Cesar Espinal
P
ACL Brewers
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%22.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 11 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 11.8% | 19.0% | -7.2% | 2.3% | 5.49 | 5.76 | — |
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 11 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.4% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 5.49 | 4.27 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 9 | 8 | 34 | 136 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 89% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 3.18 | 4.57 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 9 | 8 | 34 | 136 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 89% | 3.8 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 45% | 1.8 | 16.8% | 25.5% | -8.7% | 1.5% | 3.72 | 5.75 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 45% | 1.8 | 24.7% | 20.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 3.72 | 4.34 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 14 | 0 | 15 | 79 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.3% | 15.8% | -5.5% | 3.8% | 7.20 | 6.30 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 14 | 0 | 15 | 79 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.2% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 7.20 | 5.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 18.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.43 | 5.60 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 31 | 126 | 35 | 17 | 3 | — | — | 28.1% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 13 | 108 | 480 | 75 | 82 | 13 | 22% | 1.8 | 15.6% | 17.2% | -1.6% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 5.48 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 24 | 200 | 886 | 138 | 152 | 25 | 22% | 1.8 | 15.6% | 17.2% | -1.6% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cesar Espinal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.5% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 13.5% | 20 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 85 |
| Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 85 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 85 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 84 |
| Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 84 |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 84 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 84 |
| Michael Gomez R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 84 |
| Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 84 |
| Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.32 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 138 | 83 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 83 |
| Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 83 |
| Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.58 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 3.7% | .260 | 3.26 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 25 | -1.32 | 3.26 | 126 | 83 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.56 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .250 | 5.44 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 117 | +1.88 | 3.56 | 133 | 83 |
| Mason Fox R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 82 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 82 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 82 |
| Victor Castaneda R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.91 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .348 | 4.84 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 230 | +0.93 | 2.90 | 377 | 82 |
| Sean Boyle R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 82 |
| Heath Holder R 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 81 |