Coco Montes — OGILVIE

Coco Montes2B Durham Bulls

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .289 / .345

PA250

HR4

K%30

BB%7

ISO115

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1215.3%

xwOBA

100.213

POWER40

Barrel%

103.1

Avg EV

1084.0

Bat Spd

6272.7

EYE40

Chase%

1045.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

1225.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	310	281	66	12	2	6	21	100	4	7	6	235	297	356	653	121	335	32	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	310	267	89	18	3	8	35	69	4	7	6	333	418	513	931	180	418	22	11	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	549	514	85	15	2	7	15	175	8	6	11	165	201	243	444	78	229	32	3	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	549	500	129	29	3	13	29	122	8	6	11	258	309	406	715	148	311	22	5	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	474	442	90	29	3	12	22	148	6	3	4	204	251	364	615	161	273	31	5	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	474	431	111	37	3	13	33	120	6	3	4	258	319	448	767	190	325	25	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	677	602	111	23	3	16	59	235	10	17	4	184	268	312	581	128	267	35	9	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	677	592	155	32	5	20	69	168	10	17	4	262	349	434	783	172	330	25	10	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	3 teams	—	654	586	124	24	3	17	54	238	8	15	8	212	287	350	637	138	318	36	8	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	3 teams	—	654	571	176	33	5	25	69	160	8	15	8	308	390	515	905	207	385	24	11	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	297	266	72	13	4	6	25	73	1	5	2	271	336	417	753	147	344	25	8	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	297	254	85	16	6	9	37	54	1	5	2	335	421	551	972	217	388	18	12	419	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	449	418	85	20	0	4	22	143	5	8	2	203	252	280	532	77	296	32	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	449	408	87	20	0	8	32	132	5	8	2	213	279	321	600	108	292	29	7	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	TB	—	250	229	53	11	1	4	17	75	2	4	1	231	290	341	631	109	322	30	7	287	77	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TB	27%	380	347	81	16	2	7	26	112	4	6	1	233	294	352	646	118	318	29	7	287	78	-9	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	TB	37%	365	334	77	15	2	7	25	107	3	5	1	231	290	350	640	120	313	29	7	286	77	-9	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.2
2027	30	MLB	TB	27%	104	95	22	4	0	2	7	31	1	2	0	232	291	337	628	105	321	30	7	281	74	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	TB	37%	137	125	29	6	1	2	10	40	1	2	0	232	294	344	638	112	317	29	7	280	73	-4	+0	-2	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	282	258	58	12	1	5	19	83	3	4	0	225	286	337	623	112	308	29	7	277	70	-10	+1	-5	+3	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	134	28	2	12	44	191	7	9	0	225	287	339	626	114	307	29	7	277	70	-22	+2	-11	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	4405	4019	844	178	22	86	286	1406	51	76	40	210	271	329	601	119	295	32	6	265	61	-195	-1	-11	+16	+125	-6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	124	26	3	13	42	207	8	11	6	209	271	329	599	120	293	32	6	265	61	-29	-0	-2	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	310	267	89	18	3	8	35	69	4	7	6	333	418	513	931	180	418	22	11	407	170	+24	-1	—	—	+9	3.3
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	549	500	129	29	3	13	29	122	8	6	11	258	309	406	715	148	311	22	5	312	97	-2	-3	—	—	+16	1.1
2021	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	474	431	111	37	3	13	33	120	6	3	4	258	319	448	767	190	325	25	7	336	115	+8	-1	—	—	+13	2.1
2022	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	479	420	115	27	4	20	50	131	7	13	1	274	361	500	861	226	351	27	10	377	147	+25	+2	—	—	+14	4.2
2022	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	60	49	12	1	0	0	10	13	1	2	0	245	383	265	649	20	333	22	17	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	25	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	138	123	28	4	1	0	9	24	2	2	3	228	291	276	567	49	275	17	7	256	54	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	41	38	7	2	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	184	244	316	560	132	240	29	5	254	52	-2	+0	-2	+2	+1	-0.1
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	507	436	138	26	5	22	59	130	6	11	6	317	405	550	956	234	400	26	12	414	175	+43	-0	—	—	+14	5.8
2023	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	106	97	31	5	0	2	8	18	1	4	2	320	377	433	810	113	377	17	8	364	137	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	297	254	85	16	6	9	37	54	1	5	2	335	421	551	972	217	388	18	12	419	179	+26	+0	—	—	+8	3.6
2025	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	415	375	82	19	0	8	32	123	5	7	2	219	289	333	622	115	300	30	8	281	74	-12	+1	—	—	+12	-0.0
2025	28	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	34	33	5	1	0	0	0	9	0	1	0	152	152	182	333	30	208	26	0	144	-31	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	41	38	7	2	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	184	244	316	560	132	240	29	5	254	52	-2	+0	-2	+2	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	265	5	4	232	289	349	+1	-1	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	12	9	232	289	349	+2.4	-2.3	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coco Montes (OGILVIE)	29	35	40	50	40	231/289/345	114	322	4	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Antonio Perez 2009 · MLB	29	41	44→45	45→55	44	204/280/325	120	279	11	9	30%	8%	69	-0.4	209/267/319	110	254	10	12	21%	7%	61	-1.0	166/222/245	79	201	4	10	19%	6%	22	-0.9
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	42	44→45	47→30	39	204/267/318	114	313	12	4	37%	7%	61	-1.0	195/258/307	112	367	12	6	46%	7%	54	-1.4	163/224/271	109	316	15	3	50%	7%	29	-0.9
✕Tim Lopes 2023 · MLB	29	40→50	47→45	50→55	42	206/265/339	133	269	14	15	29%	6%	66	-0.6	229/300/340	111	321	11	28	30%	9%	80	+0.4	237/316/331	94	338	9	39	30%	10%	80	+0.3
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Sebastian Valle 2019 · AAA	29	44→49	43→50	48→40	37	213/262/320	107	324	11	7	36%	6%	59	-1.1	250/316/428	178	309	21	7	25%	8%	111	+2.5	254/325/448	194	305	25	4	24%	8%	118	+2.0
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2011 · AAA	29	49→42	41→55	50→40	45	232/298/328	96	319	8	6	28%	8%	76	+0.1	226/284/404	178	319	24	4	35%	7%	92	+1.2	210/269/401	190	293	28	2	38%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Travis Garcia 2011 · AA	29	45	45→50	48→40	37	223/260/348	126	301	13	8	30%	5%	66	-0.6	245/287/431	186	320	25	10	31%	5%	99	+1.7	241/275/423	182	301	26	5	29%	3%	91	+0.4
✕Dayton Buller 2010 · AAA	29	44	45	49→40	38	215/271/335	121	315	12	6	34%	6%	67	-0.5	199/253/295	96	311	7	4	36%	6%	49	-1.8	193/251/296	103	294	6	0	34%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	41→42	41→45	51→50	41	201/265/300	99	287	8	10	31%	7%	56	-1.3	188/252/274	86	318	7	8	40%	7%	43	-2.2	130/202/174	44	264	1	2	47%	8%	-5	-2.2
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Joseph Odom 2021 · MLB	29	43	43→45	45→30	37	210/258/316	106	312	11	4	35%	6%	56	-1.3	208/269/333	125	371	13	6	44%	7%	66	-0.6	187/254/320	133	362	13	3	48%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Bubba Starling 2021 · MLB	28	45→46	44→45	49→50	39	223/267/336	113	301	13	11	30%	6%	65	-0.7	226/275/389	163	295	20	10	29%	6%	82	+0.5	196/234/425	228	224	31	5	30%	5%	72	-0.0
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	46→51	44→45	47→45	44	225/288/347	122	288	12	7	26%	6%	77	+0.1	222/285/334	112	288	11	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	219/288/325	106	285	11	1	26%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Devin Ivany 2011 · AAA	29	43→48	46→50	45	43	217/273/347	131	284	13	9	28%	7%	71	-0.3	217/265/331	114	279	11	9	25%	5%	63	-0.8	212/254/319	107	262	11	5	23%	4%	51	-0.5