Scott Hurst
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | AAASTL | 305 | .203/.293/.301 | 4 | 5 | 34 | — | .177/.240/.253 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAASTL | 371 | .286/.400/.434 | 10 | 18 | 89 | — | .240/.324/.347 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAASTL | 36 | .133/.278/.133 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — | .094/.194/.094 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 57 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 354 | 446 | 542 | 988 | 187 | 421 | 18 | 14 | 428 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 216 | 190 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 295 | 368 | 411 | 778 | 116 | 353 | 19 | 9 | 345 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 400 | 550 | 600 | 1.150 | 200 | 462 | 10 | 25 | 503 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 161 | 141 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 278 | 277 | 555 | 85 | 277 | 29 | 11 | 254 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 244 | 223 | 52 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 233 | 293 | 314 | 607 | 81 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 276 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 305 | 266 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 94 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 203 | 293 | 301 | 594 | 98 | 294 | 31 | 11 | 271 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 371 | 311 | 89 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 68 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 286 | 400 | 434 | 834 | 148 | 338 | 18 | 15 | 376 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 36 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 222 | 33 | 14 | 218 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 57 | 50 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 320 | 393 | 500 | 893 | 180 | 402 | 25 | 11 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 216 | 196 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 245 | 302 | 332 | 634 | 87 | 316 | 25 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 20 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 412 | 812 | 118 | 346 | 15 | 15 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 161 | 145 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 228 | 228 | 455 | 69 | 242 | 35 | 8 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 244 | 227 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 85 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 172 | 223 | 233 | 457 | 62 | 252 | 35 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 305 | 277 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 118 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 177 | 240 | 253 | 493 | 76 | 281 | 39 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 371 | 329 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 83 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 240 | 324 | 347 | 671 | 106 | 301 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 36 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 94 | 194 | 94 | 288 | 199 | 42 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 293 | 263 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 71 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 266 | 330 | 376 | 706 | 110 | 345 | 24 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 293 | 253 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 312 | 396 | 447 | 842 | 134 | 373 | 18 | 11 | 372 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 373 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 166 | 223 | 231 | 453 | 64 | 254 | 35 | 6 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 405 | 364 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 107 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 217 | 287 | 299 | 587 | 82 | 292 | 26 | 9 | 267 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 305 | 277 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 118 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 177 | 240 | 253 | 493 | 76 | 291 | 39 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 305 | 266 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 94 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 203 | 293 | 301 | 594 | 98 | 294 | 31 | 11 | 271 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 371 | 329 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 83 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 240 | 324 | 347 | 671 | 106 | 300 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 371 | 311 | 89 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 68 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 286 | 400 | 434 | 834 | 148 | 338 | 18 | 15 | 376 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 36 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 94 | 194 | 94 | 288 | 176 | 42 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 36 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 133 | 411 | 222 | 33 | 14 | 218 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 293 | 266 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 71 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 263 | 330 | 372 | 702 | 109 | 335 | 24 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 375 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 142 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 165 | 223 | 229 | 452 | 64 | 248 | 35 | 6 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 305 | 279 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 118 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 176 | 240 | 251 | 491 | 75 | 281 | 39 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 371 | 327 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 83 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 242 | 324 | 349 | 673 | 107 | 301 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 36 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 94 | 194 | 94 | 288 | 199 | 42 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1410 | 1274 | 263 | 48 | 5 | 17 | 109 | 429 | 11 | 39 | 19 | 206 | 275 | 292 | 567 | 86 | 294 | 30 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -71 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +31 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 121 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 198 | 5 | 18 | 9 | 206 | 274 | 291 | 565 | 85 | 294 | 30 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -33 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 36 PAwOBA .214 → .168 (−46)K% 33.3% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.89% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 19.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .214 → .168; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 371 PAwOBA .368 → .300 (−68)K% 18.3% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.56% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.75% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×1.018 | 24.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.018 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×1.018 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .368 → .300; ISO .148 → .111; BABIP .338 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 305 PAwOBA .266 → .219 (−47)K% 30.8% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.82% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.82% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.51% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 21.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.033 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .266 → .219; ISO .098 → .076; BABIP .294 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 244 PAwOBA .270 → .206 (−64)K% 25.0% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.54% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.047 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .270 → .206; ISO .081 → .067; BABIP .302 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AASpringfield Cardinals · 161 PAwOBA .248 → .198 (−50)K% 28.6% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.56% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.89% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.47% | ÷1.070 | ×0.840 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.940 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.108 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 122, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .248 → .198; ISO .085 → .063; BABIP .277 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 APeoria Chiefs · 216 PAwOBA .343 → .287 (−55)K% 19.0% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.98% | ÷1.030 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | — | 24.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | — | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.948 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | — | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷0.981 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 90, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .343 → .287; ISO .116 → .098; BABIP .353 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 57 PAwOBA .425 → .385 (−40)K% 17.5% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷1.036 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.04% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 23.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.942 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.012 | 16.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.852 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 107, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .425 → .385; ISO .188 → .192; BABIP .421 → .402. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Cardinals · 20 PAwOBA .491 → .361 (−130)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 15.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 18.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 16.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .491 → .361; ISO .200 → .152; BABIP .462 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).