Arturo De Freitas
C Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+PHI | 116 | .162/.235/.181 | 0 | 0 | -20 | — | .111/.165/.120 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAPHI | 45 | .222/.378/.389 | 2 | 0 | 72 | — | .179/.289/.256 |
| 2026 | 25 | A+TEX | 111 | .230/.294/.440 | 5 | 0 | 38 | — | .165/.211/.320 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBTEX | 200 | .202/.266/.319 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 27 | MLBTEX | 34 | .204/.269/.326 | 1 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ39% MLB | 28 | MLBTEX | 67 | .204/.269/.326 | 2 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | — | 213 | 173 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 266 | 398 | 422 | 820 | 156 | 323 | 18 | 13 | 370 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 38 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 176 | 440 | 240 | 24 | 3 | 219 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 22 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 318 | 400 | 718 | 150 | 294 | 14 | 9 | 321 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 67 | 61 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 138 | 98 | 237 | 16 | 132 | 37 | 4 | 115 | -58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 238 | 219 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 287 | 347 | 634 | 119 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 285 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 41 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 366 | 278 | 644 | 323 | 12 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 116 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 235 | 181 | 416 | 19 | 254 | 34 | 8 | 200 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 378 | 389 | 767 | 167 | 286 | 29 | 18 | 354 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 100 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 294 | 440 | 734 | 210 | 327 | 37 | 7 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 213 | 181 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 166 | 284 | 249 | 533 | 83 | 207 | 22 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 38 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 237 | 147 | 384 | 220 | 32 | 3 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 286 | 513 | 95 | 222 | 18 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 67 | 62 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 108 | 81 | 188 | 16 | 110 | 48 | 3 | 83 | -58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 238 | 224 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 219 | 263 | 483 | 89 | 261 | 37 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 116 | 108 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 165 | 120 | 286 | 9 | 212 | 44 | 5 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 289 | 256 | 545 | 77 | 278 | 36 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 103 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 211 | 320 | 531 | 155 | 274 | 49 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 213 | 181 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 166 | 284 | 249 | 533 | 83 | 215 | 22 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies White | — | 213 | 173 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 266 | 398 | 422 | 820 | 156 | 323 | 18 | 13 | 370 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 60 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 200 | 433 | 36 | 237 | 28 | 3 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 60 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 283 | 259 | 543 | 56 | 262 | 20 | 5 | 257 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 325 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 136 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 192 | 215 | 408 | 68 | 234 | 39 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 346 | 316 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 268 | 291 | 559 | 85 | 274 | 27 | 7 | 255 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 116 | 108 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 165 | 120 | 286 | 9 | 207 | 44 | 5 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 116 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 235 | 181 | 416 | 19 | 254 | 34 | 8 | 200 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 289 | 256 | 545 | 77 | 273 | 36 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 378 | 389 | 767 | 167 | 286 | 29 | 18 | 354 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 103 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 211 | 320 | 531 | 155 | 283 | 49 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ RAW | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 100 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 294 | 440 | 734 | 210 | 327 | 37 | 7 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 213 | 181 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 166 | 284 | 249 | 533 | 83 | 207 | 22 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 60 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 200 | 433 | 36 | 221 | 28 | 3 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 325 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 136 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 192 | 215 | 408 | 68 | 228 | 39 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 116 | 108 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 165 | 120 | 286 | 9 | 212 | 44 | 5 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 289 | 256 | 545 | 77 | 278 | 36 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 104 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 211 | 317 | 528 | 154 | 274 | 49 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 45 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 289 | 256 | 545 | 77 | 278 | 36 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 111 | 104 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 211 | 317 | 528 | 154 | 274 | 49 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 200 | 182 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 266 | 319 | 586 | 117 | 281 | 32 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 26% | 130 | 119 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 321 | 589 | 118 | 281 | 32 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 39% | 171 | 155 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 269 | 321 | 589 | 117 | 280 | 31 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 26% | 34 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 269 | 326 | 595 | 122 | 280 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 66 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 39% | 67 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 269 | 326 | 595 | 121 | 280 | 31 | 7 | 268 | 66 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 101 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 257 | 323 | 580 | 129 | 259 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 36 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 115 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 45 | 206 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 255 | 319 | 574 | 127 | 257 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 36 | -26 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1276 | 1162 | 194 | 38 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 442 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 167 | 235 | 256 | 490 | 89 | 246 | 35 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -16 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 225 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 167 | 236 | 257 | 493 | 90 | 246 | 35 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -26 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 111 PAwOBA .312 → .224 (−87)K% 36.9% → 48.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 48.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 17.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.033 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 7.29% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .312 → .224; ISO .210 → .155; BABIP .327 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 45 PAwOBA .337 → .275 (−62)K% 28.9% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.89% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.56% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 11.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 26.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.13% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .275; ISO .167 → .117; BABIP .286 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 116 PAwOBA .197 → .139 (−58)K% 33.6% → 44.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.62% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 44.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.006 | ×0.870 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 19.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.850 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.858 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .197 → .139; ISO .019 → .012; BABIP .254 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 238 PAwOBA .279 → .210 (−69)K% 27.3% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .279 → .210; ISO .119 → .086; BABIP .300 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 67 PAwOBA .116 → .083 (−34)K% 37.3% → 47.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.31% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 47.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.48% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 2.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 9.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .116 → .083; ISO .016 → .012; BABIP .132 → .110. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 38 PAwOBA .214 → .173 (−41)K% 23.7% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.63% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 1.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 6.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 21.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .214 → .173; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .240 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 22 PAwOBA .312 → .220 (−93)K% 13.6% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 9.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 12.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .220; ISO .150 → .104; BABIP .294 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Phillies White · 213 PAwOBA .365 → .243 (−122)K% 18.3% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 13.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .365 → .243; ISO .156 → .090; BABIP .323 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .