Porter Hodge — OGILVIE

Porter Hodge P Chicago Cubs

+0.1 WAR

INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2027

ERA4.32

FIP4.57

xFIP4.03

SIERA3.80

K%26.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%14.4%

IP47

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2027

STUF6060

CTRL3535

CMD5555

K†6565

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p7727.2%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

FB-2.9 (50%)

SL-3.9 (49%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	5	4	8	43	4	8	0	—	—	—	10.12	—	—
2021	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	14	10	51	235	64	17	5	19.3%	8.8%	2.8%	5.86	4.14	+0.5
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	25	24	109	466	141	55	4	22.7%	13.8%	1.2%	2.63	3.57	+2.1
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	35	12	81	361	103	47	3	23.1%	14.3%	0.9%	5.13	3.46	+1.5
2024	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	54	0	63	254	80	32	3	29.0%	13.2%	1.3%	2.73	3.01	+1.4
2025	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	51	0	49	224	66	32	10	28.1%	14.6%	4.6%	6.39	5.11	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	CHC	14	—	14	60	17	8	2	28.8%	12.7%	3.1%	4.17	4.37	+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	26	MLB	CHC	47	—	47	198	57	24	6	28.5%	12.3%	3.1%	4.27	4.34	+0.3
2028	27	MLB	CHC	47	—	47	197	55	24	6	28.1%	12.1%	3.1%	4.32	4.35	+0.3
2029	28	MLB	CHC	46	—	46	194	54	23	6	27.9%	12.0%	3.2%	4.35	4.37	+0.3
2030	29	MLB	CHC	45	—	45	190	52	23	6	27.3%	12.0%	3.2%	4.41	4.45	+0.3
2031	30	MLB	CHC	44	—	44	184	49	22	6	26.7%	12.1%	3.3%	4.49	4.54	+0.2
2032	31	MLB	CHC	42	—	42	178	46	22	6	26.1%	12.2%	3.3%	4.58	4.64	+0.1
2033	32	MLB	CHC	40	—	40	171	43	21	6	25.5%	12.4%	3.4%	4.69	4.76	+0.1
2034	33	MLB	CHC	39	—	39	163	40	20	6	24.8%	12.5%	3.5%	4.81	4.89	+0.0
2035	34	MLB	CHC	37	—	37	155	37	20	6	24.1%	12.7%	3.6%	4.94	5.03	-0.0
2036	35	MLB	CHC	35	—	35	146	34	19	5	23.4%	13.0%	3.7%	5.08	5.18	-0.1
2037	36	MLB	CHC	32	—	32	137	31	18	5	22.6%	13.2%	3.8%	5.24	5.34	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			184	50	361	1583	375	211	29	23.7%	13.3%	1.8%	4.34	3.79	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—			102	28	200	878	208	117	16	23.7%	13.3%	1.8%	4.34	3.79	+3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Porter Hodge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	28.8%	12.7%	3.1%	—	4.35	28.2%	16.1%	140	-0.02	—	—	—
Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.82 FIP	25	SU	3.82	28.1%	11.7%	2.9%	.282	4.76	19.3%	1.3%	95	+0.94	3.72	164	86
Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	104	85
Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.37 FIP	25	SU	3.37	27.5%	12.6%	1.8%	.321	3.59	26.4%	17.8%	96	+0.22	2.27	183	83
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.64 FIP	24	SU	4.64	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.50	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.14	2.78	181	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	24.5%	13.2%	2.8%	.256	4.33	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.08	3.88	180	79
Justin Sterner R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	26.5%	9.6%	4.3%	.266	4.42	26.5%	18.0%	166	-0.04	3.97	252	79
Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.02 FIP	24	SW	4.02	27.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.271	3.68	29.3%	19.9%	92	-0.34	3.61	311	79
Conor Grammes R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	28.6%	16.8%	3.2%	.293	4.50	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.08	4.08	171	78
Jason Adam R 2027 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	25.9%	11.0%	5.1%	.241	3.31	29.4%	18.8%	60	-1.80	2.40	362	78
Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.39 FIP	27	SW	3.39	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.39	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.39	132	78
Shohei Ohtani R 2025 · 3.46 FIP	24	SW	3.46	29.9%	10.4%	2.9%	.267	3.11	29.3%	21.4%	130	-0.35	1.69	545	78
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.74 FIP	25	SU	3.74	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.39	22.5%	13.6%	185	+0.65	3.74	223	77
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	24.5%	9.5%	2.7%	.232	5.13	18.0%	7.0%	180	+1.43	3.70	223	77
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	25.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.299	5.28	22.4%	6.5%	121	+1.38	3.90	158	77
Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.40 FIP	25	SU	3.40	28.4%	15.2%	1.4%	.310	2.26	34.4%	23.1%	152	-1.14	1.79	392	77
Logan Boyer R 2027 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	25.0%	12.3%	2.1%	.267	4.91	17.9%	1.6%	54	+1.21	3.70	121	77
Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.51	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.09	3.51	103	77
Matt Pobereyko R 2026 · 3.25 FIP	25	SU	3.25	27.4%	11.6%	1.8%	.324	3.89	21.3%	8.6%	48	+0.64	2.75	112	77
Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	25	SU	3.48	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.81	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.33	3.04	230	77
Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.87 FIP	25	SU	3.87	31.3%	11.6%	3.5%	.256	4.72	24.1%	7.0%	72	+0.85	2.23	256	77

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.