Kyler Fedko — OGILVIE

Kyler FedkoOF St. Paul Saints

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2027

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .296 / .364

PA250

HR8

SB10

K%28

BB%10

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

60→60

SPD

60→60

EYE

53↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$1M	-$2M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	81	71	13	2	0	0	8	26	1	2	0	.183	.275	.211	.486	.028	.283	32	10	.227	32	-6	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
2022	22	A+	2 teams	475	423	88	18	3	8	41	120	6	13	3	.208	.287	.322	.609	.113	.267	25	9	.273	67	-18	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	211	176	33	4	2	4	30	51	3	5	2	.188	.316	.301	.617	.114	.236	24	14	.286	77	-5	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	294	261	45	11	0	3	27	80	2	7	4	.172	.255	.249	.504	.077	.231	27	9	.231	35	-22	-0	+0	-2	+8	-1.6
2025	25	AA	2 teams	566	500	104	20	0	22	55	160	6	38	8	.208	.294	.380	.674	.172	.254	28	10	.295	84	-10	+4	+0	-3	+16	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	63	58	11	1	1	4	3	20	1	3	2	.190	.242	.448	.690	.259	.200	32	5	.277	70	-2	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	MIN	187	166	36	7	1	7	17	53	2	7	2	.217	.297	.398	.695	.181	.262	28	9	.297	85	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
TOT	26	MLB	MIN	250	224	47	8	2	11	20	73	3	10	4	.210	.283	.411	.694	.201	.254	29	8	.292	82	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	MIN	336	299	64	12	1	12	31	80	3	12	4	.214	.294	.381	.676	.167	.250	24	9	.304	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2028	28	MLB 37%	MIN	364	323	70	13	1	13	34	87	4	12	4	.217	.299	.384	.683	.167	.253	24	9	.305	91	-4	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.5
2029	29	MLB 47%	MIN	373	331	72	14	1	13	35	90	4	12	4	.218	.300	.384	.684	.166	.254	24	9	.304	91	-4	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.4
2030	30	MLB 55%	MIN	378	336	72	14	1	13	35	92	4	11	3	.214	.296	.378	.674	.164	.254	24	9	.301	89	-5	+1	-2	-2	+11	0.2
2031	31	MLB 66%	MIN	369	329	69	13	1	12	34	91	3	9	3	.210	.290	.365	.654	.155	.252	25	9	.297	86	-6	+1	-3	-2	+10	0.0
2032	32	MLB 75%	MIN	354	315	65	12	1	11	33	90	3	7	2	.206	.288	.356	.643	.149	.250	25	9	.292	82	-7	+1	-4	-2	+10	-0.2
2033	33	MLB 83%	MIN	326	290	59	11	1	10	30	85	3	6	2	.203	.285	.352	.637	.148	.248	26	9	.287	78	-8	+0	-4	-2	+9	-0.5
2034	34	MLB 89%	MIN	284	254	50	9	1	8	26	76	2	4	1	.197	.277	.335	.611	.138	.246	27	9	.280	73	-9	+0	-5	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4598	4074	840	160	14	136	436	1181	46	145	42	.206	.290	.352	.643	.146	.252	26	9	.288	79	-110	+12	-20	-28	+130	-1.5
/ 162G	—			650	576	119	23	2	19	62	167	7	20	6	.207	.292	.352	.644	.146	.253	26	10	.288	79	-16	+2	-3	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	81	68	16	2	0	0	11	19	1	2	0	.235	.350	.265	.615	.029	.320	23	14	.292	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	366	320	74	16	3	8	39	69	5	9	2	.231	.324	.375	.699	.144	.269	19	11	.315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+10	1.1
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	109	88	28	5	1	2	17	22	1	4	1	.318	.434	.466	.900	.148	.388	20	16	.394	159	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	211	165	40	6	2	6	41	39	3	5	2	.242	.402	.412	.814	.170	.279	18	19	.369	140	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	294	251	57	14	0	3	37	59	2	7	4	.227	.331	.319	.650	.092	.280	20	13	.298	86	-4	-0	—	—	+8	0.4
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	187	164	44	10	0	8	21	41	1	12	2	.268	.355	.476	.830	.207	.310	22	11	.366	138	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	379	312	79	15	0	20	58	79	5	26	6	.253	.379	.494	.872	.240	.272	21	15	.382	151	+22	+3	—	—	+11	3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyler Fedko (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	60	60	.213/.296/.364	.151	.271	8	9	28%	10%	87	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	52→60	59→60	44	.222/.292/.385	.163	.301	20	30	32%	8%	89	+1.0	.220/.301/.384	.164	.319	19	26	34%	10%	93	+1.3	.221/.295/.429	.208	.301	26	17	34%	9%	97	+0.7
