Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 3 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 23.1% | 2.6% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 1.48 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 3 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 23.1% | 2.6% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 1.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 6 | 37 | 149 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 60% | 3.7 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 2.43 | 3.05 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 26 | 109 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 63 | 258 | 66 | 26 | 3 | — | — | 25.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 1.3% | 3.27 | 3.63 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 27 | 115 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 90 | 30 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.97 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 9 | 46 | 188 | 36 | 18 | 0 | 69% | 3.6 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 2.91 | 2.72 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 39 | 200 | 812 | 156 | 80 | 0 | 69% | 3.6 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 2.91 | 2.72 | +6.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sadbiel Delzine (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.35 | 23.9% | 13.8% | 27 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 86 |
| Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 83 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 82 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 81 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 80 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 80 |
| Jose Acuna R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.34 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .242 | 4.99 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 207 | +1.65 | 3.34 | 356 | 79 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2029 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Anderson Brito R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 79 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 79 |
| Carlos Naveda R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .297 | 2.63 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 64 | -1.14 | 2.63 | 120 | 79 |
| Porter Hodge R 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 79 |
| Jordy Vargas R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.46 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 6.3% | 95 | +0.10 | 3.02 | 257 | 78 |
| Moises Castillo R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 78 |
| Andry Lara R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | .294 | 4.81 | 16.6% | 6.7% | 334 | -0.13 | 4.48 | 504 | 78 |
| Dario Gardea R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.51 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 50 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 205 | 78 |
| Alexander Cornielle R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.08 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.2% | .329 | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 312 | +0.26 | 3.85 | 502 | 78 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.94 | 22.5% | 14.8% | 1.6% | .264 | 5.65 | 16.1% | -2.1% | 40 | +1.71 | 3.94 | 216 | 78 |
| Gilberto Batista R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.97 | 22.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .323 | 5.20 | 15.0% | 4.5% | 187 | +1.23 | 3.97 | 227 | 77 |
| Marco Raya R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.7% | 10.4% | 1.14 | 4.43 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |