Michael Brewer — OGILVIE

Michael Brewer P Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.17

FIP5.17

K%20.8%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%7.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	30	128	43	17	2	0%	1.7	23.7%	16.2%	7.5%	2.1%	3.56	4.30	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	30	128	43	17	2	0%	1.7	33.6%	13.3%	20.3%	1.6%	3.56	2.80	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	41	179	50	14	2	0%	1.3	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	1.2%	2.61	3.14	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	41	179	50	14	2	0%	1.3	27.9%	7.8%	20.1%	1.1%	2.61	2.33	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	243	54	31	7	0%	1.2	15.8%	15.8%	-0.0%	4.4%	5.47	6.19	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	53	243	54	31	7	0%	1.2	15.8%	15.8%	-0.0%	4.4%	5.47	6.19	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	53	243	54	31	7	0%	1.2	22.2%	12.8%	9.5%	2.9%	5.47	4.54	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	23.3%	16.2%	7.1%	2.8%	5.70	4.71	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	23.3%	16.2%	7.1%	2.8%	5.70	4.71	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	30	133	43	18	3	0%	1.4	32.3%	13.5%	18.8%	2.3%	5.70	3.33	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TEX	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.8%	13.8%	7.0%	3.1%	5.17	5.17	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	26	0	27	114	24	15	4	0%	1.0	21.3%	13.3%	8.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.06	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	11	0	12	51	11	7	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.3%	8.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	7	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.3%	8.0%	3.1%	5.07	4.68	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	121	34	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.3%	8.0%	3.1%	5.07	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		116	0	154	683	138	97	19	0%	1.3	20.1%	14.2%	6.0%	2.8%	4.37	4.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	885	178	126	25	0%	1.3	20.1%	14.2%	6.0%	2.8%	4.37	4.75	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Brewer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	20.8%	13.8%	3.1%	—	5.06	21.3%	8.0%	27	-0.11	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	87
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	86
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	86
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	85
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	85
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2023 · 5.19 FIP	25	SU	5.19	18.4%	12.6%	3.7%	.256	3.59	16.6%	9.3%	85	-1.60	3.20	213	84
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	84
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83