Trey Lipscomb

3B Rochester Red Wings
Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 202 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
AAAArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAAWSH264.283/.345/.3924875—.247/.295/.332
202424MLBWSH211.200/.268/.23211144-0.9
202525AAAWSH489.249/.307/.392111265—.226/.267/.337
202626AAAWSH556.287/.327/.536321582—.238/.269/.414
2027PROJ10% MLB27MLBWSH24.228/.275/.36211770.0
2028PROJ31% MLB28MLBWSH89.226/.272/.3572275-0.1
2029PROJ40% MLB29MLBWSH112.223/.269/.3513273-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2025
Speed50
Bat Spd37
xwOBA14
Barrel%10
Avg EV10
CompsStephen Bruno (age 27) · Kramer Robertson (age 27) · Danny Mendick (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7777vR 75
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .275 / .362
PA24
HR1
K%25
BB%4
BABIP284
ISO174
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025
CONTACT45
xAVG
160.224
POWER30
Barrel%
100.7
Avg EV
1084.9
Bat Spd
3770.0
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED50
Sprint
5027.5
Platoon Splits2024 · 211 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
75
136
—
wRC+
-19
79
▶▶R
wOBA
140
285
▶▶R
ISO
014
042
▶▶R
BABIP
152
308
▶▶R
K%
17.3%
19.9%
◀L
BB%
2.7%
10.3%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2024
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.2M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-2$0.4M———
2029Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202222 AFredericksburg Nationals — 10197 29411 4190 121 299327392718 93364 194 321 69 — — — — — —
202323 AAHarrisburg Senators — 335320 9115210 12611 43 284312438750 153323 184 329 73 — — — — — —
202323 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 212191 481404 15423 63 251316387703 136297 207 312 59 — — — — — —
202323 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 8483 17201 1180 10 205214265479 60250 211 214 31 — — — — — —
202424 MLBWashington Nationals — 211190 38301 16402 112 200268232500 32247 198 234 44 -14 +1 -2 +2 +5 -0.9
202424 AAARochester Red Wings — 264240 681404 22501 85 283345392736 108344 198 332 75 — — — — — —
202525 AAARochester Red Wings — 489449 11229111 35952 126 249307392699 143293 197 311 65 — — — — — —
202626 AAARochester Red Wings — 556519 14931132 301451 153 287327536862 249339 265 372 82 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 211190 38301 16402 112 200268232500 32247 198 234 44 -14 +1 -2 +2 +5 -0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202222 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 10198 26311 3270 121 265287347634 82354 273 270 69 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 335324 811227 8741 43 250270364634 114302 222 276 73 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 212197 421204 9573 63 213258335593 122268 274 256 59 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 211191 38301 16402 112 199268230498 31247 198 234 44 -14 +1 -2 +2 +5 -0.9
202424 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 264247 611203 16631 85 247295332627 85322 246 279 75 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 489460 1042518 241112 126 226267337604 111277 235 265 65 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 556529 12625122 211741 153 238269414683 176305 314 290 82 — — — — — —
202222 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 10198 26311 3270 121 265287347634 82357 273 270 69 — — — — — —
202222 A RAWFredericksburg Nationals — 10197 29411 4190 121 299327392718 93364 194 321 69 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE3 teams — 631602 14228212 201514 116 236265349614 113293 243 268 68 — — — — — —
202323 AA RAW3 teams — 631594 15631215 281214 116 263300397698 135305 194 308 68 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 475438 991504 321033 197 226283288571 62286 227 259 61 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW2 teams — 475430 1061705 38903 197 247311321632 74301 198 288 61 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 489460 1042518 241112 126 226267337604 111280 235 265 65 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAWRochester Red Wings — 489449 11229111 35952 126 249307392699 143293 197 311 65 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 556529 12625122 211741 153 238269414683 176310 314 290 82 — — — — — —
202626 AAA RAWRochester Red Wings — 556519 14931132 301451 153 287327536862 249339 265 372 82 — — — — — —
202222 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 10197 26311 3270 121 268287351638 82354 273 270 69 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE3 teams — 631602 14228212 201514 116 236265349614 113289 243 268 68 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 475437 991504 321033 197 227283288572 62289 227 259 61 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 489460 1042518 241112 126 226267337604 111277 235 265 65 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 556529 12625122 211741 153 238269414683 176305 314 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 475437 991504 321033 197 227283288572 62289 227 259 61 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 489460 1042518 241112 126 226267337604 111277 235 265 65 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 556529 12625122 211741 153 238269414683 176305 314 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEWSH 10% 380354 8116110 21982 92 228274362636 134284 266 282 77 -10 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXWSH 10% 2423 5101 160 10 228275362636 134284 254 282 77 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEWSH 31% 286267 601217 16741 62 226272357629 131283 266 279 75 -8 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.2
