Cristian Hernández

Cristian HernándezSS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .275 / .310

PA198

HR3

SB9

K%29

BB%8

BABIP288

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$8M	+$6M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$7M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$49M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	171	35	3	1	2	17	57	1	21	3	205	280	269	549	64	289	30	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	158	45	5	1	5	30	39	1	21	3	285	402	424	826	139	345	20	16	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	175	163	29	3	1	2	7	79	2	6	3	178	221	245	466	67	318	45	4	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	175	157	41	4	1	3	13	53	2	6	3	261	326	357	682	96	365	30	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	398	66	9	2	3	26	164	5	27	5	166	226	221	447	55	270	38	6	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	385	86	12	3	4	39	118	5	27	5	223	303	301	604	78	309	27	9	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	513	462	98	22	3	5	46	164	4	44	8	212	289	305	594	93	316	32	9	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	513	433	113	27	5	5	75	114	4	44	8	261	375	381	756	120	343	22	15	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	507	465	97	21	2	5	35	129	1	52	9	209	265	295	560	86	273	25	7	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	507	444	112	25	2	7	53	105	1	52	9	252	331	365	696	113	311	21	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	298	269	61	16	0	7	24	91	2	19	7	227	295	364	659	138	312	31	8	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	298	259	69	19	0	8	34	71	2	19	7	266	356	432	788	166	335	24	11	350	126	+9	+1	+0	+3	+8	2.2
ROS	22	AA	MIA	2%	198	180	38	9	0	3	15	57	1	9	3	210	275	310	585	100	290	29	8	272	66	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		285	25	0	263	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	MIA	—	302	273	62	16	0	7	24	92	2	19	7	227	294	363	657	136	312	30	8	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
TOT	22	AA	MIA	—	496	449	99	25	0	10	39	148	3	28	10	220	287	342	629	122	302	30	8	281	73	-15	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	26%	561	509	111	25	2	11	44	159	3	14	4	218	284	340	624	122	291	28	8	279	72	-18	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.6
2028	24	MLB	MIA	37%	597	540	122	27	2	14	48	165	4	12	4	226	294	361	655	135	292	28	8	290	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2029	25	MLB	MIA	43%	615	556	126	28	2	15	50	167	4	12	3	227	295	365	660	138	293	27	8	296	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.5
2030	26	MLB	MIA	47%	627	566	130	28	2	17	52	169	4	11	3	230	299	376	675	147	293	27	8	300	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2031	27	MLB	MIA	48%	629	568	130	28	2	17	52	170	4	11	3	229	298	375	673	146	293	27	8	300	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2032	28	MLB	MIA	48%	626	564	128	28	2	16	53	170	4	11	3	227	298	369	667	142	292	27	8	299	87	-9	+1	-0	+7	+18	1.6
2033	29	MLB	MIA	48%	617	556	126	27	2	16	52	169	4	11	3	227	297	369	666	142	292	27	8	297	85	-10	+1	-1	+7	+17	1.4
2034	30	MLB	MIA	47%	607	546	123	27	2	15	52	168	4	10	3	225	297	364	662	139	291	28	9	294	84	-11	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.2
2035	31	MLB	MIA	47%	594	535	118	26	1	14	50	166	4	10	3	221	292	351	643	131	289	28	8	291	81	-13	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.9
2036	32	MLB	MIA	47%	576	518	112	24	1	13	49	163	4	10	3	216	289	342	631	125	285	28	9	285	76	-15	+1	-3	+6	+16	0.5
2037	33	MLB	MIA	46%	546	492	104	22	1	12	46	158	3	9	3	211	283	333	616	122	281	29	8	278	71	-18	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.0
2038	34	MLB	MIA	42%	498	450	92	19	1	10	42	147	3	8	2	204	277	318	595	113	275	30	8	270	65	-20	+1	-5	+5	+14	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	MIA	26%	146	133	28	6	0	3	11	41	1	4	1	211	276	323	599	113	286	28	8	271	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	24	MLB	MIA	37%	220	199	45	10	1	5	18	61	1	4	1	226	294	362	655	136	287	28	8	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	25	MLB	MIA	43%	265	239	53	12	1	6	22	72	2	5	1	222	293	356	648	134	287	27	8	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2030	26	MLB	MIA	47%	293	265	60	13	1	8	24	79	2	5	2	226	296	374	669	147	288	27	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2031	27	MLB	MIA	48%	300	270	61	13	1	8	25	81	2	5	2	226	296	370	667	144	287	27	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2032	28	MLB	MIA	48%	302	272	61	13	1	8	25	82	2	5	2	224	294	368	662	143	287	27	8	289	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.5
2033	29	MLB	MIA	48%	294	265	59	13	1	7	25	81	2	5	2	223	295	358	653	136	286	28	9	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.4
