Alejandro Rondon
P
DSL Pirates Gold
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%22.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 7 | 7 | 22 | 87 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 10.2% | 11.5% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 2.82 | 3.70 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 7 | 7 | 22 | 87 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 2.82 | 3.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | — | 2 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | — | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 7 | 7 | 22 | 87 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 10.2% | 11.5% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 2.82 | 3.70 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 63 | 200 | 779 | 79 | 90 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 10.2% | 11.5% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 2.82 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Rondon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.24 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 81 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 81 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 81 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 81 |
| Chris Clark R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 80 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2028 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 80 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 79 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.08 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% | .371 | 4.23 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 278 | -0.85 | 4.13 | 397 | 79 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .419 | 5.75 | 14.8% | -6.5% | 109 | +1.84 | 3.91 | 165 | 79 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 78 |
| Yorman Gómez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.47 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 346 | +0.46 | 3.19 | 451 | 78 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 78 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 77 |
| Daniel Espino R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.31 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .194 | 3.49 | 32.5% | 21.4% | 110 | -0.82 | 3.35 | 145 | 77 |
| Alejandro Hidalgo R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.23 | 24.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .326 | 5.90 | 18.3% | 1.5% | 143 | +1.67 | 4.23 | 251 | 77 |
| Adrian Heredia R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.78 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 1.6% | .300 | 5.09 | 15.7% | 2.9% | 81 | +1.31 | 3.39 | 125 | 77 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 77 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 77 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 76 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 76 |