Cristian HernándezSS Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.8 · 2030
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .283
PA320
HR3
SB20
K%30
BB%8
MLB%2%
BAT: -23.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: +3.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
5050
SPD
5555
FLD
5050
EYE
5055
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2030

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M+1.5$13M+$12M
2030Arb-2$0.9M+1.8$16M+$15M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+1.8$17M+$16M
2032Ext / FA-deal$3M+1.6$15M+$12M
2033Ext / FA-deal$5M+1.4$14M+$9M
2034Ext / FA-deal$6M+1.1$11M+$5M
Totals $17M $86M +$70M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 191170 35312 18561 213 .206.286.271.556 .065.289 299 .250 50 -11 +3 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
202218 ROKACL Cubs 175163 29312 7802 63 .178.221.245.466 .067.321 464 .197 9 -18 +0 +0 +2 +5 -1.1
202319 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 431399 67923 251665 275 .168.226.223.449 .055.276 396 .206 16 -41 +3 +0 +5 +12 -2.1
202420 A2 teams 513461 1002245 471614 448 .217.295.315.609 .098.321 319 .270 65 -21 +6 +0 +5 +15 0.5
202521 A+South Bend Cubs 507464 992125 361261 529 .213.271.300.571 .086.277 257 .254 53 -27 +7 +0 +5 +14 -0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202622 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos 6560 9200 5230 60 .150.215.183.399 .033.243 358 .182 -2 -8 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.4
ROS22 MLBMIA 255232 44912 20781 142 .190.257.263.520 .073.277 318 .244 45 -16 +2 +0 +3 +7 -0.4
TOT22 MLBMIA 320292 531112 251011 202 .182.248.247.495 .065.268 328 .231 35 -23 +3 +0 +3 +9 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 9%MIA 561506 1042029 471413 304 .206.277.306.583 .101.266 258 .268 63 -23 +4 +0 +6 +16 0.3
202824 MLB 18%MIA 598537 11522312 521484 324 .214.288.333.622 .119.269 259 .279 72 -19 +5 +0 +6 +17 1.0
202925 MLB 26%MIA 621557 12223314 551524 324 .219.294.346.640 .127.272 249 .288 79 -15 +5 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203026 MLB 35%MIA 632566 12524315 571544 324 .221.297.353.650 .133.273 249 .293 82 -13 +5 +0 +7 +18 1.8
203127 MLB 44%MIA 635568 12624316 581564 324 .222.298.359.658 .137.273 259 .293 82 -13 +5 +0 +7 +18 1.8
203228 MLB 47%MIA 632565 12423315 581564 303 .219.297.350.647 .131.273 259 .292 82 -13 +5 -0 +7 +18 1.6
203329 MLB 50%MIA 623556 12123215 581564 283 .218.296.347.643 .129.272 259 .290 80 -14 +4 -1 +7 +18 1.4
203430 MLB 52%MIA 613547 11722214 571554 262 .214.293.338.631 .124.271 259 .287 78 -16 +4 -2 +7 +17 1.1
203531 MLB 56%MIA 600535 11321213 561554 221 .211.291.331.622 .120.269 269 .283 75 -17 +4 -2 +6 +17 0.8
203632 MLB 60%MIA 582520 10820212 541533 190 .208.286.323.609 .115.268 269 .278 71 -19 +4 -3 +6 +16 0.5
203733 MLB 70%MIA 552493 10119211 511493 160 .205.283.318.602 .114.266 279 .273 67 -21 +3 -4 +6 +16 0.0
203834 MLB 81%MIA 504450 9116210 461403 130 .202.281.313.594 .111.264 289 .267 62 -22 +3 -5 +5 +14 -0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 92258289 174132440175 802248258 47659 .210.284.322.606 .112.276 279 .274 68 -337 +72 -14 +99 +261 8.2
/ 162G 650584 12323312 571754 344 .211.286.322.608 .111.277 279 .274 68 -24 +5 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 191158 45515 30391 213 .285.402.424.826 .139.345 2016 .371 142 +9 +3 +5 1.8
202218 ROKACL Cubs 175157 41413 13532 63 .261.326.357.682 .096.365 307 .305 92 -2 +0 +5 0.3
202319 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 431385 861234 391185 275 .223.303.301.604 .078.309 279 .279 71 -14 +3 +12 0.2
202420 A+South Bend Cubs 9983 19210 15190 73 .229.347.277.624 .048.292 1915 .294 83 -2 +0 +3 0.1
202420 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 414350 942545 60954 375 .269.382.406.787 .137.356 2314 .358 132 +15 +5 +12 3.3
202521 A+South Bend Cubs 507444 1122527 531051 529 .252.331.365.696 .113.311 2110 .312 97 -2 +7 +14 2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cristian Hernández (OGILVIE) 22 45 50 55 55 .198/.264/.283 .085.281 315 30% 8% 51 -0.9
Derek Hill
2018 · A
22 43→53 37→50 60 40 .204/.257/.278 .074.297 328 31% 6% 45 -2.1 .197/.250/.279 .082.313 725 37% 6% 43 -2.2 .250/.300/.402.152.328162328%6%93+0.7
Jorge Mateo
2017 · A
22 43→46 40→50 61→65 39 .207/.250/.301 .094.287 635 29% 5% 48 -1.9 .199/.241/.315 .116.291 829 33% 5% 48 -1.9 .217/.264/.366.149.272144425%5%70-0.2
Adam Engel
2015 · A
23 45→48 40→50 57→60 39 .215/.266/.310 .095.290 724 28% 5% 58 -1.2 .203/.259/.302 .099.292 730 31% 6% 53 -1.5 .227/.287/.366.138.305132328%5%79+0.1
Samad Taylor
2021 · A
23 37→47 41→50 53→65 44 .181/.257/.285 .104.262 823 32% 8% 49 -1.8 .226/.297/.368 .142.326 1633 33% 8% 87 +0.8 .236/.312/.377.141.324164630%9%94+0.8
Johan Rojas
2023 · AA
22 43→53 42→45 63→65 42 .213/.261/.318 .105.268 934 24% 5% 58 -1.2 .245/.287/.352 .107.309 837 22% 5% 77 +0.1 .258/.299/.360.102.32474122%5%80+0.3
Liover Peguero
2023 · AA
22 46 43→50 55 37 .223/.263/.333 .110.306 1122 30% 5% 62 -0.9 .220/.266/.347 .127.291 1419 28% 6% 68 -0.5 .214/.264/.343.129.276161828%6%64-0.6
Tyler Goeddel
2015 · A
22 45→49 41→45 56→55 42 .216/.273/.320 .104.300 718 29% 6% 63 -0.8 .226/.284/.340 .114.295 917 25% 7% 73 -0.1 .224/.286/.334.110.283101823%7%70-0.2
Kuo Hui Lo
2008 · A
22 49→52 39→50 57→55 44 .229/.289/.323 .094.316 524 28% 7% 71 -0.3 .219/.267/.338 .119.290 1118 27% 6% 66 -0.6 .203/.249/.328.125.256121225%5%53-0.9
Tito Polo
2017 · A
22 44→53 43→45 54→60 40 .218/.271/.324 .106.277 1125 25% 5% 64 -0.8 .228/.279/.335 .107.305 928 27% 5% 69 -0.4 .229/.278/.333.104.31273427%5%65-0.3
Noel Cuevas
2014 · A
22 46→50 42→45 56→55 40 .227/.271/.340 .113.288 922 24% 5% 67 -0.5 .225/.262/.322 .097.293 718 25% 4% 59 -1.1 .249/.283/.353.103.31081222%3%72-0.1
Kenedy Corona
2022 · A
22 43→40 39→50 52→55 40 .209/.263/.298 .090.280 619 27% 5% 54 -1.4 .207/.266/.340 .133.290 1523 32% 6% 66 -0.6 .196/.261/.326.130.273152732%7%58-0.9
Jared Oliva
2019 · A
23 46 42→50 55→65 43 .222/.290/.334 .112.306 923 29% 7% 75 -0.0 .220/.280/.317 .097.306 825 29% 6% 66 -0.6 .224/.292/.359.135.282145525%7%78+0.1
Masyn Winn
2023 · AA
21 45→53 43→50 61→55 44 .220/.278/.344 .124.294 927 28% 7% 72 -0.2 .237/.291/.371 .134.285 1317 21% 7% 85 +0.7 .244/.299/.375.131.283141219%6%86+0.8
Daniel Carroll
2011 · A
22 44→50 40→45 55→60 35 .207/.265/.296 .089.314 824 35% 5% 55 -1.4 .224/.298/.344 .120.336 1330 34% 8% 81 +0.4 .206/.291/.310.104.316103535%8%68-0.3
Braulio Vasquez
2022 · A
23 40 40 54→65 40 .192/.269/.282 .090.299 828 36% 7% 53 -1.5 .216/.284/.315 .099.302 727 29% 7% 67 -0.5 .225/.290/.320.095.30443225%7%66-0.3
Abiatal Avelino
2017 · AA
22 47→51 39→45 50→55 43 .226/.269/.311 .085.281 622 22% 5% 59 -1.1 .236/.273/.339 .103.292 919 22% 5% 68 -0.5 .239/.277/.351.112.294112022%5%69-0.3
Darren Ford
2008 · A
22 48→53 39→45 59→65 41 .224/.277/.309 .085.321 734 31% 7% 62 -0.9 .218/.278/.306 .088.313 635 30% 7% 62 -0.9 .228/.284/.334.105.31683629%6%68-0.3
Anthony Jimenez
2018 · A
22 48→44 42→45 54→55 38 .231/.279/.341 .110.318 923 29% 5% 71 -0.3 .213/.258/.313 .100.319 815 34% 4% 55 -1.4 .197/.242/.288.091.29471434%4%38-1.3
Oswald Peraza
2021 · A
21 44→51 38→50 52→60 41 .210/.265/.281 .072.277 617 26% 6% 50 -1.7 .236/.288/.375 .139.300 1727 26% 6% 85 +0.7 .230/.288/.373.144.287183026%6%81+0.3
Maximo Rivera
2014 · A
21 45 40→45 53→60 43 .219/.272/.307 .089.279 821 24% 6% 59 -1.1 .213/.262/.283 .070.295 411 27% 6% 49 -1.8 .198/.239/.245.047.2743727%5%25-0.9