Silas Ardoin — OGILVIE

Silas ArdoinC Norfolk Tides

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION171 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .264 / .265

PA149

HR2

K%40

BB%10

BABIP292

ISO91

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	71	59	10	1	0	0	10	26	1	0	0	169	300	186	486	17	294	37	14	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	71	52	10	1	0	0	17	20	1	0	0	192	400	212	612	19	303	28	24	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	385	338	58	11	0	6	42	165	4	6	5	172	271	257	528	86	310	43	11	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	385	319	76	15	0	8	61	121	4	6	5	238	367	361	728	122	356	31	16	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	417	376	56	9	1	2	31	159	5	3	2	149	223	194	417	45	248	38	7	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	417	360	72	13	1	4	47	116	5	3	2	200	301	275	576	75	280	28	11	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	372	321	63	15	1	6	40	128	3	4	0	196	291	305	597	109	295	34	11	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	372	301	65	16	1	8	60	105	3	4	0	216	352	355	707	140	294	28	16	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	BAL	—	171	150	24	4	1	1	18	74	2	2	1	160	259	220	479	60	307	43	11	223	29	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
YTD	25	AAA	BAL	—	171	142	27	5	1	1	26	62	2	2	1	190	324	261	584	70	329	36	15	280	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
ROS	25	AAA	BAL	10%	149	132	23	4	1	2	15	59	1	2	1	174	264	265	529	91	293	40	10	241	42	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	10%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		298	40	7	236	39	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AAA	BAL	—	186	164	26	4	1	1	19	80	2	2	1	159	254	213	467	55	301	43	10	224	30	-15	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
TOT	25	AAA	BAL	—	320	282	47	8	2	3	33	133	3	4	2	167	261	241	502	74	299	42	10	231	35	-23	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	BAL	35%	363	322	58	11	1	5	35	137	3	4	1	180	267	267	534	87	295	38	10	253	52	-20	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	BAL	44%	387	342	64	12	1	6	38	142	4	4	1	187	276	281	557	94	295	37	10	258	56	-19	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	BAL	49%	400	354	66	13	1	6	39	145	4	4	1	186	275	280	554	93	294	36	10	260	58	-19	+0	-1	+7	+11	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	BAL	35%	126	112	20	4	0	2	12	48	1	1	0	179	264	268	532	89	300	38	10	249	49	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	BAL	44%	170	149	30	6	1	3	17	62	2	2	1	201	292	315	607	114	300	36	10	255	53	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	BAL	49%	196	173	34	7	1	3	19	71	2	2	1	197	284	301	584	104	299	36	10	257	55	-10	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	507	448	86	17	2	8	49	187	5	5	2	192	279	292	571	100	305	37	10	254	52	-27	+0	-0	+9	+14	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	111	22	3	10	63	240	6	6	3	193	280	294	574	101	308	37	10	254	52	-35	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2544	2244	398	76	6	33	250	961	25	27	11	177	267	261	528	83	288	38	10	245	45	-157	+1	-1	+45	+72	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	101	19	2	8	64	246	6	7	3	176	266	258	524	82	287	38	10	245	45	-40	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	54	44	10	1	0	0	8	18	1	0	0	227	358	250	608	23	370	33	15	292	81	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	17	8	0	0	0	0	9	2	0	0	0		529		529			12	53	369	141	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	117	105	30	4	0	3	11	35	1	2	0	286	359	410	768	124	403	30	9	347	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	268	214	46	11	0	5	50	86	3	4	5	215	371	336	707	121	331	32	19	331	112	+4	-1	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	417	360	72	13	1	4	47	116	5	3	2	200	301	275	576	75	280	28	11	269	64	-17	-0	—	—	+12	-0.6
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	108	93	24	4	0	4	15	31	0	0	0	258	361	430	791	172	345	29	14	356	130	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	264	208	41	12	1	4	45	74	3	4	0	197	348	322	670	125	272	28	17	306	92	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	524	8	5	188	272	283	+9	+4	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	10	6	188	272	283	+11.9	+5.1	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Silas Ardoin (OGILVIE)	25	30	40	45	60	167/261/241	74	299	3	4	42%	10%	35	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	39→50	45→40	42	171/257/255	84	300	6	5	41%	9%	42	-2.3	183/266/304	121	296	13	6	39%	9%	58	-1.2	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	38	39→40	47→40	43	183/265/268	86	275	7	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	196/271/271	75	301	5	6	34%	8%	51	-1.7	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Allan de San Miguel 2012 · AAA	24	38	41→45	46→40	43	179/267/274	95	300	9	4	40%	10%	51	-1.7	200/274/311	111	297	11	7	34%	8%	63	-0.8	182/256/284	102	254	10	5	31%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→39	40	48→50	39	190/264/282	92	318	8	10	40%	8%	51	-1.7	201/280/301	100	296	8	13	32%	9%	63	-0.9	184/275/280	96	259	7	16	29%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	40	39→45	47→45	38	197/244/276	79	285	7	5	33%	5%	40	-2.4	209/261/303	94	327	8	10	36%	6%	54	-1.4	187/240/258	72	308	5	10	39%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	38	40	40	40	187/261/280	94	277	7	4	33%	7%	50	-1.8	192/262/285	93	308	8	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	123/204/184	61	206	5	0	40%	8%	-2	-1.0
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Matt O'Neill 2023 · AA	25	38	39→45	46→45	43	164/264/248	84	329	7	4	47%	11%	43	-2.2	178/253/277	99	313	10	4	42%	9%	45	-2.1	177/259/285	107	265	12	2	35%	9%	47	-0.4
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	191/241/278	86	285	8	4	35%	5%	39	-2.5	205/278/293	88	300	7	5	31%	8%	59	-1.1	203/315/285	82	271	6	0	24%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→45	45→40	37	186/238/265	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	34	-2.8	207/260/287	80	289	7	4	29%	6%	49	-1.8	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	40→45	40→45	44	192/269/276	84	279	8	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	218/306/353	135	287	14	8	27%	10%	88	+0.9	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8