Gerson Moreno
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 30
RHP
6'0" / 218 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION7 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%23.0%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 5 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.87 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 5 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.14 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 54 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.99 | 4.35 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 54 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 3.99 | 3.66 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 50 | 221 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 1.7% | 4.47 | 3.55 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 50 | 221 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 4.47 | 3.20 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 14 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 19.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 5.09 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 14 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.2% | 17.5% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 4.63 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 86% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.10 | 3.23 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 86% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.10 | 3.25 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 49 | 220 | 73 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 4.59 | 5.08 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 49 | 220 | 73 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.2% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 4.1% | 4.59 | 4.28 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 48 | 1 | 57 | 237 | 96 | 31 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 32.8% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 3.0% | 3.32 | 3.78 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 48 | 1 | 57 | 237 | 96 | 31 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 40.5% | 13.1% | 27.4% | 2.1% | 3.32 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 59 | 0 | 72 | 305 | 91 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 3.14 | 3.78 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 59 | 0 | 72 | 305 | 91 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 1.6% | 3.14 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 37 | 1 | 42 | 181 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 3% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 16.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.00 | 5.79 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 37 | 1 | 42 | 181 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 3% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 6.00 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 14 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 19.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 1.23 | 3.68 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 14 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 1.23 | 3.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 7 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 5.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | STL | 16 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | STL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | STL | — | — | 24 | 104 | 24 | 14 | 4 | — | — | 23.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 4.87 | 3.34 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | STL | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 111 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 313 | 8 | 374 | 1620 | 402 | 241 | 42 | 3% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.29 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 4 | 200 | 866 | 215 | 129 | 22 | 3% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gerson Moreno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.91 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 88 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 85 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 78 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 78 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 77 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 77 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 75 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.70 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 4.5% | .261 | 3.75 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 101 | -1.95 | 2.59 | 309 | 74 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.54 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.28 | 4.26 | 258 | 74 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 74 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 104 | 74 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.95 | 25.9% | 17.5% | 1.5% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 134 | 74 |
| Leonel Campos R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 74 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 73 |