Matt O'Neill — OGILVIE

Matt O'NeillC Reno Aces

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP253

ISO56

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	ROK	GCL Mets	—	95	70	20	3	1	1	18	23	4	0	1	286	457	400	857	114	396	24	19	385	147	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	192	139	26	3	0	3	48	74	3	1	0	187	405	273	679	86	359	39	25	333	111	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	20	19	6	2	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	316	350	579	929	263	455	35	5	403	159	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	254	206	36	6	4	2	44	81	3	0	1	175	328	272	600	97	274	32	17	287	81	-6	-0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2022	24	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	105	87	21	5	0	2	16	28	1	1	1	241	365	368	733	126	328	27	15	335	113	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	22	19	2	0	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	105	227	263	490	158	111	41	14	231	42	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	226	198	35	8	0	6	28	80	0	0	0	177	279	308	587	131	259	35	12	271	70	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	59	50	8	3	0	1	7	22	0	0	0	160	263	280	543	120	250	37	12	245	52	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	44	38	7	1	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	184	295	211	506	26	269	27	14	248	54	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	65	59	12	3	0	1	6	20	0	0	0	203	277	305	582	102	289	31	9	267	67	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	102	84	21	4	0	2	16	26	1	2	1	250	376	369	745	119	333	25	16	341	117	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	95	77	17	2	1	1	11	33	4	0	1	221	348	312	660	91	315	35	12	283	78	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	192	155	17	2	0	2	32	107	3	1	0	110	274	161	435	52	300	56	17	220	35	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2022	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	20	20	6	2	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	300	300	550	850	250	416	40	0	329	109	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	254	222	31	5	3	2	28	109	3	0	1	140	245	216	461	77	252	43	11	212	30	-21	-0	—	—	+6	-1.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	22	20	2	0	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	100	182	250	432	150	100	50	9	154	-10	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	226	208	31	7	0	5	18	97	0	0	0	149	217	255	472	106	247	43	8	211	29	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2024	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	59	52	7	2	0	1	5	27	0	0	0	135	211	231	441	96	221	46	8	189	14	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	44	40	7	1	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	175	250	200	450	25	254	32	9	204	24	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	65	61	10	2	0	1	4	24	0	0	0	164	215	246	461	82	262	37	6	201	22	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	27	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	102	89	21	4	0	2	11	31	1	2	1	236	327	348	675	112	330	30	11	295	86	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	95	77	17	2	1	1	11	33	4	0	1	221	348	312	660	91	356	35	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	—	95	70	20	3	1	1	18	23	4	0	1	286	457	400	857	114	396	24	19	385	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	192	155	17	2	0	2	32	107	3	1	0	110	274	161	435	52	312	56	17	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	192	139	26	3	0	3	48	74	3	1	0	187	405	273	679	86	359	39	25	333	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	379	334	49	9	5	3	39	163	4	1	2	147	244	231	475	84	271	43	10	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	379	312	63	13	4	5	61	116	4	1	2	202	340	317	657	115	301	31	16	306	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	248	228	32	7	0	5	20	109	0	0	0	140	210	237	447	96	237	44	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	248	217	37	8	0	7	31	89	0	0	0	171	274	304	578	134	248	36	12	268	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	103	92	13	3	0	1	9	41	0	0	0	141	218	207	424	65	235	40	9	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	103	88	15	4	0	1	13	34	0	0	0	170	277	250	527	80	259	33	13	246	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	167	150	30	6	0	2	15	56	1	2	1	200	277	280	557	80	301	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	167	143	33	7	0	3	22	46	1	2	1	231	337	343	680	112	316	28	13	312	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	—	95	80	17	2	1	1	11	33	4	0	1	212	348	300	648	87	315	35	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	192	155	17	2	0	2	32	107	3	1	0	110	274	161	435	52	300	56	17	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	379	333	49	9	5	3	39	163	4	1	2	147	244	231	475	84	264	43	10	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	248	226	32	7	