Silas Ardoin

C Norfolk Tides
Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AABowie Baysox417.200/.301/.2754329—.166/.243/.214
202524AAA/AABAL372.216/.352/.3558465—.193/.291/.299
202625AAABAL240.183/.326/.2742241—.158/.264/.225
2027PROJ10% MLB26MLBBAL15.164/.260/.2440045-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB27MLBBAL57.167/.262/.2501047-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Chase%93
BB%90
Speed52
Max EV25
Whiff%15
K%8
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%
CompsMatt O'Neill (age 26) · Cooper Johnson (age 26) · Cody Bohanek (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .260 / .244
PA15
HR0
K%40
BB%13
BABIP274
ISO89
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 5444 10100 8181 00 227358250608 23370 3315 292 48 — — — — — —
202221 ROKFCL Orioles — 178 0000 920 00 529529 1253 369 31 — — — — — —
202322 AABowie Baysox — 117105 30403 11351 20 286359410768 124403 309 347 71 — — — — — —
202322 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 268214 461105 50863 45 215371336707 121331 3219 331 42 — — — — — —
202423 AABowie Baysox — 417360 721314 471165 32 200301275576 75280 2811 269 29 — — — — — —
202524 AAANorfolk Tides — 10893 24404 15310 00 258361430791 172345 2914 356 79 — — — — — —
202524 AAChesapeake Baysox — 264208 411214 45743 40 197348322670 125272 2817 306 59 — — — — — —
202625 AAANorfolk Tides — 240197 36822 40872 21 183326274600 91315 3617 287 41 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 5446 9100 6231 00 196302217519 22352 4311 239 48 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 1712 0000 530 00 294294 1829 214 31 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 117108 26302 8431 20 241299324623 83379 377 273 71 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 268233 36805 311143 45 155262253515 99261 4312 231 42 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 417374 621012 331465 32 166243214457 48255 358 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 10898 22303 10380 00 224296347643 122335 359 285 79 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 264222 401113 31873 40 180289279568 99249 3312 255 59 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 240209 33721 281042 21 158264225488 67301 4312 229 41 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE2 teams — 7158 9100 11261 00 155300172472 17273 3715 233 44 — — — — — —
202221 A RAW2 teams — 7152 10100 17201 00 192400212612 19303 2824 310 44 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 385341 611106 391574 65 179271264535 85307 4110 244 51 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW2 teams — 385319 761508 611214 65 238367361728 122356 3116 336 51 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 417374 621012 331465 32 166243214457 48262 358 211 29 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWBowie Baysox — 417360 721314 471165 32 200301275576 75280 2811 269 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 372320 611416 411253 40 191288297585 106282 3411 264 65 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 372301 651618 601053 40 216352355707 140294 2816 320 65 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 240209 33721 281042 21 158264225488 67308 4312 229 41 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAWNorfolk Tides — 240197 36822 40872 21 183326274600 91315 3617 287 41 — — — — — —
202221 A MLE2 teams — 7159 9100 11261 00 153300169469 17268 3715 233 44 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 385339 611106 391574 65 180271265536 86297 4110 244 51 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 417376 621012 331465 32 165243213455 48255 358 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 372325 611416 411253 40 188288292581 105274 3411 264 65 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 240208 33721 281042 21 159264226490 67301 4312 229 41 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 417376 621012 331465 32 165243213455 48255 358 211 29 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 372325 611416 411253 40 188288292581 105274 3411 264 65 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 240208 33721 281042 21 159264226490 67301 4312 229 41 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEBAL 10% 290255 42913 311122 31 162258239497 77270 3911 234 45 -19 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXBAL 10% 1513 1000 260 00 164260244504 80274 4013 237 45 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEBAL 31% 183160 26512 19702 20 165260245505 80271 3810 237 47 -12 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
202827 MLB CTXBAL 31% 5751 9201 6220 00 167262250512 83274 3911 240 47 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5751 9201 6220 00 176263275538 98286 3911 240 46 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 10223011 682510 00 175262271533 96284 3910 240 46 -41 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 18211597 27452619 18768718 188 172266247513 76282 3810 236 46 -22 +1 +0 +6 +7 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 981927 672456 63 172266249515 77282 3810 236 46 -42 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 240 PAwOBA .280 → .229 (−52)K% 36.2% → 43.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.25%÷1.000×1.200——43.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01811.71%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.940—×1.0180.80%
Singles /BIP21.82%÷1.000×0.930×1.037×1.01821.43%
Doubles /BIP7.27%÷1.000×0.830×1.037×1.0186.37%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.000×0.970×1.037×1.0181.86%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0181.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .280 → .229; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .315 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 264 PAwOBA .304 → .255 (−49)K% 28.0% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.03%÷1.044×1.220——32.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.987×0.700—×0.99811.80%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.850—×0.9980.96%
Singles /BIP17.91%÷0.957×0.970×0.950×0.99817.21%
Doubles /BIP8.96%÷0.970×0.860×0.950×0.9987.53%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.900×0.950×0.950×0.9980.75%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷1.248×0.780—×0.9981.86%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .304 → .255; ISO .125 → .101; BABIP .272 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 108 PAwOBA .347 → .285 (−62)K% 28.7% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.70%÷0.967×1.200——35.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷1.063×0.690—×1.0339.32%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP25.81%÷0.959×0.930×1.011×1.03326.12%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷0.978×0.830×1.011×1.0335.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.011×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP6.45%÷0.945×0.700—×1.0334.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .347 → .285; ISO .172 → .131; BABIP .345 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABowie Baysox · 417 PAwOBA .264 → .211 (−53)K% 27.8% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.82%÷0.970×1.220——34.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.27%÷1.028×0.700—×1.0127.77%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.850—×1.0121.03%
Singles /BIP22.13%÷1.008×0.970×0.973×1.01220.98%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷1.062×0.860×0.973×1.0124.25%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.135×0.950×0.973×1.0120.34%
Home runs /BIP1.64%÷1.249×0.780—×1.0121.04%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .264 → .211; ISO .075 → .052; BABIP .280 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 268 PAwOBA .325 → .231 (−94)K% 32.1% → 42.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.09%÷0.986×1.310——42.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.66%÷0.982×0.600—×0.99811.38%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.770—×0.9980.86%
Singles /BIP23.44%÷1.037×0.870×0.959×0.99818.81%
Doubles /BIP8.59%÷0.980×0.780×0.959×0.9986.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.959×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.91%÷0.912×0.880—×0.9983.76%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .325 → .231; ISO .121 → .101; BABIP .331 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABowie Baysox · 117 PAwOBA .338 → .273 (−65)K% 29.9% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.91%÷0.988×1.220——36.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.40%÷0.989×0.700—×1.0276.83%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.850—×1.0270.75%
Singles /BIP32.86%÷0.965×0.970×0.950×1.02732.22%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷1.046×0.860×0.950×1.0274.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.998×0.950×0.950×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.29%÷1.208×0.780—×1.0272.84%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .273; ISO .124 → .081; BABIP .403 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 54 PAwOBA .291 → .239 (−52)K% 33.3% → 42.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.061×1.360——42.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.81%÷0.979×0.690——10.44%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.780——1.44%
Singles /BIP34.62%÷0.955×0.920——33.36%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.976×0.830——3.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.128×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .291 → .239; ISO .023 → .018; BABIP .370 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Orioles · 17 PAwOBA .365 → .214 (−151)K% 11.8% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷0.988×1.440——17.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA52.94%÷1.031×0.620—×0.97531.04%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.967×0.820—×0.9750.00%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.966×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.927×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .365 → .214; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).