Matt O'NeillC
Reno Aces
Age 28
R/R
5'10" / 205 lbs
AAA
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†34
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .257 / .295
PA184
HR4
K%37
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
38→38
SPD
45→45
EYE
53→53
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-8M | $-12M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 95 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .221 | .348 | .312 | .660 | .091 | .356 | 35 | 12 | .283 | 75 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 192 | 156 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .109 | .268 | .160 | .429 | .051 | .312 | 56 | 16 | .218 | 25 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | 3 teams | 379 | 337 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 160 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .142 | .233 | .226 | .459 | .083 | .251 | 42 | 9 | .213 | 22 | -34 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 248 | 227 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .141 | .214 | .247 | .460 | .106 | .241 | 46 | 8 | .208 | 17 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 103 | 92 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .141 | .218 | .207 | .424 | .065 | .240 | 41 | 9 | .198 | 10 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 167 | 149 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .201 | .283 | .282 | .565 | .081 | .308 | 34 | 10 | .263 | 59 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 42 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .132 | .195 | .263 | .458 | .132 | .190 | 40 | 7 | .166 | -15 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 142 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .180 | .255 | .297 | .552 | .117 | .274 | 37 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 28 | MLB | ARI | 184 | 166 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .169 | .242 | .289 | .531 | .120 | .255 | 38 | 8 | .230 | 34 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | ARI | 247 | 223 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 80 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .184 | .257 | .296 | .553 | .112 | .259 | 32 | 9 | .255 | 54 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | ARI | 292 | 263 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 93 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .183 | .259 | .293 | .551 | .110 | .261 | 32 | 9 | .257 | 55 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | ARI | 280 | 253 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 89 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .259 | .300 | .559 | .115 | .261 | 32 | 9 | .257 | 55 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | ARI | 261 | 236 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 84 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .182 | .255 | .288 | .543 | .106 | .260 | 32 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | ARI | 230 | 207 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .179 | .254 | .280 | .535 | .101 | .258 | 33 | 9 | .249 | 49 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | ARI | 188 | 169 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .253 | .278 | .531 | .101 | .256 | 34 | 9 | .243 | 44 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2824 | 2517 | 426 | 78 | 12 | 48 | 264 | 1052 | 20 | 18 | 6 | .169 | .253 | .267 | .520 | .098 | .264 | 37 | 9 | .241 | 43 | -183 | +1 | -19 | +50 | +80 | -7.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 242 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .169 | .254 | .268 | .522 | .098 | .264 | 37 | 9 | .241 | 43 | -42 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 95 | 70 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .286 | .457 | .400 | .857 | .114 | .396 | 24 | 19 | .385 | 153 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 192 | 139 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 48 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .187 | .405 | .273 | .679 | .086 | .359 | 39 | 25 | .333 | 113 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .316 | .350 | .579 | .929 | .263 | .455 | 35 | 5 | .403 | 167 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 254 | 206 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 81 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .175 | .328 | .272 | .600 | .097 | .274 | 32 | 17 | .287 | 78 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | 105 | 87 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .241 | .365 | .368 | .733 | .126 | .328 | 27 | 15 | .335 | 114 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .105 | .227 | .263 | .490 | .158 | .111 | 41 | 14 | .231 | 35 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 226 | 198 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .177 | .279 | .308 | .587 | .131 | .259 | 35 | 12 | .271 | 66 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 59 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .160 | .263 | .280 | .543 | .120 | .250 | 37 | 12 | .245 | 45 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 44 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .184 | .295 | .211 | .506 | .026 | .269 | 27 | 14 | .248 | 48 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 65 | 59 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .277 | .305 | .582 | .102 | .289 | 31 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 102 | 84 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .250 | .376 | .369 | .745 | .119 | .333 | 25 | 16 | .341 | 119 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt O'Neill (OGILVIE) | 28 | 20 | 38 | 45 | 53 | .184/.257/.295 | .110 | .282 | 4 | 2 | 37% | 8% | 52 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB |
28 | 41 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 39 | .202/.249/.290 | .088 | .280 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .221/.277/.307 | .086 | .290 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.272/.281 | .066 | .278 | 3 | 2 | 22% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA |
29 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .194/.247/.308 | .114 | .270 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.255/.324 | .126 | .283 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA |
28 | 34 | 47→45 | 43→40 | 42 | .182/.258/.310 | .127 | .254 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.277/.329 | .120 | .281 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .205/.282/.307 | .102 | .267 | 11 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2018 · MLB |
28 | 43→42 | 43→45 | 42→50 | 38 | .204/.261/.315 | .111 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .185/.255/.294 | .109 | .332 | 11 | 8 | 43% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .137/.222/.220 | .083 | .276 | 10 | 7 | 50% | 9% | 16 | -1.2 |
|
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA |
27 | 40 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 39 | .198/.255/.304 | .106 | .297 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.251/.287 | .094 | .336 | 9 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .147/.210/.229 | .082 | .244 | 10 | 4 | 42% | 7% | 11 | -0.9 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB |
27 | 38 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 41 | .195/.264/.331 | .136 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .201/.256/.340 | .139 | .280 | 16 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .170/.220/.361 | .191 | .196 | 26 | 0 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA |
28 | 34→35 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 37 | .181/.241/.311 | .129 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.246/.332 | .143 | .280 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.218/.302 | .144 | .215 | 22 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -1.3 |
|
✕David Masters 2021 · AA |
28 | 42→36 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .212/.279/.339 | .128 | .290 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.274/.369 | .154 | .312 | 19 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .170/.231/.347 | .178 | .226 | 28 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 40 | .200/.262/.313 | .113 | .299 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.259/.307 | .112 | .360 | 12 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .163/.227/.268 | .105 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 51% | 7% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Dom Nuñez 2023 · MLB |
28 | 36→43 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 49 | .185/.271/.311 | .126 | .259 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .176/.265/.289 | .113 | .261 | 11 | 6 | 34% | 10% | 54 | -1.4 | .147/.248/.254 | .107 | .221 | 11 | 4 | 36% | 11% | 36 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Joseph Odom 2020 · AAA |
28 | 42 | 42→45 | 44→30 | 36 | .205/.249/.304 | .099 | .304 | 10 | 3 | 35% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .199/.256/.305 | .106 | .333 | 11 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .171/.242/.298 | .127 | .335 | 15 | 3 | 50% | 7% | 43 | -0.6 |
|
✕Mark Kolozsvary 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37 | 46→40 | 47→30 | 38 | .186/.270/.313 | .127 | .292 | 13 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .190/.267/.321 | .131 | .292 | 15 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .166/.225/.303 | .137 | .244 | 18 | 4 | 39% | 5% | 36 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 45 | 45→40 | 39 | .209/.261/.332 | .122 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.263/.342 | .127 | .288 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.219/.291 | .112 | .242 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 3% | 31 | -1.0 |
|
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2014 · AAA |
28 | 36→30 | 47→50 | 43→30 | 33 | .190/.227/.316 | .126 | .273 | 15 | 3 | 36% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .184/.220/.284 | .100 | .284 | 10 | 4 | 38% | 4% | 31 | -3.0 | .142/.176/.217 | .075 | .259 | 9 | 1 | 48% | 3% | -7 | -2.0 |