Brett Roberts — OGILVIE

Brett RobertsSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 182 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .240 / .284

PA95

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	48	44	10	1	0	3	4	12	0	1	0	227	292	455	746	227	241	25	8	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	48	43	11	1	0	3	5	8	0	1	0	256	333	488	822	233	250	17	10	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	349	80	13	2	5	17	101	2	20	2	229	269	321	590	92	304	27	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	344	94	16	4	5	22	77	2	20	2	273	321	387	707	113	335	21	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	199	186	30	4	1	3	10	73	2	6	1	161	212	242	454	81	245	37	5	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	199	182	39	5	2	4	14	55	2	6	1	214	278	330	607	115	285	28	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIA	—	95	88	15	3	0	2	6	29	1	2	0	170	232	273	504	102	241	31	6	240	42	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	134	123	23	4	1	3	9	40	1	3	1	187	248	309	557	122	247	30	7	252	51	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	225	205	39	7	1	5	16	65	2	4	1	190	256	307	563	117	250	29	7	258	55	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	184	244	289	533	105	242	29	7	241	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	94	86	16	3	0	2	7	27	1	2	0	186	255	291	546	105	246	29	7	247	47	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	135	124	23	4	0	3	10	39	1	3	0	185	252	290	542	105	244	29	7	245	46	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	110	19	0	14	48	188	5	14	0	184	251	286	537	102	243	29	7	245	46	-40	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1074	995	197	32	5	21	62	320	8	36	5	198	251	304	554	106	267	30	6	248	48	-63	+5	+0	+12	+30	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	119	19	3	13	38	194	5	22	3	198	252	304	556	106	266	30	6	248	48	-38	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	48	43	11	1	0	3	5	8	0	1	0	256	333	488	822	233	250	17	10	361	135	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	344	94	16	4	5	22	77	2	20	2	273	321	387	707	113	335	21	6	313	98	-1	+3	—	—	+11	1.3
2024	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	164	149	31	4	2	4	13	48	1	4	1	208	276	342	618	134	278	29	8	277	70	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	312	15	0	282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	15	14	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	214	267	214	481		300	27	7	228	32	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	178/240/284	106	241	2	2	30%	7%	42	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕José Briceño 2018 · AA	25	35	43→45	47→45	39	180/213/279	99	219	11	7	24%	4%	27	-3.3	207/248/349	142	253	19	9	27%	5%	61	-1.0	197/236/347	150	235	22	4	27%	4%	54	-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Wade Gaynor 2013 · AA	25	37→42	43→50	47→50	41	185/255/295	109	265	10	6	32%	7%	50	-1.7	186/237/311	125	273	12	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	172/214/296	124	249	13	12	36%	4%	29	-2.4
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	37	45	47→45	41	189/259/305	116	274	13	9	34%	7%	55	-1.4	197/263/332	135	295	15	9	36%	7%	63	-0.8	145/214/301	156	204	19	9	39%	6%	31	-0.8