Drake OsbornC
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 28
R/R
5'9" / 190 lbs
AA
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .269 / .321
PA170
HR3
K%29
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
29→29
PWR
35→35
SPD
44→44
EYE
39→39
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-3M | $-6M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Mets | 54 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .106 | .208 | .128 | .335 | .021 | .227 | 48 | 9 | .164 | -16 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 100 | 89 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .191 | .258 | .337 | .595 | .146 | .209 | 22 | 6 | .250 | 50 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 267 | 242 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 84 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .136 | .199 | .273 | .472 | .136 | .156 | 31 | 5 | .206 | 16 | -25 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 276 | 256 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 82 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .227 | .277 | .312 | .590 | .086 | .320 | 30 | 5 | .255 | 54 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 95 | 87 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .126 | .200 | .184 | .384 | .057 | .189 | 35 | 4 | .184 | -1 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 170 | 154 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .208 | .274 | .325 | .598 | .117 | .276 | 29 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | ARI | 243 | 221 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .208 | .274 | .326 | .600 | .118 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | ARI | 290 | 264 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .208 | .274 | .326 | .600 | .117 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 67 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | ARI | 278 | 253 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .209 | .275 | .332 | .607 | .123 | .276 | 28 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | ARI | 258 | 234 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 75 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .209 | .277 | .325 | .602 | .115 | .275 | 29 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | ARI | 228 | 207 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 67 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .270 | .309 | .579 | .106 | .273 | 29 | 7 | .263 | 59 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | ARI | 186 | 168 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .272 | .310 | .581 | .107 | .271 | 31 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2445 | 2222 | 435 | 89 | 7 | 48 | 156 | 725 | 41 | 20 | 6 | .196 | .261 | .307 | .568 | .111 | .264 | 30 | 6 | .253 | 52 | -132 | +2 | -19 | +44 | +69 | -3.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 116 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 193 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .196 | .261 | .310 | .571 | .113 | .264 | 30 | 6 | .253 | 52 | -35 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Mets | 54 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .178 | .302 | .222 | .524 | .044 | .286 | 33 | 13 | .252 | 51 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 100 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .221 | .309 | .372 | .681 | .151 | .225 | 15 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 267 | 234 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .179 | .264 | .359 | .623 | .179 | .190 | 24 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -10 | -0 | — | — | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 217 | 200 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .235 | .288 | .320 | .608 | .085 | .302 | 23 | 6 | .275 | 68 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 59 | 49 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .347 | .458 | .490 | .947 | .143 | .500 | 27 | 15 | .425 | 184 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | 25 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .360 | .409 | .769 | .136 | .300 | 8 | 8 | .348 | 124 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 70 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .229 | .238 | .467 | .095 | .184 | 33 | 6 | .221 | 28 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Drake Osborn (OGILVIE) | 28 | 29 | 35 | 44 | 39 | .205/.269/.321 | .115 | .276 | 3 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB |
28 | 40 | 46→45 | 45→30 | 44 | .206/.272/.331 | .125 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.260/.306 | .110 | .334 | 12 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB |
28 | 43→39 | 45 | 44→40 | 45 | .213/.274/.334 | .121 | .264 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.279/.315 | .098 | .282 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .214/.284/.310 | .095 | .269 | 9 | 0 | 22% | 8% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 45 | 45→40 | 39 | .209/.261/.332 | .122 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.263/.342 | .127 | .288 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.219/.291 | .112 | .242 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 3% | 31 | -1.0 |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 46→50 | 48→40 | 48 | .200/.287/.330 | .129 | .255 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .215/.296/.335 | .120 | .285 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .199/.298/.266 | .067 | .267 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 12% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 44→50 | 48→30 | 43 | .204/.269/.324 | .120 | .267 | 10 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .215/.275/.352 | .137 | .301 | 15 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .205/.267/.343 | .138 | .291 | 19 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA |
28 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .193/.254/.284 | .092 | .249 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.284/.356 | .135 | .267 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.382 | .154 | .263 | 20 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕David Masters 2021 · AA |
28 | 42→36 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .212/.279/.339 | .128 | .290 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.274/.369 | .154 | .312 | 19 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .170/.231/.347 | .178 | .226 | 28 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 43→40 | 44 | .207/.270/.318 | .111 | .255 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .215/.284/.339 | .124 | .270 | 15 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .207/.269/.313 | .106 | .237 | 12 | 3 | 18% | 6% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 44→40 | 47→30 | 40 | .194/.250/.304 | .110 | .255 | 12 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .225/.287/.324 | .099 | .318 | 9 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .244/.315/.309 | .065 | .354 | 4 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 78 | +0.0 |
|
✕Colton Plaia 2019 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 42→40 | 43→30 | 41 | .210/.265/.315 | .105 | .291 | 10 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .193/.241/.301 | .108 | .296 | 11 | 6 | 37% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .115/.144/.167 | .053 | .194 | 4 | 0 | 42% | 3% | -32 | -1.7 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA |
28 | 42→38 | 40→45 | 42→45 | 38 | .202/.265/.299 | .098 | .295 | 7 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.259/.304 | .096 | .318 | 7 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .189/.229/.269 | .080 | .302 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA |
28 | 34 | 47→45 | 43→40 | 42 | .182/.258/.310 | .127 | .254 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.277/.329 | .120 | .281 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .205/.282/.307 | .102 | .267 | 11 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA |
28 | 45 | 42→40 | 46→30 | 45 | .220/.272/.316 | .096 | .267 | 11 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .220/.271/.339 | .119 | .258 | 14 | 5 | 20% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .203/.253/.323 | .120 | .229 | 15 | 1 | 19% | 6% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dan Conway 2007 · AAA |
27 | 40 | 42→45 | 46→30 | 42 | .200/.263/.303 | .103 | .271 | 9 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.257/.301 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .154/.214/.214 | .061 | .218 | 8 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 10 | -1.0 |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .192/.252/.291 | .099 | .264 | 9 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .193/.261/.280 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .161/.236/.224 | .063 | .253 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 21 | -1.1 |