Paul Gervase
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 26
RHP
6'10" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.17
FIP4.17
K%28.8%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%15.9%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (29%)
CT (12%)
FB-1.3 (59%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 16.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.56 | 4.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 5.56 | 3.28 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 96 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.0% | 20.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 2.05 | 3.38 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 96 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 38.6% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 0.4% | 2.05 | 2.17 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.8% | 10.4% | 22.4% | 3.4% | 3.38 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 37 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.5% | 9.5% | 31.1% | 2.6% | 3.38 | 2.33 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 68 | 284 | 87 | 32 | 12 | 2% | 1.4 | 28.4% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 4.4% | 3.72 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 68 | 284 | 87 | 32 | 12 | 2% | 1.4 | 30.6% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 4.2% | 3.72 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 25 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.4% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 3.03 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 48 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.8% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 47 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.8% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 75 | 322 | 94 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 29.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 47 | 198 | 94 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 47.2% | 22.8% | 24.4% | 4.9% | 5.79 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 81 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 78 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 73 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 78 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 74 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 70 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 228 | 0 | 245 | 1040 | 284 | 131 | 35 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.26 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 232 | 107 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 1 | 217 | 934 | 267 | 138 | 26 | 1% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.19 | 4.11 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 1 | 200 | 861 | 246 | 127 | 24 | 1% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.19 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Paul Gervase (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 29.0% | 12.5% | 3.4% | — | 4.55 | 27.5% | 15.1% | 200 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 85 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 85 |
| José Cisnero R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 81 |
| Matt Jachec R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 79 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 79 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.69 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.84 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 66 | +0.15 | 3.31 | 166 | 78 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 78 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.47 | 27.4% | 21.2% | 41 | +1.99 | 3.48 | 138 | 78 |
| Adisyn Coffey R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 26.5% | 12.1% | 4.5% | .310 | 4.17 | 19.7% | 7.4% | 44 | -0.68 | 2.89 | 229 | 78 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 28.8% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.34 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.06 | 331 | 77 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 77 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 77 |
| Layne Henderson R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.94 | 24.9% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .277 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 82 | +0.69 | 3.91 | 233 | 77 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 27.7% | 12.4% | 1.29 | 4.51 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |