Chasen Shreve
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.0
WAR
Age 36
LHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
AAA
ERA4.61
FIP4.59
xFIP3.17
SIERA-1.18
K%21.4%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%12.9%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4545
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p1090.5
Whiff%
p7028.5%
K%
p5623.3%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
SL (30%)
FB (30%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 60 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 64 | 32 | 10 | 25.5% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 2.97 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | 50 | 1 | 50 | 202 | 53 | 20 | 9 | 25.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 3.99 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 53 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 77 | 25 | 8 | 29.3% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 3.34 | 4.12 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 60 | 0 | 53 | 235 | 62 | 27 | 11 | 26.4% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 3.93 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 54 | 0 | 62 | 255 | 70 | 27 | 6 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 3.63 | 3.95 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 17 | 0 | 25 | 102 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 3.96 | 3.91 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59 | 0 | 58 | 242 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 19.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 3.09 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.81 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 56 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 15 | 8 | 23.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 3.79 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 0 | 35 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 6 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.55 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 35 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 5 | 4 | 18 | 79 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 13.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.60 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 18 | — | 18 | 78 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 476 | 5 | 498 | 2091 | 517 | 219 | 79 | 24.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 3.74 | 4.41 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 2 | 200 | 840 | 208 | 88 | 32 | 24.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 3.74 | 4.41 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chasen Shreve (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | — | 4.95 | 18.6% | 9.7% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | .308 | 5.15 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.81 | 4.28 | 159 | 80 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.19 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.32 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.13 | 2.38 | 306 | 80 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.40 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .290 | 3.21 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.19 | 3.21 | 156 | 79 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.98 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 166 | 73 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | +0.09 | 3.99 | 405 | 70 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.99 | 15.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .272 | 5.26 | 14.5% | 6.5% | 141 | +0.27 | 2.69 | 1,144 | 66 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 65 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 64 |
| Marlon Arias L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 63 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 62 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.91 | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 198 | 59 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.79 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.94 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.15 | 4.49 | 408 | 59 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 58 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.75 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 215 | 58 |
| J.P. Howell L 2024 · 5.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.97 | 11.5% | 13.5% | 3.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 106 | 54 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 45 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 42 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.64 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 609 | 41 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.59 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 119 | 40 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 39 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.