Brayan Cortesia — OGILVIE

Brayan CortesiaSS FCL Nationals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .274 / .243

PA110

HR1

SB5

K%33

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO51

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	130	30	2	1	0	15	38	3	22	13	231	324	262	586	31	319	25	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	166	147	25	1	0	0	14	71	5	19	3	170	265	177	442	7	329	43	8	212	20	-15	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	166	138	34	2	0	0	23	49	5	19	3	246	373	261	634	14	382	30	14	309	94	-1	+3	+0	+2	+5	0.8
ROS	18	ROK	WSH	0%	110	98	19	2	0	1	9	37	2	5	1	193	274	243	517	51	295	33	8	243	44	-7	+1	-1	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	18	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	231	35	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	WSH	—	166	148	25	1	0	0	14	71	5	19	3	169	265	176	441	7	325	43	8	212	20	-15	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
TOT	18	ROK	WSH	—	276	245	44	3	0	1	23	108	7	24	4	179	268	204	472	24	312	39	8	225	30	-22	+3	-1	+3	+8	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	289	258	52	7	1	3	24	93	5	7	1	202	282	271	554	70	299	32	8	259	56	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	406	362	76	10	2	6	34	127	7	9	2	210	290	298	589	88	300	31	8	269	64	-16	+1	-2	+4	+12	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	491	437	93	13	2	8	42	150	9	9	2	213	295	307	602	94	301	31	9	276	69	-17	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.1
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	549	487	106	15	2	10	47	165	10	10	2	218	300	318	618	101	302	30	9	280	72	-17	+1	-3	+6	+16	0.3
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	589	523	115	16	3	11	51	177	10	10	2	220	301	325	626	105	302	30	9	282	74	-17	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.4
2032	24	MLB	WSH	61%	614	545	119	17	3	11	53	184	11	10	2	218	300	321	622	103	303	30	9	284	76	-17	+1	-3	+7	+17	0.5
2033	25	MLB	WSH	59%	628	558	122	17	3	12	54	188	11	10	2	219	300	324	625	106	303	30	9	285	76	-17	+1	-3	+7	+18	0.6
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	99	89	17	2	0	1	8	32	2	2	0	191	273	247	520	56	299	32	8	247	47	-6	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	197	175	37	5	1	3	17	61	3	4	1	211	292	303	595	91	300	31	9	256	54	-10	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	266	236	50	7	1	4	23	81	5	5	1	212	295	301	596	89	301	30	9	263	59	-12	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	311	276	59	8	1	5	27	94	5	6	1	214	295	304	600	91	302	30	9	267	63	-13	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	339	301	66	9	2	6	29	102	6	6	1	219	301	322	623	103	302	30	9	269	64	-14	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.1
2032	24	MLB	WSH	61%	374	332	73	10	2	7	32	112	7	6	1	220	302	325	627	105	303	30	9	271	66	-15	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
2033	25	MLB	WSH	59%	368	326	72	10	2	7	32	110	7	6	1	221	304	328	632	107	303	30	9	272	66	-14	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1954	1736	374	51	9	33	168	592	35	35	6	215	298	312	610	97	304	30	9	266	62	-84	+5	-9	+21	+55	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	124	17	3	11	56	197	12	12	2	215	298	312	610	97	304	30	9	266	62	-28	+2	-3	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	3826	3398	732	99	17	62	329	1159	68	92	27	215	297	309	607	94	305	30	9	277	70	-130	+8	-17	+41	+108	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	125	17	3	11	56	197	12	16	5	217	299	314	613	97	306	30	9	277	70	-22	+1	-3	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	143	+7	-1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,123	35	39	215	293	311	+23	-10	1.7	1.8
	/162	664	11	12	215	293	311	+7.1	-3.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cortesia (OGILVIE)	18	20→45	30→40	45	55	179/268/204	24	312	1	24	39%	8%	30	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	39	35→40	41→45	40	185/261/243	58	280	3	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	212/286/295	83	307	6	6	31%	7%	63	-0.8	215/300/291	76	303	6	4	28%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Jadher Areinamo 2022 · A	18	45→52	35→45	46→55	45	208/270/271	63	267	2	8	22%	6%	50	-1.8	228/271/304	76	281	4	11	19%	5%	57	-1.2	231/276/355	124	264	14	19	18%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Juan Zabala 2017 · A	18	41	36→40	49→50	40	193/261/259	66	274	3	10	29%	6%	43	-2.2	185/266/247	62	249	2	7	24%	8%	43	-2.2	204/284/284	80	266	7	17	24%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1