Tim Naughton
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116106vR 97
ERA4.24
FIP4.24
K%23.8%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 17 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 15.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 4.53 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 17 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 1.2% | 3.71 | 3.16 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 24 | 0 | 32 | 157 | 33 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.6% | 16.5% | -1.0% | 1.1% | 4.45 | 4.49 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 24 | 0 | 32 | 157 | 33 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 0.6% | 4.45 | 3.50 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 74 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 0.6% | 2.79 | 3.08 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 74 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.4% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 0.8% | 2.79 | 2.25 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 36 | 0 | 44 | 205 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 20.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 5.36 | 4.66 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 36 | 0 | 44 | 205 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 5.36 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 16 | 0 | 18 | 83 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.5% | 19.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.60 | 5.59 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 16 | 0 | 18 | 83 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 5.60 | 5.02 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 36 | 3 | 51 | 214 | 60 | 19 | 5 | 8% | 1.4 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 4.62 | 3.81 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 36 | 3 | 51 | 214 | 60 | 19 | 5 | 8% | 1.4 | 28.0% | 8.9% | 19.2% | 2.3% | 4.62 | 3.14 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 73 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 3.00 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 73 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 35 | 142 | 43 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.6% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 1.6% | 2.57 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 35 | 142 | 43 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.3% | 9.2% | 21.1% | 1.4% | 2.57 | 2.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | DET | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | DET | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | DET | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.07 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 240 | 3 | 308 | 1373 | 308 | 197 | 25 | 1% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 4.00 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 2 | 200 | 892 | 200 | 128 | 16 | 1% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Naughton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.24 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.45 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 23 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 91 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 84 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 83 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 82 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 82 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 82 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 80 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 80 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 80 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 78 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 78 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 77 |