Jake Rucker — OGILVIE

Jake Rucker3B Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 139 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .283 / .341

PA139

HR3

SB5

K%22

BB%7

BABIP258

ISO127

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	85	71	16	2	1	0	7	23	4	2	1	225	329	282	611	56	314	27	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	85	68	18	2	1	0	10	16	4	2	1	265	390	324	714	59	327	19	12	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	3 teams	—	529	466	94	25	5	8	41	160	13	19	12	202	285	328	613	127	281	30	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	3 teams	—	529	450	106	25	6	9	57	115	13	19	12	236	338	378	716	142	290	22	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	476	431	89	20	4	5	31	153	7	10	11	206	271	306	577	100	302	32	7	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	476	420	104	21	4	9	42	123	7	10	11	248	326	381	707	133	324	26	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	515	478	97	19	1	12	25	107	8	5	4	203	254	322	577	119	235	21	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	515	468	122	23	1	9	35	77	8	5	4	261	323	372	695	111	294	15	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	322	293	55	7	1	6	22	63	4	8	4	188	254	280	534	92	216	20	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	322	284	67	9	2	7	31	43	4	8	4	236	320	356	675	120	253	13	10	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	MIN	—	111	96	18	4	2	4	11	23	2	7	0	188	284	396	680	208	197	21	10	292	82	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.3
YTD	26	AA	MIN	—	111	90	20	5	2	4	17	18	2	7	0	222	358	456	813	233	229	16	15	355	130	+4	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.9
ROS	26	AA	MIN	2%	139	126	27	5	1	3	10	31	2	5	2	214	283	341	624	127	254	22	7	279	72	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
ROS	26	MLB	MIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						254	33	0	270	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	MIN	—	114	99	18	4	2	4	11	24	2	7	0	182	277	384	661	202	192	21	10	292	81	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.3
TOT	26	AA	MIN	—	250	222	45	9	3	7	21	54	4	12	2	203	283	365	648	162	232	22	8	285	76	-7	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	331	300	65	13	2	8	24	74	4	10	4	217	284	353	637	137	258	22	7	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2028	28	MLB	MIN	40%	359	325	70	14	2	8	27	81	4	11	5	215	284	345	628	129	260	23	8	285	76	-10	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.1
2029	29	MLB	MIN	45%	369	334	73	14	2	9	28	84	4	12	5	219	287	353	640	135	261	23	8	285	76	-10	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	89	82	17	3	1	2	6	20	1	3	1	207	270	341	611	134	258	22	7	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIN	40%	143	129	27	5	1	3	11	32	2	5	2	209	282	333	615	124	260	22	8	276	70	-5	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	29	MLB	MIN	45%	165	150	32	6	1	4	12	37	2	5	2	213	280	347	627	133	261	22	7	276	70	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	400	364	76	14	3	9	29	90	5	13	5	209	276	338	614	129	251	22	7	276	69	-14	+1	-1	+1	+11	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	124	23	5	15	47	146	8	21	8	209	277	341	618	132	251	22	7	276	69	-23	+1	-1	+2	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3125	2824	586	119	19	59	215	776	50	82	48	208	275	326	601	118	261	25	7	267	63	-132	-3	-2	+11	+89	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	25	4	12	45	161	10	17	10	208	275	325	601	118	262	25	7	267	63	-27	-1	-0	+2	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	85	68	18	2	1	0	10	16	4	2	1	265	390	324	714	59	327	19	12	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	30	26	3	0	0	1	2	10	1	1	0	115	207	231	438	115	125	33	7	201	12	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	239	206	54	16	2	6	22	52	6	5	5	262	350	447	797	184	316	22	9	348	124	+7	-1	—	—	+7	1.3
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	260	218	49	9	4	2	33	53	6	13	7	225	342	330	673	106	283	20	13	309	95	-2	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	476	420	104	21	4	9	42	123	7	10	11	248	326	381	707	133	324	26	9	315	99	-0	-2	—	—	+13	1.1
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	515	468	122	23	1	9	35	77	8	5	4	261	323	372	695	111	294	15	7	312	97	-2	-1	—	—	+15	1.2
