Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 7 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 3.86 | 5.70 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 7 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 10 | 10 | 47 | 211 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 12.2% | 11.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 3.99 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 10 | 10 | 47 | 211 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 3.99 | 2.70 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 60 | 259 | 54 | 22 | 3 | 68% | 3.1 | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.47 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 60 | 259 | 54 | 22 | 3 | 68% | 3.1 | 20.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 1.2% | 3.47 | 3.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 14 | 10 | 55 | 265 | 47 | 32 | 16 | 71% | 3.9 | 13.5% | 14.0% | -0.5% | 7.7% | 7.53 | 7.97 | -2.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 36 | 151 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.47 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 91 | 416 | 79 | 47 | 20 | — | — | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.32 | 6.59 | -1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 37 | 157 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 76 | 22 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 33 | 174 | 789 | 108 | 96 | 27 | 66% | 3.5 | 13.7% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 38 | 200 | 909 | 125 | 111 | 32 | 66% | 3.5 | 13.7% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Jimenez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.30 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 37 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 88 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 86 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 86 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 86 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 86 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 86 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 85 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 85 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 84 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 84 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 83 |
| Nick Fraze R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 82 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 82 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 82 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 82 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 82 |
| TJ Nichols R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.96 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .310 | 5.17 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 174 | +1.21 | 3.96 | 245 | 81 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2028 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 81 |
| Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 1.09 | 4.41 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |