Peyton Graham — OGILVIE

Peyton GrahamSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .316 / .336

PA204

HR3

SB19

K%27

BB%9

BABIP307

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$30M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	113	102	20	4	1	0	8	43	2	7	1	196	268	255	523	59	333	38	7	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	113	100	27	5	1	1	10	29	2	7	1	270	348	370	718	100	366	26	9	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	239	213	38	8	1	2	18	79	6	15	3	178	262	254	515	75	269	33	8	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	239	203	47	11	1	4	28	53	6	15	3	232	342	355	696	123	291	22	12	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	266	229	35	8	0	2	28	84	8	10	2	153	268	214	482	61	229	32	11	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	3 teams	—	266	218	42	9	1	2	39	62	8	10	2	193	336	271	606	78	258	23	15	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	409	375	83	19	3	8	23	125	8	20	2	221	281	352	633	131	307	31	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	409	357	101	23	3	7	40	85	8	20	2	283	367	423	790	140	352	21	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	307	261	67	10	4	4	32	79	11	48	3	257	362	372	733	115	348	26	10	323	105	+2	+8	+0	+3	+9	2.3
YTD	25	AA	DET	—	307	246	73	12	4	4	46	61	11	48	3	297	428	427	854	130	375	20	15	385	153	+18	+8	+0	+3	+9	4.0
ROS	25	AA	DET	2%	204	178	40	7	2	3	18	56	6	19	1	224	316	336	652	112	302	27	9	293	83	-4	+3	+0	+2	+6	0.8
ROS	25	MLB	DET	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		297	25	0	269	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	DET	—	311	265	68	10	4	4	32	80	11	48	3	257	360	370	730	113	348	26	10	322	105	+2	+8	+0	+3	+9	2.3
TOT	25	AA	DET	—	511	439	107	17	6	7	50	135	17	67	4	243	343	357	701	114	331	26	10	311	96	-2	+12	+0	+5	+14	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	512	450	100	18	4	8	45	140	12	38	3	222	310	333	643	111	300	27	9	292	81	-11	+6	+0	+5	+15	1.6
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	526	462	103	19	4	8	47	142	12	40	3	223	311	333	644	110	299	27	9	294	83	-10	+7	+0	+6	+15	1.8
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	530	465	104	19	4	9	48	143	12	38	3	224	312	340	652	116	299	27	9	295	84	-10	+6	-1	+6	+15	1.7
2030	29	MLB	DET	49%	529	465	104	19	4	9	48	143	11	35	3	224	311	340	651	116	298	27	9	294	83	-10	+6	-1	+6	+15	1.5
2031	30	MLB	DET	50%	525	461	101	19	3	8	48	143	11	31	2	219	308	325	633	106	297	27	9	291	81	-11	+5	-2	+6	+15	1.3
2032	31	MLB	DET	51%	518	455	99	18	3	8	47	143	11	27	2	218	306	323	629	105	295	28	9	287	78	-13	+5	-3	+6	+15	0.9
2033	32	MLB	DET	55%	511	449	95	17	3	7	46	143	11	22	2	212	300	310	610	98	292	28	9	282	74	-15	+4	-4	+5	+14	0.5
2034	33	MLB	DET	58%	442	390	81	14	3	6	40	126	9	15	1	208	296	305	601	97	288	29	9	276	69	-15	+3	-4	+5	+13	0.0
2035	34	MLB	DET	54%	374	329	66	11	2	4	34	109	8	9	1	201	291	283	574	82	283	29	9	268	63	-16	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	26	MLB	DET	31%	159	140	30	6	1	2	14	43	4	12	1	214	304	314	618	100	295	27	9	270	65	-6	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	221	194	43	8	2	3	20	60	5	17	1	222	311	330	640	108	295	27	9	273	67	-8	+3	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	28	MLB	DET	48%	254	223	49	9	2	4	23	68	6	18	1	220	310	332	641	112	294	27	9	275	68	-9	+3	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	29	MLB	DET	49%	261	229	50	9	2	4	24	71	6	17	1	218	309	328	636	109	293	27	9	274	68	-10	+3	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2031	30	MLB	DET	50%	264	232	50	9	2	4	24	72	6	16	1	216	305	323	629	108	292	27	9	271	66	-10	+3	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2032	31	MLB	DET	51%	263	231	50	9	2	4	24	73	6	14	1	216	307	325	631	108	290	28	9	268	63	-11	+2	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2033	32	MLB	DET	55%	282	248	52	9	2	4	26	79	6	12	1	210	300	310	610	101	287	28	9	263	59	-13	+2	-2	+3	+8	-0.2