0	5	20	109	0	0	0	142	210	239	449	97	234	44	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	103	93	13	3	0	1	9	41	0	0	0	140	218	204	422	65	235	40	9	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	167	149	30	6	0	2	15	56	1	2	1	201	277	282	559	81	304	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	248	226	32	7	0	5	20	109	0	0	0	142	210	239	449	97	234	44	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	103	93	13	3	0	1	9	41	0	0	0	140	218	204	422	65	235	40	9	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	167	149	30	6	0	2	15	56	1	2	1	201	277	282	559	81	304	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	ARI	—	220	194	38	9	2	5	19	73	1	0	1	196	271	340	611	144	280	33	9	261	63	-10	-0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA RAW	ARI	—	64	53	10	4	0	2	11	13	0	0	0	189	328	377	705	189	211	20	17	322	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA RAW	ARI	—	156	133	33	7	2	4	16	44	1	0	1	248	333	421	754	173	333	28	10	324	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	ARI	10%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	247	35	10	241	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						253	50	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	ARI	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	241	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	ARI	—	240	212	41	10	2	5	21	80	1	0	1	193	269	330	599	137	279	33	9	259	62	-11	-0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	27%	247	222	39	9	1	4	22	80	1	1	1	176	253	279	532	104	250	32	9	245	52	-14	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.6
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	37%	292	263	47	10	1	5	26	93	1	1	1	179	255	281	537	103	252	32	9	249	54	-16	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.7
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	27%	67	61	10	2	0	1	6	22	0	0	0	164	239	246	485	82	255	33	9	244	52	-4	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	37%	109	97	18	4	0	2	10	35	1	1	0	186	269	289	557	103	258	32	9	247	54	-6	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	178	160	28	6	0	3	16	58	1	1	0	175	254	269	523	94	250	33	9	246	43	-10	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	102	22	0	11	58	212	4	4	0	175	254	269	523	94	249	33	9	246	43	-36	+1	-4	+12	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1743	1539	247	49	8	23	176	689	14	6	6	160	253	248	500	87	268	40	10	232	43	-31	-0	-3	+10	+12	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	92	18	3	9	66	257	5	2	2	160	253	249	502	89	266	40	10	232	43	-36	-0	-4	+12	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt O'Neill (OGILVIE)	28	25	39	44	52	171/247/276	105	247	3	1	33%	9%	49	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ali Solis 2016 · AAA	28	33	36→45	45→30	32	168/196/231	63	240	4	4	32%	3%	17	-4.7	191/226/277	86	268	8	5	31%	4%	40	-3.1	194/230/312	118	254	15	2	30%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Joe Hudson 2018 · AA	27	36	38→45	46→40	45	178/242/259	81	242	5	3	28%	8%	42	-2.9	201/257/311	110	284	11	4	32%	7%	60	-1.6	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	46→45	43→40	42	181/255/303	122	248	15	5	33%	8%	59	-1.7	209/279/324	115	282	12	7	29%	8%	72	-0.7	201/279/293	92	266	9	0	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Dane Sardinha 2007 · AAA	28	36→32	40	47→30	38	184/230/266	82	246	9	4	29%	5%	39	-3.1	177/219/270	93	241	10	4	30%	4%	36	-3.4	153/213/233	79	221	9	0	34%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Kevin Cash 2007 · MLB	29	38	43→40	42→30	39	194/254/304	109	271	11	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/265/301	107	276	11	4	32%	8%	61	-1.5	194/266/271	78	265	9	0	29%	9%	52	-0.5
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Jackson Williams 2014 · AAA	28	39	44→45	44→40	41	201/245/316	115	247	12	3	25%	5%	57	-1.8	204/261/288	84	261	7	5	23%	7%	55	-1.9	191/251/251	60	245	4	2	22%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	36→29	46→45	42→30	33	191/227/313	122	275	14	3	36%	4%	49	-2.4	183/220/279	96	282	9	4	37%	4%	38	-3.2	140/173/207	67	257	7	1	47%	3%	2	-2.1
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/282/345	126	268	14	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	223/288/361	137	262	17	15	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	206/239/279	74	247	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/274/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	72	-0.7	239/278/332	93	274	11	3	17%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→40	46→50	40	190/245/264	74	274	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	220/258/323	103	315	12	17	33%	5%	63	-1.4	224/249/331	107	323	14	23	34%	3%	57	-1.1
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2013 · AAA	28	40	41→40	44→40	36	199/236/296	98	262	9	3	28%	4%	48	-2.5	207/242/301	94	279	7	5	27%	4%	51	-2.2	205/234/286	81	279	4	3	27%	3%	42	-1.1