17	31%	9%	100	+1.7	228/304/387	159	323	16	20	32%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Ruben Gotay 2009 · MLB	26	49→51	45	43→50	48	242/303/366	124	296	12	9	22%	8%	88	+0.9	234/329/353	119	294	10	5	22%	12%	96	+1.5	228/323/334	106	286	9	4	21%	12%	86	+0.7
●Felipe Lopez 2005 · MLB	25	48→58	47→55	46→55	49	233/308/376	143	307	13	9	27%	9%	93	+1.3	267/337/414	147	314	15	20	18%	9%	115	+2.7	265/336/397	132	306	13	24	17%	9%	107	+2.5
✕Danny Muno 2015 · AAA	26	47→53	45	46→50	51	231/312/352	121	293	13	12	24%	10%	89	+1.0	225/301/324	99	299	8	11	25%	9%	76	+0.1	224/304/312	89	305	6	11	26%	10%	71	-0.1
✕Taylor Walls 2022 · MLB	26	45→54	46→45	49→60	51	221/305/352	131	294	13	19	28%	10%	86	+0.8	196/288/316	120	259	11	21	27%	11%	70	-0.3	197/285/305	108	256	9	33	25%	11%	64	-0.4
●Tyler Nevin 2023 · MLB	26	44→54	47→50	48→45	47	224/294/352	128	275	15	5	24%	8%	82	+0.5	244/315/401	157	292	19	5	22%	8%	103	+1.9	247/321/413	166	290	20	3	22%	8%	106	+1.5
✕J.R. Towles 2010 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	45→50	47	222/301/361	139	260	15	9	21%	7%	88	+0.9	211/291/332	121	248	11	8	19%	7%	76	+0.0	199/280/301	102	229	8	5	16%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2010 · MLB	26	42→46	51→55	48→40	46	222/280/383	161	266	19	5	25%	7%	84	+0.6	240/302/397	157	301	16	4	24%	8%	96	+1.5	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2004 · MLB	26	45→55	46→40	48→55	50	225/292/360	135	262	14	11	20%	8%	82	+0.5	240/297/344	104	283	9	20	18%	6%	80	+0.4	283/330/368	85	332	6	6	16%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	52→50	43→40	47	223/324/388	165	300	20	3	31%	9%	105	+2.1	204/288/345	141	275	15	5	30%	8%	78	+0.2	160/245/277	117	216	10	0	30%	7%	40	-1.0
✕Francisco Mejía 2022 · MLB	26	49→59	50→55	48→40	46	247/309/412	165	283	17	4	19%	6%	103	+1.9	243/285/398	155	290	16	3	22%	5%	89	+1.0	244/283/395	151	292	17	1	23%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Drew Sutton 2009 · AA	26	51→56	48→50	50	48	253/314/398	145	301	15	16	21%	8%	102	+1.8	242/312/374	132	309	12	9	24%	8%	95	+1.4	232/309/355	123	304	9	5	25%	9%	86	+0.4
●Neil Walker 2011 · MLB	25	49→57	49→55	48→45	46	248/295/408	160	286	16	9	20%	6%	96	+1.5	268/331/418	150	312	14	8	18%	8%	114	+2.7	273/340/454	181	300	23	3	17%	8%	122	+2.9
●Mickey Gasper 2023 · AA	27	49→53	48→50	48→45	51	240/334/393	153	308	15	8	26%	10%	109	+2.4	237/322/375	138	279	15	10	20%	9%	100	+1.7	246/332/388	142	283	15	8	18%	10%	104	+1.1