Luis Cohen — OGILVIE

Luis Cohen P Greenville Drive

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 172 lbs A+ peak 0.9 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.64

FIP5.64

K%11.8%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%-0.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	13	12	47	191	42	14	0	92%	3.6	15.0%	9.2%	5.8%	0.0%	2.89	3.00	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	13	12	47	191	42	14	0	92%	3.6	22.0%	7.3%	14.7%	0.0%	2.89	2.20	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	7	39	154	39	14	2	70%	3.9	17.2%	11.4%	5.9%	1.9%	3.46	4.11	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	7	39	154	39	14	2	70%	3.9	17.2%	11.4%	5.9%	1.9%	3.46	4.11	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	10	7	39	154	39	14	2	70%	3.9	25.3%	9.1%	16.2%	1.3%	3.46	2.84	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	23	22	98	399	77	34	7	96%	4.3	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	2.4%	3.40	4.51	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	23	22	98	399	77	34	7	96%	4.3	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	2.4%	3.40	4.51	—
2024	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	23	22	98	399	77	34	7	96%	4.3	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	1.8%	3.40	3.50	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	91	390	68	33	9	61%	4.0	13.0%	9.9%	3.1%	2.9%	4.25	4.86	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	91	390	68	33	9	61%	4.0	13.0%	9.9%	3.1%	2.9%	4.25	4.86	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	14	91	390	68	33	9	61%	4.0	17.4%	8.5%	9.0%	2.3%	4.25	3.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	5	58	271	55	25	11	21%	2.4	15.3%	10.7%	4.6%	5.1%	7.29	5.98	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	5	58	271	55	25	11	21%	2.4	15.3%	10.7%	4.6%	5.1%	7.29	5.98	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	BOS	11	1	26	110	28	11	3	9%	2.4	25.5%	10.0%	15.5%	2.7%	3.08	3.71	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	BOS	13	4	32	161	27	14	8	31%	2.4	16.8%	8.7%	8.1%	5.0%	10.80	5.51	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	BOS	5	0	5	23	3	3	1	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.9%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.64	5.64	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	63	294	58	28	12	—	—	19.6%	9.4%	10.2%	4.0%	7.15	5.95	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	14	14	90	382	55	43	11	100%	6.5	14.3%	11.3%	3.0%	3.0%	5.40	5.33	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	15	15	92	386	61	42	11	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	2.9%	5.21	5.14	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	15	15	92	386	64	41	11	100%	6.1	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.10	5.05	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	14	14	90	380	64	41	11	100%	6.4	16.8%	10.7%	6.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	14	14	87	369	61	40	11	100%	6.2	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	3.1%	5.12	5.15	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	84	353	58	39	11	100%	6.4	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.3%	5.22	5.28	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	78	331	60	35	11	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.6%	7.5%	3.5%	5.20	5.19	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	6	6	39	165	24	19	5	100%	6.5	14.3%	11.3%	3.0%	3.0%	5.40	5.33	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	61	258	41	28	8	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	2.9%	5.21	5.14	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	73	308	51	33	9	100%	6.1	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.10	5.05	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	77	325	55	35	10	100%	6.4	16.8%	10.7%	6.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	78	329	55	36	10	100%	6.5	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	3.1%	5.12	5.15	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	76	321	53	35	10	100%	6.3	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.3%	5.22	5.28	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	72	304	55	32	10	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.6%	7.5%	3.5%	5.20	5.19	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		76	76	475	2006	332	217	62	100%	6.3	16.5%	10.8%	5.7%	3.1%	5.17	4.78	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	140	91	26	100%	6.3	16.5%	10.8%	5.7%	3.1%	5.17	4.78	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		93	60	333	1405	204	143	38	65%	3.6	14.6%	10.2%	4.4%	2.7%	4.25	4.64	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	36	200	845	123	86	23	65%	3.6	14.6%	10.2%	4.4%	2.7%	4.25	4.64	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Cohen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.64	11.8%	11.9%	3.0%	—	5.17	15.6%	4.6%	273	-0.47	—	—	—
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	87
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	87
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	85
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	85
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	85
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	85
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	84
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	83
Dane Myers R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	23	SW	5.32	12.2%	11.5%	3.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	125	83
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	83
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	83
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	82
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	82
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	82
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	81
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	81
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	79
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	79
Sam Gibbons R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SP-	4.86	10.6%	11.5%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	197	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	85	15.9%	11.0%	1.19	5.23
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70