Paul Gervase
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'10" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP6.34
SIERA5.67
K%26.9%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%16.3%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CMD3035
K†6060
SL (29%)
CT (12%)
FB-1.3 (59%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 8 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 20.3% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 5.56 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 38 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 96 | 42 | 1 | 28.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% | 2.05 | 3.38 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 32.8% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 3.44 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 49 | 1 | 68 | 284 | 87 | 32 | 12 | 28.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 3.72 | 4.44 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 5 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 10 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 61 | 27 | 8 | 26.9% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 62 | 262 | 71 | 30 | 9 | 27.2% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 3.97 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 60 | 26 | 7 | 26.6% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 58 | 25 | 7 | 26.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 52 | — | 52 | 217 | 57 | 25 | 7 | 26.0% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 25.7% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 52 | 23 | 7 | 25.5% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 25.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 47 | 22 | 7 | 24.9% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 44 | 21 | 7 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 40 | 21 | 6 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 23.8% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 5.16 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 137 | 1 | 189 | 812 | 234 | 115 | 21 | 28.8% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.29 | 3.87 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 1 | 200 | 859 | 248 | 122 | 22 | 28.8% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.29 | 3.87 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Paul Gervase (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 26.9% | 11.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.54 | 26.3% | 14.8% | 158 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 81 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 81 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 81 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .214 | 3.12 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.77 | 2.59 | 156 | 81 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .242 | 2.97 | 25.1% | 15.7% | 62 | -0.89 | 2.97 | 167 | 79 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 79 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 79 |
| Adisyn Coffey R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.94 | 26.5% | 12.1% | 4.6% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 184 | 78 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.66 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 4.1% | .302 | 3.31 | 24.5% | 15.5% | 94 | -1.35 | 2.49 | 238 | 78 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.39 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .264 | 2.39 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.00 | 2.39 | 132 | 78 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 78 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 77 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.48 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .245 | 4.81 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.33 | 3.04 | 230 | 77 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 77 |
| Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 25.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | .206 | 6.88 | 26.9% | 8.7% | 25 | +2.97 | 2.08 | 187 | 77 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .300 | 3.68 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.92 | 3.09 | 377 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.