Diego Martinez

C DSL Miami

Age 19 L/R ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#763ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Miami	101	.295/.450/.577	5	8	80	—	.179/.310/.310
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIA	211	.215/.298/.325	3	7	78	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	38	.211/.296/.319	1	1	82	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIA	99	.214/.299/.327	2	4	85	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO96

wOBA92

wRC+89

Speed89

Chase%82

BB%73

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevyn Castillo (age 19) · Termarr Johnson (age 19) · Jett Williams (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .296 / .322

PA54

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	101	78	23	5	1	5	19	22	3	8	1	295	450	577	1.027	282	346	22	19	443	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	101	84	15	3	1	2	13	27	3	8	1	179	310	310	620	131	224	27	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	101	84	15	3	1	2	13	27	3	8	1	179	310	310	620	131	232	27	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	101	78	23	5	1	5	19	22	3	8	1	295	450	577	1.027	282	346	22	19	443	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	101	84	15	3	1	2	13	27	3	8	1	179	310	310	620	131	224	27	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	101	84	15	3	1	2	13	27	3	8	1	179	310	310	620	131	224	27	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	211	187	40	7	2	3	19	57	3	7	1	215	298	325	623	110	289	27	9	284	78	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	110	97	22	4	1	2	10	30	2	4	1	219	303	334	637	116	291	27	9	289	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	205	181	40	7	2	4	19	54	3	7	1	222	306	342	648	121	292	26	9	294	85	-4	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	316	279	63	12	3	6	29	83	5	11	2	224	308	350	657	125	293	26	9	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	399	353	80	15	3	8	37	104	6	14	3	227	310	356	665	129	294	26	9	300	89	-5	+2	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	445	395	90	17	3	10	41	115	6	16	3	229	311	361	672	132	294	26	9	303	91	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	445	395	90	17	3	10	41	114	6	16	3	229	311	362	674	133	294	26	9	303	91	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	445	395	90	17	3	10	41	114	6	16	3	229	311	363	674	134	294	26	9	303	92	-4	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	445	395	90	17	3	10	41	115	6	16	3	228	310	360	670	132	293	26	9	302	91	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	445	395	88	16	3	9	41	116	6	15	3	226	308	355	663	129	292	26	9	299	89	-6	+2	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	445	395	88	16	3	9	41	117	6	15	3	223	305	349	654	126	291	26	9	296	86	-7	+2	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	445	396	87	16	3	9	40	119	6	15	3	220	302	341	642	121	289	27	9	291	83	-9	+2	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	426	380	82	15	3	8	38	115	5	14	3	216	297	331	627	115	286	27	9	285	79	-11	+2	-3	+8	+9	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	59%	407	363	77	14	3	7	36	112	5	13	4	210	290	318	609	108	281	28	9	277	74	-13	+1	-4	+7	+9	0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	357	319	64	11	2	5	31	100	4	11	4	204	283	303	586	99	276	28	9	268	68	-14	+1	-4	+6	+8	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	38	34	7	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	211	296	319	616	108	281	26	8	281	82	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	99	89	19	3	1	2	9	26	1	4	1	214	299	327	626	113	282	26	9	285	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	171	150	33	6	1	3	16	45	3	6	1	217	301	334	635	117	283	26	9	288	87	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	226	200	44	8	2	4	21	59	3	8	2	219	303	340	643	121	284	26	9	291	89	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	252	223	50	9	2	5	23	65	4	9	2	221	304	345	649	124	285	26	9	294	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	251	222	50	9	2	5	23	65	4	9	2	221	305	346	651	125	285	26	9	294	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	251	222	50	9	2	5	23	65	4	9	2	221	304	347	651	125	284	26	9	294	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	247	219	48	8	2	5	23	64	3	9	2	220	303	344	647	124	284	26	9	293	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	244	217	47	8	2	5	22	64	3	8	2	218	301	339	641	121	283	26	9	290	89	-3	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	238	211	46	8	2	5	22	63	3	8	2	216	299	333	632	118	281	26	9	287	86	-4	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	234	208	45	8	2	4	21	62	3	8	2	213	295	326	621	113	279	26	9	282	83	-5	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	241	214	45	8	2	4	22	65	3	8	2	209	290	316	607	108	276	27	9	277	79	-6	+1	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	59%	241	215	43	7	1	4	21	66	3	7	2	204	284	304	589	101	272	27	9	269	74	-8	+1	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	218	194	38	6	1	3	19	61	3	7	2	197	277	290	568	93	268	28	9	261	68	-8	+1	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2951	2618	565	98	22	55	268	780	41	101	24	216	299	333	632	117	284	26	9	285	85	-53	+11	-8	+53	+64	6.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	125	22	5	12	59	172	9	22	5	217	300	334	634	118	285	26	9	285	85	-12	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5490	4870	1076	199	39	110	504	1450	76	193	40	221	304	346	649	125	289	26	9	294	85	-96	+21	-15	+96	+117	12.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	128	24	5	13	60	172	9	23	5	222	305	348	654	127	291	26	9	294	85	-12	+3	-2	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Miami · 101 PAwOBA .436 → .286 (−151)K% 21.8% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.78%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.81%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.17%
HBP% /PA	2.97%	—	×0.700	—	—	2.08%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.042	—	15.18%
Doubles /BIP	8.93%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.042	—	5.58%
Triples /BIP	1.79%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.042	—	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	8.93%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	4.20%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .436 → .286; ISO .282 → .154; BABIP .346 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.5	3,005	59	103	223	302	347	+54	+36	9.2	7.8
/162	664	13	23	+11.9	+8.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	213/296/322	109	289	1	2	27%	9%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→47	42→50	53→50	42	215/279/322	107	328	10	12	35%	8%	71	-0.8	225/292/370	145	321	15	12	32%	8%	86	+0.3	229/294/381	151	313	16	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2007 · A	19	48→42	44→55	54→45	46	234/300/363	129	287	10	6	22%	7%	88	+0.4	229/281/377	148	286	15	5	25%	6%	84	+0.2	213/267/352	139	278	15	3	28%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	50	38→30	54→70	43	233/296/306	73	313	5	25	26%	6%	74	-0.6	213/291/269	56	284	2	28	24%	7%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3

Diego Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps