Porter Hodge
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.20
FIP4.41
K%29.1%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%15.5%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p5926.7%
K%
p7727.2%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
FB-2.9 (50%)
SL-3.9 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 80% | 1.6 | 9.3% | 18.6% | -9.3% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 4.67 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 80% | 1.6 | 9.3% | 18.6% | -9.3% | 0.0% | 10.12 | 5.10 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 51 | 235 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 71% | 3.6 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.86 | 4.18 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 51 | 235 | 64 | 17 | 5 | 71% | 3.6 | 27.2% | 7.2% | 20.0% | 2.1% | 5.86 | 2.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 109 | 466 | 141 | 55 | 4 | 96% | 4.4 | 22.7% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 2.63 | 3.61 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 109 | 466 | 141 | 55 | 4 | 96% | 4.4 | 30.3% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 0.9% | 2.63 | 2.51 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 35 | 12 | 81 | 361 | 103 | 47 | 3 | 34% | 2.3 | 23.1% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 5.13 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 35 | 12 | 81 | 361 | 103 | 47 | 3 | 34% | 2.3 | 28.5% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 0.8% | 5.13 | 2.78 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 63 | 254 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 1.2% | 2.73 | 2.98 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 0 | 63 | 254 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.5% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 1.2% | 2.73 | 2.70 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 224 | 66 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 6.39 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 224 | 66 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 4.5% | 6.39 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 48 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 56 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 71 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 55 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 69 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 68 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 66 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 180 | 0 | 186 | 777 | 225 | 96 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.02 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 834 | 242 | 103 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 184 | 50 | 361 | 1583 | 375 | 211 | 28 | 27% | 2.0 | 23.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 4.34 | 3.77 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 102 | 28 | 200 | 878 | 208 | 117 | 16 | 27% | 2.0 | 23.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 4.34 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Porter Hodge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 29.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.40 | 28.5% | 15.6% | 116 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 78 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 76 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 76 |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 75 |
| Conor Grammes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.03 | 28.6% | 16.8% | 4.0% | .293 | 4.37 | 20.8% | 1.1% | 128 | -0.66 | 3.89 | 171 | 74 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .265 | 3.62 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | +0.13 | 2.04 | 138 | 74 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.29 | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .321 | 3.49 | 26.4% | 17.8% | 96 | +0.20 | 2.25 | 183 | 73 |
| Zach Greene R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 29.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .268 | 5.27 | 16.6% | -0.8% | 28 | +0.89 | 2.10 | 172 | 73 |
| Josh Staumont R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.34 | 25.9% | 15.1% | 2.8% | .263 | 3.55 | 27.6% | 14.9% | 129 | -0.79 | 3.17 | 618 | 73 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 28.4% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .310 | 2.25 | 34.4% | 23.1% | 152 | -1.18 | 1.75 | 392 | 73 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 73 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.61 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.49 | 3.07 | 245 | 73 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 73 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 73 |
| Matt Jachec R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 72 |
| Tyler Schimpf R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.74 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 4.2% | .253 | 8.29 | 11.8% | -16.6% | 14 | +3.55 | 3.35 | 126 | 72 |
| Matt Pobereyko R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.25 | 27.4% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .324 | 3.81 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 48 | +0.56 | 2.75 | 112 | 72 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.22 | 26.2% | 15.8% | 2.4% | .319 | 3.56 | 24.9% | 14.0% | 173 | -0.66 | 3.06 | 331 | 71 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 52 | 28.6% | 13.1% | 1.19 | 4.30 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |