Brayan Cortesia — OGILVIE

Brayan CortesiaSS DSL Nationals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.9 · 2034

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .282 / .319

PA125

HR2

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗45

PWR

30↗40

SPD

45→45

FLD

40↗45

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.2peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.7	$36M	+$35M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.9	$40M	+$39M
2035	Arb-1	$8M	+3.9	$41M	+$33M
2036	Arb-2	$13M	+3.7	$40M	+$27M
2037	Arb-3	$18M	+3.5	$39M	+$20M
Totals		$42M		$228M	+$185M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	150	130	30	2	1	0	15	38	3	22	13	.231	.324	.262	.586	.031	.319	25	10	.264	60	-7	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	WSH	125	113	24	4	1	2	10	37	1	2	1	.212	.282	.319	.601	.106	.289	30	8	.275	69	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	WSH	214	189	43	7	1	5	20	59	3	4	1	.228	.311	.354	.666	.127	.302	28	9	.302	89	-3	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.5
2028	20	MLB 28%	WSH	348	306	72	12	2	9	34	93	5	7	2	.235	.322	.376	.698	.141	.308	27	10	.314	99	-0	+1	-2	+4	+10	1.2
2029	21	MLB 48%	WSH	449	394	95	16	3	12	46	117	6	9	2	.241	.330	.388	.718	.147	.308	26	10	.322	105	+3	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.9
2030	22	MLB 65%	WSH	521	454	111	19	3	15	55	132	7	10	2	.244	.335	.399	.734	.154	.308	25	11	.329	110	+6	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.5
2031	23	MLB 86%	WSH	570	495	122	20	4	17	62	142	8	10	2	.246	.340	.406	.746	.160	.308	25	11	.335	114	+9	+1	-3	+6	+16	3.1
2032	24	MLB	WSH	601	520	130	22	4	19	67	148	9	10	2	.250	.346	.417	.763	.167	.309	25	11	.339	117	+12	+1	-3	+6	+17	3.4
2033	25	MLB	WSH	620	536	134	22	4	20	70	151	9	10	2	.250	.346	.418	.764	.168	.309	24	11	.342	120	+14	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.7
2034	26	MLB	WSH	629	543	136	22	4	21	72	153	9	10	2	.250	.348	.422	.769	.171	.310	24	11	.344	121	+15	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.9
2035	27	MLB	WSH	629	542	136	22	4	21	73	154	9	10	2	.251	.349	.423	.772	.172	.310	24	12	.344	121	+15	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.9
2036	28	MLB	WSH	625	538	134	22	4	20	73	154	9	10	1	.249	.348	.416	.765	.167	.310	25	12	.343	120	+14	+2	-4	+7	+18	3.7
2037	29	MLB	WSH	616	530	132	22	4	20	72	154	9	9	1	.249	.349	.419	.767	.170	.309	25	12	.340	119	+13	+1	-4	+7	+17	3.5
2038	30	MLB	WSH	605	520	128	21	4	19	71	153	9	9	1	.246	.347	.412	.758	.165	.307	25	12	.337	116	+11	+1	-5	+6	+17	3.2
2039	31	MLB	WSH	591	509	123	20	3	18	69	152	8	7	0	.242	.341	.399	.740	.157	.306	26	12	.334	113	+9	+1	-6	+6	+17	2.8
2040	32	MLB	WSH	573	493	117	19	3	17	67	150	8	7	0	.237	.338	.391	.730	.154	.305	26	12	.329	110	+6	+1	-6	+6	+16	2.4
2041	33	MLB	WSH	543	468	109	17	3	15	63	146	7	6	0	.233	.333	.378	.711	.145	.303	27	12	.323	106	+3	+1	-7	+6	+15	1.9
2042	34	MLB	WSH	496	428	97	15	3	13	58	138	7	6	0	.227	.329	.367	.695	.140	.302	28	12	.317	101	+0	+1	-7	+5	+14	1.4
2043	35	MLB	WSH	440	380	84	13	2	11	51	127	6	6	0	.221	.323	.353	.675	.132	.299	29	12	.309	95	-3	+1	-8	+5	+12	0.8
2044	36	MLB	WSH	379	328	71	11	2	9	43	113	5	5	0	.216	.316	.345	.661	.128	.297	30	11	.300	88	-5	+1	-8	+4	+11	0.3
2045	37	MLB	WSH	314	272	57	8	2	7	35	97	4	4	0	.210	.309	.331	.640	.121	.293	31	11	.290	80	-7	+1	-8	+3	+9	-0.2
2046	38	MLB	WSH	244	212	43	6	1	5	27	77	3	3	0	.203	.302	.311	.613	.108	.288	32	11	.280	72	-8	+1	-9	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10282	8900	2128	342	62	295	1153	2685	144	176	34	.239	.336	.391	.727	.152	.307	26	11	.327	108	+94	+22	-93	+110	+291	43.3
