Adrian De Leon — OGILVIE

Adrian De LeonC Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .222

PA21

HR0

K%43

BB%10

BABIP256

ISO56

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	72	16	3	0	1	10	20	4	1	0	222	349	306	654	83	283	23	11	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	4	0	1	1	158	304	211	515	53	200	17	17	256	59	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	116	38	2	1	2	20	40	9	0	1	328	462	414	876	86	480	27	14	403	159	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	231	48	11	0	5	50	79	15	5	0	208	382	320	702	113	291	27	17	334	112	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	77	66	9	1	0	0	9	26	2	0	0	136	260	152	411	15	225	34	12	211	29	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	240	194	35	11	0	3	32	74	5	2	1	180	312	284	595	103	260	31	13	272	70	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	76	12	2	0	1	6	28	4	1	0	158	256	224	479	66	222	32	7	218	34	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	20	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	150	261	200	461	50	158	26	13	175	5	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	124	29	1	1	2	12	57	9	0	1	234	345	306	651	73	394	39	8	284	78	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	246	41	9	0	4	35	105	15	5	0	167	307	252	559	85	264	35	12	262	63	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	77	70	7	1	0	0	5	36	2	0	0	100	182	114	296	14	197	47	6	142	-18	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	240	204	27	8	0	2	22	101	5	2	1	132	234	201	435	69	214	42	9	202	23	-22	+0	—	—	+5	-1.7
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	76	12	2	0	1	6	28	4	1	0	158	256	224	479	66	224	32	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	72	16	3	0	1	10	20	4	1	0	222	349	306	654	83	283	23	11	304	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	20	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	150	261	200	461	50	214	26	13	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	4	0	1	1	158	304	211	515	53	200	17	17	256	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	124	29	1	1	2	12	57	9	0	1	234	345	306	651	73	409	39	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	116	38	2	1	2	20	40	9	0	1	328	462	414	876	86	480	27	14	403	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	246	41	9	0	4	35	105	15	5	0	167	307	252	559	85	268	35	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	231	48	11	0	5	50	79	15	5	0	208	382	320	702	113	291	27	17	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	317	274	34	9	0	2	27	137	7	2	1	124	221	179	400	55	227	43	9	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	317	260	44	12	0	3	41	100	7	2	1	169	299	250	549	81	252	32	13	258	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	78	12	2	0	1	6	28	4	1	0	154	256	218	474	64	222	32	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	20	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	150	261	200	461	50	158	26	13	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	124	29	1	1	2	12	57	9	0	1	234	345	306	651	73	394	39	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	246	41	9	0	4	35	105	15	5	0	167	307	252	559	85	264	35	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	317	280	34	9	0	2	27	137	7	2	1	121	221	175	396	54	210	43	9	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	124	29	1	1	2	12	57	9	0	1	234	345	306	651	73	394	39	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	246	41	9	0	4	35	105	15	5	0	167	307	252	559	85	264	35	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	317	280	34	9	0	2	27	137	7	2	1	121	221	175	396	54	210	43	9	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	ARI	—	156	134	16	3	0	3	13	76	6	2	0	119	229	209	438	90	236	49	8	204	24	-14	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	ARI	—	70	55	8	2	0	3	11	25	3	1	0	145	319	345	664	200	185	36	16	306	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	ARI	—	86	73	12	2	0	1	8	35	3	1	0	164	274	233	507	68	297	41	9	239	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	ARI	2%	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	251	43	10	223	37	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	22	AA MLE	ARI	—	177	152	19	4	0	3	15	85	7	2	0	125	236	211	446	86	250	48	8	206	26	-16	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	394	344	55	11	1	7	37	156	10	4	1	160	261	259	520	99	260	40	9	241	49	-24	+0	+0	+7	+9	-0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	47%	450	394	67	14	1	9	42	171	11	5	1	170	268	279	548	109	264	38	9	251	56	-24	+1	+0	+8	+10	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	478	419	72	15	1	10	45	178	11	6	1	172	269	284	553	112	266	37	9	257	60	-23	+1	+0	+9	+10	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	493	431	74	15	1	10	47	181	12	6	1	172	271	281	552	109	266	37	10	260	62	-22	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	498	435	76	15	1	11	48	183	12	6	1	175	275	290	564	115	266	37	10	260	62	-23	+1	+0	+9	+11	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	495	432	74	15	1	10	48	183	12	6	1	171	272	280	552	109	265	37	10	259	61	-23	+1	-1	+9	+11	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	487	425	73	15	1	10	48	181	11	6	1	172	273	282	555	111	264	37	10	257	60	-23	+1	-1	+9	+11	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	139	121	19	4	0	2	13	55	4	1	0	157	261	240	501	83	265	40	9	223	49	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	47%	209	182	31	7	0	4	20	80	5	2	0	170	271	275	545	104	269	38	10	235	56	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	248	216	38	8	1	5	24	92	6	3	0	176	276	292	568	116	271	37	10	241	60	-12	+1	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	268	234	41	9	1	5	26	99	6	3	1	175	274	286	561	111	272	37	10	244	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	291	254	46	10	1	6	28	107	7	4	1	181	280	299	579	118	271	37	10	244	62	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	302	263	47	10	1	6	29	112	7	4	1	179	278	293	570	114	271	37	10	243	61	-14	+0	-0	+5	+7	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	303	263	46	10	1	6	30	113	7	4	1	175	277	289	566	114	269	37	10	241	60	-14	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1760	1533	268	58	5	34	170	658	42	21	4	175	275	286	561	111	275	37	10	240	55	-85	+3	-1	+31	+38	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	99	21	2	13	63	243	16	8	1	175	276	288	564	113	275	37	10	240	55	-31	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4188	3638	613	123	8	76	400	1575	115	48	10	168	272	269	541	101	267	38	10	250	55	-163	+5	-2	+59	+72	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	95	19	1	12	62	244	18	7	2	168	272	269	541	101	265	38	10	250	55	-32	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,765	36	21	172	269	281	+32	+16	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+6.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian De Leon (OGILVIE)	22	20	30	40	50	141/246/215	73	251	4	3	42%	9%	37	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	58	-1.7	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	50	-2.3	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Anthony Hermelyn 2017 · A	23	35	39→40	41→30	40	174/240/256	82	275	7	3	37%	8%	41	-3.0	198/260/283	85	284	7	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	191/256/259	68	261	5	0	27%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2014 · A	22	43→37	36→40	40→50	43	198/268/263	65	304	3	7	34%	8%	53	-2.1	182/262/260	78	284	4	8	34%	9%	51	-2.3	156/247/238	82	240	4	8	33%	10%	39	-1.5
✕Wilkin Grullon 2022 · A	22	40	37→30	46→45	41	189/264/263	74	280	5	4	32%	7%	52	-2.2	196/257/296	100	321	9	5	39%	7%	57	-1.8	151/209/258	107	249	12	0	42%	6%	27	-0.7
✕Frank Veliz 2022 · A	22	39	37→30	47→55	38	186/240/260	74	289	5	7	36%	6%	42	-2.9	193/253/278	85	327	6	6	40%	7%	51	-2.3	134/206/210	76	246	7	0	45%	7%	16	-0.8
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	177/228/259	81	289	7	5	40%	4%	36	-3.3	191/228/268	77	268	5	3	30%	4%	38	-3.2	183/221/256	73	258	5	0	30%	4%	30	-1.8
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	212/274/306	94	301	9	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	32	38→40	38→45	37	162/223/241	78	240	6	4	34%	6%	32	-3.7	184/278/257	73	287	5	6	34%	10%	57	-1.8	159/289/213	54	249	4	5	32%	12%	50	-1.0
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	36→32	37→40	47→50	31	177/217/248	70	278	4	7	37%	3%	30	-3.8	212/252/296	84	302	6	10	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Gabriel Lino 2015 · A	22	38	40	36→30	36	187/240/275	88	295	8	3	38%	6%	45	-2.7	202/249/287	85	293	7	2	32%	5%	51	-2.2	201/249/286	85	285	6	0	30%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/237/273	83	260	8	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	198/258/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	52	-2.2	215/252/293	77	268	9	12	23%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/247/242	57	294	2	7	36%	7%	40	-3.1	190/261/251	61	286	3	8	32%	8%	48	-2.5	130/225/152	22	201	0	8	31%	10%	12	-1.2
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	37	39→40	42→45	47	184/262/267	82	249	8	7	28%	9%	53	-2.1	202/263/289	87	282	6	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	190/245/265	75	263	4	7	28%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	175/261/255	80	292	6	4	39%	8%	51	-2.3	178/262/263	85	293	7	6	38%	8%	52	-2.2	118/211/171	53	191	3	5	36%	8%	11	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	194/235/270	76	278	4	8	31%	4%	41	-3.0	218/265/312	94	270	8	6	22%	6%	63	-1.4	223/270/312	90	261	9	4	18%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→40	44→65	38	195/256/276	80	309	6	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	207/280/301	94	303	7	30	31%	7%	67	-1.1	200/278/292	91	290	6	42	30%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Wladimir Galindo 2019 · A	22	39→33	40→45	39→40	34	192/235/282	90	302	8	3	38%	5%	45	-2.7	196/243/281	85	314	7	6	38%	5%	47	-2.5	172/214/228	57	280	5	4	39%	5%	20	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps