Alvaro GonzalezSS
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 25
S/R
6'0" / 165 lbs
A
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.2 · 2028
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .267 / .305
PA170
HR3
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-12M | $-12M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 194 | 172 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 5 | 8 | 9 | .180 | .262 | .262 | .523 | .081 | .248 | 27 | 7 | .231 | 35 | -14 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 163 | 144 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .153 | .233 | .208 | .441 | .056 | .196 | 25 | 7 | .204 | 14 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 246 | 215 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 2 | 3 | .158 | .258 | .209 | .467 | .051 | .244 | 34 | 8 | .219 | 26 | -21 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 173 | 152 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .125 | .227 | .211 | .437 | .086 | .230 | 45 | 8 | .209 | 18 | -16 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 75 | 63 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .111 | .233 | .159 | .392 | .048 | .194 | 43 | 11 | .204 | 14 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 126 | 113 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .124 | .214 | .186 | .400 | .062 | .197 | 37 | 8 | .184 | -1 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | DET | 170 | 153 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .274 | .314 | .588 | .111 | .280 | 32 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | DET | 288 | 260 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .280 | .331 | .610 | .123 | .283 | 31 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | DET | 332 | 299 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 101 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .207 | .280 | .328 | .607 | .120 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | DET | 360 | 324 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .207 | .280 | .330 | .610 | .123 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | DET | 368 | 331 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 111 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .282 | .332 | .615 | .124 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | DET | 374 | 337 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 114 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .280 | .329 | .610 | .122 | .282 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | DET | 363 | 327 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 113 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .275 | .315 | .590 | .113 | .281 | 31 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 83% | DET | 346 | 311 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 109 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .199 | .274 | .315 | .589 | .116 | .279 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | DET | 318 | 286 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 102 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .270 | .308 | .578 | .112 | .277 | 32 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | DET | 275 | 248 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .264 | .290 | .554 | .101 | .276 | 33 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -15 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4171 | 3735 | 711 | 128 | 23 | 73 | 331 | 1324 | 66 | 48 | 20 | .190 | .268 | .296 | .564 | .105 | .270 | 32 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -214 | +2 | -20 | +45 | +118 | -7.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 111 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 206 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .191 | .269 | .296 | .564 | .105 | .271 | 32 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -33 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 194 | 163 | 40 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 36 | 5 | 8 | 9 | .245 | .356 | .362 | .718 | .117 | .305 | 19 | 12 | .324 | 106 | +1 | -2 | — | — | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 163 | 137 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .219 | .327 | .299 | .626 | .080 | .259 | 17 | 11 | .287 | 78 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 246 | 205 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 3 | .200 | .328 | .263 | .591 | .063 | .271 | 25 | 12 | .283 | 75 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 144 | 123 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .187 | .301 | .317 | .618 | .130 | .256 | 30 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 29 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .174 | .345 | .304 | .649 | .130 | .308 | 34 | 17 | .310 | 95 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 75 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .153 | .315 | .254 | .569 | .102 | .194 | 29 | 16 | .271 | 66 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 34 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .382 | .393 | .775 | .143 | .438 | 35 | 15 | .354 | 129 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 92 | 80 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .125 | .239 | .175 | .414 | .050 | .161 | 25 | 11 | .207 | 17 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alvaro Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | 25 | — | — | — | — | .197/.267/.305 | .108 | .280 | 3 | 3 | 32% | 7% | 58 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Hutton Moyer 2018 · AA |
25 | 41→42 | 45→50 | 52→50 | 36 | .206/.257/.333 | .128 | .294 | 13 | 13 | 34% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .203/.250/.330 | .127 | .320 | 14 | 16 | 39% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .157/.192/.303 | .146 | .247 | 21 | 22 | 46% | 4% | 24 | -0.9 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 46→50 | 50 | 41 | .201/.262/.333 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .212/.276/.351 | .139 | .302 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→40 | 53→50 | 47 | .203/.276/.304 | .102 | .285 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.288/.308 | .102 | .305 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.288/.293 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 17 | 33% | 11% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kaleb Cowart 2017 · MLB |
25 | 44→51 | 42→45 | 53→50 | 41 | .214/.262/.323 | .109 | .289 | 8 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.274/.346 | .123 | .291 | 11 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .219/.272/.343 | .123 | .279 | 11 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Blake Perkins 2022 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 44→50 | 52→55 | 44 | .190/.262/.300 | .110 | .275 | 12 | 15 | 34% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .219/.299/.356 | .137 | .299 | 14 | 20 | 29% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .228/.311/.359 | .130 | .302 | 13 | 25 | 27% | 10% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕James Free 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→44 | 44→50 | 44→30 | 39 | .212/.263/.326 | .114 | .296 | 13 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .225/.283/.365 | .140 | .296 | 16 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .225/.289/.380 | .155 | .285 | 19 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 51 | .184/.279/.284 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 12% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.284/.322 | .118 | .291 | 11 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.296/.342 | .128 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 30% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2021 · AAA |
25 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 47→55 | 44 | .216/.278/.314 | .098 | .296 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.285/.334 | .117 | .287 | 11 | 17 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jacob Nottingham 2020 · MLB |
25 | 37→47 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.255/.296 | .110 | .281 | 10 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .202/.271/.348 | .146 | .295 | 18 | 11 | 36% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .185/.263/.338 | .153 | .248 | 21 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB |
25 | 43→44 | 46→50 | 47→45 | 41 | .217/.273/.344 | .128 | .295 | 13 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .224/.278/.383 | .159 | .292 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA |
25 | 41 | 43→40 | 43→45 | 40 | .202/.270/.306 | .105 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .219/.292/.313 | .094 | .295 | 8 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB |
25 | 39 | 47→45 | 46→40 | 39 | .200/.260/.332 | .132 | .284 | 16 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .207/.285/.323 | .116 | .284 | 13 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .195/.283/.286 | .092 | .264 | 10 | 2 | 28% | 10% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Eloy Gutierrez 2009 · AAA |
24 | 39→49 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .195/.252/.307 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .243/.302/.341 | .098 | .334 | 8 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.308/.326 | .079 | .342 | 6 | 13 | 27% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jose Herrera 2022 · AAA |
25 | 43 | 43→40 | 49→40 | 50 | .209/.291/.322 | .112 | .282 | 11 | 6 | 28% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .217/.286/.303 | .086 | .285 | 8 | 5 | 25% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .212/.283/.274 | .062 | .272 | 5 | 1 | 22% | 9% | 53 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Karexon Sanchez 2013 · AA |
25 | 45→47 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .217/.289/.325 | .108 | .303 | 11 | 12 | 30% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.308/.353 | .117 | .318 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .245/.319/.360 | .115 | .312 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA |
25 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 38 | .193/.251/.319 | .126 | .276 | 14 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .200/.261/.341 | .141 | .304 | 17 | 11 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2013 · AAA |
25 | 43 | 40→45 | 49→40 | 42 | .208/.264/.296 | .088 | .269 | 7 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .220/.265/.310 | .090 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 21% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |