Ronnie Freeman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 27 | AAA/AASF | 253 | .254/.308/.332 | 3 | 0 | 56 | — | .231/.268/.289 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/A+SF | 156 | .286/.355/.479 | 7 | 0 | 70 | — | .223/.278/.361 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA/AASF | 103 | .194/.272/.409 | 5 | 0 | 34 | — | .146/.204/.313 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 124 | 110 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 344 | 318 | 662 | 45 | 333 | 18 | 9 | 302 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 90 | 80 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 322 | 362 | 685 | 125 | 258 | 13 | 8 | 313 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 306 | 85 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 346 | 392 | 738 | 114 | 323 | 16 | 9 | 327 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 258 | 233 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 279 | 574 | 47 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 263 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 355 | 321 | 676 | 36 | 400 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 211 | 191 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 301 | 351 | 652 | 105 | 291 | 19 | 6 | 288 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 243 | 222 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 318 | 365 | 683 | 108 | 320 | 21 | 8 | 308 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 217 | 201 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 308 | 353 | 662 | 90 | 312 | 19 | 6 | 295 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 36 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 306 | 194 | 499 | 261 | 22 | 14 | 248 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 138 | 122 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 372 | 459 | 831 | 164 | 348 | 21 | 10 | 368 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 611 | 833 | 389 | 250 | 44 | 0 | 353 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 55 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 291 | 458 | 749 | 271 | 172 | 27 | 13 | 329 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 48 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 356 | 606 | 156 | 242 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 124 | 114 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 287 | 272 | 559 | 35 | 303 | 24 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 90 | 82 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 278 | 317 | 595 | 110 | 243 | 19 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 316 | 76 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 329 | 619 | 89 | 290 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 258 | 240 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 264 | 267 | 530 | 46 | 261 | 18 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 31 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 290 | 276 | 566 | 34 | 349 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 211 | 196 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 248 | 286 | 533 | 77 | 255 | 24 | 4 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 243 | 228 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 260 | 294 | 554 | 79 | 294 | 29 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 217 | 205 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 271 | 307 | 578 | 68 | 295 | 23 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 36 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 182 | 432 | 249 | 28 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 138 | 126 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 292 | 357 | 649 | 127 | 292 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 18 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 389 | 556 | 222 | 202 | 61 | 0 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 55 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 218 | 340 | 558 | 200 | 143 | 31 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 48 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 188 | 283 | 470 | 130 | 206 | 27 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 196 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 283 | 291 | 574 | 66 | 282 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 214 | 190 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 335 | 337 | 672 | 79 | 301 | 16 | 8 | 307 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 316 | 76 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 329 | 619 | 89 | 297 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 306 | 85 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 346 | 392 | 738 | 114 | 323 | 16 | 9 | 327 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 258 | 240 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 264 | 267 | 530 | 46 | 268 | 18 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 258 | 233 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 295 | 279 | 574 | 47 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 263 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 224 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 253 | 281 | 534 | 71 | 274 | 26 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 219 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 308 | 347 | 655 | 96 | 304 | 20 | 7 | 291 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 243 | 228 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 260 | 294 | 554 | 79 | 301 | 29 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 243 | 222 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 318 | 365 | 683 | 108 | 320 | 21 | 8 | 308 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 253 | 237 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 268 | 287 | 555 | 59 | 291 | 23 | 5 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 253 | 232 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 308 | 332 | 640 | 78 | 306 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 156 | 144 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 277 | 361 | 639 | 139 | 300 | 32 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 156 | 140 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 355 | 479 | 833 | 193 | 340 | 24 | 9 | 366 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 103 | 96 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 204 | 281 | 485 | 135 | 177 | 30 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 103 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 272 | 409 | 680 | 215 | 210 | 25 | 10 | 301 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 196 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 283 | 291 | 574 | 66 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 345 | 320 | 76 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 290 | 325 | 615 | 88 | 290 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 258 | 242 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 264 | 264 | 528 | 45 | 261 | 18 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 227 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 253 | 278 | 531 | 70 | 267 | 26 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 243 | 227 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 260 | 295 | 555 | 79 | 294 | 29 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 253 | 238 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 268 | 286 | 554 | 59 | 288 | 23 | 5 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 156 | 144 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 277 | 361 | 639 | 139 | 282 | 32 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 103 | 95 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 204 | 284 | 488 | 137 | 172 | 30 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1814 | 1681 | 369 | 66 | 5 | 19 | 98 | 436 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 267 | 299 | 566 | 79 | 282 | 24 | 5 | 249 | 55 | -97 | -1 | +0 | +32 | +39 | -2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 133 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 156 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 268 | 302 | 570 | 81 | 283 | 24 | 5 | 249 | 55 | -35 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 55 PAwOBA .320 → .235 (−86)K% 27.3% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 10.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.12% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 8.29% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .320 → .235; ISO .271 → .187; BABIP .172 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 48 PAwOBA .261 → .200 (−61)K% 22.9% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.134 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.948 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.970 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.948 | 13.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.098 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.923 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 101, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .200; ISO .156 → .117; BABIP .242 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 138 PAwOBA .361 → .279 (−82)K% 21.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.01% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷0.982 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 25.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.981 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 2.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.008 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .361 → .279; ISO .164 → .118; BABIP .348 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+San Jose Giants · 18 PAwOBA .341 → .211 (−129)K% 44.4% → 61.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.44% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 61.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.948 | 8.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.948 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 18.41% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 81, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .211; ISO .389 → .246; BABIP .250 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 217 PAwOBA .291 → .258 (−33)K% 18.9% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.89% | ÷1.071 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.53% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.25% | ÷0.963 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 25.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.38% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.003 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.47% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .291 → .258; ISO .090 → .073; BABIP .312 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 36 PAwOBA .242 → .204 (−39)K% 22.2% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.89% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 9.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.869 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .242 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .261 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAReno Aces · 243 PAwOBA .298 → .241 (−57)K% 20.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.58% | ÷0.919 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 22.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.089 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 84, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .298 → .241; ISO .108 → .078; BABIP .320 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 211 PAwOBA .284 → .235 (−49)K% 19.4% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.43% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.69% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.38% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .284 → .235; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .291 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).