Jose Meza

OF Great Lakes Loons
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A/ROK2 orgs365.261/.378/.44210367—.195/.289/.327
202522ALAA531.222/.365/.33683054—.175/.288/.257
202623A+LAD423.245/.348/.366101363—.209/.288/.304
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAD1.187/.277/.2780062-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBLAD74.191/.281/.2901266-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAD130.194/.283/.2972369-0.3
Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%74
BB%55
K%48
Whiff%43
Speed42
wOBA41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsDylan Neuse (age 24) · Tony Bullard (age 24) · Nick Vickerson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .277 / .278
PA1
HR0
K%30
BB%9
BABIP260
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.2-0.3272829
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista — 200163 42733 234810 86 258383393775 135339 2412 349 36 — — — — — —
202219 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 218187 50826 22415 93 267360428788 160306 1910 348 36 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL Dodgers — 235174 50714 55514 34 287468408876 121380 2223 403 88 — — — — — —
202421 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 256216 471037 27639 22 218329389718 171267 2511 321 53 — — — — — —
202421 ROKACL Dodgers — 10987 32713 19272 11 3684915751.065 207500 2517 464 101 — — — — — —
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531428 951748 8012516 3010 222365336701 114288 2415 324 54 — — — — — —
202623 A+Great Lakes Loons — 423363 8912110 511036 137 245348366714 121312 2412 325 63 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 200171 27421 156010 86 158265222488 64217 308 221 36 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 218195 33513 14515 93 169243251494 82202 236 222 36 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 235195 43513 34734 34 221348303650 82325 3114 299 88 — — — — — —
202421 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 256223 38835 20899 22 170266300566 130235 358 247 53 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 10995 24512 11392 11 253343389732 137383 3610 317 101 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531452 791336 5617216 3010 175288257545 82249 3211 248 54 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 423378 791018 361316 137 209288304592 95284 319 261 63 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 200171 27421 156010 86 158265222488 64230 308 221 36 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL LAD Bautista — 200163 42733 234810 86 258383393775 135339 2412 349 36 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 218195 33513 14515 93 169243251494 82207 236 222 36 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 218187 50826 22415 93 267360428788 160306 1910 348 36 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 235195 43513 34734 34 221348303650 82331 3114 299 88 — — — — — —
202320 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 235174 50714 55514 34 287468408876 121380 2223 403 88 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 365318 611337 3112811 33 192286318604 126287 358 268 67 — — — — — —
202421 A RAW2 teams — 365303 7917410 469011 33 261378442820 182332 2513 364 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531452 791336 5617216 3010 175288257545 82260 3211 248 54 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531428 951748 8012516 3010 222365336701 114288 2415 324 54 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 423378 791018 361316 137 209288304592 95293 319 261 63 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 423363 8912110 511036 137 245348366714 121312 2412 325 63 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 200173 27421 156010 86 156265220485 64217 308 221 36 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 218197 33513 14515 93 168243249492 81202 236 222 36 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 235195 43513 34734 34 221348303650 82325 3114 299 88 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 365320 611337 3112811 33 191286316602 125279 358 268 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531454 791336 5617216 3010 174288256544 81249 3211 248 54 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 423378 791018 361316 137 209288304592 95284 319 261 63 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLE2 teams — 365320 611337 3112811 33 191286316602 125279 358 268 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 531454 791336 5617216 3010 174288256544 81249 3211 248 54 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 423378 791018 361316 137 209288304592 95284 319 261 63 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAD 0% 380335 641026 351157 83 190280282562 92266 309 260 62 -17 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 187277278555 91260 00 258 62 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAD 30% 245216 42714 23734 52 194284294577 100268 309 266 66 -10 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
