Ricardo Cova — OGILVIE

Ricardo CovaSS Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 145 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .292 / .379

PA228

HR5

SB11

K%21

BB%5

BABIP287

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$51M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	92	81	16	1	0	1	5	19	4	4	2	198	278	247	525	49	242	21	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	92	77	19	2	0	1	9	13	4	4	2	247	356	312	667	65	281	14	10	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	154	144	27	4	1	2	5	66	5	7	1	188	240	271	511	83	329	43	3	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	154	140	43	7	2	3	9	44	5	7	1	307	370	450	820	143	430	29	6	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	106	96	20	4	0	1	9	48	1	17	3	208	283	281	564	73	404	45	8	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	106	91	30	7	0	1	14	33	1	17	3	330	425	440	864	110	509	31	13	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	331	295	63	10	3	5	24	76	7	18	5	214	288	319	607	105	265	23	7	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	331	284	77	14	5	5	35	53	7	18	5	271	365	408	773	137	312	16	11	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	377	349	86	16	1	10	14	92	8	26	5	246	291	384	675	138	300	24	4	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	377	344	94	23	1	6	19	75	8	26	5	273	326	398	724	125	327	20	5	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	342	316	81	17	3	8	15	66	6	23	7	256	303	405	708	149	297	19	4	303	90	-4	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.2
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	342	310	91	20	4	9	21	49	6	23	7	294	350	471	821	177	320	14	6	358	132	+12	+2	+0	+4	+10	2.8
ROS	22	A	SEA	0%	228	211	51	10	2	5	11	47	4	11	3	242	292	379	671	137	287	21	5	298	86	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	22	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	283	74	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	SEA	—	342	317	81	17	3	8	15	66	6	23	7	256	303	404	706	148	296	19	4	303	90	-4	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.2
TOT	22	A	SEA	—	570	527	132	27	5	13	26	113	10	34	10	250	298	395	693	144	293	20	5	301	88	-7	+3	+0	+6	+16	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	43%	581	539	132	26	4	14	29	119	8	19	5	245	293	386	679	141	285	20	5	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.6
2028	24	MLB	SEA	58%	609	563	139	27	4	16	32	124	9	19	5	247	298	394	692	147	287	20	5	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.0
2029	25	MLB	SEA	65%	627	578	143	28	4	17	35	128	9	19	5	247	301	398	699	151	287	20	6	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.3
2030	26	MLB	SEA	68%	638	587	145	28	4	17	37	130	9	19	5	247	302	395	697	148	287	20	6	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2031	27	MLB	SEA	68%	637	586	144	28	4	17	37	130	9	18	5	246	301	394	695	148	287	20	6	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2032	28	MLB	SEA	68%	629	578	142	27	4	17	37	130	9	17	5	246	301	394	696	149	287	21	6	309	95	-4	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.2
2033	29	MLB	SEA	66%	619	568	140	27	4	17	37	129	9	16	4	246	303	398	701	151	286	21	6	307	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2034	30	MLB	SEA	66%	609	559	135	26	3	16	37	128	8	14	4	242	298	385	683	143	285	21	6	305	91	-6	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.7
2035	31	MLB	SEA	65%	598	549	131	25	3	15	36	128	8	12	3	239	295	377	672	138	283	21	6	301	88	-8	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.4
2036	32	MLB	SEA	65%	587	539	126	24	3	14	35	128	8	11	3	234	290	367	658	134	280	22	6	295	84	-11	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.0
2037	33	MLB	SEA	65%	507	465	108	20	3	12	30	113	7	8	2	232	289	366	654	133	277	22	6	288	79	-12	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.4
2038	34	MLB	SEA	60%	428	395	88	16	2	9	25	98	5	6	2	223	278	342	619	119	271	23	6	280	72	-13	+0	-5	+5	+12	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	SEA	56%	362	333	71	12	2	7	21	86	5	4	1	213	270	324	595	111	265	24	6	269	64	-15	+0	-6	+4	+10	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	SEA	43%	251	233	57	11	2	6	12	52	4	8	2	245	293	386	679	142	283	21	5	285	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2028	24	MLB	SEA	58%	353	326	79	15	2	9	19	72	5	11	3	242	294	383	678	141	284	20	5	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2029	25	MLB	SEA	65%	406	374	93	18	3	11	23	83	6	12	3	249	303	401	704	152	284	20	6	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.0
2030	26	MLB	SEA	68%	434	400	99	19	3	12	25	88	6	13	3	247	302	400	702	153	284	20	6	296	85	-7	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.1
2031	27	MLB	SEA	68%	433	399	98	19	3	12	25	89	6	13	3	246	300	398	698	153	284	21	6	296	85	-7	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB	SEA	68%	428	394	96	18	3	11	25	88	6	12	3	244	299	388	687	145	284	21	6	295	84	-8	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.0
2033	29	MLB	SEA	66%	411	377	91	17	2	11	25	85	6	10	3	241	299	385	684	143	283	21	6	294	83	-8	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.8
2034	30	MLB	SEA	66%	399	366	88	17	2	10	24	84	6	9	2	240	298	380	678	139	283	21	6	291	81	-9	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.7
2035	31	MLB	SEA	65%	389	358	85	16	2	10	23	83	5	8	2	237	293	377	670	140	281	21	6	288	78	-10	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.5
2036	32	MLB	SEA	65%	380	349	81	15	2	9	23	83	5	7	2	232	289	364	653	132	278	22	6	282	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.2
2037	33	MLB	SEA	65%	327	301	69	13	2	7	19	73	4	5	1	229	284	355	639	126	274	22	6	276	69	-11	+1	-3	+4	+9	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	SEA	60%	257	237	51	9	1	5	15	59	3	3	1	215	271	325	595	110	269	23	6	267	63	-11	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.4
2039	35	MLB	SEA	56%	201	184	40	7	1	4	12	48	3	2	1	217	276	332	608	114	263	24	6	258	55	-10	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4669	4299	1027	194	28	117	270	987	65	113	29	239	294	379	673	140	283	21	6	288	78	-114	+11	-16	+50	+132	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	143	27	4	16	38	137	9	16	4	239	295	378	673	139	283	21	6	288	78	-16	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	8719	8015	1907	359	51	212	496	1919	132	265	68	238	293	375	668	137	286	22	6	296	85	-148	+26	-25	+93	+247	19.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	143	27	4	16	37	143	10	20	5	239	295	378	673	139	287	22	6	296	85	-11	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	92	77	19	2	0	1	9	13	4	4	2	247	356	312	667	65	281	14	10	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	154	140	43	7	2	3	9	44	5	7	1	307	370	450	820	143	430	29	6	367	139	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	106	91	30	7	0	1	14	33	1	17	3	330	425	440	864	110	509	31	13	391	158	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	127	110	22	3	2	0	10	25	4	2	1	200	290	264	554	64	250	20	8	255	53	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	204	174	55	11	3	5	25	28	3	16	4	316	411	500	911	184	350	14	12	400	164	+15	+2	—	—	+6	2.3
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	377	344	94	23	1	6	19	75	8	26	5	273	326	398	724	125	327	20	5	320	103	+1	+3	—	—	+11	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,989	126	124	241	292	383	+50	+27	13.0	11.4
	/162	664	17	17	241	292	383	+6.7	+3.6	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Cova (OGILVIE)	22	45	35	60	20	250/298/395	144	293	13	34	20%	5%	88	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Efrain Contreras 2009 · A	22	46	43→45	53→55	44	224/286/334	110	263	10	13	19%	5%	73	-0.1	202/257/282	80	288	6	8	30%	5%	46	-2.0	183/236/246	63	277	5	7	34%	5%	25	-1.3
✕Noel Cuevas 2014 · A	22	47→49	43→45	56→55	41	230/276/345	115	291	10	24	24%	5%	71	-0.3	220/258/314	94	289	7	17	25%	4%	55	-1.4	241/274/340	99	304	7	12	22%	3%	65	-0.5
✕Sean Godfrey 2015 · A	23	51→46	41→45	57→55	37	244/278/354	110	315	7	17	25%	3%	74	-0.1	225/254/323	98	290	8	13	24%	3%	55	-1.4	220/243/312	92	279	7	13	24%	2%	43	-1.0
●Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	56→60	44	236/285/341	105	298	6	13	22%	6%	73	-0.1	220/276/279	59	297	2	21	25%	7%	53	-1.5	281/340/350	69	342	3	24	17%	7%	94	+1.0
●Peter Bourjos 2009 · A	22	49→56	42→50	60	37	237/270/352	115	307	9	27	26%	4%	70	-0.3	244/288/378	134	302	11	27	22%	5%	84	+0.6	249/298/396	147	304	12	28	22%	5%	91	+1.0
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	74	-0.1	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	42	220/273/338	118	280	10	22	25%	6%	68	-0.5	230/274/341	111	290	9	37	23%	5%	69	-0.4	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Luis Perez 2013 · A	22	47	42→30	53→50	44	226/277/340	114	270	8	10	20%	6%	70	-0.3	219/259/333	114	298	9	7	29%	5%	61	-1.0	217/244/350	132	302	10	2	31%	3%	54	-0.4
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→39	45	56→60	41	213/288/344	131	301	12	19	32%	7%	77	+0.1	199/274/319	120	285	13	34	33%	8%	65	-0.7	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Tito Polo 2017 · A	22	44→50	43→45	54→60	40	219/274/325	105	281	11	25	26%	5%	66	-0.6	222/274/329	107	300	9	28	28%	5%	66	-0.6	220/270/324	104	303	7	34	28%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Travis Jones 2018 · A	22	54→49	41→40	55	44	256/321/368	112	322	7	18	22%	6%	96	+1.5	225/301/314	89	318	8	21	30%	6%	75	-0.0	205/293/288	83	301	9	21	32%	7%	62	-0.5
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→52	47→50	53→50	42	228/277/370	142	282	13	13	24%	6%	79	+0.3	226/279/355	129	283	12	12	24%	6%	76	+0.0	244/287/369	125	306	12	6	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Paul Vasquez 2008 · A	23	48	43→45	52→30	39	232/271/346	114	307	10	10	28%	5%	69	-0.4	232/270/336	104	293	8	5	23%	3%	66	-0.6	235/268/339	105	293	8	2	22%	2%	62	-0.3
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	53→60	43	222/276/307	85	284	7	21	24%	6%	61	-1.0	213/264/284	71	297	4	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	203/245/250	47	280	3	7	27%	5%	29	-0.9
✕José Rodríguez 2022 · A	21	48→52	47→50	52→55	39	243/270/378	135	289	15	18	22%	3%	77	+0.1	233/267/363	130	286	14	27	23%	4%	72	-0.2	225/262/354	129	276	15	33	24%	4%	64	-0.5