Peyton Graham

SS Erie SeaWolves
Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1577ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+/A/INTL2 orgs266.193/.336/.27121044—.163/.281/.227
202524A+DET409.283/.367/.42372072—.225/.288/.338
202625AADET510.290/.401/.429966101—.259/.347/.372
2027PROJMLE26MLBDET3.222/.302/.32300820.0
2028PROJ33% MLB27MLBDET56.222/.302/.32513820.1
2029PROJ50% MLB28MLBDET104.221/.301/.32416820.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed99
wRC+81
wOBA78
Chase%74
K%71
BB%70
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsMax Schuemann (age 26) · Luke Williams (age 26) · Tyler Graham (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .302 / .323
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP294
ISO101
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 113100 27511 10292 71 270348370718 100366 269 324 49 — — — — — —
202322 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 239203 471114 28536 153 232342355696 123291 2212 318 45 — — — — — —
202423 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 202162 30701 31468 82 185343247590 62250 2315 290 40 — — — — — —
202423 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 3428 7101 650 20 250382393775 143273 1518 355 68 — — — — — —
202423 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 3028 5110 2110 00 179233286519 107294 377 234 44 — — — — — —
202524 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 409357 1012337 40858 202 283367423790 140352 2110 353 72 — — — — — —
202625 AAErie SeaWolves — 510424 1232259 6410615 667 290401429830 139362 2113 371 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 113103 22411 7402 71 214277301578 87315 356 241 49 — — — — — —
202322 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 239213 39813 18746 153 183266272538 89253 318 235 45 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 202172 26601 21618 82 151274203477 52223 3010 227 40 — — — — — —
202423 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 3430 7101 470 20 233324367690 133236 2112 268 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 409373 841836 251128 202 225288338626 113299 276 275 72 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 510444 1151957 4513015 667 259347372719 113335 259 317 101 — — — — — —
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 113103 22411 7402 71 214277301578 87333 356 241 49 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 113100 27511 10292 71 270348370718 100366 269 324 49 — — — — — —
202322 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 239213 39813 18746 153 183266272538 89261 318 235 45 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 239203 471114 28536 153 232342355696 123291 2212 318 45 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE3 teams — 266228 37802 29768 102 162279224503 61232 2911 233 44 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAW3 teams — 266218 42912 39628 102 193336271606 78258 2315 292 44 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 409373 841836 251128 202 225288338626 113304 276 275 72 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 409357 1012337 40858 202 283367423790 140352 2110 353 72 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 510444 1151957 4513015 667 259347372719 113345 259 317 101 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAWErie SeaWolves — 510424 1232259 6410615 667 290401429830 139362 2113 371 101 — — — — — —
202221 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 113103 22411 7402 71 214277301578 87315 356 241 49 — — — — — —
202322 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 239213 39813 18746 153 183266272538 89253 318 235 45 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE3 teams — 266227 37802 29768 102 163279225504 62225 2911 233 44 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 409373 841836 251128 202 225288338626 113299 276 275 72 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 510445 1151957 4513015 667 258347371718 112335 259 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLE3 teams — 266227 37802 29768 102 163279225504 62225 2911 233 44 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 409373 841836 251128 202 225288338626 113299 276 275 72 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 510445 1151957 4513015 667 258347371718 112335 259 317 101 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEDET 2% 380338 761435 31988 243 225305330636 105298 268 289 82 -8 +4 +0 +4 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXDET 2% 33 0000 010 00 222302323625 102294 330 285 82 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEDET 33% 167148 33612 14433 101 225305332637 106298 268 290 82 -4 +2 +0 +2 +4 0.4
202928 MLB MLEDET 50% 209186 42813 17544 121 225304331635 106296 268 289 82 -5 +2 -1 +2 +5 0.4
202827 MLB CTXDET 33% 5650 11201 5141 30 222302325627 103293 259 286 82 -1 +1 +0 +1 +1 0.1
202928 MLB CTXDET 50% 10493 21411 8272 61 221301324625 103292 268 285 82 -2 +1 -0 +1 +2 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 160143 32612 13413 91 224302322624 98297 268 285 74 -3 +1 -0 +2 +3 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 1292448 5316712 374 222300318619 96295 268 285 74 -14 +6 -1 +7 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 20681833 403771326 16856949 15018 220302319621 99301 288 277 74 -11 +5 -1 +6 +12 1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 1262448 5317915 476 219301316617 97299 288 277 74 -14 +6 -1 +7 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 510 PAwOBA .367 → .317 (−50)K% 20.8% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.78%÷1.000×1.220——25.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.55%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.77%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.850—×0.9982.49%
Singles /BIP27.36%÷1.000×0.970×0.985×0.99826.10%
Doubles /BIP6.92%÷1.000×0.860×0.985×0.9985.85%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷1.000×0.950×0.985×0.9981.47%
Home runs /BIP2.83%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9982.20%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .367 → .317; ISO .139 → .117; BABIP .362 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 409 PAwOBA .345 → .275 (−71)K% 20.8% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.78%÷0.960×1.270——27.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.78%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9886.20%
HBP% /PA1.96%—×0.790—×0.9881.53%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.027×0.920×0.971×0.98821.48%
Doubles /BIP8.46%÷0.948×0.810×0.971×0.9886.93%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷0.900×0.850×0.971×0.9881.00%
Home runs /BIP2.57%÷0.850×0.800—×0.9882.39%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .345 → .275; ISO .140 → .120; BABIP .352 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 202 PAwOBA .285 → .227 (−58)K% 22.8% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.77%÷0.957×1.270——30.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.35%÷1.026×0.710—×0.99810.60%
HBP% /PA3.96%—×0.790—×0.9983.12%
Singles /BIP18.97%÷1.021×0.920×0.991×0.99816.91%
Doubles /BIP6.03%÷0.892×0.810×0.991×0.9985.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.991×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.86%÷0.889×0.800—×0.9980.77%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .285 → .227; ISO .062 → .054; BABIP .250 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 34 PAwOBA .347 → .268 (−79)K% 14.7% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.71%÷1.028×1.360——19.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.061×0.690—×0.99011.36%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷0.980×0.920—×0.99020.21%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.351×0.830—×0.9902.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.099×0.800—×0.9903.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .268; ISO .143 → .101; BABIP .273 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 239 PAwOBA .313 → .235 (−78)K% 22.2% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.18%÷0.975×1.360——30.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.72%÷1.089×0.690——7.43%
HBP% /PA2.51%—×0.780——1.96%
Singles /BIP20.67%÷0.957×0.920×0.961—19.10%
Doubles /BIP7.33%÷1.056×0.830×0.961—5.54%
Triples /BIP0.67%÷1.020×0.910×0.961—0.57%
Home runs /BIP2.67%÷1.216×0.800——1.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 104, K 95, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .313 → .235; ISO .123 → .084; BABIP .291 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 113 PAwOBA .319 → .241 (−78)K% 25.7% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.66%÷0.982×1.360——35.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.85%÷0.998×0.690—×1.0156.21%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.780—×1.0151.40%
Singles /BIP28.17%÷1.009×0.920×0.950×1.01524.78%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷0.974×0.830×0.950×1.0155.79%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷1.039×0.910×0.950×1.0151.19%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0150.89%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .319 → .241; ISO .100 → .070; BABIP .366 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .