BJ Murray — OGILVIE

BJ Murray3B Iowa Cubs

Age 26 S/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION516 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP295

ISO137

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

100.069

POWER40

Avg EV

1686.5

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	224	187	51	8	1	5	36	46	0	8	4	273	390	406	797	134	336	21	16	361	131	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	161	128	39	11	0	3	26	31	6	0	0	305	444	461	905	156	379	19	16	407	162	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	20	19	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	250	30	5	275	72	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	141	+26	+2	—	—	+12	4.0
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	353	299	61	10	0	11	50	86	2	10	1	204	322	348	670	144	245	24	14	307	94	-3	+2	—	—	+8	0.7
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	65	58	9	1	0	0	7	14	0	4	0	155	246	172	419	17	205	22	11	206	26	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	124	+15	+1	—	—	+12	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	278	33	5	244	51	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	224	197	44	6	1	4	26	62	0	8	4	223	314	325	639	102	304	28	12	291	83	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	161	138	35	9	0	3	16	45	6	0	0	254	356	384	740	130	353	28	10	330	109	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	480	105	28	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	219	306	369	674	150	291	29	10	292	84	-10	+2	—	—	+12	0.3
2024	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	353	313	54	9	0	7	36	103	2	10	1	173	262	268	530	96	227	29	10	242	50	-21	+2	—	—	+8	-1.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	65	60	8	1	0	0	5	18	0	4	0	133	200	150	350	17	182	28	8	162	-4	-8	+1	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	468	100	17	0	18	58	126	5	20	8	214	307	365	672	152	243	23	11	295	86	-9	+1	—	—	+12	0.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	270	33	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	405	353	85	17	1	7	44	113	6	8	4	241	335	354	689	113	332	28	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	405	334	94	19	1	9	63	83	6	8	4	281	404	425	830	144	348	20	16	375	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	480	105	28	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	219	306	369	674	150	296	29	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	373	62	10	0	7	41	121	2	14	1	166	252	249	502	83	223	29	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	418	357	70	11	0	11	57	100	2	14	1	196	310	319	629	123	238	24	14	291	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	468	100	17	0	18	58	126	5	20	8	214	307	365	672	152	248	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	278	33	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	405	352	85	17	1	7	44	113	6	8	4	241	335	355	690	114	324	28	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	477	105	28	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	220	306	371	677	151	291	29	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	372	62	10	0	7	41	121	2	14	1	167	252	250	502	83	220	29	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	469	100	17	0	18	58	126	5	20	8	213	307	365	672	151	243	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	477	105	28	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	220	306	371	677	151	291	29	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	372	62	10	0	7	41	121	2	14	1	167	252	250	502	83	220	29	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	469	100	17	0	18	58	126	5	20	8	213	307	365	672	151	243	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	CHC	—	516	458	109	19	8	11	47	132	7	9	4	238	318	386	705	148	307	26	9	311	97	-2	+0	+0	+2	+11	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	CHC	—	516	436	128	24	9	16	69	110	7	9	4	294	398	500	898	206	357	21	13	394	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	CHC	30%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	22	11	306	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						295	33	0	300	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CHC	—	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							33	0	300	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	CHC	—	525	466	110	19	8	11	48	134	7	9	4	236	317	382	699	146	305	26	9	311	97	-2	+0	+0	+2	+11	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	519	458	106	19	5	13	50	131	6	9	3	231	315	380	695	148	291	25	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	540	477	109	20	5	13	52	136	6	9	3	229	312	373	685	145	290	25	10	308	95	-3	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	549	485	111	20	5	13	53	139	6	9	3	229	312	371	684	142	289	25	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2030	30	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	551	487	111	20	5	13	53	140	6	8	3	228	311	370	681	142	288	25	10	305	92	-5	+0	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2031	31	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	548	485	110	20	5	13	52	141	6	7	3	227	309	369	678	142	285	26	9	300	89	-7	+0	-3	+2	+12	0.4
