Cristian Hernandez

Cristian Hernandez P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.27

FIP4.27

K%22.0%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%14.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	13	13	63	265	49	10	2	100%	4.8	12.6%	4.7%	7.9%	1.1%	2.57	3.22	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	13	13	63	265	49	10	2	100%	4.8	18.5%	3.8%	14.7%	0.8%	2.57	2.43	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	17	76	319	94	29	12	85%	3.8	21.1%	11.4%	9.8%	4.8%	3.57	5.38	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	17	76	319	94	29	12	85%	3.8	29.5%	9.1%	20.4%	3.8%	3.57	3.83	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	29	9	75	323	67	19	7	31%	2.6	16.0%	6.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.70	4.30	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	29	9	75	323	67	19	7	31%	2.6	20.7%	5.9%	14.9%	2.2%	4.70	3.29	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	4	52	230	66	22	10	11%	1.5	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	5.0%	3.66	5.20	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	4	52	230	66	22	10	11%	1.5	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	5.0%	3.66	5.20	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	35	4	52	230	66	22	10	11%	1.5	28.7%	9.6%	19.1%	4.3%	3.66	4.34	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	20.5%	5.7%	14.8%	2.4%	3.50	3.42	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	20.5%	5.7%	14.8%	2.4%	3.50	3.42	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	25.6%	5.8%	19.7%	1.8%	3.50	2.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	PHI	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.0%	7.7%	14.2%	3.0%	4.27	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	46	0	49	205	46	16	6	0%	1.1	22.3%	7.8%	14.5%	3.0%	4.26	4.25	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	46	0	48	202	45	16	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.0%	14.4%	3.1%	4.28	4.29	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	20	7	3	0%	1.1	22.3%	7.8%	14.5%	3.0%	4.26	4.25	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	29	0	30	127	28	10	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.0%	14.4%	3.1%	4.28	4.29	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	52	218	49	17	7	0%	1.1	22.3%	7.9%	14.4%	3.1%	4.27	3.90	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	66	27	0%	1.1	22.3%	7.9%	14.4%	3.1%	4.27	3.90	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		137	44	319	1360	251	108	45	32%	2.3	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.64	4.35	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	28	200	853	158	67	28	32%	2.3	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.64	4.35	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristian Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.27	22.0%	7.7%	3.0%	—	4.27	22.3%	14.4%	96	-0.00	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	79
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	78
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	77
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	77
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	77
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	76
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	75
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	75
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	74
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,014	74
Miguel Sánchez R 2019 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.3%	9.0%	2.2%	.305	4.59	19.1%	9.7%	83	+0.94	2.54	309	74
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	74
Brad Bass R 2021 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	247	74
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	74
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	74
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	73
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	22.3%	7.9%	1.18	4.27
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21