Brett Roberts — OGILVIE

Brett RobertsSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 182 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .239 / .280

PA8

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	48	43	11	1	0	3	5	8	0	1	0	256	333	488	822	233	250	17	10	361	131	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	344	94	16	4	5	22	77	2	20	2	273	321	387	707	113	335	21	6	313	98	-1	+3	—	—	+8	1.1
2024	23	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	164	149	31	4	2	4	13	48	1	4	1	208	276	342	618	134	278	29	8	277	74	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	312	15	0	282	77	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	23	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	15	14	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	214	267	214	481		300	27	7	228	40	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	48	45	10	1	0	3	3	12	0	1	0	222	271	444	715	222	203	25	6	274	72	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	350	78	13	3	4	16	105	2	20	2	223	261	311	572	89	297	28	4	253	57	-19	+3	—	—	+8	-0.8
2024	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	164	153	24	3	1	3	9	64	1	4	1	157	209	248	457	92	252	39	5	211	29	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	19	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	274	20	0	229	41	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	143	200	143	343		250	40	7	154	-10	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	48	45	10	1	0	3	3	12	0	1	0	222	271	444	715	222	233	25	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	48	43	11	1	0	3	5	8	0	1	0	256	333	488	822	233	250	17	10	361	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	350	78	13	3	4	16	105	2	20	2	223	261	311	572	89	302	28	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	344	94	16	4	5	22	77	2	20	2	273	321	387	707	113	335	21	6	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	199	186	31	4	1	3	10	74	2	6	1	167	217	247	464	81	257	37	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	199	182	39	5	2	4	14	55	2	6	1	214	278	330	607	115	285	28	7	274	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	48	45	10	1	0	3	3	12	0	1	0	222	271	444	715	222	203	25	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	352	78	13	3	4	16	105	2	20	2	222	261	310	571	88	297	28	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	199	185	31	4	1	3	10	74	2	6	1	168	217	249	466	81	254	37	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	373	352	78	13	3	4	16	105	2	20	2	222	261	310	571	88	297	28	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	199	185	31	4	1	3	10	74	2	6	1	168	217	249	466	81	254	37	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		241	25	12	238	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	134	123	23	4	1	3	9	40	1	3	1	187	248	309	557	122	247	30	7	250	56	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	184	244	289	533	105	240	29	7	237	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	184	244	289	533	105	240	29	7	237	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	111	16	0	16	48	190	0	16	0	184	245	291	535	106	240	29	7	237	50	-34	+3	+0	+7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	762	711	143	22	5	13	39	233	5	30	4	201	248	301	549	100	277	31	5	242	50	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	122	19	4	11	33	199	4	26	3	201	247	300	547	99	278	31	5	242	50	-35	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	177/239/280	104	241	2	2	31%	7%	47	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Jalen Miller 2022 · AA	25	35→43	46→45	47→50	40	189/239/316	127	250	15	12	31%	6%	54	-2.0	207/273/334	127	281	12	15	29%	8%	72	-0.7	195/273/318	122	260	11	20	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	281	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	198/251/298	100	305	9	13	36%	6%	55	-2.0	203/255/298	95	293	7	9	31%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Jarek Cunningham 2015 · AA	25	38	46→50	45	38	197/246/326	130	256	14	7	29%	5%	59	-1.6	206/263/336	130	301	12	7	34%	6%	68	-1.0	182/246/314	133	287	11	4	38%	7%	54	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	195/252/288	93	250	9	7	26%	6%	53	-2.1	208/270/304	96	287	10	10	29%	7%	63	-1.4	195/263/272	78	273	9	10	30%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	40	48→45	43	182/254/271	89	269	9	6	34%	8%	51	-2.3	199/272/289	90	306	8	8	34%	8%	61	-1.5	155/252/210	55	256	4	7	37%	11%	34	-0.6
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Tomas Duenas 2006 · A	25	38	43→50	52→40	36	192/245/300	108	282	12	8	35%	5%	53	-2.1	218/266/356	138	279	17	5	28%	5%	74	-0.5	217/264/361	144	266	19	2	26%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0