Porter Hodge — OGILVIE

Porter Hodge P Chicago Cubs

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.21

FIP4.41

K%28.8%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%15.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3535

CMD5555

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p7727.2%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

FB-2.9 (50%)

SL-3.9 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	5	4	8	43	4	8	0	80%	1.6	9.3%	18.6%	-9.3%	0.0%	10.12	4.67	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	5	4	8	43	4	8	0	80%	1.6	9.3%	18.6%	-9.3%	0.0%	10.12	5.10	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	51	235	64	17	5	71%	3.6	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	2.9%	5.86	4.20	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	10	51	235	64	17	5	71%	3.6	27.2%	7.2%	20.0%	2.1%	5.86	2.86	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	109	466	141	55	4	96%	4.4	22.7%	13.8%	8.9%	1.2%	2.63	3.57	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	109	466	141	55	4	96%	4.4	30.3%	11.8%	18.5%	0.9%	2.63	2.51	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	35	12	81	361	103	47	3	34%	2.3	23.1%	14.3%	8.8%	0.9%	5.13	3.47	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	35	12	81	361	103	47	3	34%	2.3	23.1%	14.3%	8.8%	0.9%	5.13	3.47	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	35	12	81	361	103	47	3	34%	2.3	28.5%	13.0%	15.5%	0.8%	5.13	2.78	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	63	254	80	32	3	0%	1.2	28.6%	12.4%	16.2%	1.3%	2.73	2.97	+1.2
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	63	254	80	32	3	0%	1.2	28.6%	12.4%	16.2%	1.3%	2.73	2.97	+1.2
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	54	0	63	254	80	32	3	0%	1.2	31.5%	12.6%	18.9%	1.2%	2.73	2.70	+1.4
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	49	224	66	32	10	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.6%	13.9%	4.6%	6.39	5.03	-0.3
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	49	224	66	32	10	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.6%	13.9%	4.6%	6.39	5.03	-0.3
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	49	224	66	32	10	0%	1.0	29.5%	14.3%	15.2%	4.5%	6.39	5.01	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			75	0	76	311	92	36	11	0%	1.0	29.6%	11.6%	18.0%	3.5%	3.79	3.98	+0.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	28.8%	12.9%	15.9%	3.1%	4.21	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56	0	58	247	70	31	8	0%	1.0	28.5%	12.5%	16.0%	3.1%	4.31	4.38	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55	0	58	243	68	30	8	0%	1.0	28.1%	12.3%	15.7%	3.2%	4.37	4.41	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	53	0	56	236	67	30	7	0%	1.1	28.5%	12.5%	16.0%	3.1%	4.31	4.38	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52	0	55	232	65	29	7	0%	1.1	28.1%	12.3%	15.7%	3.2%	4.37	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	0	186	777	224	94	26	0%	1.0	28.8%	12.1%	16.7%	3.3%	4.12	4.01	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	0	200	834	240	101	28	0%	1.0	28.8%	12.1%	16.7%	3.3%	4.12	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		184	50	361	1583	373	207	29	27%	2.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.5%	1.8%	4.34	3.78	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	28	200	878	207	115	16	27%	2.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.5%	1.8%	4.34	3.78	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Porter Hodge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	28.8%	12.9%	3.1%	—	4.39	28.3%	15.8%	116	-0.02	—	—	—
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	78
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	77
Steven Wilson R 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	27.2%	10.7%	3.3%	.271	3.81	29.3%	19.9%	92	-0.18	3.64	328	76
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	75
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	75
Arodys Vizcaíno R 2016 · 3.36 FIP	25	SU	3.36	27.5%	12.6%	1.8%	.321	3.49	26.4%	17.8%	96	+0.13	2.28	183	74
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	74
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	74
Conor Grammes R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	28.6%	16.8%	3.3%	.293	4.52	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.12	4.11	171	74
Zach Greene R 2022 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	29.3%	11.7%	4.2%	.268	5.06	15.7%	0.8%	28	+0.67	2.10	172	74
Magnus Ellerts R 2023 · 3.61 FIP	22	SU	3.61	29.5%	11.5%	2.8%	.325	3.98	27.0%	10.2%	118	+0.37	3.56	159	73
Jordan Leasure R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	24	SU	4.45	31.3%	11.5%	4.6%	.295	4.98	25.7%	14.7%	114	+0.53	4.33	212	73
Eduard Santos R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	28.1%	15.2%	1.6%	.265	3.49	24.0%	10.0%	79	-0.02	2.04	138	73
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	73
Justin Sterner R 2022 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	26.5%	9.6%	4.3%	.266	4.35	25.8%	18.1%	166	-0.11	3.90	294	73
Argenis Angulo R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	27.6%	13.4%	2.9%	.263	6.43	21.0%	5.6%	58	+2.34	3.03	245	73
Josh Staumont R 2019 · 4.36 FIP	25	SW	4.36	25.9%	15.1%	2.8%	.263	3.57	27.6%	14.9%	129	-0.79	3.18	618	72
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	72
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	72
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	25	SU	3.40	28.4%	15.2%	1.4%	.310	2.25	34.4%	23.1%	152	-1.15	1.79	392	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	57	28.4%	12.6%	1.22	4.30
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33