2034	33	MLB	DET	58%	258	228	47	8	2	3	23	73	5	9	1	206	293	298	591	92	284	28	9	257	55	-13	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	DET	54%	201	177	35	6	1	2	18	59	4	5	0	198	286	277	563	79	278	29	9	249	49	-12	+1	-3	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2167	1906	407	73	16	30	196	599	48	120	8	214	303	316	619	102	293	28	9	267	62	-92	+21	-11	+23	+61	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	122	22	5	9	59	180	14	36	2	213	302	316	619	103	293	28	9	267	62	-28	+6	-3	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5698	5023	1069	200	37	82	498	1619	127	326	29	213	300	316	616	104	294	28	9	281	73	-173	+54	-20	+61	+161	8.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	122	23	4	9	57	185	14	37	3	213	300	314	614	101	295	28	9	281	73	-20	+6	-2	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	113	100	27	5	1	1	10	29	2	7	1	270	348	370	718	100	366	26	9	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	239	203	47	11	1	4	28	53	6	15	3	232	342	355	696	123	291	22	12	318	102	+0	+2	—	—	+7	0.9
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	202	162	30	7	0	1	31	46	8	8	2	185	343	247	590	62	250	23	15	290	80	-5	+1	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	34	28	7	1	0	1	6	5	0	2	0	250	382	393	775	143	273	15	18	355	130	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	30	28	5	1	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	179	233	286	519	107	294	37	7	234	37	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	409	357	101	23	3	7	40	85	8	20	2	283	367	423	790	140	352	21	10	353	128	+13	+3	—	—	+12	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#4Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,169	32	119	218	302	323	+22	+12	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	10	37	218	302	323	+6.7	+3.7	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Peyton Graham (OGILVIE)	25	50	40	55	40	243/343/357	114	331	7	67	26%	10%	96	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	42→47	40→45	55	47	206/277/296	90	272	8	23	26%	8%	59	-1.1	239/290/343	104	296	9	23	21%	6%	76	+0.1	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Hunter Jones 2017 · AA	25	45→55	39→45	55	41	216/271/302	87	294	6	22	28%	6%	58	-1.2	217/273/315	98	285	8	14	25%	6%	62	-0.9	209/267/307	97	273	8	12	25%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	45→51	41→45	56→55	42	220/264/324	103	281	8	21	24%	5%	60	-1.0	235/287/337	102	301	7	29	23%	7%	73	-0.1	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA	25	46→49	41→40	52→55	39	216/291/308	92	315	9	21	32%	6%	69	-0.4	210/297/321	111	310	11	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	179/287/277	97	265	11	10	33%	11%	56	-0.5
✕Darren Ford 2011 · AA	25	45→53	41→45	59→65	42	218/274/323	105	299	8	31	29%	6%	65	-0.7	225/272/320	95	307	8	37	28%	6%	63	-0.9	224/271/302	78	307	6	49	27%	5%	54	-0.7
●Alonzo Harris 2014 · AA	25	46→52	39→55	54→60	43	223/269/310	88	288	6	25	24%	6%	59	-1.1	210/261/300	90	283	6	22	26%	6%	53	-1.5	263/326/537	274	274	39	42	21%	8%	142	+4.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Ryan LaMarre 2014 · AA	25	48→54	39→45	52→60	45	228/289/316	88	294	7	23	24%	6%	69	-0.4	223/275/327	104	302	10	17	28%	6%	66	-0.6	234/305/370	135	335	13	23	32%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Kenny Wilson 2014 · AA	24	44→51	39→40	56→60	41	208/274/293	85	294	6	28	30%	6%	58	-1.2	223/277/310	87	312	5	27	28%	6%	62	-0.9	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	46→50	43→45	58→60	40	224/279/336	112	299	10	29	28%	5%	70	-0.3	217/266/319	102	288	8	20	26%	5%	59	-1.1	203/230/287	84	267	3	25	25%	2%	32	-0.6
✕Michael Russell 2018 · AA	25	46→51	42→45	53→55	43	222/276/334	112	279	8	19	23%	6%	69	-0.4	219/263/317	98	288	7	14	25%	5%	58	-1.2	215/251/296	80	284	5	13	25%	4%	43	-1.2
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→50	40	55	46	212/284/307	94	299	7	21	29%	9%	65	-0.7	195/256/293	98	288	7	17	32%	7%	50	-1.8	140/192/231	91	206	4	22	33%	6%	5	-1.6