Drake Osborn — OGILVIE

Drake OsbornC Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .255 / .293

PA14

HR0

K%26

BB%5

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	ROK	FCL Mets	—	54	45	8	2	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	178	302	222	524	44	286	33	13	252	57	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	24	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	86	19	4	0	3	9	15	2	1	0	221	309	372	681	151	225	15	9	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	234	42	9	0	11	22	65	5	0	1	179	264	359	623	179	190	24	8	275	72	-9	-0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	217	200	47	11	0	2	12	50	3	1	0	235	288	320	608	85	302	23	6	275	72	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2024	26	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	59	49	17	4	0	1	9	16	1	1	1	347	458	490	947	143	500	27	15	425	174	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	25	22	6	3	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	273	360	409	769	136	300	8	8	348	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	27	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	70	63	9	0	0	2	4	23	3	0	0	143	229	238	467	95	184	33	6	221	36	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	54	47	5	1	0	0	5	26	1	0	0	106	208	128	335	21	218	48	9	164	-3	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2022	24	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	17	4	0	3	6	22	2	1	0	191	258	337	595	146	191	22	6	249	55	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	241	33	6	0	8	15	86	5	0	1	137	203	261	464	124	159	32	6	207	26	-23	-0	—	—	+6	-1.8
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	217	204	44	10	0	2	8	58	3	1	0	216	256	294	550	78	284	27	4	239	48	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2024	26	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	59	52	14	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	1	269	356	385	741	115	431	37	10	311	97	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	25	23	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	217	280	304	584	87	249	12	4	278	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	70	64	6	0	0	1	3	29	3	0	0	94	171	141	312	47	155	41	4	151	-12	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	54	47	5	1	0	0	5	26	1	0	0	106	208	128	335	21	227	48	9	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	54	45	8	2	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	178	302	222	524	44	286	33	13	252	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	17	4	0	3	6	22	2	1	0	191	258	337	595	146	209	22	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	86	19	4	0	3	9	15	2	1	0	221	309	372	681	151	225	15	9	300	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	241	33	6	0	8	15	86	5	0	1	137	203	261	464	124	164	32	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	234	42	9	0	11	22	65	5	0	1	179	264	359	623	179	190	24	8	275	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	276	256	57	13	0	2	14	80	4	2	1	223	274	297	571	74	314	29	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	276	249	64	15	0	3	21	66	4	2	1	257	325	353	678	96	337	24	8	307	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	95	87	11	2	0	1	4	31	4	0	0	126	200	184	384	57	182	33	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	95	85	15	3	0	2	6	25	4	0	0	176	263	282	546	106	224	26	6	255	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	54	48	5	1	0	0	5	26	1	0	0	104	208	125	333	21	218	48	9	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	92	17	4	0	3	6	22	2	1	0	185	258	326	584	141	191	22	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	245	33	6	0	8	15	86	5	0	1	135	203	257	460	122	159	32	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	276	256	57	13	0	2	14	80	4	2	1	223	274	297	571	74	315	29	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	95	87	11	2	0	1	4	31	4	0	0	126	200	184	384	57	180	33	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	267	245	33	6	0	8	15	86	5	0	1	135	203	257	460	122	159	32	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	276	256	57	13	0	2	14	80	4	2	1	223	274	297	571	74	315	29	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	95	87	11	2	0	1	4	31	4	0	0	126	200	184	384	57	180	33	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	ARI	2%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	262	29	7	250	56	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	23%	243	223	47	10	1	4	14	63	4	3	1	211	270	318	588	108	264	26	6	256	59	-12	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	23%	55	51	10	2	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	270	25	5	247	59	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	51	10	2	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	250	25	5	247	43	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	119	24	0	12	35	165	12	12	0	197	255	297	552	100	251	25	5	247	43	-31	+2	-4	+12	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1049	956	173	37	1	18	59	312	20	6	3	181	243	278	522	97	243	30	6	231	43	-13	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	107	23	1	11	37	193	12	4	2	181	243	279	522	98	243	30	6	231	43	-32	+1	-4	+12	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drake Osborn (OGILVIE)	28	31	35	44	39	200/255/293	93	262	2	2	26%	5%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	206/239/279	74	247	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/274/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	72	-0.7	239/278/332	93	274	11	3	17%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Clint Sammons 2011 · MLB	28	35→45	40	44→45	43	179/232/262	83	220	9	8	23%	6%	39	-3.1	189/241/312	123	249	16	7	30%	6%	55	-2.0	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/282/345	126	268	14	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	223/288/361	137	262	17	15	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Joe Hudson 2019 · AAA	28	41	40→45	47→40	44	201/259/295	94	267	7	3	27%	7%	57	-1.8	196/251/311	115	284	13	4	34%	7%	57	-1.8	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	44	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	212/278/279	67	268	5	5	21%	6%	61	-1.5	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Braeden Schlehuber 2016 · AAA	28	40	37→45	47→40	44	189/233/262	72	221	5	5	17%	5%	38	-3.2	208/246/294	86	274	7	7	26%	4%	51	-2.2	211/227/264	53	290	0	0	27%	1%	33	-0.7
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	41	37→30	45→40	38	199/254/266	67	281	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	227/300/335	108	316	10	10	29%	7%	82	-0.0	253/339/383	130	321	13	6	24%	8%	105	+0.4
✕Kevin Cash 2005 · MLB	27	39	44→40	47→30	41	199/255/313	114	254	12	4	26%	6%	60	-1.6	198/259/322	124	270	14	4	31%	6%	63	-1.3	194/266/271	78	265	9	0	29%	9%	52	-0.5
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	44→50	41→30	40	211/247/328	118	259	12	4	24%	4%	59	-1.6	192/231/286	94	249	9	4	26%	4%	44	-2.8	158/189/223	65	209	7	0	28%	3%	10	-1.8
✕Jackson Williams 2014 · AAA	28	39	44→45	44→40	41	201/245/316	115	247	12	3	25%	5%	57	-1.8	204/261/288	84	261	7	5	23%	7%	55	-1.9	191/251/251	60	245	4	2	22%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Pete Kozma 2016 · MLB	28	43→47	39→40	45→50	49	208/274/289	81	250	6	11	19%	8%	61	-1.5	191/242/260	69	245	5	11	23%	5%	42	-2.9	194/243/282	88	241	5	6	21%	5%	46	-1.7
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA	29	42	41→40	47→50	37	211/245/301	90	271	10	8	26%	4%	53	-2.1	221/271/337	116	288	13	14	27%	6%	71	-0.8	213/263/314	101	266	12	24	24%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Tim Smalling 2016 · AAA	28	44	39→40	45	42	213/261/294	82	266	7	10	22%	5%	57	-1.8	213/256/294	81	262	8	8	21%	5%	55	-1.9	195/228/238	43	237	5	0	19%	4%	28	-1.7
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2010 · AAA	27	41	39→40	43→40	39	202/254/282	80	282	8	4	30%	6%	52	-2.2	216/276/301	85	300	7	3	28%	7%	65	-1.2	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7