Daniel Hudson P Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 39 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10999vR 90
ERA3.99
FIP4.11
K%25.9%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%18.5%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: +1.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: +1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.30 (58 IP)+0.3WAR
0.2-0.1-0.3-0.4262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6565
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p9032.3%
K%
p6524.9%
xwOBA vs
p570.305
SL+3.8 (41%)
FB+1.2 (55%)
SI (5%)
CH-0.9 (4%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201528MLBArizona Diamondbacks64168290712372%1.124.5%7.9%16.6%2.3%3.863.31+1.1
201528MLBArizona Diamondbacks64168290712372%1.124.5%7.9%16.6%2.4%3.863.37+1.1
201629MLBArizona Diamondbacks70060268581960%0.921.6%7.1%14.6%2.1%5.223.35+0.9
201629MLBArizona Diamondbacks70060268581960%0.921.6%7.1%14.6%2.2%5.223.41+0.8
201730MLBPittsburgh Pirates71062271663270%0.924.4%11.8%12.5%2.6%4.383.97+0.4
201730MLBPittsburgh Pirates71062271663270%0.924.4%11.8%12.5%2.6%4.383.99+0.4
201831MIX2 levels45151215492162%1.122.3%8.6%13.7%3.2%3.734.08+0.3
201831MIX2 levels45151215492162%1.122.8%9.8%13.0%2.8%3.733.95+0.4
201932MLBWashington Nationals69173304712581%1.123.4%8.2%15.1%2.6%2.473.61+1.0
201932MLBWashington Nationals69173304712581%1.123.4%8.2%15.1%2.6%2.473.61+1.0
202033MLBWashington Nationals2102192281160%1.030.4%12.0%18.5%6.5%6.105.62-0.3
202033MLBWashington Nationals2102192281160%1.030.4%12.0%18.5%6.5%6.105.76-0.3
202134MLBSan Diego Padres54052210751580%1.035.7%7.1%28.6%4.1%3.313.24+0.8
202134MLBSan Diego Padres54052210751580%1.035.7%7.1%28.6%3.8%3.313.08+0.9
202235MLBLos Angeles Dodgers250249730510%1.030.9%5.2%25.8%1.1%2.221.74+0.8
202235MLBLos Angeles Dodgers250249730510%1.030.9%5.2%25.8%1.0%2.221.78+0.8
202336MIX3 levels1161141184055%1.043.9%9.8%34.1%0.0%0.000.63+0.5
202336MIX3 levels1161141184055%1.043.9%9.8%34.1%0.0%0.000.98+0.5
202437MLBLos Angeles Dodgers650632536318100%1.024.9%7.1%17.8%4.2%3.004.19+0.3
202437MLBLos Angeles Dodgers650632536318100%1.024.9%7.1%17.8%4.0%3.004.02+0.4
▸ 2026 Season
202639MLBLAD55058245631880%1.125.9%7.4%18.5%3.4%3.994.11+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202740MLBLAD48050211521780%1.024.8%8.1%16.6%3.9%4.324.54+0.0
202841MLBLAD41043181431680%1.023.6%8.8%14.8%4.3%4.714.97-0.2
202942MLBLAD35037156351570%1.122.4%9.5%12.9%4.8%5.135.40-0.4
202740MLBLAD48050211521780%1.024.8%8.1%16.6%3.9%4.324.54+0.0
202841MLBLAD41043182431680%1.023.6%8.8%14.8%4.3%4.714.97-0.2
202942MLBLAD35037156351570%1.122.4%9.5%12.9%4.8%5.135.40-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career60636012544641216820%1.025.2%8.5%16.7%3.2%3.933.83+11.1
/ 200 IP201120084621372270%1.025.2%8.5%16.7%3.2%3.933.83+3.7
Career49594842041528171612%1.025.9%8.4%17.5%3.0%3.623.61+10.2
/ 200 IP204420084321870252%1.025.9%8.4%17.5%3.0%3.623.61+4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Daniel Hudson (OGILVIE) 4.11 25.9%7.4%3.4% 4.93 23.7%15.0%130 +0.82
Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.44 FIP 39 SU 3.44 26.1%12.0%1.9%.288 3.51 25.4%14.2%167 +0.07 2.67 295 74
Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 39 SU 3.72 25.5%11.3%2.5%.258 4.35 21.6%11.7%50 +0.63 3.72 164 73
Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 39 SU 4.13 32.3%12.4%4.0%.264 5.63 26.1%16.3%40 +1.50 1.98 133 65
Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.04 FIP 38 SU 3.04 23.2%13.3%0.4%.303 3.04 102 59
Darren O'Day R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 39 SU 3.59 27.7%8.5%3.2%.281 2.04 215 54
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2029 · 3.31 FIP 42 SU 3.31 14.8%8.6%0.7%.293 3.98 14.9%6.8%75 +0.67 3.31 123 53
Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 38 SU 4.59 15.4%6.2%3.7%.355 2.51 174 53
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2025 · 3.66 FIP 38 SU 3.66 13.3%2.5%2.5%.388 3.03 119 53
Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.77 FIP 39 SU 4.77 17.8%11.6%3.1%.322 3.10 174 50
Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 39 SU 3.94 15.9%11.7%1.3%.340 2.99 119 47
Hector Navarro R 2024 · 3.41 FIP 37 SU 3.41 11.5%5.6%1.0%.283 2.30 126 47
Daniel Bard R 2025 · 4.81 FIP 38 SU 4.81 20.3%19.8%1.7%.224 2.48 200 46
Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 38 SU 4.08 16.8%15.2%0.9%.248 3.51 219 45
Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 3.88 FIP 38 SU 3.88 16.4%6.2%2.5%.276 2.61 257 39
Neal Cotts L 2024 · 3.24 FIP 37 SU 3.24 25.5%8.0%2.3%.273 3.24 156 37
Logan Duran R 2024 · 3.58 FIP 37 SP- 3.58 15.5%8.9%1.2%.427 3.36 187 24
Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 39 SP- 4.67 16.7%10.4%3.0%.270 4.46 217 23
Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 39 SU 4.62 5.7%6.0%2.2%.233 3.28 199 14

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44724.4%8.3%1.554.47
Mike Mayers ('23)54724.3%7.8%1.504.47
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Austin Voth ('24)65822.2%8.2%1.504.63
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43