Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
—
ROKMLE
MIA
—
101
85
19
4
1
4
12
32
3
8
1
224
340
435
775
212
300
32
12
321
103
+0
+1
+0
-2
+2
0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD
—
ROKRAW
MIA
—
101
78
23
5
1
5
19
22
3
8
1
295
450
577
1.027
282
346
22
19
443
103
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
—
ROKMLE
MIA
0%
14
13
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0
154
214
154
368
292
29
7
295
86
-0
+0
+0
-0
+0
0.0
TOT
—
ROKMLE
MIA
—
115
98
21
4
1
4
13
36
3
9
1
214
325
398
723
184
288
31
11
318
101
+0
+1
+0
-2
+2
0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
243
214
46
9
2
6
23
72
4
8
1
215
303
360
663
145
289
30
9
295
86
-4
+1
+0
-4
+5
-0.2
2028
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
361
319
69
13
3
9
34
106
5
13
2
216
302
361
662
144
289
29
9
298
88
-5
+2
+0
-6
+8
-0.2
2029
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
439
388
84
16
3
11
42
127
6
16
2
216
303
358
661
142
289
29
10
299
89
-6
+2
+0
-8
+10
-0.2
2030
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
493
436
95
18
3
13
47
142
7
18
3
218
304
362
666
144
288
29
10
300
89
-6
+2
+0
-9
+11
-0.2
2031
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
530
467
102
19
4
14
50
152
8
19
3
218
305
366
671
148
288
29
9
300
89
-7
+3
+0
-9
+11
-0.2
2032
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
555
489
107
20
4
15
53
159
8
20
3
219
305
368
674
149
288
29
10
301
90
-7
+3
+0
-10
+12
-0.2
2033
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
574
506
111
21
4
15
55
165
8
21
3
219
306
366
671
146
287
29
10
301
90
-7
+3
+0
-10
+12
-0.2
2034
25
MLBMLE
MIA
0%
588
518
113
21
4
16
56
169
9
21
3
218
305
367
672
149
287
29
10
301
90
-7
+3
+0
-10
+13
-0.2
2027
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
281
—
—
277
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2028
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
281
—
—
280
88
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2029
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
280
—
—
281
89
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2030
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
280
—
—
282
89
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2031
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
280
—
—
282
89
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2032
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
280
—
—
282
90
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2033
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
279
—
—
282
90
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2034
25
MLBCTX
MIA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
279
—
—
283
90
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
▸ Career Totals
Career
—
MLE
—
3797
3350
729
137
27
99
361
1096
55
137
20
218
304
363
667
146
290
29
10
300
89
-50
+19
+0
-68
+82
-1.6
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
573
125
23
5
17
62
188
9
23
3
218
304
365
669
147
291
29
10
300
89
-8
+3
+0
-12
+14
-0.3
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
6.1
4,024
103
144
218
301
362
-45
+0
3.5
3.5
/162
664
17
24
-7.4
+0.0
0.6
pk7: 4
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection