Cristian Hernandez
P Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+PHI | 29 | 9 | 75 | 4.70 | 3.29 | 20.7% | 5.9% | — | K 16.0% · BB 6.8% · FIP 4.30 | |
| 2023 | 22 | AAPHI | 35 | 4 | 52 | 3.66 | 4.34 | 28.7% | 9.6% | — | K 23.2% · BB 10.5% · FIP 5.20 | |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 3.50 | 2.67 | 25.6% | 5.8% | — | K 20.5% · BB 5.7% · FIP 3.42 | |
| 2025 | 24 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBPHI | — | — | 0 | 4.22 | 4.22 | 22.4% | 7.9% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 4.25 | 4.27 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 13 | 63 | 265 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 2.57 | 3.22 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 13 | 63 | 265 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.5% | 3.8% | 14.7% | 0.8% | 2.57 | 2.43 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 76 | 319 | 94 | 29 | 12 | 85% | 3.8 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.57 | 5.38 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 76 | 319 | 94 | 29 | 12 | 85% | 3.8 | 29.5% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 3.8% | 3.57 | 3.83 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 29 | 9 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 19 | 7 | 31% | 2.6 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 29 | 9 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 19 | 7 | 31% | 2.6 | 20.7% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 4.70 | 3.29 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 4 | 52 | 230 | 66 | 22 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 3.66 | 5.20 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 4 | 52 | 230 | 66 | 22 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 3.66 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 5.7% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 3.50 | 3.42 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 5.7% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 3.50 | 3.42 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 25.6% | 5.8% | 19.7% | 1.8% | 3.50 | 2.67 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.89 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 72 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.89 | +1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 137 | 44 | 319 | 1360 | 251 | 108 | 45 | 32% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.64 | 4.35 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 86 | 28 | 200 | 853 | 158 | 67 | 28 | 32% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.64 | 4.35 | +0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 42 IPFIP 2.88 → 3.42 (+0.54)K% 25.3% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.29% | — | ×0.810 | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.17% | — | ×1.100 | 5.69% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.30% | ÷1.137 | ×1.200 | 2.43% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 127).
Result: FIP 2.88 → 3.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 8 IPFIP 0.62 → 1.36 (+0.74)K% 34.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 34.48% | — | ×0.770 | 26.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.45% | — | ×1.150 | 3.97% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).
Result: FIP 0.62 → 1.36, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 4 IPFIP 3.73 → 4.40 (+0.67)K% 15.0% → 11.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.00% | — | ×0.740 | 11.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.00% | — | ×1.180 | 17.70% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 123).
Result: FIP 3.73 → 4.40, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 52 IPFIP 4.27 → 5.20 (+0.92)K% 28.7% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.70% | — | ×0.810 | 23.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.57% | — | ×1.100 | 10.52% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.35% | ÷1.050 | ×1.200 | 4.97% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 110).
Result: FIP 4.27 → 5.20, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 75 IPFIP 3.28 → 4.30 (+1.01)K% 20.7% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.74% | — | ×0.770 | 15.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 5.88% | — | ×1.150 | 6.76% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.17% | ÷0.881 | ×1.250 | 3.08% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 76).
Result: FIP 3.28 → 4.30, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 71 IPFIP 3.91 → 5.38 (+1.47)K% 28.6% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.57% | — | ×0.740 | 21.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.63% | — | ×1.180 | 11.37% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.65% | ÷0.993 | ×1.300 | 4.78% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).
Result: FIP 3.91 → 5.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKDSL Phillies Red · 63 IPFIP 2.43 → 3.22 (+0.78)K% 18.5% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.49% | — | ×0.680 | 12.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.77% | — | ×1.250 | 4.72% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 1.06% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.43 → 3.22, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).