2032	32	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	354	313	69	12	3	8	34	93	4	4	1	220	305	355	659	134	282	26	10	295	86	-6	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	249	220	51	9	3	6	24	63	3	5	2	232	316	382	698	150	294	25	10	301	95	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	311	275	63	12	3	7	30	78	3	5	2	229	312	371	683	142	293	25	10	301	95	-2	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	331	292	67	12	3	8	32	84	4	5	2	229	314	373	687	144	292	25	10	300	94	-2	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2030	30	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	342	302	69	13	3	8	33	87	4	5	2	228	313	371	684	142	291	25	10	298	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2031	31	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	345	305	68	12	3	8	33	89	4	4	2	223	307	361	668	138	288	26	10	293	89	-4	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2032	32	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	225	200	44	8	2	5	21	59	2	2	1	220	300	355	655	135	284	26	9	288	86	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1806	1597	362	66	17	42	173	461	20	26	11	227	310	368	678	142	290	26	10	297	86	-17	+1	-7	+6	+39	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	130	24	6	15	62	166	7	9	4	226	309	367	676	141	289	26	10	297	86	-6	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5033	4445	980	185	34	118	495	1318	53	104	32	220	306	357	663	137	284	26	10	295	86	-29	+3	-10	+11	+67	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	126	24	4	15	64	170	7	13	4	220	305	354	659	134	282	26	10	295	86	-6	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,877	45	28	227	307	369	+7	+0	3.9	3.9
/162	664	16	10	+2.4	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
BJ Murray (OGILVIE)	26	45→50	40	45	60	226/309/369	143	291	6	5	26%	9%	94	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danny Muno 2015 · AAA	26	47→51	44→45	46→50	52	229/314/346	117	287	12	12	23%	10%	90	+0.6	223/300/320	97	296	8	11	25%	9%	78	-0.3	220/300/306	86	302	6	11	27%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2004 · MLB	26	45→55	46→40	48→55	50	225/292/360	135	262	14	11	20%	8%	84	+0.2	239/297/343	104	282	9	20	18%	6%	82	-0.0	268/330/351	83	306	3	26	13%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Max Moroff 2019 · MLB	26	41→51	48→45	48→50	52	206/296/347	141	271	16	8	29%	11%	84	+0.1	217/299/365	148	292	17	9	30%	10%	88	+0.5	174/266/287	113	244	14	6	33%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Taylor Walls 2022 · MLB	26	45→54	44→45	49→60	51	217/302/342	124	292	11	19	28%	11%	84	+0.1	195/289/314	119	258	11	21	27%	11%	74	-0.6	197/285/302	105	257	9	33	25%	11%	67	-0.6
✕Ruben Gotay 2009 · MLB	26	49→50	44→45	43→50	48	241/303/362	121	296	11	9	22%	8%	88	+0.5	233/326/351	118	292	10	5	22%	12%	95	+1.0	225/319/329	104	281	9	4	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Nick Punto 2004 · MLB	26	47→57	44→40	48→55	48	231/293/343	111	282	12	12	22%	8%	80	-0.1	245/312/343	98	295	8	18	19%	9%	87	+0.4	256/323/341	84	306	4	20	16%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Kevin Melillo 2008 · AAA	26	47→52	46→50	47→50	48	232/298/368	135	291	12	11	24%	8%	88	+0.4	218/280/344	126	269	11	7	22%	8%	76	-0.4	220/284/338	118	256	10	9	18%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Ehire Adrianza 2017 · MLB	27	48→50	46→50	43→50	47	239/298/369	130	276	14	10	19%	6%	88	+0.5	246/306/371	125	293	11	11	19%	7%	92	+0.7	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	98	+0.4
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2010 · AAA	26	45	44→40	42→45	48	222/296/337	115	282	12	6	25%	8%	81	-0.1	231/301/322	91	287	8	6	21%	8%	79	-0.2	218/301/300	82	286	7	5	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Colin Walsh 2016 · AAA	26	51→53	42→45	48→50	51	240/323/346	106	327	9	11	27%	10%	93	+0.8	220/321/338	118	315	10	7	30%	13%	91	+0.6	199/314/315	116	285	10	3	30%	14%	82	+0.0
✕Dan Nelson 2011 · AAA	27	47→49	44→45	45→50	48	231/291/349	118	279	11	10	21%	8%	81	-0.1	240/295/342	102	291	9	7	20%	7%	81	-0.1	255/307/340	85	304	6	2	17%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Nick Franklin 2016 · MLB	25	43→49	47→50	48→50	47	217/283/351	134	274	15	11	26%	8%	79	-0.2	223/283/352	129	275	13	15	23%	7%	79	-0.2	204/269/318	114	257	10	14	24%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Josh Johnson 2012 · AA	26	50→49	42→45	47→50	51	238/306/346	109	290	8	14	20%	8%	86	+0.3	241/307/334	93	287	7	14	17%	9%	84	+0.1	242/312/317	75	284	5	13	15%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2022 · MLB	26	48→49	45	50→55	53	233/320/360	127	297	12	15	24%	11%	95	+1.0	216/298/328	112	294	11	17	28%	10%	80	-0.2	207/292/304	97	287	10	19	29%	10%	70	-0.6
✕Cooper Hummel 2021 · AA	26	42→49	47→50	42→55	48	210/303/342	133	289	15	6	31%	10%	86	+0.3	227/320/372	145	302	13	12	27%	11%	98	+1.2	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Andy Parrino 2012 · MLB	26	48→52	45	48→45	47	232/305/363	131	307	12	7	27%	8%	90	+0.6	216/284/312	96	297	7	7	28%	8%	70	-0.8	211/267/288	77	303	6	4	31%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Orlando Arcia 2021 · MLB	26	48→57	46→50	46→55	48	238/294/364	126	278	14	9	20%	7%	86	+0.3	241/301/396	155	271	19	6	19%	8%	96	+1.0	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	47→49	45	49→45	52	229/303/355	126	278	11	9	22%	9%	87	+0.4	225/291/354	129	281	15	7	24%	8%	82	+0.0	213/278/342	129	264	16	5	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Zelous Wheeler 2013 · AAA	26	48→53	46→45	48→45	48	239/308/370	131	279	13	7	19%	7%	93	+0.8	239/296/359	120	288	12	6	21%	6%	86	+0.3	241/297/353	112	291	11	3	20%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Omar Mendoza 2009 · AAA	26	49→54	43→45	43→45	47	242/290/349	107	284	10	10	19%	6%	80	-0.1	233/294/332	99	275	8	8	17%	8%	78	-0.3	237/298/331	94	283	10	8	19%	8%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps