Paul Gervase — OGILVIE

Paul Gervase P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 26 RHP 6'10" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.14

FIP4.14

K%27.6%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%15.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CMD3035

K†6565

SL (29%)

CT (12%)

FB-1.3 (59%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	11	55	16	7	1	0%	1.4	20.3%	16.2%	4.1%	2.7%	5.56	4.91	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	11	55	16	7	1	0%	1.4	29.1%	12.7%	16.4%	1.8%	5.56	3.28	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	57	249	96	42	1	0%	1.5	28.0%	20.9%	7.1%	0.0%	2.05	3.38	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	57	249	96	42	1	0%	1.5	28.0%	20.9%	7.1%	0.0%	2.05	3.38	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	57	249	96	42	1	0%	1.5	38.6%	16.9%	21.7%	0.4%	2.05	2.17	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	37	0	45	190	77	18	5	0%	1.2	32.8%	10.4%	22.4%	3.3%	3.38	3.46	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	37	0	45	190	77	18	5	0%	1.2	32.8%	10.4%	22.4%	3.3%	3.38	3.46	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	37	0	45	190	77	18	5	0%	1.2	40.5%	9.5%	31.1%	2.6%	3.38	2.33	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	68	284	87	32	12	2%	1.4	26.8%	9.6%	17.2%	4.2%	3.72	4.37	+0.1
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	68	284	87	32	12	2%	1.4	26.8%	9.6%	17.2%	4.2%	3.72	4.37	+0.1
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	68	284	87	32	12	2%	1.4	30.6%	11.3%	19.4%	4.2%	3.72	4.25	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			10	0	16	73	16	11	3	0%	1.6	21.9%	15.1%	6.8%	4.1%	3.38	5.60	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	42	0	55	244	74	40	6	0%	1.3	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	3.1%	4.25	4.52	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	42	0	55	244	74	40	6	0%	1.3	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	3.1%	4.25	4.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	LAD	38	0	47	210	66	35	6	0%	1.2	31.4%	16.7%	14.8%	2.9%	4.56	4.13	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	LAD	4	0	8	34	8	5	0	0%	1.9	23.5%	14.7%	8.8%	0.0%	2.35	2.98	—
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	LAD	4	0	8	34	8	5	0	0%	1.9	23.5%	14.7%	8.8%	0.0%	2.35	2.98	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	27	7	3	1	0%	1.1	27.6%	12.2%	15.4%	3.3%	4.14	4.14	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	LAD	6	0	6	25	7	3	1	0%	1.0	27.6%	12.2%	15.4%	3.3%	4.14	4.14	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	61	271	81	43	7	—	—	30.1%	16.0%	14.1%	2.5%	4.24	4.48	+0.1
FULL	26	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	14	59	81	43	7	—	—	137.9%	73.3%	64.6%	11.7%	18.62	7.15	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAD	66	0	69	291	79	35	9	0%	1.0	27.0%	12.0%	15.0%	3.2%	4.43	4.45	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	64	0	67	282	75	34	9	0%	1.0	26.6%	11.9%	14.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.52	+0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	LAD	61	0	64	270	71	32	9	0%	1.0	26.2%	12.0%	14.2%	3.4%	4.58	4.64	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAD	63	0	66	279	75	33	9	0%	1.0	27.0%	12.0%	15.0%	3.2%	4.43	4.45	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	61	0	64	270	72	32	9	0%	1.0	26.6%	11.9%	14.7%	3.2%	4.48	4.52	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	LAD	58	0	61	258	67	31	9	0%	1.1	26.2%	12.0%	14.2%	3.4%	4.58	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	0	212	901	237	110	30	0%	1.1	26.3%	12.2%	14.0%	3.3%	4.40	4.26	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	850	223	104	28	0%	1.1	26.3%	12.2%	14.0%	3.3%	4.40	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		174	1	236	1022	283	144	27	1%	1.4	27.7%	14.1%	13.5%	2.7%	3.47	4.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	1	200	865	239	122	23	1%	1.4	27.7%	14.1%	13.5%	2.7%	3.47	4.03	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Paul Gervase (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	27.8%	11.9%	3.3%	—	4.53	26.6%	14.7%	200	+0.06	—	—	—
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	87
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	84
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	82
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	81
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	81
Michael Dimock R 2016 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	26.8%	9.8%	3.3%	.289	3.79	20.9%	11.9%	66	-0.12	3.08	166	79
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	79
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	79
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	78
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	78
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	78
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	78
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	78
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	66	26.9%	11.9%	1.27	4.49
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84