Cristian Hernandez
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117107vR 98
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%22.8%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 13 | 63 | 265 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 2.57 | 3.22 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 13 | 63 | 265 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.5% | 3.8% | 14.7% | 0.8% | 2.57 | 2.43 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 76 | 319 | 94 | 29 | 12 | 85% | 3.8 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.57 | 5.40 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 76 | 319 | 94 | 29 | 12 | 85% | 3.8 | 29.5% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 3.8% | 3.57 | 3.83 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 29 | 9 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 19 | 7 | 31% | 2.6 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 29 | 9 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 19 | 7 | 31% | 2.6 | 20.7% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 4.70 | 3.29 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 4 | 52 | 230 | 66 | 22 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 3.66 | 5.07 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 35 | 4 | 52 | 230 | 66 | 22 | 10 | 11% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 3.66 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 5.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 3.50 | 3.28 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 1 | 54 | 223 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 25.6% | 5.8% | 19.7% | 1.8% | 3.50 | 2.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 25 | 0 | 27 | 112 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 25 | 0 | 27 | 112 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 69 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 44 | 319 | 1360 | 251 | 108 | 45 | 32% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.64 | 4.37 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 28 | 200 | 853 | 158 | 67 | 28 | 32% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 3.64 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cristian Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.1% | 14.4% | 27 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 77 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 77 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 75 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 75 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 75 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 74 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 74 |
| Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 74 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 74 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 74 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 74 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 73 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 73 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.0% | 8.6% | 1.16 | 4.28 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |