Silas Ardoin — OGILVIE

Silas ArdoinC Norfolk Tides

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP298

ISO42

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	54	44	10	1	0	0	8	18	1	0	0	227	358	250	608	23	370	33	15	292	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	17	8	0	0	0	0	9	2	0	0	0		529		529			12	53	369	136	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	117	105	30	4	0	3	11	35	1	2	0	286	359	410	768	124	403	30	9	347	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	268	214	46	11	0	5	50	86	3	4	5	215	371	336	707	121	331	32	19	331	110	+3	-1	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	417	360	72	13	1	4	47	116	5	3	2	200	301	275	576	75	280	28	11	269	68	-16	-0	—	—	+9	-0.7
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	108	93	24	4	0	4	15	31	0	0	0	258	361	430	791	172	345	29	14	356	127	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	264	208	41	12	1	4	45	74	3	4	0	197	348	322	670	125	272	28	17	306	93	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	54	47	9	1	0	0	5	24	1	0	0	191	283	213	496	21	359	44	9	232	43	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	17	12	0	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	0		294		294			18	29	220	35	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	117	108	25	3	0	2	8	43	1	2	0	231	291	315	605	83	359	37	7	262	63	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	268	230	35	8	0	4	34	117	3	4	5	152	270	239	509	87	276	44	13	236	46	-17	-1	—	—	+6	-1.3
2024	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	417	375	60	10	1	2	32	146	5	3	2	160	235	208	443	48	246	35	8	205	25	-37	-0	—	—	+9	-2.9
2025	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	108	98	21	3	0	3	10	38	0	0	0	214	287	337	624	122	324	35	9	277	74	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	264	222	39	11	1	3	31	87	3	4	0	176	285	275	560	99	245	33	12	253	57	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	58	9	1	0	0	11	27	1	0	0	155	300	172	472	17	281	38	15	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	71	52	10	1	0	0	17	20	1	0	0	192	400	212	612	19	303	28	24	310	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	339	60	11	0	6	41	160	4	6	5	177	273	263	536	86	310	42	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	385	319	76	15	0	8	61	121	4	6	5	238	367	361	728	122	356	31	16	336	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	417	375	60	10	1	2	32	146	5	3	2	160	235	208	443	48	252	35	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	—	417	360	72	13	1	4	47	116	5	3	2	200	301	275	576	75	280	28	11	269	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	320	60	14	1	6	41	125	3	4	0	188	286	294	579	106	277	34	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	372	301	65	16	1	8	60	105	3	4	0	216	352	355	707	140	294	28	16	320	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	59	9	1	0	0	11	27	1	0	0	153	300	169	469	17	273	38	15	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	337	60	11	0	6	41	160	4	6	5	178	273	264	538	86	301	42	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	417	377	60	10	1	2	32	146	5	3	2	159	235	207	442	48	246	35	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	325	60	14	1	6	41	125	3	4	0	185	286	289	575	105	268	34	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	337	60	11	0	6	41	160	4	6	5	178	273	264	538	86	301	42	11	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	417	377	60	10	1	2	32	146	5	3	2	159	235	207	442	48	246	35	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	325	60	14	1	6	41	125	3	4	0	185	286	289	575	105	268	34	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	229	202	31	7	2	1	24	102	2	2	1	153	250	223	473	69	303	45	10	219	34	-18	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA RAW	BAL	—	229	191	35	8	2	2	35	85	2	2	1	183	316	277	593	94	317	37	15	281	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	BAL	10%	27	24	4	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	167	259	208	468	42	293	41	11	238	47	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						298	33	0	234	47	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	BAL	—	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							33	0	234	36	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	256	226	35	8	2	1	27	113	2	2	1	155	251	221	472	66	304	44	11	221	36	-20	+0	+0	+5	+6	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	363	321	58	12	2	5	36	140	3	3	1	181	269	277	547	97	292	39	10	250	55	-19	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	387	343	63	13	2	6	38	144	3	3	1	184	271	286	557	102	291	37	10	255	59	-19	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	400	353	65	13	2	6	40	147	4	3	1	184	275	283	558	99	291	37	10	258	61	-19	+0	-1	+7	+9	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	126	112	21	4	1	2	12	48	1	1	0	188	272	295	567	107	296	38	10	247	55	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	170	149	29	6	1	3	17	63	2	1	1	195	286	309	594	114	296	37	10	252	59	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	196	173	33	7	1	3	19	72	2	2	1	191	278	295	573	104	295	37	10	255	61	-9	+0	-0	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	495	437	83	17	3	8	48	184	5	4	2	190	278	297	575	108	302	37	10	252	51	-24	+0	-0	+9	+11	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	109	22	4	11	63	242	7	5	3	190	278	300	578	110	302	37	10	252	51	-32	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2422	2133	379	75	8	31	242	900	23	22	10	178	269	264	533	86	285	37	10	244	51	-59	+1	-1	+21	+26	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	101	20	2	8	65	242	6	6	3	177	267	260	528	84	284	37	10	244	51	-32	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	524	8	4	183	269	280	+9	+4	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+5.1	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Silas Ardoin (OGILVIE)	25	30	40	45	60	168/258/246	78	293	3	3	40%	10%	47	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	170/258/250	80	292	5	5	40%	9%	48	-2.5	184/267/299	115	295	12	6	38%	9%	62	-1.4	170/259/294	123	253	14	4	36%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	182/273/271	90	286	8	7	36%	9%	59	-1.7	195/278/297	102	296	9	11	34%	8%	65	-1.2	169/259/271	102	251	9	13	34%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	39	39→40	47→40	44	186/268/270	84	277	6	6	33%	8%	56	-1.9	197/273/272	75	298	5	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	178/263/231	54	280	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6
✕Allan de San Miguel 2012 · AAA	24	38	40→45	46→40	44	180/269/269	89	297	8	4	39%	10%	56	-1.9	202/277/317	115	294	11	7	33%	8%	70	-0.9	183/259/290	107	251	11	5	30%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→38	40	48→50	40	193/269/287	94	312	8	10	38%	8%	60	-1.6	198/279/295	97	292	8	13	32%	9%	65	-1.2	174/270/262	88	250	6	16	30%	10%	53	-1.4
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	43→45	41→50	39	194/254/302	108	288	10	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/278/332	111	314	9	14	31%	6%	72	-0.7	228/287/337	109	320	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Matt O'Neill 2023 · AA	25	39	39→45	46→45	44	168/270/251	84	330	6	4	46%	12%	53	-2.1	178/254/271	93	306	9	4	41%	9%	50	-2.3	184/259/283	100	277	9	2	35%	9%	53	-0.6
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	194/249/295	101	286	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	216/266/303	87	312	6	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	219/269/292	73	315	5	8	30%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	192/241/277	85	286	8	4	35%	5%	46	-2.6	206/277/292	86	298	7	5	31%	8%	63	-1.3	206/313/286	80	269	6	0	23%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	41	38→45	47→45	39	200/250/277	77	288	6	5	32%	6%	49	-2.4	214/269/308	94	322	8	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	201/253/274	73	312	5	10	35%	6%	46	-0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→40	45→40	37	186/239/266	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	42	-2.9	207/260/286	79	287	7	4	29%	6%	55	-2.0	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	39	40	40	41	190/266/285	95	277	7	4	32%	7%	58	-1.7	196/266/290	94	304	8	7	35%	7%	59	-1.6	130/211/192	62	213	4	0	38%	8%	14	-0.9
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→32	44→55	50→40	44	178/267/295	117	306	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/270/355	164	283	21	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	180/268/256	77	304	6	11	39%	8%	53	-2.1	179/276/283	104	292	9	15	38%	8%	63	-1.4	154/260/256	101	254	9	18	39%	9%	50	-1.3
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	192/269/271	79	282	7	5	32%	8%	56	-1.9	217/307/343	126	285	13	8	26%	10%	87	+0.4	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps