Alejandro Méndez

Alejandro Méndez P Aberdeen IronBirds

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 254 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%20.0%

BB%21.2%

K-BB%-1.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	4	0	4	21	2	6	0	0%	1.1	9.5%	28.6%	-19.0%	0.0%	6.23	5.91	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	4	0	4	21	2	6	0	0%	1.1	9.5%	28.6%	-19.0%	0.0%	6.23	6.33	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	17	1	24	121	26	14	3	6%	1.4	14.6%	14.5%	0.1%	3.7%	7.12	5.70	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Black	17	1	24	121	26	14	3	6%	1.4	21.5%	11.6%	9.9%	2.5%	7.12	4.31	—
2022	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	28	0	42	222	45	46	3	0%	1.5	15.0%	24.5%	-9.5%	1.6%	8.79	5.79	—
2022	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	28	0	42	222	45	46	3	0%	1.5	20.3%	20.7%	-0.5%	1.4%	8.79	5.17	—
2023	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	0	32	151	42	36	2	0%	1.3	20.6%	28.1%	-7.5%	1.7%	4.73	5.85	—
2023	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	0	32	151	42	36	2	0%	1.3	20.6%	28.1%	-7.5%	1.7%	4.73	5.85	—
2023	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	0	32	151	42	36	2	0%	1.3	27.8%	23.8%	4.0%	1.3%	4.73	4.65	—
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	13	0	17	85	10	8	1	0%	1.3	8.7%	11.1%	-2.4%	1.6%	4.24	4.65	—
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	13	0	17	85	10	8	1	0%	1.3	8.7%	11.1%	-2.4%	1.6%	4.24	4.65	—
2024	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	13	0	17	85	10	8	1	0%	1.3	11.8%	9.4%	2.4%	1.2%	4.24	4.10	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	22	0	21	107	28	27	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	29.0%	-8.9%	1.0%	6.86	5.60	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	22	0	21	107	28	27	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	29.0%	-8.9%	1.0%	6.86	5.60	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	22	0	21	107	28	27	1	0%	1.0	26.2%	25.2%	0.9%	0.9%	6.86	4.91	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	BAL	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	21.2%	-1.3%	2.8%	6.02	6.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	17	17	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	2.8%	5.83	5.81	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	8	8	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	2.8%	5.83	5.81	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	7	7	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	2.8%	5.83	5.43	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	163	23	0%	1.1	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	2.8%	5.83	5.43	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		109	1	141	707	113	161	13	1%	1.3	16.0%	22.7%	-6.8%	1.8%	6.65	5.62	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	1	200	1005	161	229	18	1%	1.3	16.0%	22.7%	-6.8%	1.8%	6.65	5.62	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alejandro Méndez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	20.0%	21.2%	2.8%	—	5.81	20.6%	0.6%	20	-0.21	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	83
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	82
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	82
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	81
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	81
Yennier Cano R 2019 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	17.6%	20.2%	3.2%	.219	3.89	23.6%	12.1%	128	-2.05	2.43	377	79
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	79
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	79
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	79
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	78
Stevie Branche R 2022 · 6.19 FIP	25	SU	6.19	21.2%	20.6%	4.1%	.308	4.72	22.8%	4.3%	69	-1.47	3.23	162	78
Chris Mauloni R 2023 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	19.0%	23.7%	2.6%	.247	5.42	16.2%	7.1%	37	-0.52	4.82	129	78
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	78
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	78
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	78
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	77
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	77