/ 162G	—			650	563	135	22	4	19	73	170	9	11	2	.240	.336	.394	.731	.155	.308	26	11	.327	108	+6	+1	-6	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	.317	.446	.358	.804	.042	.392	17	17	.373	143	+7	-1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cortesia (OGILVIE)	18	20→45	30→40	45	55	.209/.282/.319	.110	.289	2	2	29%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	42→46	41→50	48→45	47	.202/.283/.303	.101	.271	9	13	27%	9%	65	-0.7	.209/.282/.326	.117	.298	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	38→45	48→60	37	.201/.274/.283	.082	.302	4	8	32%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.294/.318	.100	.311	8	15	31%	6%	73	-0.1	.220/.298/.329	.109	.312	11	20	30%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	44→50	46	.203/.288/.316	.113	.290	11	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.198/.307/.305	.107	.277	10	9	29%	11%	77	+0.1	.175/.316/.285	.110	.237	10	11	27%	13%	76	+0.0
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	45→48	40→45	43→55	45	.209/.292/.297	.088	.310	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	.198/.280/.275	.077	.287	5	14	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.204/.287/.292	.088	.279	6	20	27%	10%	60	-0.5
●Willy Adames 2014 · A	18	44→53	37→60	43→50	55	.204/.304/.289	.085	.276	3	9	25%	11%	70	-0.3	.222/.290/.332	.110	.330	6	7	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	44	39→45	46→45	45	.210/.274/.293	.083	.255	7	5	20%	6%	58	-1.2	.229/.300/.339	.110	.279	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	.229/.297/.349	.120	.269	13	3	20%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
●Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	.201/.276/.273	.072	.254	4	6	22%	6%	54	-1.4	.211/.274/.284	.073	.251	4	6	17%	5%	55	-1.4	.277/.345/.403	.127	.328	13	14	19%	5%	112	+1.6
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	43→51	38→45	48→55	44	.204/.260/.288	.084	.278	4	8	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.202/.252/.277	.075	.241	4	10	17%	5%	43	-2.2	.241/.336/.380	.139	.254	14	26	11%	10%	103	+0.9
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	39→50	49→30	42	.212/.275/.295	.083	.309	6	6	31%	7%	58	-1.2	.222/.269/.326	.104	.290	9	4	26%	5%	63	-0.8	.221/.264/.326	.105	.281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	40→50	43→45	44	.205/.267/.300	.095	.269	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.185/.233/.263	.078	.242	5	4	25%	5%	31	-3.0	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	44	.204/.277/.282	.078	.314	6	9	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.209/.295/.306	.097	.329	7	14	35%	9%	70	-0.3	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→44	38→45	47→50	48	.204/.297/.283	.079	.259	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.209/.296/.303	.094	.253	9	16	20%	9%	70	-0.3	.214/.295/.320	.106	.256	12	19	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→41	42→45	44→50	46	.227/.316/.333	.107	.303	8	7	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.212/.309/.337	.125	.286	12	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.305/.339	.136	.270	15	9	28%	8%	81	+0.3
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→44	41→55	48→50	50	.198/.276/.300	.102	.259	8	6	26%	9%	60	-1.0	.193/.268/.290	.097	.299	8	7	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)