202926 MLB MLELAD 44% 294260 50815 27865 63 197286301587 104269 299 270 69 -11 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.6
202825 MLB CTXLAD 30% 7466 12201 7221 21 191281290571 99262 309 264 66 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
202926 MLB CTXLAD 44% 130115 21302 12382 31 194283297580 103263 299 267 69 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 204181 33503 19603 52 182271260531 77252 299 266 61 -8 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 10616010 6119110 166 184274263537 80253 299 266 61 -25 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.4
Career— MLE — 27212370 449711440 25583865 8240 189286282568 92269 319 258 61 -30 +0 +0 -4 +16 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650566 10717310 6120016 2010 189286283569 94268 319 258 61 -26 +0 +0 -4 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 423 PAwOBA .319 → .261 (−59)K% 24.3% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.35%÷1.000×1.270——30.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.06%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9988.54%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.790—×0.9981.12%
Singles /BIP25.38%÷1.000×0.920×1.019×0.99823.75%
Doubles /BIP4.62%÷1.000×0.810×1.019×0.9983.80%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷1.000×0.850×1.019×0.9980.33%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.07%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .319 → .261; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .312 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 531 PAwOBA .321 → .248 (−73)K% 23.5% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.54%÷0.987×1.360——32.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.07%÷0.981×0.690——10.60%
HBP% /PA3.01%—×0.780——2.35%
Singles /BIP21.78%÷1.004×0.920×0.983—19.62%
Doubles /BIP5.61%÷1.054×0.830×0.983—4.34%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷1.150×0.910×0.983—1.03%
Home runs /BIP2.64%÷1.055×0.800——2.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .321 → .248; ISO .114 → .084; BABIP .288 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 256 PAwOBA .318 → .247 (−71)K% 24.6% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.61%÷0.964×1.360——34.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.55%÷0.943×0.690—×1.0157.83%
HBP% /PA3.52%—×0.780—×1.0152.78%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.072×0.920×1.021×1.01515.69%
Doubles /BIP6.54%÷0.973×0.830×1.021×1.0155.78%
Triples /BIP1.96%÷0.973×0.910×1.021×1.0151.90%
Home runs /BIP4.58%÷1.072×0.800—×1.0153.47%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .318 → .247; ISO .171 → .129; BABIP .267 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 109 PAwOBA .457 → .317 (−140)K% 24.8% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.77%÷0.984×1.440——36.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.43%÷1.070×0.620—×0.9859.95%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.720—×0.9851.30%
Singles /BIP35.00%÷1.011×0.820—×0.98527.95%
Doubles /BIP11.67%÷1.010×0.720—×0.9858.19%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷0.967×0.720—×0.9851.22%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷0.942×0.780—×0.9854.08%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .457 → .317; ISO .207 → .150; BABIP .500 → .383. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 235 PAwOBA .397 → .299 (−98)K% 21.7% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.70%÷1.005×1.440——31.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.40%÷0.992×0.620—×0.99514.56%
HBP% /PA1.70%—×0.720—×0.9951.22%
Singles /BIP30.89%÷0.965×0.820×1.050×0.99527.43%
Doubles /BIP5.69%÷1.032×0.720×1.050×0.9954.15%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷0.980×0.720×1.050×0.9950.62%
Home runs /BIP3.25%÷1.005×0.780—×0.9952.51%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .397 → .299; ISO .121 → .093; BABIP .380 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 218 PAwOBA .345 → .222 (−123)K% 18.8% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.81%÷0.973×1.220——23.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.09%÷1.059×0.700—×0.9956.64%
HBP% /PA2.29%—×0.700—×0.9951.60%
Singles /BIP23.29%÷0.977×0.680×1.021×0.99516.47%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷1.045×0.600×1.021×0.9953.20%
Triples /BIP1.37%÷1.150×0.600×1.021×0.9950.73%
Home runs /BIP4.11%÷0.975×0.470—×0.9951.97%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .345 → .222; ISO .160 → .084; BABIP .306 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 200 PAwOBA .345 → .221 (−124)K% 24.0% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.00%÷0.968×1.220——30.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.50%÷1.049×0.700—×1.0087.73%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.700—×1.0083.53%
Singles /BIP25.22%÷1.010×0.680×0.987×1.00816.89%
Doubles /BIP6.09%÷0.987×0.600×0.987×1.0083.68%
Triples /BIP2.61%÷1.062×0.600×0.987×1.0081.47%
Home runs /BIP2.61%÷1.211×0.470—×1.0081.02%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .345 → .221; ISO .135 → .069; BABIP .339 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).