Elison Joseph — OGILVIE

Elison Joseph P Columbus Clingstones

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%25.0%

BB%18.7%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	16	0	26	117	30	18	2	0%	1.6	17.4%	19.2%	-1.8%	2.3%	2.73	5.31	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	16	0	26	117	30	18	2	0%	1.6	25.6%	15.4%	10.3%	1.7%	2.73	3.86	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	34	160	44	27	2	0%	1.2	19.6%	20.3%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.46	4.91	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	34	160	44	27	2	0%	1.2	27.5%	16.9%	10.6%	1.2%	4.46	3.65	—
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	38	0	46	215	66	31	7	0%	1.2	22.7%	17.0%	5.7%	4.3%	5.72	5.72	—
2023	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	38	0	46	215	66	31	7	0%	1.2	22.7%	17.0%	5.7%	4.3%	5.72	5.72	—
2023	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	38	0	46	215	66	31	7	0%	1.2	30.7%	14.4%	16.3%	3.3%	5.72	4.24	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	26.8%	14.1%	12.7%	1.3%	2.04	3.32	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	26.8%	14.1%	12.7%	1.3%	2.04	3.32	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	53	223	76	28	2	0%	1.4	34.1%	12.6%	21.5%	0.9%	2.04	2.31	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	24.1%	0.6%	0.0%	4.31	4.07	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	24.1%	0.6%	0.0%	4.31	4.07	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	37	0	40	187	57	41	0	0%	1.1	30.5%	21.9%	8.6%	0.0%	4.31	3.33	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	20	0	24	116	24	34	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	32.9%	-16.1%	1.4%	3.80	6.61	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	20	0	24	116	24	34	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	32.9%	-16.1%	1.4%	3.80	6.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	ATL	6	0	6	29	6	8	0	0%	1.0	20.7%	27.6%	-6.9%	0.0%	6.00	4.85	—
2026	25	AA RAW	ATL	14	0	18	87	18	26	1	0%	1.3	20.7%	29.9%	-9.2%	1.1%	3.06	5.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	48	201	50	36	5	0%	1.1	25.0%	17.7%	7.3%	2.4%	4.94	4.93	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	ATL	45	0	47	198	49	34	5	0%	1.0	24.9%	17.1%	7.8%	2.5%	4.92	4.93	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	20	0	21	89	22	16	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	17.7%	7.3%	2.4%	4.94	4.93	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ATL	29	0	30	127	32	22	3	0%	1.0	24.9%	17.1%	7.8%	2.5%	4.92	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	51	214	53	37	5	0%	1.1	24.9%	17.4%	7.6%	2.5%	4.93	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	146	20	0%	1.1	24.9%	17.4%	7.6%	2.5%	4.93	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		178	0	223	1018	226	206	19	0%	1.3	22.2%	20.3%	1.9%	1.9%	3.84	4.82	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	914	203	185	17	0%	1.3	22.2%	20.3%	1.9%	1.9%	3.84	4.82	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elison Joseph (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	25.0%	18.7%	2.4%	—	4.93	25.0%	7.6%	95	-0.10	—	—	—
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	84
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	84
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	84
Matt Blackham R 2018 · 3.93 FIP	25	SU	3.93	24.9%	15.7%	1.7%	.236	4.81	25.9%	12.0%	80	+0.88	2.08	187	84
Conor Grammes R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	28.6%	16.8%	3.3%	.293	4.52	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.12	4.11	171	83
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	83
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	83
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	82
Craig Brooks R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	25	SU	3.95	23.4%	15.1%	1.7%	.260	5.58	31.1%	15.9%	59	+1.63	3.23	229	82
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	82
Walker Brockhouse R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SU	4.24	21.7%	16.7%	1.6%	.301	5.15	18.7%	4.0%	42	+0.91	4.24	126	82
Kyle Hill R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	25	SU	3.87	22.7%	14.9%	1.5%	.282	4.59	23.5%	10.8%	73	+0.72	3.62	156	82
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	82
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	81
Jack Ralston R 2023 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	23.7%	21.1%	0.7%	.263	4.26	24.7%	11.3%	180	+0.10	3.55	308	81
Brody Jessee R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	22	SU	3.98	24.9%	19.4%	1.0%	.333	5.44	17.8%	6.4%	170	+1.46	3.76	199	81
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	81
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	25.0%	17.7%	0.95	4.95
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91