Brayan Cortesia

SS FCL Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2246ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKWSH	150	.317/.446/.358	0	22	59	—	.211/.318/.242
2026	18	ROKWSH	176	.243/.381/.257	0	20	32	—	.169/.273/.175
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBWSH	286	.198/.274/.264	2	7	55	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBWSH	49	.203/.280/.278	1	1	61	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBWSH	119	.207/.285/.292	2	2	66	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$1M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed60

Z-Con%53

BB%45

wRC+34

wOBA27

Chase%25

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Denzer Guzman (age 19) · Ricardo Cova (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .272 / .262

PA91

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	176	144	35	2	0	0	26	52	6	20	4	243	381	257	638	14	380	30	15	312	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	128	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	211	318	242	560	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	154	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	169	273	175	448	6	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	128	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	211	318	242	560	31	273	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	154	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	169	273	175	448	6	329	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	176	144	35	2	0	0	26	52	6	20	4	243	381	257	638	14	380	30	15	312	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	129	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	209	318	240	558	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	152	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	171	273	178	450	7	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	129	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	209	318	240	558	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	152	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	171	273	178	450	7	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	286	257	51	7	2	2	23	85	4	7	1	198	274	264	539	67	283	30	8	250	55	-15	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	143	128	27	4	1	2	12	42	2	3	1	203	281	281	561	77	285	29	8	259	61	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	245	219	45	7	1	3	20	70	4	5	1	208	286	295	580	87	287	29	8	266	66	-10	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	356	318	67	10	2	5	30	101	5	6	1	212	290	306	595	94	288	28	8	272	71	-12	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	428	383	81	12	2	7	36	119	6	7	2	215	293	315	608	100	289	28	8	277	74	-13	+1	-2	+5	+9	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	474	424	93	14	3	9	40	131	7	8	2	217	295	323	618	105	290	28	8	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	501	447	98	15	3	9	42	138	7	8	2	218	295	324	619	106	290	28	8	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	516	460	101	15	3	10	44	142	7	8	2	218	295	324	620	107	290	28	9	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	520	464	100	15	3	9	44	144	7	8	2	217	294	322	616	105	289	28	8	280	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	516	460	100	15	3	9	44	144	7	7	2	215	293	317	610	102	289	28	9	278	74	-16	+1	-2	+6	+11	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	505	450	96	14	3	8	43	142	7	6	2	213	290	311	601	99	287	28	9	274	72	-17	+0	-3	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	49	44	9	1	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	203	280	278	559	76	284	29	8	258	61	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	119	106	23	3	1	2	10	34	2	2	0	207	285	292	577	85	286	29	8	265	66	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	193	172	36	5	1	3	16	55	3	3	1	211	289	304	593	93	287	28	8	271	71	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	242	217	46	7	1	4	20	67	3	4	1	214	292	313	605	99	288	28	8	276	74	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	268	239	52	8	1	5	23	74	4	5	1	217	295	321	615	104	289	28	9	280	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	283	253	54	8	1	5	24	78	4	5	1	217	295	322	617	105	289	28	8	281	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	291	260	56	9	1	5	25	80	4	5	1	217	295	322	617	105	289	27	9	281	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	288	258	55	8	1	5	24	80	4	4	1	216	294	320	614	104	289	28	8	280	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	283	253	54	8	1	5	24	79	4	4	1	215	292	315	607	101	288	28	8	277	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	293	262	55	8	1	5	25	83	4	4	1	212	289	309	599	97	287	28	9	274	72	-10	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2309	2064	440	65	9	40	195	644	33	37	8	213	291	312	603	98	288	28	8	277	71	-71	+4	-9	+25	+50	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	124	18	3	11	55	181	9	10	2	213	291	312	603	98	288	28	8	277	71	-20	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4621	4118	878	126	26	72	395	1306	69	110	34	213	293	309	602	96	292	28	9	274	71	-136	+7	-16	+46	+93	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	124	18	4	10	56	184	10	15	5	214	295	311	606	97	293	28	9	274	71	-21	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Nationals · 176 PAwOBA .306 → .216 (−89)K% 29.5% → 42.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	42.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.77%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	9.23%
HBP% /PA	3.41%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.47%
Singles /BIP	35.87%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	31.12%
Doubles /BIP	2.17%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	1.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .216; ISO .014 → .009; BABIP .380 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Nationals · 150 PAwOBA .369 → .255 (−114)K% 16.7% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	20.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.46%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.41%
Singles /BIP	35.79%	÷1.025	×0.680	×1.002	×1.008	23.95%
Doubles /BIP	3.16%	÷0.999	×0.600	×1.002	×1.008	1.91%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷0.999	×0.600	×1.002	×1.008	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.300	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .369 → .255; ISO .042 → .026; BABIP .392 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,402	40	39	215	290	316	+26	-12	2.1	2.1
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	-3.3	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Andujar Cedeno'90-'96 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,233 PA	3.4	2,233	47	26	228*	284*	371*	+24	-20	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Johnnie LeMaster'75-'87 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,515 PA	5.3	3,515	22	94	218*	275*	313*	+37	-13	-3.1	-0.9
/162	664	4	18	+7.0	-2.4	-0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cortesia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	196/272/262	66	283	1	2	30%	8%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Emerson Landoni 2008 · A	19	43→53	35→40	45	45	201/274/257	56	276	2	7	26%	7%	54	-2.0	223/278/293	70	290	4	8	23%	6%	63	-1.3	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0

Brayan Cortesia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps