Alejandro Méndez
P
Aberdeen IronBirds
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 254 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%22.2%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 9.5% | 28.6% | -19.0% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 5.91 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 9.5% | 28.6% | -19.0% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 6.33 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 17 | 1 | 24 | 121 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 6% | 1.4 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 0.1% | 3.9% | 7.12 | 5.81 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles Black | 17 | 1 | 24 | 121 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 6% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 7.12 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 28 | 0 | 42 | 222 | 45 | 46 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.0% | 24.5% | -9.5% | 1.4% | 8.79 | 5.70 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 28 | 0 | 42 | 222 | 45 | 46 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 20.7% | -0.5% | 1.4% | 8.79 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 25 | 0 | 32 | 151 | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 28.1% | -7.5% | 1.7% | 4.73 | 5.83 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 25 | 0 | 32 | 151 | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.8% | 23.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 4.73 | 4.65 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 13 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.7% | 11.1% | -2.4% | 1.7% | 4.24 | 4.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 13 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.8% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 4.24 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 22 | 0 | 21 | 107 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 29.0% | -8.9% | 0.8% | 6.86 | 5.51 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 22 | 0 | 21 | 107 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 25.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 6.86 | 4.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.36 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 116 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 109 | 1 | 141 | 707 | 113 | 161 | 13 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.0% | 22.7% | -6.8% | 1.8% | 6.65 | 5.61 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 1 | 200 | 1005 | 161 | 229 | 18 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.0% | 22.7% | -6.8% | 1.8% | 6.65 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Méndez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 22.2% | 13.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 20 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 86 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 86 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 84 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 84 |
| Jay Driver R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 83 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 83 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 83 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 83 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 82 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 134 | 82 |
| Trey Benton R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.68 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .366 | 2.92 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 31 | -1.76 | 2.92 | 139 | 82 |
| Logan Boyer R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 82 |
| Derek Eitel R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 81 |
| Justin Evans R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 1.5% | .323 | 4.80 | 16.4% | -7.9% | 14 | +1.07 | 3.73 | 105 | 81 |
| Kyle Grana R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.67 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 81 |
| LJ McDonough R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 2.1% | .340 | 5.41 | 24.3% | 3.8% | 29 | +1.09 | 4.32 | 114 | 81 |