Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 11 | 7 | 40 | 165 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 64% | 3.6 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.57 | 3.82 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 11 | 7 | 40 | 165 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 64% | 3.6 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 0.6% | 1.57 | 2.85 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 30 | 13 | 98 | 415 | 124 | 46 | 9 | 43% | 3.3 | 22.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 4.45 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 30 | 13 | 98 | 415 | 124 | 46 | 9 | 43% | 3.3 | 29.9% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 3.96 | 3.17 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 24 | 24 | 110 | 485 | 105 | 49 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 4.34 | 3.81 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 24 | 24 | 110 | 485 | 105 | 49 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 1.4% | 4.34 | 3.35 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 224 | 61 | 17 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 2.6% | 3.23 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 224 | 61 | 17 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 7.6% | 19.6% | 1.8% | 3.23 | 2.76 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 41 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 51 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 3.79 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 41 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 51 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 0.4% | 3.79 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 55 | 240 | 60 | 25 | 7 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 4.94 | 5.74 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 55 | 240 | 60 | 25 | 7 | 3% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.94 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 2 | 21 | 95 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 10% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 13.3% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 5.57 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 2 | 21 | 95 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 10% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 5.57 | 4.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.64 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 207 | 48 | 436 | 1877 | 363 | 216 | 43 | 23% | 2.1 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.92 | 4.18 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 22 | 200 | 861 | 166 | 99 | 20 | 23% | 2.1 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.92 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Schulfer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.2% | — | 5.02 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 78 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 78 |
| Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 77 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 75 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.66 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | .245 | 4.56 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 49 | -0.10 | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 73 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 72 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 72 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 72 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 72 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 71 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 71 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 71 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 71 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.76 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.91 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 536 | 71 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 70 |