Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 10 | 8 | 39 | 161 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 80% | 3.9 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 2.31 | 3.46 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 10 | 8 | 39 | 161 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 80% | 3.9 | 29.2% | 6.8% | 22.4% | 1.2% | 2.31 | 2.20 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 14 | 80 | 323 | 90 | 28 | 3 | 74% | 4.2 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 1.68 | 3.43 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 14 | 80 | 323 | 90 | 28 | 3 | 74% | 4.2 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 0.9% | 1.68 | 2.39 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 4 | 18 | 101 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 40% | 1.8 | 17.9% | 21.0% | -3.2% | 5.2% | 9.33 | 7.12 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 4 | 18 | 101 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 40% | 1.8 | 21.8% | 18.8% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.33 | 8.77 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 80 | 24 | 6 | 67% | 3.8 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 2.78 | 4.03 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 80 | 24 | 6 | 67% | 3.8 | 27.8% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 2.1% | 2.78 | 2.95 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 7 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.6% | 29.6% | -14.0% | 0.0% | 8.68 | 5.54 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 7 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 26.9% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 8.68 | 5.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.5 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.08 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 80 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 38 | 215 | 925 | 187 | 107 | 22 | 59% | 3.4 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.10 | 4.14 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 35 | 200 | 860 | 174 | 100 | 20 | 59% | 3.4 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 3.10 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Glogoski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 74 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 72 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 69 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 68 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 67 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 67 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 66 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 65 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 65 |
| Tylor Megill R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.70 | 25.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .302 | 3.90 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 359 | +0.20 | 3.01 | 603 | 65 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 65 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 64 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 64 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.29 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.3% | .338 | 5.98 | 16.1% | 9.1% | 93 | +2.69 | 2.78 | 181 | 64 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 64 |
| Kyle Wright R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .354 | 5.32 | 20.2% | 4.7% | 13 | +0.91 | 3.32 | 669 | 64 |
| Trent Sellers R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.09 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 4.0% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 236 | 64 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 63 |