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	322	284	67	9	2	7	31	43	4	8	4	236	320	356	675	120	253	13	10	305	92	-3	+0	—	—	+9	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	402	9	13	218	282	351	+1	+0	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	15	21	218	282	351	+2.4	+0.8	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Rucker (OGILVIE)	26	50	40	50	45	203/283/365	162	232	7	12	22%	8%	76	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Barrett Barnes 2017 · AA	26	46→48	44→45	49→50	43	225/287/350	125	297	11	12	27%	7%	78	+0.2	223/297/350	127	309	12	9	30%	7%	82	+0.5	203/302/343	140	276	15	5	30%	9%	82	+0.2
✕Davis Stoneburner 2011 · AA	26	46→49	45	50	40	227/276/355	128	289	12	11	26%	5%	74	-0.1	214/268/314	100	285	7	14	26%	5%	60	-1.0	203/260/291	87	273	5	16	26%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2023 · AA	26	49	42→45	51→50	42	236/283/346	111	312	9	15	27%	6%	74	-0.1	224/270/318	94	275	9	15	21%	6%	61	-1.0	218/265/301	83	260	8	16	19%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Alay Lago 2017 · AAA	26	47→55	42→40	54→45	40	229/263/334	106	278	9	13	22%	4%	63	-0.9	242/269/332	90	294	8	8	20%	3%	64	-0.8	248/272/327	79	299	6	6	19%	3%	60	-0.6
✕Jose Duarte 2011 · AAA	26	48→56	40	50→55	46	229/282/320	90	285	7	17	22%	7%	66	-0.6	232/300/328	96	291	7	13	21%	9%	77	+0.1	232/308/322	90	288	6	13	20%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Brett Dowdy 2009 · AAA	27	48→50	42→40	50	45	234/285/340	106	282	10	13	21%	6%	74	-0.1	221/262/311	90	269	8	11	20%	5%	56	-1.3	194/228/251	57	232	4	9	18%	3%	23	-2.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2018 · AA	26	42→52	44→45	51→55	47	206/290/322	117	279	11	18	29%	9%	72	-0.2	226/304/347	121	294	11	19	25%	7%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Josh Wilson 2007 · AAA	26	45→50	46→45	52→50	46	227/281/357	130	263	13	16	20%	6%	76	+0.1	229/283/337	108	272	9	13	19%	5%	72	-0.2	226/275/323	96	276	6	6	20%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Christian Lopes 2019 · AAA	26	47→50	44→45	50	51	231/300/349	118	270	11	16	19%	8%	82	+0.5	222/299/351	129	283	13	13	25%	8%	83	+0.6	204/286/322	118	279	12	11	29%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	48→54	45	55	39	237/266/358	120	291	12	18	23%	4%	69	-0.4	229/280/341	112	278	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.2	227/282/331	104	272	10	18	20%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	43→45	48→45	44	225/272/337	112	274	11	10	22%	6%	67	-0.5	220/251/309	89	275	7	11	22%	4%	50	-1.7	217/239/287	70	269	5	9	21%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Gary Brown 2014 · AAA	25	45→55	42→45	50→55	42	219/273/330	111	275	9	19	24%	5%	66	-0.6	205/252/303	98	266	8	21	25%	4%	50	-1.7	202/248/293	91	260	7	25	25%	4%	43	-1.9
✕Lloyd Turner 2006 · AA	26	47	42→45	49→50	46	229/290/337	108	288	10	14	23%	7%	76	+0.0	205/264/327	122	257	13	13	25%	6%	62	-0.9	184/244/311	127	225	14	13	25%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA	26	43→51	43→45	55	40	212/265/319	107	275	10	18	26%	5%	60	-1.0	201/251/304	103	277	9	18	30%	5%	50	-1.7	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	42→52	41→45	53→55	41	207/264/307	99	272	8	16	26%	6%	56	-1.3	219/275/315	96	291	8	13	26%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/310	85	299	6	13	25%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	41→49	44→45	46→50	46	208/272/325	117	250	12	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	220/280/336	116	271	12	12	23%	7%	71	-0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ryan Brett 2018 · AAA	26	44→54	44→45	50→60	39	219/255/338	118	271	11	12	24%	4%	60	-1.0	210/245/322	112	288	11	12	30%	4%	52	-1.6	180/205/267	87	249	8	9	31%	2%	17	-1.4
✕Hunter Brown 2006 · AAA	26	47→45	43→45	47→50	43	230/290/349	119	294	10	11	24%	6%	79	+0.3	223/288/338	115	294	9	13	26%	8%	75	-0.0	213/286/320	107	284	7	14	26%	9%	66	-0.5
✕Angelys Nina 2014 · AA	25	49→54	42→45	49→50	43	240/276/344	104	283	8	14	19%	4%	70	-0.3	236/267/327	91	282	7	13	18%	4%	62	-0.9	243/269/323	80	292	6	14	18%	3%	58	-0.9
✕Devin Lohman 2015 · AA	26	44→46	40	46→50	43	216/270/307	91	268	8	13	22%	5%	59	-1.1	208/262/292	84	283	7	10	28%	5%	52	-1.6	167/224/207	40	245	2	8	30%	5%	11	-1.5