Tim Naughton — OGILVIE

Tim Naughton P Erie SeaWolves

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.30

FIP4.30

K%24.0%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	17	0	17	80	21	10	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	15.6%	2.2%	1.7%	3.71	4.53	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	17	0	17	80	21	10	1	0%	1.0	26.2%	12.5%	13.8%	1.2%	3.71	3.16	—
2018	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	24	0	32	157	33	22	1	0%	1.3	15.6%	16.5%	-1.0%	0.9%	4.45	4.40	—
2018	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	24	0	32	157	33	22	1	0%	1.3	21.0%	14.0%	7.0%	0.6%	4.45	3.50	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	0	52	236	74	26	2	0%	1.1	24.0%	13.0%	11.0%	0.6%	2.79	3.05	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	0	52	236	74	26	2	0%	1.1	31.4%	11.0%	20.3%	0.8%	2.79	2.25	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	36	0	44	205	58	39	4	0%	1.2	22.9%	20.9%	2.0%	1.9%	5.36	4.84	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	36	0	44	205	58	39	4	0%	1.2	28.3%	19.0%	9.3%	2.0%	5.36	4.31	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	16	0	18	83	25	15	3	0%	1.1	26.5%	19.0%	7.5%	4.1%	5.60	5.52	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	16	0	18	83	25	15	3	0%	1.1	30.1%	18.1%	12.0%	3.6%	5.60	5.02	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	36	3	51	214	60	19	5	8%	1.4	22.7%	9.8%	12.9%	2.7%	4.62	3.88	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	36	3	51	214	60	19	5	8%	1.4	22.7%	9.8%	12.9%	2.7%	4.62	3.88	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	36	3	51	214	60	19	5	8%	1.4	28.0%	8.9%	19.2%	2.3%	4.62	3.14	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	43	0	60	256	73	33	4	0%	1.4	23.1%	14.2%	8.9%	2.0%	3.00	4.04	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	43	0	60	256	73	33	4	0%	1.4	23.1%	14.2%	8.9%	2.0%	3.00	4.04	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	43	0	60	256	73	33	4	0%	1.4	28.5%	12.9%	15.6%	1.6%	3.00	3.18	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	35	142	43	13	2	0%	1.7	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	1.7%	2.57	2.93	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	35	142	43	13	2	0%	1.7	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	1.7%	2.57	2.93	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	35	142	43	13	2	0%	1.7	30.3%	9.2%	21.1%	1.4%	2.57	2.50	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	DET	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	24.0%	10.8%	13.3%	2.7%	4.30	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	DET	22	0	23	97	23	11	3	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.9%	12.6%	3.0%	4.42	4.50	+0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	DET	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.9%	12.6%	3.0%	4.42	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.9%	12.6%	3.0%	4.42	4.12	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	83	28	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.9%	12.6%	3.0%	4.42	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		240	3	308	1373	308	197	25	1%	1.3	22.5%	14.3%	8.1%	1.8%	3.86	4.01	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	2	200	892	200	128	16	1%	1.3	22.5%	14.3%	8.1%	1.8%	3.86	4.01	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tim Naughton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	24.0%	10.8%	2.7%	—	4.50	23.6%	12.6%	23	+0.20	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	91
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	87
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	83
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	82
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	82
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	80
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	79
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	79
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	78
Jose De La Torre R 2016 · 3.12 FIP	30	SU	3.12	22.0%	8.0%	1.6%	.248	2.64	20.5%	14.7%	19	-0.48	2.64	130	77
Greg Holland R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	29	SU	3.21	25.4%	13.0%	1.1%	.316	3.45	26.4%	14.2%	104	+0.24	1.97	268	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	77
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	76
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	76
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	76