Luis Pineda — OGILVIE

Luis PinedaC Winston-Salem Dash

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 209 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .333

PA76

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	91	81	15	4	1	2	9	33	1	1	0	185	275	333	608	148	283	36	10	277	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	121	109	27	3	0	2	8	27	2	3	3	248	311	330	641	83	305	22	7	289	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	153	143	38	2	0	6	8	41	1	0	0	266	309	406	715	140	330	27	5	317	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	119	109	21	4	0	3	7	40	2	0	0	193	252	312	564	119	273	34	6	255	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	50	41	9	1	0	2	8	14	0	1	3	220	340	390	730	171	280	28	16	329	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	281	67	16	1	5	28	93	1	2	1	238	308	356	664	117	333	30	9	297	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	76	21	2	0	2	1	26	0	1	0	276	282	382	664	105	396	33	1	292	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	84	9	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	107	176	190	366	83	183	44	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	121	111	18	2	0	1	6	34	2	3	3	162	218	207	426	45	204	28	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	153	146	25	1	0	3	5	59	1	0	0	171	204	240	444	68	255	39	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	119	112	16	3	0	2	5	54	2	0	0	143	193	223	416	80	251	45	4	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	50	46	7	1	0	1	4	20	0	1	3	152	220	239	459	87	214	40	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	291	55	11	1	4	20	128	1	2	1	189	244	275	519	86	308	41	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	77	16	1	0	2	1	36	0	1	0	208	218	299	517	91	359	46	1	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	84	9	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	107	176	190	366	83	186	44	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	91	81	15	4	1	2	9	33	1	1	0	185	275	333	608	148	283	36	10	277	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	121	111	18	2	0	1	6	34	2	3	3	162	218	207	426	45	218	28	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	121	109	27	3	0	2	8	27	2	3	3	248	311	330	641	83	305	22	7	289	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	153	146	25	1	0	3	5	59	1	0	0	171	204	240	444	68	259	39	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	153	143	38	2	0	6	8	41	1	0	0	266	309	406	715	140	330	27	5	317	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	169	157	22	3	0	3	10	74	2	1	3	140	201	217	418	76	237	44	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	169	150	30	5	0	5	15	54	2	1	3	200	278	333	611	133	275	32	9	277	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	291	55	11	1	4	20	128	1	2	1	189	244	275	519	86	315	41	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	281	67	16	1	5	28	93	1	2	1	238	308	356	664	117	333	30	9	297	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	77	16	1	0	2	1	36	0	1	0	208	218	299	517	91	359	46	1	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	76	21	2	0	2	1	26	0	1	0	276	282	382	664	105	396	33	1	292	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	84	9	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	107	176	190	366	83	183	44	7	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	121	112	18	2	0	1	6	34	2	3	3	161	218	205	424	45	204	28	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	153	146	25	1	0	3	5	59	1	0	0	171	204	240	444	68	255	39	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	169	155	22	3	0	3	10	74	2	1	3	142	201	219	421	77	240	44	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	291	55	11	1	4	20	128	1	2	1	189	244	275	519	86	308	41	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	77	16	1	0	2	1	36	0	1	0	208	218	299	517	91	359	46	1	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	315	291	55	11	1	4	20	128	1	2	1	189	244	275	519	86	308	41	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	78	77	16	1	0	2	1	36	0	1	0	208	218	299	517	91	359	46	1	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	200	182	39	7	1	4	14	56	2	3	1	216	277	336	613	120	285	28	7	275	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	129	118	26	5	1	3	9	36	1	2	1	218	280	343	623	125	285	28	7	279	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	42%	220	200	44	8	1	5	16	61	2	3	1	219	281	344	625	125	285	28	7	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	283	259	55	10	1	6	20	78	2	3	1	218	281	342	623	124	284	28	7	280	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	49%	319	290	64	12	2	7	23	88	3	3	1	217	280	339	619	122	283	28	7	278	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	CWS	50%	342	311	67	12	2	7	25	95	3	2	1	215	278	335	613	119	282	