Adrian De Leon — OGILVIE

Adrian De LeonC Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†25

AVG/OBP/SLG.146 / .250 / .219

PA174

HR2

K%43

BB%9

BABIP267

ISO73

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	76	12	2	0	1	6	28	4	1	0	158	256	224	479	66	224	32	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	72	16	3	0	1	10	20	4	1	0	222	349	306	654	83	283	23	11	304	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	20	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	150	261	200	461	50	214	26	13	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	4	0	1	1	158	304	211	515	53	200	17	17	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	124	29	1	1	2	12	57	9	0	1	234	345	306	651	73	409	39	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	116	38	2	1	2	20	40	9	0	1	328	462	414	876	86	480	27	14	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	245	42	10	0	4	36	104	15	5	0	171	314	261	575	90	275	35	12	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	231	48	11	0	5	50	79	15	5	0	208	382	320	702	113	291	27	17	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	317	274	33	9	0	2	27	139	7	2	1	120	218	175	393	55	223	44	9	182	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	317	260	44	12	0	3	41	100	7	2	1	169	299	250	549	81	252	32	13	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	ARI	—	146	125	15	3	0	2	12	72	6	2	0	120	231	192	423	72	255	49	8	198	10	-15	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
YTD	22	AA	ARI	—	146	120	19	4	0	3	17	55	6	2	0	158	294	267	560	108	258	38	12	264	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	22	AA	ARI	2%	174	151	22	5	0	2	16	75	5	2	0	146	250	219	469	73	256	43	9	218	25	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						258	33	0	198	10	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	ARI	—	149	128	15	3	0	2	12	73	6	2	0	117	226	188	414	70	245	49	8	198	10	-15	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
TOT	22	AA	ARI	—	320	276	37	8	0	4	28	147	11	4	0	134	241	207	448	72	262	46	9	209	18	-30	+1	+0	+6	+9	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	394	344	53	11	1	6	37	160	10	4	1	154	256	244	500	90	262	41	9	236	39	-27	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.9
2028	24	MLB	ARI	47%	450	394	65	14	1	8	42	176	11	5	1	165	264	266	530	102	266	39	9	248	48	-27	+1	+0	+8	+13	-0.5
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	478	418	71	15	1	9	45	182	12	6	1	170	269	275	545	105	268	38	9	254	53	-26	+1	+0	+9	+14	-0.3
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	493	431	74	15	1	10	47	186	12	6	1	172	271	281	552	109	269	38	10	257	55	-25	+1	+0	+9	+14	-0.2
2031	27	MLB	ARI	58%	498	435	74	15	1	10	48	188	12	6	1	170	271	278	549	108	268	38	10	257	55	-25	+1	+0	+9	+14	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	139	121	19	4	0	2	13	57	4	1	0	157	261	240	501	83	264	41	9	219	26	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	ARI	47%	209	182	30	6	0	4	20	82	5	2	0	165	266	264	529	99	268	39	10	231	35	-15	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.5
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	248	217	37	8	0	5	23	94	6	3	1	171	268	276	545	106	270	38	9	238	41	-17	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	268	235	41	8	1	6	25	101	6	3	1	174	271	294	564	119	271	38	9	241	43	-17	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
2031	27	MLB	ARI	58%	291	254	44	9	1	6	28	110	7	4	1	173	273	287	561	114	271	38	10	241	43	-19	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1158	1012	171	35	2	23	109	445	28	13	3	169	268	276	544	107	270	38	9	236	39	-80	+1	+0	+21	+33	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	96	20	1	13	61	250	16	7	2	169	268	276	545	107	269	38	9	236	39	-45	+1	+0	+12	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	3359	2912	478	98	6	54	319	1301	97	38	8	164	269	258	526	93	269	39	9	244	45	-210	+4	+0	+60	+95	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	92	19	1	10	62	252	19	7	2	163	269	254	522	90	268	39	10	244	45	-41	+1	+0	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	—	88	72	16	3	0	1	10	20	4	1	0	222	349	306	654	83	283	23	11	304	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL D-backs Red	—	23	19	3	1	0	0	4	4	0	1	1	158	304	211	515	53	200	17	17	256	54	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	146	116	38	2	1	2	20	40	9	0	1	328	462	414	876	86	480	27	14	403	166	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	298	231	48	11	0	5	50	79	15	5	0	208	382	320	702	113	291	27	17	334	113	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	77	66	9	1	0	0	9	26	2	0	0	136	260	152	411	15	225	34	12	211	20	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	240	194	35	11	0	3	32	74	5	2	1	180	312	284	595	103	260	31	13	272	67	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,161	22	14	169	265	274	+21	+8	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	13	8	169	265	274	+11.9	+4.6	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian De Leon (OGILVIE)	22	20	30	40	50	134/241/207	72	262	4	4	46%	9%	18	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilbert Gomez 2014 · A	22	42→35	36→40	40→50	44	195/267/261	66	302	3	7	34%	8%	46	-2.0	181/259/261	80	287	4	8	35%	9%	43	-2.2	157/243/243	86	247	4	8	35%	10%	29	-1.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	176/227/256	80	293	7	5	40%	4%	27	-3.3	191/228/270	79	271	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.1	181/219/257	76	259	5	0	31%	4%	21	-1.8
✕Anthony Hermelyn 2017 · A	23	34	39→40	41→30	39	169/234/251	81	270	7	3	38%	8%	30	-3.1	195/258/279	84	284	7	4	31%	8%	46	-2.0	187/254/254	67	262	5	0	28%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Wilkin Grullon 2022 · A	22	40	37→30	46→45	41	189/263/263	74	280	5	4	32%	7%	46	-2.0	197/259/295	98	320	8	5	38%	7%	51	-1.7	156/214/260	104	255	11	0	42%	6%	20	-0.7
✕Frank Veliz 2022 · A	22	39	38→30	47→55	37	188/240/264	76	290	5	7	36%	6%	35	-2.8	192/252/277	85	327	6	6	40%	7%	43	-2.2	129/202/202	72	244	6	0	46%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	32	38→40	38→45	37	162/223/241	78	240	6	4	34%	6%	23	-3.6	184/278/257	73	287	5	6	34%	10%	51	-1.7	159/289/213	54	249	4	5	32%	12%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Reynoso 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	43→50	36	193/244/249	56	313	4	5	38%	6%	32	-3.0	198/254/263	65	351	4	6	41%	6%	40	-2.4	156/216/182	26	314	0	3	47%	6%	1	-1.1
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	173/260/251	78	294	6	4	39%	8%	42	-2.3	177/259/258	81	293	7	6	38%	8%	43	-2.2	117/207/167	50	185	3	5	35%	8%	-5	-1.2
✕José Sánchez 2022 · A	22	40→41	38→30	44→40	43	192/263/275	84	288	5	4	33%	8%	49	-1.8	191/255/264	73	265	5	5	28%	7%	42	-2.3	177/241/235	58	242	4	3	27%	7%	25	-2.1
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Joseph Odom 2015 · A	23	38	40→45	40→30	44	189/261/275	87	276	8	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	206/252/313	107	279	10	3	29%	5%	53	-1.5	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jesse Hodges 2016 · A	22	36→43	39→40	43→40	36	178/233/260	82	268	7	4	35%	5%	31	-3.0	198/251/291	93	297	7	4	34%	6%	46	-2.0	185/239/289	104	273	10	2	35%	5%	38	-1.4