Jose MezaOF Great Lakes Loons
Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION297 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .301 / .318
PA198
HR4
SB6
K%31
BB%10
BABIP296
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.2+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 200173 30522 137410 86 173270260531 87280 376 226 31
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 200163 42733 234810 86 258383393775 135339 2412 349 125
202219 ROKDSL LAD Mega 218197 40515 12625 93 203266315581 112261 286 251 50
202219 ROKDSL LAD Mega 218187 50826 22415 93 267360428788 160306 1910 348 124
202320 ROKACL Dodgers 235194 45513 35734 34 232361314675 82350 3115 306 92
202320 ROKACL Dodgers 235174 50714 55514 34 287468408876 121380 2223 403 166
202421 A2 teams 365317 601338 3213111 33 189286325611 136284 369 263 60
202421 A2 teams 365303 7917410 469011 33 261378442820 182332 2513 364 136
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 531449 761226 5917216 3010 169288245533 76252 3211 247 47
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 531428 951748 8012516 3010 222365336701 114288 2415 324 106
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+LAD 297264 62718 27943 127 235313360673 125327 329 294 83 -6 -0 +0 -2 +8 0.1
YTD23 A+LAD 297253 729110 38703 127 285384447831 162352 2413 370 141 +14 -0 +0 -2 +8 2.0
ROS23 A+LAD 0% 198173 36514 20623 63 208301318619 110293 3110 282 74 -6 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.1
ROS23 MLBLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 289 00 267 63 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+LAD 298265 62718 27943 127 234312358670 125325 329 294 83 -6 -0 +0 -2 +8 0.1
TOT23 A+LAD 495437 9812212 471566 1810 224308343651 119315 329 289 79 -12 -0 +0 -3 +14 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBLAD 30% 581511 10816213 571758 147 211300327627 115293 3010 289 79 -14 +0 +0 -3 +16 -0.1
202825 MLBLAD 44% 602529 11518214 591779 147 217307338645 121293 2910 294 83 -11 +0 +0 -4 +17 0.2
202926 MLBLAD 51% 607533 11618215 601769 147 218307343651 126293 2910 297 85 -10 +0 +0 -4 +17 0.3
203027 MLBLAD 52% 606532 11618215 601759 147 218308344652 126293 2910 297 86 -10 +0 +0 -4 +17 0.4
203128 MLBLAD 53% 601528 11518215 601758 137 218307345652 127292 2910 296 85 -10 -0 -1 -4 +17 0.2
202724 MLBLAD 30% 176154 33514 17533 42 214305338642 123289 3010 275 69 -6 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
202825 MLBLAD 44% 266234 50816 26784 63 214303333636 120289 2910 280 73 -8 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
202926 MLBLAD 51% 308271 58917 30894 74 214302332634 118289 2910 283 75 -9 -0 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
203027 MLBLAD 52% 318278 60918 32925 74 216308342650 126289 2910 283 75 -9 -0 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
203128 MLBLAD 53% 320280 60918 32935 73 214306339645 125289 2910 282 74 -9 +0 -0 -2 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 13891218 26140533 13740521 3116 214305337641 122289 2910 281 73 -42 -0 -0 -8 +39 -1.1
/ 162G 650570 12219215 6419010 157 214304333638 119290 2910 281 73 -19 +0 -0 -4 +18 -0.5
Career 47444136 85713320100 467145292 12864 207302322623 114289 3110 282 74 -139 +0 -1 -28 +134 -3.5
/ 162G 650567 11818314 6419913 189 208303325628 116290 3110 282 74 -19 +0 -0 -4 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 200163 42733 234810 86 258383393775 135339 2412 349 125 +6 -1 +6 1.1
202219 ROKDSL LAD Mega 218187 50826 22415 93 267360428788 160306 1910 348 124 +6 +1 +6 1.3
202320 ROKACL Dodgers 235174 50714 55514 34 287468408876 121380 2223 403 166 +18 -1 +7 2.4
202421 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 256216 471037 27639 22 218329389718 171267 2511 321 104 +1 -0 +7 0.8
202421 ROKACL Dodgers 10987 32713 19272 11 3684915751.065 207500 2517 464 213 +14 -0 +3 1.7
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 531428 951748 8012516 3010 222365336701 114288 2415 324 106 +4 +2 +15 2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,3903332219305344-8+00.60.6
/1626641615-4.0+0.00.3pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Meza (OGILVIE) 23 35 30 55 60 224/308/343 119315 1218 32% 9% 79 -0.1
Connor Kokx
2023 · A
23 42 40 48→60 49 204/292/297 93273 814 27% 9% 67 -0.5 205/289/284 79296 524 30% 8% 63 -0.9 193/283/2596628843431%8%51-0.7
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Blake Rambusch
2023 · A
23 47 37→30 52→65 42 219/287/293 74318 414 30% 7% 63 -0.9 230/317/295 65313 329 25% 9% 76 +0.1 252/330/3045231614919%9%79+0.1
Andy Paz
2016 · A
23 38 37→40 48→45 42 185/247/254 69274 56 33% 8% 36 -2.7 220/269/285 65296 47 25% 6% 52 -1.6 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Taylor Krick
2011 · A
23 43 38→30 48→40 51 205/292/282 77270 67 25% 10% 63 -0.8 226/312/290 64313 35 26% 8% 73 -0.1 233/324/284513282226%8%74-0.0
Corey Joyce
2022 · AA
23 40 39→45 54→50 39 192/262/274 82303 814 37% 7% 48 -1.9 206/305/332 126296 1313 32% 10% 82 +0.5 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
Kyler Fedko
2023 · A
23 43→42 43→50 51→55 47 212/285/327 114283 1010 27% 8% 71 -0.3 202/288/323 121269 1214 28% 10% 72 -0.2 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0
Nolan Fontana
2014 · A
23 42→43 39→40 52→50 58 198/312/287 89285 614 30% 14% 73 -0.1 204/300/291 87305 49 30% 12% 69 -0.4 184/288/308124252111229%12%68-0.2
Christian Cairo
2023 · A
22 39→46 38→40 53→60 49 182/289/262 80287 616 35% 11% 58 -1.2 202/293/281 79297 523 30% 10% 63 -0.8 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Alerick Soularie
2022 · A
23 43 43→45 54→60 45 205/286/312 107309 1015 34% 9% 68 -0.5 194/278/311 117294 1222 35% 9% 65 -0.7 176/267/290113262132935%9%53-0.7
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Michael Suiter
2015 · A
23 43→38 41→40 52→50 43 211/279/308 98266 915 24% 6% 64 -0.8 201/253/280 79278 610 29% 5% 44 -2.1 193/242/2637026861029%4%32-1.7
Jake Thomas
2016 · A
23 44 39→30 49→50 47 210/289/293 83281 78 26% 8% 64 -0.8 203/284/269 66306 28 31% 10% 56 -1.3 195/285/252573021832%11%49-0.9
Dwanya Williams-Sutton
2021 · A
24 41 41→45 50 45 190/309/282 92303 810 35% 10% 72 -0.2 207/308/334 127335 1413 39% 9% 85 +0.7 165/295/298133275171841%11%70-0.1
Richard Nunez
2018 · A
23 42 36→30 49→55 48 197/274/261 64266 312 26% 9% 50 -1.8 200/270/286 86282 57 28% 8% 54 -1.4 196/275/293972509324%9%56-0.2
Kier Meredith
2022 · A
22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
Hudson Haskin
2022 · A
23 48→44 40 52→50 42 226/301/321 96314 718 28% 6% 77 +0.1 220/305/333 113311 1015 30% 7% 82 +0.5 210/305/318108304101731%8%76+0.1
Luis Santana
2022 · AA
23 39 42→45 47→50 39 198/255/299 101269 1010 30% 5% 51 -1.7 211/272/334 123278 139 28% 6% 67 -0.5 201/263/32112025914727%6%57-0.7
Dom Duggan
2008 · A
23 45 39→40 54→55 47 213/288/305 92287 513 26% 8% 66 -0.6 207/263/285 78289 316 28% 6% 50 -1.8 197/251/2697227332027%5%37-1.1
Evan Chambers
2012 · A
23 36→37 42→40 47→50 47 183/270/286 104259 1017 32% 9% 56 -1.3 179/260/257 78296 613 38% 9% 43 -2.2 138/227/1784025521442%10%9-2.6