2034	30	MLB	MIA	47%	286	258	57	12	1	7	24	79	2	5	1	221	292	357	649	136	286	28	8	285	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2035	31	MLB	MIA	47%	278	250	55	12	1	7	24	78	2	5	1	220	293	360	653	140	283	28	9	281	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2036	32	MLB	MIA	47%	268	241	52	11	1	6	23	76	2	4	1	216	289	344	634	129	280	28	9	276	70	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2037	33	MLB	MIA	46%	254	229	48	10	1	5	21	73	2	4	1	210	282	328	609	118	276	29	8	270	65	-10	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
2038	34	MLB	MIA	42%	209	189	38	8	0	4	17	62	1	3	1	201	271	307	577	106	270	30	8	262	58	-10	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3119	2814	618	133	10	74	259	866	21	54	16	220	290	353	643	133	288	28	8	282	74	-92	+4	-7	+33	+88	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	28	2	15	54	180	4	11	3	220	290	352	641	131	289	28	8	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	9108	8239	1785	376	29	190	736	2621	59	288	68	217	286	338	624	122	291	29	8	280	72	-285	+30	-14	+98	+258	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	128	27	2	14	53	187	4	21	5	218	287	342	629	124	292	29	8	280	72	-20	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	158	45	5	1	5	30	39	1	21	3	285	402	424	826	139	345	20	16	371	142	+9	+3	—	—	+5	1.8
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	175	157	41	4	1	3	13	53	2	6	3	261	326	357	682	96	365	30	7	305	92	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2023	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	385	86	12	3	4	39	118	5	27	5	223	303	301	604	78	309	27	9	279	71	-14	+3	—	—	+12	0.2
2024	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	99	83	19	2	1	0	15	19	0	7	3	229	347	277	624	48	292	19	15	294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	414	350	94	25	4	5	60	95	4	37	5	269	382	406	787	137	356	23	14	358	132	+15	+5	—	—	+12	3.3
2025	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	507	444	112	25	2	7	53	105	1	52	9	252	331	365	696	113	311	21	10	312	97	-2	+7	—	—	+14	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	3,120	76	56	223	290	358	+32	+0	5.4	5.0
	/162	664	16	12	223	290	358	+6.8	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cristian Hernández (OGILVIE)	22	45	50	55	54	220/287/342	122	302	10	28	30%	8%	73	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Ahmed 2012 · A	22	43→51	39→55	50→55	45	209/266/296	87	268	6	14	24%	7%	54	-1.4	214/258/297	83	275	5	20	23%	5%	50	-1.7	239/302/404	165	275	16	7	19%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2015 · A	22	45→50	41→45	55	41	214/271/320	106	305	7	18	31%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/335	111	292	9	17	25%	7%	72	-0.2	220/282/325	105	280	9	18	23%	7%	66	-0.4
●Scott Kingery 2016 · A	22	45→51	40→55	54→55	41	217/265/309	91	268	8	12	22%	5%	57	-1.2	231/274/346	115	292	9	18	23%	5%	70	-0.3	234/282/393	159	296	17	18	26%	5%	84	+0.6
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	74	-0.1	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	46	-2.0	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Ryan Vilade 2021 · A	22	45→51	40→50	51→50	46	216/277/308	92	280	6	13	24%	7%	62	-0.9	210/269/296	86	277	5	11	24%	7%	56	-1.3	227/289/416	189	269	24	16	25%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	53→60	43	222/276/307	85	284	7	21	24%	6%	61	-1.0	213/264/284	71	297	4	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	203/245/250	47	280	3	7	27%	5%	29	-0.9
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	41→51	43→45	52→55	39	203/257/321	118	288	10	15	32%	6%	57	-1.2	221/268/333	112	293	9	14	27%	5%	65	-0.7	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Blake Perkins 2019 · A	22	44→51	39→50	51→55	44	211/276/292	81	297	7	17	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/265/301	103	284	10	16	32%	8%	56	-1.3	230/313/367	137	305	14	25	27%	10%	91	+0.7
✕Taylor Motter 2013 · A	23	46→50	40→55	52→55	52	218/296/311	93	279	7	20	23%	10%	71	-0.3	238/292/357	119	285	11	20	20%	7%	81	+0.4	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕David Kandilas 2013 · A	22	44	40→45	55	43	214/268/317	103	278	7	15	25%	6%	60	-1.0	211/272/306	95	281	8	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	204/268/296	93	269	8	20	26%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	43→47	42→55	53→50	40	213/260/324	111	270	9	16	24%	4%	59	-1.1	216/266/343	127	281	13	9	27%	4%	67	-0.5	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Sam McWilliams 2019 · A	21	46→53	39→50	54→50	43	214/280/307	92	310	5	15	31%	7%	63	-0.8	213/273/318	105	329	8	9	35%	7%	63	-0.8	240/305/391	151	378	16	10	38%	8%	93	+0.9
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2011 · A	22	46→53	40	52→55	44	223/284/309	86	299	8	16	27%	7%	66	-0.6	217/276/292	75	306	5	16	29%	7%	57	-1.2	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2