202929 MLB MLEWSH 40% 284266 601217 15751 51 223269351620 127281 265 276 73 -9 +1 -2 +1 +6 -0.4
203030 MLB MLEWSH 45% 281263 591217 15751 41 220265343608 123279 275 271 69 -10 +0 -3 +1 +6 -0.6
202828 MLB CTXWSH 31% 8984 19402 5230 21 226272357630 131283 266 280 75 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 -0.1
202929 MLB CTXWSH 40% 112104 24503 6291 21 223269351620 127282 265 276 73 -4 +0 -1 +0 +2 -0.2
203030 MLB CTXWSH 45% 125116 25503 7331 21 220266343609 123279 266 271 69 -5 +0 -1 +0 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 537494 1061709 341254 175 215270304574 89267 236 259 71 -25 +1 -5 +3 +12 -1.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 12921011 411515 216 216271306577 90268 236 259 71 -30 +2 -5 +3 +14 -1.7
Career— MLE — 33413145 727142974 15985114 9029 231271353624 121292 255 273 71 -48 +3 -9 +6 +28 -2.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650612 14228214 311663 186 232273353626 121294 265 273 71 -24 +2 -4 +3 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARochester Red Wings · 556 PAwOBA .363 → .290 (−72)K% 26.1% → 31.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.08%÷1.000×1.200——31.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.40%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0183.79%
HBP% /PA0.18%—×0.940—×1.0180.17%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.000×0.930×1.003×1.01821.58%
Doubles /BIP8.29%÷1.000×0.830×1.003×1.0187.02%
Triples /BIP0.27%÷1.000×0.970×1.003×1.0180.26%
Home runs /BIP8.56%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0186.10%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .363 → .290; ISO .249 → .179; BABIP .339 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 489 PAwOBA .302 → .265 (−36)K% 19.4% → 22.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.43%÷1.028×1.200——22.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.75%÷0.978×0.690—×1.0334.92%
HBP% /PA0.41%—×0.940—×1.0330.40%
Singles /BIP20.06%÷0.987×0.930×1.017×1.03319.86%
Doubles /BIP8.19%÷1.000×0.830×1.017×1.0337.15%
Triples /BIP0.28%÷1.150×0.970×1.017×1.0330.25%
Home runs /BIP3.11%÷0.960×0.700—×1.0332.34%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .302 → .265; ISO .143 → .115; BABIP .293 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 264 PAwOBA .323 → .279 (−45)K% 18.9% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.94%÷0.958×1.200——23.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0486.22%
HBP% /PA0.38%—×0.940—×1.0480.37%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.029×0.930×1.003×1.04824.99%
Doubles /BIP7.37%÷0.962×0.830×1.003×1.0486.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×1.003×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP2.11%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0481.57%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .323 → .279; ISO .108 → .087; BABIP .344 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 335 PAwOBA .322 → .276 (−46)K% 18.2% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.21%÷1.005×1.220——22.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.58%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0272.53%
HBP% /PA0.30%—×0.850—×1.0270.26%
Singles /BIP24.71%÷1.013×0.970×0.984×1.02723.91%
Doubles /BIP5.79%÷1.033×0.860×0.984×1.0274.87%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷0.935×0.950×0.984×1.0270.79%
Home runs /BIP3.86%÷1.115×0.780—×1.0272.77%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .322 → .276; ISO .153 → .116; BABIP .323 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 212 PAwOBA .308 → .256 (−52)K% 19.8% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.81%÷0.973×1.310——26.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.08%÷1.005×0.600—×0.9984.22%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.770—×0.9981.09%
Singles /BIP20.13%÷0.981×0.870×1.024×0.99818.26%
Doubles /BIP9.40%÷0.894×0.780×1.024×0.9988.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.913×0.850×1.024×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.68%÷0.913×0.880—×0.9982.58%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .308 → .256; ISO .136 → .122; BABIP .297 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFredericksburg Nationals · 101 PAwOBA .312 → .270 (−43)K% 18.8% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.81%÷0.966×1.360——26.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.96%÷0.970×0.690——2.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP29.49%÷0.986×0.920×1.050—28.89%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷0.933×0.830×1.050—4.79%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷0.910×0.910×1.050—1.35%
Home runs /BIP1.28%÷1.074×0.800——0.96%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 82, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .312 → .270; ISO .093 → .076; BABIP .364 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .