Sadbiel Delzine

P FCL Red Sox

Age 19 RHP 6'5" / 198 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.2 · 2033

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP40OGV rank#302ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	3	3	9	4.82	1.49	23.1%	2.6%	—	K 23.1% · BB 2.6% · FIP 1.48
2026	18	MIX2 levels	18	14	65	2.64	2.17	29.6%	9.0%	—	K 20.9% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.27
2027PROJ	19	MLBBOS	—	—	0	4.53	4.53	23.6%	11.7%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBBOS	6	6	27	4.39	4.34	24.0%	11.0%	0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	21	MLBBOS	8	8	40	4.29	4.22	24.3%	10.4%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 5.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsLuis Arejula (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19) · Marco Raya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%23.6%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%11.9%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$44M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.48	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.48	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.49	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	20.9%	11.1%	9.9%	1.0%	2.64	3.27	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	20.9%	11.1%	9.9%	1.0%	2.64	3.27	—
2026	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	29.6%	9.0%	20.6%	0.7%	2.64	2.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.6%	11.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.53	4.53	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	54	229	55	25	6	100%	4.5	24.0%	11.0%	13.0%	2.8%	4.43	4.38	+0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	54	229	56	24	6	100%	4.9	24.3%	10.4%	13.9%	2.8%	4.33	4.26	+0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	56	235	59	23	6	100%	5.1	25.2%	9.9%	15.3%	2.7%	4.19	4.09	+0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	56	239	62	23	6	100%	5.1	25.9%	9.6%	16.3%	2.7%	4.06	3.97	+1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	57	239	63	22	6	100%	5.7	26.5%	9.3%	17.1%	2.6%	3.95	3.88	+1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	56	235	63	22	6	100%	5.6	26.8%	9.2%	17.6%	2.6%	3.87	3.82	+1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	56	237	64	22	6	100%	6.2	27.0%	9.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.83	3.80	+1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	55	232	63	21	6	100%	6.1	27.0%	9.2%	17.8%	2.7%	3.84	3.84	+1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	BOS	9	9	52	220	59	21	6	100%	5.8	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.8%	3.89	3.92	+0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	BOS	8	8	48	204	54	20	6	100%	6.0	26.7%	9.6%	17.0%	2.9%	3.99	4.05	+0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	BOS	7	7	43	183	48	18	6	100%	6.2	26.3%	9.9%	16.4%	3.1%	4.14	4.23	+0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	6	6	27	114	27	12	3	100%	4.5	24.0%	11.0%	13.0%	2.7%	4.39	4.34	+0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	40	169	41	18	5	100%	5.0	24.3%	10.4%	13.9%	2.7%	4.29	4.22	+0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	47	198	50	20	5	100%	5.2	25.2%	9.9%	15.3%	2.6%	4.15	4.05	+0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	51	215	56	21	6	100%	5.1	25.9%	9.6%	16.3%	2.6%	4.02	3.93	+0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	52	220	58	21	6	100%	5.8	26.5%	9.3%	17.1%	2.6%	3.91	3.84	+0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	52	220	59	20	6	100%	5.8	26.8%	9.2%	17.6%	2.6%	3.83	3.78	+1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	53	224	60	21	6	100%	5.9	27.0%	9.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.79	3.76	+1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	52	220	59	20	6	100%	5.8	27.0%	9.2%	17.8%	2.6%	3.80	3.80	+1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	50	211	57	20	6	100%	6.2	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.7%	3.85	3.88	+0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	BOS	8	8	46	194	52	19	6	100%	5.8	26.7%	9.6%	17.0%	2.9%	3.95	4.01	+0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	41	173	46	17	5	100%	5.9	26.3%	9.9%	16.4%	3.0%	4.10	4.19	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		91	91	510	2154	564	207	58	100%	5.6	26.2%	9.6%	16.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.58	+11.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	221	81	23	100%	5.6	26.2%	9.6%	16.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.58	+4.4
Career	—	MLE		21	17	74	306	65	31	3	81%	3.5	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	0.8%	2.92	3.04	+9.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	46	200	827	175	83	7	81%	3.5	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	0.8%	2.92	3.04	+3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 40 IPFIP 2.27 → 3.33 (+1.06)K% 26.4% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.38%	—	×0.680	17.94%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.04%	—	×1.250	13.80%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.27 → 3.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 25 IPFIP 1.96 → 3.17 (+1.21)K% 34.6% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	34.62%	—	×0.740	25.62%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.77%	—	×1.180	6.81%
HR / BF /BF	1.92%	÷1.000	×1.300	2.50%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.96 → 3.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue · 9 IPFIP 1.48 → 2.18 (+0.70)K% 23.1% → 15.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.08%	—	×0.680	15.69%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	2.56%	—	×1.250	3.21%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.920	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.48 → 2.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sadbiel Delzine (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.8%	—	4.24	24.5%	14.1%	164	-0.29	—	—	—
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	87
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	86
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.42	19.8%	8.6%	254	-0.35	3.99	383	85
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	84
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	83
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	83
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	82
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	82
Andry Rondon R 2015 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.8%	8.2%	1.8%	.283	3.98	15.6%	1.1%	49	+0.52	3.26	105	81
Reny Artiles R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP	4.34	24.2%	12.4%	3.1%	.419	5.64	14.8%	-6.5%	109	+1.30	4.34	165	81
Patricio Aquino R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	19	SP	4.24	21.9%	13.2%	2.4%	.321	3.95	15.1%	5.8%	234	-0.29	3.54	313	81
Trevor Harrison R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	18	SP	4.03	21.0%	10.6%	2.5%	.331	4.94	19.7%	7.0%	205	+0.91	3.79	277	81
Adrian Heredia R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	19	SP	3.77	21.6%	12.8%	1.6%	.300	5.38	14.9%	1.8%	104	+1.61	3.34	149	81
Mikell Manzano R 2022 · 3.55 FIP	19	SP-	3.55	23.3%	9.0%	2.3%	.388	4.27	9.9%	1.4%	72	+0.72	2.58	175	80
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP	4.03	24.5%	12.8%	2.5%	.326	5.91	18.3%	1.5%	143	+1.88	4.03	275	80
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Brandon Young R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	22	SP	4.13	24.5%	12.3%	2.8%	.297	3.48	22.2%	14.6%	150	-0.65	3.03	492	80
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.39	24.3%	10.6%	249	-0.81	2.95	349	80
Cristian Hernandez R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	20	SP	5.38	21.1%	11.4%	4.8%	.291	4.35	19.3%	11.7%	169	-1.03	3.22	302	79
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	53	25.9%	9.8%	1.07	4.08
Jason Grilli ('17)	3.4	53	23.4%	9.8%	1.00	4.22
Brian Fuentes ('12)	3.1	56	24.4%	9.8%	0.94	3.62
Will Smith ('24)	3.3	59	27.4%	8.7%	1.16	3.85
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Ed Nunez ('82-'94, 2 WAR*)	3.3	54	24.5%*	9.5%*	1.24*	4.37*