28	7	276	73	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	219	281	346	626	126	286	28	8	281	75	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	42%	92	84	17	3	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	219	282	346	628	127	286	27	8	281	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	135	123	27	5	1	3	10	37	1	2	0	219	282	345	626	126	285	27	7	281	75	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	49%	157	144	31	6	1	3	11	43	1	1	0	218	281	342	623	124	284	27	7	279	74	-5	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	CWS	50%	172	157	34	6	1	4	12	48	1	1	0	216	279	337	616	121	282	28	7	277	73	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	595	544	116	21	3	13	43	164	4	6	0	213	276	335	610	121	278	28	7	279	54	-18	+1	-2	+11	+13	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	126	23	3	14	47	179	4	7	0	212	274	332	606	120	277	28	7	279	54	-20	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2296	2114	416	70	9	44	146	750	19	22	12	197	255	301	556	104	279	33	6	248	54	-42	+1	-4	+24	+30	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	118	20	3	12	41	212	5	6	3	197	254	301	555	104	280	33	6	248	54	-20	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	595	13	6	218	278	341	+11	+8	0.9	0.9
/162	664	14	7	+11.9	+8.9	1.0	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Pineda (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	214/275/333	118	285	2	1	28%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2024 · A	25	40→47	45	51→50	45	202/283/328	127	268	13	10	28%	8%	75	-0.5	225/294/348	123	279	11	8	22%	7%	82	+0.0	227/297/352	126	275	11	7	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→44	43→45	50	44	210/276/328	118	277	10	12	27%	7%	71	-0.8	229/287/331	102	310	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	232/290/322	90	317	6	7	27%	6%	71	-0.4
✕William Simoneit 2022 · A	25	46	44→45	50→45	43	224/291/342	118	314	12	8	31%	8%	80	-0.1	208/283/321	113	306	11	6	33%	8%	73	-0.6	184/264/295	111	281	11	4	36%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2024 · AA	25	43→38	46→45	49→45	43	212/287/341	128	289	13	5	30%	7%	79	-0.2	201/276/303	102	266	10	8	27%	7%	66	-1.1	163/244/240	77	216	8	6	27%	6%	38	-2.1
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	40→36	47→50	46→50	37	204/264/341	138	292	15	11	34%	6%	70	-0.8	219/295/368	149	305	17	8	32%	8%	88	+0.4	214/313/385	172	279	23	2	30%	11%	101	+0.5
✕Brian O'Keefe 2018 · A	25	41→42	47→50	45→40	45	212/273/345	133	269	15	5	27%	7%	74	-0.5	208/277/340	132	263	14	4	26%	8%	74	-0.5	205/273/347	142	263	18	2	29%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42→43	47→50	52→55	42	210/279/353	142	282	14	15	30%	7%	78	-0.3	210/288/346	136	286	16	22	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/288/337	133	275	16	27	30%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Nick Fortes 2022 · MLB	25	44→45	45	47→45	46	220/285/339	119	256	13	7	20%	6%	77	-0.3	226/286/350	124	256	14	8	18%	6%	80	-0.1	234/282/341	108	262	10	1	15%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Lucas May 2010 · AA	25	43	47→55	46→45	41	220/273/361	141	284	15	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/261/340	130	282	13	6	29%	6%	68	-1.0	193/240/319	126	259	13	4	30%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→44	45→50	47→50	44	213/281/336	123	294	13	11	31%	8%	75	-0.5	208/270/323	115	312	12	9	35%	7%	68	-1.0	194/252/293	99	303	10	7	37%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Taylor Featherston 2015 · AA	25	45→46	48→50	51→50	39	226/272/370	144	288	15	12	27%	5%	79	-0.2	207/255/334	127	273	13	11	28%	5%	64	-1.3	191/244/308	117	258	12	11	30%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Pedro Pagés 2024 · AAA	25	43→44	45→50	48→40	45	214/282/338	124	283	14	4	28%	8%	76	-0.4	226/281/359	133	290	16	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	224/274/353	130	283	17	3	27%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Kenny Piper 2023 · A	25	41	46→50	50	49	206/297/332	125	281	13	12	30%	10%	80	-0.1	184/260/329	145	253	18	8	34%	7%	67	-1.1	173/251/309	136	241	15	15	34%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Luis Santana 2024 · AA	25	44	47→45	47→50	40	223/275/357	134	284	15	8	27%	5%	78	-0.3	205/264/312	107	256	11	8	24%	6%	63	-1.3	166/234/244	78	199	10	5	22%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Jakson Reetz 2021 · A	25	42→33	46→55	44→45	42	208/286/332	125	292	14	5	32%	7%	77	-0.3	196/273/349	153	268	18	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Seth Bynum 2006 · A	25	44→43	43→50	50	44	214/273/330	116	281	9	9	27%	7%	70	-0.8	210/263/308	98	288	9	8	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/254/351	138	280	17	5	30%	5%	65	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps