Luis Cohen
P
Greenville Drive
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 172 lbs
A+
peak 0.8 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146136vR 127
ERA5.64
FIP5.64
K%11.8%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%-0.1%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 12 | 47 | 191 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 92% | 3.6 | 15.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 2.89 | 3.00 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 12 | 47 | 191 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 92% | 3.6 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 2.89 | 2.20 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 7 | 39 | 154 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 70% | 3.9 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 3.46 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 7 | 39 | 154 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 70% | 3.9 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 1.3% | 3.46 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 23 | 22 | 98 | 399 | 77 | 34 | 7 | 96% | 4.3 | 14.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 4.61 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 23 | 22 | 98 | 399 | 77 | 34 | 7 | 96% | 4.3 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 3.40 | 3.50 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 14 | 91 | 390 | 68 | 33 | 9 | 61% | 4.0 | 13.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 14 | 91 | 390 | 68 | 33 | 9 | 61% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 4.25 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 13 | 5 | 36 | 172 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 2.7 | 14.0% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 7.82 | 6.27 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 32 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.8% | 11.9% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 5.64 | 5.64 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.8% | 11.9% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 5.64 | 5.64 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 99 | 441 | 64 | 50 | 15 | — | — | 14.4% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.42 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.8% | 11.9% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 5.64 | 5.26 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.41 | 5.34 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 45 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 47 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 275 | 47 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 14.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.41 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 8 | 8 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 40 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 31 | 180 | 761 | 124 | 84 | 23 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.3% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 4.76 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 93 | 26 | 99% | 5.8 | 16.3% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 60 | 310 | 1306 | 187 | 135 | 34 | 73% | 3.8 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.09 | 4.63 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 39 | 200 | 842 | 121 | 87 | 22 | 73% | 3.8 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.09 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Cohen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.64 | 11.8% | 11.9% | 3.0% | — | 5.19 | 15.7% | 4.6% | 198 | -0.45 | — | — | — |
| Brooks Auger R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 86 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 85 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.83 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 135 | -1.08 | 3.22 | 218 | 84 |
| Tyler Schlaffer R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .298 | 4.24 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 154 | -1.01 | 4.01 | 363 | 84 |
| Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 83 |
| Ben Hansen R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.86 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .372 | 4.29 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 88 | -0.57 | 4.29 | 149 | 83 |
| Justin Dillon R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 82 |
| Danny Flatt R 2025 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 82 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 82 |
| Casey Steward R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .241 | 4.68 | 14.8% | -0.6% | 123 | -0.25 | 4.52 | 196 | 81 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.60 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | .312 | 4.38 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 247 | -0.22 | 4.19 | 433 | 80 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 80 |
| Boone Whiting R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 80 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2025 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 121 | 80 |
| Tyler McKay R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.73 | 12.1% | 12.8% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 163 | -0.84 | 3.25 | 275 | 80 |
| Dane Myers R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.39 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 125 | 79 |
| LJ Brewster R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 79 |
| Carlson Reed R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 65 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 1.16 | 5.30 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |