Brayan Cortesia — OGILVIE

Brayan CortesiaSS FCL Nationals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .200 / .143

PA15

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	138	+7	-1	—	—	+3	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	130	30	2	1	0	15	37	3	22	13	231	324	262	586	31	311	25	10	270	69	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	130	30	2	1	0	15	37	3	22	13	231	324	262	586	31	316	25	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	131	30	2	1	0	15	37	3	22	13	229	324	260	584	31	311	25	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	131	30	2	1	0	15	37	3	22	13	229	324	260	584	31	311	25	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	WSH	—	176	154	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	169	273	175	448	6	329	43	9	215	32	-14	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	WSH	—	176	144	35	2	0	0	26	52	6	20	4	243	381	257	638	14	380	30	15	312	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	WSH	0%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	143	200	143	343		296	33	7	245	52	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	WSH	—	191	168	28	1	0	0	17	80	6	21	4	167	267	173	440	6	318	42	9	217	33	-15	+3	-0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	238	212	44	6	1	3	20	77	4	6	1	208	288	288	576	80	299	32	8	260	62	-11	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	367	325	68	9	2	5	32	114	7	8	2	209	294	295	589	86	300	31	9	271	69	-13	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	463	411	88	12	2	8	40	141	9	9	2	214	298	311	609	97	301	30	9	277	74	-14	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	530	468	100	14	2	9	47	160	10	9	2	214	299	310	609	96	301	30	9	282	77	-15	+1	-2	+6	+11	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	576	509	111	15	3	11	51	173	11	10	2	218	303	324	627	106	302	30	9	284	78	-15	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	605	535	117	16	3	11	54	181	11	10	2	219	303	321	625	103	303	30	9	286	79	-15	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	622	550	121	17	3	12	55	186	12	10	2	220	305	327	632	107	303	30	9	287	80	-15	+1	-3	+7	+13	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	630	557	122	17	3	12	56	188	12	10	2	219	304	325	629	106	303	30	9	287	80	-15	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	631	557	122	17	3	12	57	189	12	10	2	219	305	325	630	106	303	30	9	287	80	-15	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	626	552	121	17	3	12	57	188	12	10	2	219	306	326	632	107	303	30	9	286	80	-15	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	616	544	116	16	2	11	56	186	11	9	2	213	300	311	610	97	302	30	9	284	79	-16	+1	-4	+7	+13	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	606	534	115	16	2	11	56	185	11	9	2	215	303	315	617	99	301	31	9	282	77	-17	+1	-5	+6	+13	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	82	74	15	2	0	1	7	26	1	2	0	203	280	270	551	68	298	32	9	246	62	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	178	158	33	4	1	3	15	55	3	4	1	209	290	304	594	95	299	31	8	256	69	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	251	222	48	7	1	4	22	77	5	5	1	216	301	311	612	95	300	31	9	262	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	300	265	57	8	1	5	26	90	6	5	1	215	300	309	609	94	300	30	9	267	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	332	294	63	9	1	6	29	100	6	6	1	214	298	313	611	99	301	30	9	269	78	-9	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	345	305	65	9	1	6	31	103	6	6	1	213	298	308	606	95	302	30	9	271	79	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	353	312	67	9	1	7	31	105	7	6	1	215	300	317	617	103	302	30	9	272	80	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	357	315	69	10	1	7	32	107	7	6	1	219	305	324	629	105	302	30	9	272	80	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	350	308	67	9	1	7	32	105	7	6	1	218	305	321	627	104	302	30	9	272	80	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	344	304	66	9	1	7	31	103	6	5	1	217	302	322	624	105	301	30	9	271	80	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	329	290	63	9	1	6	30	100	6	5	1	217	304	317	621	100	301	30	9	270	79	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	319	281	60	8	1	6	29	97	6	5	1	214	301	313	614	100	300	30	9	267	77	-9	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3540	3128	673	93	11	65	315	1068	66	61	11	215	300	314	615	99	302	30	9	268	77	-94	+8	-19	+38	+77	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	124	17	2	12	58	196	12	11	2	216	301	315	617	99	303	30	9	268	77	-17	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6675	5898	1277	174	30	117	597	2010	125	133	36	217	302	316	618	99	305	30	9	282	77	-176	+13	-34	+70	+141	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	124	17	3	11	58	196	12	13	4	216	301	314	614	98	305	30	9	282	77	-17	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.5	3,678	65	63	216	298	317	+39	-14	4.9	4.4
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	-2.5	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cortesia (OGILVIE)	18	20→45	30→40	45	55	190/274/244	53	296	1	7	34%	8%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44→50	38→45	47→55	45	210/277/286	76	271	6	9	24%	6%	62	-1.4	207/267/292	85	318	6	15	35%	6%	59	-1.6	229/275/344	115	283	10	21	22%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	52	-2.2	202/281/278	76	301	6	15	32%	8%	62	-1.4	192/271/258	67	293	7	17	34%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Lenyn Sosa 2018 · A	18	45→51	38→50	43→40	44	215/260/291	76	266	5	6	21%	6%	55	-1.9	209/239/295	86	263	6	4	23%	3%	48	-2.5	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	55	-2.0	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	42	36→45	45	41	193/263/257	64	306	3	5	35%	8%	50	-2.3	206/281/320	114	312	12	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	198/283/308	110	288	14	4	34%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps