Richard Fernandez

Richard Fernandez P ACL Athletics

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.52

FIP5.52

K%19.3%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%2.8%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	7	6	17	81	18	6	2	86%	2.4	15.1%	9.3%	5.9%	3.8%	7.41	5.10	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	7	6	17	81	18	6	2	86%	2.4	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	2.5%	7.41	3.57	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	47	197	47	24	0	45%	4.3	16.2%	15.2%	1.0%	0.0%	2.09	3.66	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	47	197	47	24	0	45%	4.3	16.2%	15.2%	1.0%	0.0%	2.09	3.66	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	5	47	197	47	24	0	45%	4.3	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	0.0%	2.09	2.64	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	16.9%	18.7%	-1.9%	1.7%	5.79	4.99	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	16.9%	18.7%	-1.9%	1.7%	5.79	4.99	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	24.4%	15.3%	9.1%	1.1%	5.79	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	27	0	36	171	42	29	4	0%	1.3	17.1%	20.6%	-3.5%	3.2%	6.56	5.99	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	27	0	36	171	42	29	4	0%	1.3	17.1%	20.6%	-3.5%	3.2%	6.56	5.99	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	OAK	14	0	20	93	30	14	2	0%	1.4	32.3%	15.1%	17.2%	2.2%	6.75	3.46	—
2026	23	A RAW	OAK	13	0	16	78	12	15	2	0%	1.2	15.4%	19.2%	-3.8%	2.6%	6.32	5.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	34	0	36	151	31	22	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.12	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	13	9	2	0%	1.0	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	4.74	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	118	26	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.23	4.74	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		75	13	138	628	104	106	12	17%	1.8	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.88	4.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	19	200	908	151	153	17	17%	1.8	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.88	4.84	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Richard Fernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	19.3%	16.5%	2.9%	—	5.12	20.5%	6.2%	36	-0.40	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	90
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	89
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	85
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	85
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	85
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	85
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	85
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	280	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	84
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	84
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	20.0%	15.1%	1.11	5.34
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91