Jesus Cruz — OGILVIE

Jesus Cruz P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%18.1%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

SL+0.8

FB-3.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	26	116	33	11	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.6%	10.6%	0.9%	4.50	3.15	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	26	116	33	11	1	0%	1.1	28.4%	9.5%	19.0%	0.9%	4.50	2.33	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	16	85	360	104	41	5	53%	2.8	22.1%	13.2%	8.9%	2.0%	3.27	4.02	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	16	85	360	104	41	5	53%	2.8	28.9%	11.4%	17.5%	1.4%	3.27	2.87	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	61	280	89	44	8	0%	1.2	26.4%	15.6%	10.9%	3.4%	6.02	4.71	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	61	280	89	44	8	0%	1.2	31.8%	15.7%	16.1%	2.9%	6.02	4.05	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	1	0	1	7	2	1	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	18.00	2.50	+0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	1	0	1	7	2	1	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	18.00	2.10	+0.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	37	0	35	161	38	25	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.3%	4.5%	0.7%	3.06	3.81	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	37	0	35	161	38	25	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	15.5%	8.1%	0.6%	3.06	3.44	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	36	160	45	20	7	0%	1.0	28.4%	13.9%	14.5%	3.7%	4.71	4.50	+0.0
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	36	160	45	20	7	0%	1.0	28.1%	12.5%	15.6%	4.4%	4.71	4.78	-0.1
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	28	2	35	158	39	16	4	7%	1.2	20.5%	9.1%	11.4%	2.7%	5.40	4.01	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	28	2	35	158	39	16	4	7%	1.2	20.5%	9.1%	11.4%	2.7%	5.40	4.01	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	28	2	35	158	39	16	4	7%	1.2	24.7%	10.1%	14.6%	2.5%	5.40	3.73	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	11	5	26	124	23	14	1	45%	2.4	15.0%	12.4%	2.6%	0.9%	4.15	3.92	—
2025	30	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	11	5	26	124	23	14	1	45%	2.4	15.0%	12.4%	2.6%	0.9%	4.15	3.92	—
2025	30	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	11	5	26	124	23	14	1	45%	2.4	18.5%	11.3%	7.3%	0.8%	4.15	3.45	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			8	0	10	46	8	5	3	0%	1.2	17.4%	10.9%	6.5%	6.5%	7.45	7.03	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	LAA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	2.7%	4.86	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	15	10	3	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.4%	6.8%	3.0%	4.94	5.03	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	LAA	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.4%	6.8%	3.0%	4.94	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	16	72	13	8	4	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.1%	6.6%	5.2%	6.46	5.88	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		175	0	200	910	163	100	50	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.1%	6.6%	5.2%	6.46	5.88	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		217	23	306	1366	310	183	30	11%	1.4	22.7%	13.4%	9.3%	2.2%	4.44	4.10	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	15	200	892	202	119	20	11%	1.4	22.7%	13.4%	9.3%	2.2%	4.44	4.10	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	18.1%	11.2%	2.7%	—	5.03	18.2%	6.8%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	81
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	81
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	80
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	79
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	77
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	77
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	76
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	75
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	75
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	74
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	74
Bobby Parnell R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	14.1%	9.5%	1.3%	.297	3.55	15.2%	3.9%	34	-0.29	3.55	102	73
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	73
Fredy Quintero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	31	SU	4.62	17.2%	13.7%	2.2%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	241	72
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	72
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	72
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	72
Junichi Tazawa R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	16.0%	7.6%	3.5%	.270	4.81	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.16	2.94	227	72