Jesus Cruz P Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%21.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.01 (15 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050
SL+0.8
FB-3.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201722MIX2 levels23026116331110%1.121.2%10.6%10.6%0.9%4.503.13
201722MIX2 levels23026116331110%1.128.4%9.5%19.0%0.9%4.502.33
201823MIX2 levels30168536010441553%2.822.1%13.2%8.9%2.5%3.274.26
201823MIX2 levels30168536010441553%2.828.9%11.4%17.5%1.4%3.272.87
201924MIX2 levels52061280894480%1.226.4%15.6%10.9%3.5%6.024.74
201924MIX2 levels52061280894480%1.231.8%15.7%16.1%2.9%6.024.05
202025MLBSt. Louis Cardinals10172100%1.028.6%14.3%14.3%0.0%18.002.50+0.0
202025MLBSt. Louis Cardinals10172100%1.028.6%14.3%14.3%0.0%18.002.10+0.0
202126AAAMemphis Redbirds37035161382510%1.020.8%16.3%4.5%0.8%3.063.83
202126AAAMemphis Redbirds37035161382510%1.023.6%15.5%8.1%0.6%3.063.44
202227MIX2 levels35036160452070%1.028.4%13.9%14.5%3.8%4.714.54+0.0
202227MIX2 levels35036160452070%1.028.1%12.5%15.6%4.4%4.714.78-0.1
202328AAALehigh Valley IronPigs28235158391647%1.221.7%10.6%11.1%2.6%5.404.06
202328AAALehigh Valley IronPigs28235158391647%1.224.7%10.1%14.6%2.5%5.403.73
202530AARocket City Trash Pandas115261242314145%2.415.0%12.4%2.6%0.9%4.153.91
202530AARocket City Trash Pandas115261242314145%2.418.5%11.3%7.3%0.8%4.153.45
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBLAA140156414620%1.121.2%10.2%11.0%2.7%4.474.47+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBLAA190208418930%1.120.9%10.5%10.5%3.0%4.594.68-0.0
202732MLBLAA606255310%1.020.9%10.5%10.5%3.0%4.594.68-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career140167214840%1.118.7%10.7%8.0%5.2%6.325.75-0.2
/ 200 IP1750200910176100500%1.118.7%10.7%8.0%5.2%6.325.75-0.8
Career2172330613663121853211%1.422.8%13.5%9.3%2.4%4.444.18+4.4
/ 200 IP142152008922041212111%1.422.8%13.5%9.3%2.4%4.444.18+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jesus Cruz (OGILVIE) 4.47 21.2%10.2%2.7% 4.68 20.9%10.5%20 +0.21
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 85
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 31 SU 4.18 19.6%12.1%2.2%.276 3.35 24.3%11.9%16 -0.83 3.35 129 79
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 78
Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP 33 SU 3.55 17.6%8.8%1.5%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.49 2.77 172 77
Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 77
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 77
Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 31 SU 3.69 17.5%8.8%1.8%.244 4.74 17.6%7.8%377 +1.05 3.69 521 76
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 31 SU 4.85 23.8%9.4%4.7%.283 4.58 22.0%13.8%96 -0.27 3.05 176 76
Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 75
Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 31 SU 4.23 15.7%10.7%2.0%.341 3.46 108 75
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 74
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 74
Bryan Morris R 2025 · 3.60 FIP 30 SU 3.60 16.0%9.6%1.2%.333 3.49 102 74
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 74
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 31 SU 3.37 16.4%8.4%1.1%.308 4.72 19.3%7.3%90 +1.35 3.37 170 74
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 74
Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 74
Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP 30 SU 3.57 22.3%11.0%1.7%.247 3.57 224 74
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 31 SU 4.66 16.0%7.6%3.6%.270 4.93 19.3%9.7%63 +0.27 2.90 227 73