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	51→55	57→55	46	.215/.276/.371	.155	.258	19	25	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.221/.279/.380	.159	.267	19	22	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.213/.271/.381	.168	.251	20	20	24%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Blake Perkins 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	49→50	56→55	46	.206/.285/.351	.145	.281	17	19	32%	9%	78	+0.2	.229/.308/.355	.126	.310	12	21	28%	10%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.343	.108	.318	10	25	27%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42→43	50	55	44	.216/.293/.366	.150	.294	18	23	32%	8%	85	+0.7	.212/.292/.349	.137	.297	17	21	32%	9%	80	+0.4	.195/.282/.319	.124	.275	16	21	33%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Óscar Mercado 2022 · MLB	27	45→53	48→55	55→60	48	.225/.290/.373	.147	.260	15	20	20%	7%	85	+0.7	.223/.285/.376	.153	.261	16	23	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.217/.277/.380	.163	.251	19	28	22%	6%	79	+0.2
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	43→47	51→65	51→50	44	.222/.278/.388	.166	.277	19	13	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.184/.236/.322	.138	.253	17	9	33%	6%	49	-1.8	.209/.298/.431	.221	.291	31	7	37%	10%	102	+1.1
✕Brooks Conrad 2006 · AAA	26	42→44	50→55	54→50	46	.217/.281/.373	.156	.270	18	16	27%	8%	82	+0.5	.197/.255/.365	.168	.253	18	12	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.223/.297/.436	.213	.288	28	7	32%	9%	101	+0.6
✕Scott Kingery 2020 · MLB	26	48→51	49→55	54→55	42	.239/.288/.396	.157	.302	16	17	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.212/.276/.348	.136	.298	13	15	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.172/.251/.279	.106	.266	8	18	36%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	53→55	52→55	41	.226/.282/.397	.171	.285	22	18	29%	6%	89	+0.9	.232/.293/.373	.141	.295	16	20	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.235/.298/.359	.123	.298	12	21	24%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Alex Castellanos 2013 · MLB	26	47→50	52→55	52→50	40	.235/.296/.408	.173	.308	18	15	29%	6%	97	+1.5	.210/.273/.358	.148	.291	16	15	32%	6%	75	-0.0	.208/.268/.348	.140	.303	14	8	34%	6%	66	-0.3
●Wil Myers 2017 · MLB	26	47→54	52→60	53→55	52	.241/.317/.404	.163	.288	20	19	24%	10%	105	+2.1	.244/.322/.444	.200	.307	24	19	27%	10%	117	+2.9	.242/.321/.448	.206	.316	25	20	30%	10%	113	+2.2
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	42→45	48→55	53→55	42	.211/.281/.356	.145	.286	15	18	30%	7%	77	+0.1	.214/.276/.349	.135	.289	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	48→45	53→55	48	.221/.296/.363	.142	.269	16	16	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.221/.293/.348	.127	.275	14	24	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.214/.285/.324	.111	.265	13	28	24%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Cole Gillespie 2010 · AAA	26	46→56	47→50	54→50	50	.228/.305/.373	.145	.291	13	14	25%	9%	92	+1.2	.230/.302/.361	.131	.291	11	15	24%	8%	86	+0.8	.252/.314/.361	.109	.301	9	13	19%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	48	.228/.308/.419	.191	.299	21	13	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.219/.307/.387	.168	.303	19	15	32%	10%	96	+1.5	.188/.286/.329	.140	.277	15	16	35%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Michael A. Taylor 2018 · MLB	27	47→51	51→55	54→60	41	.235/.285/.392	.157	.319	19	23	32%	6%	88	+0.9	.227/.282/.382	.155	.318	16	25	32%	7%	84	+0.6	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Jake Slaughter 2023 · AA	26	45→46	48→55	53→55	39	.225/.292/.362	.137	.316	16	23	33%	6%	84	+0.6	.221/.290/.372	.151	.306	18	21	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.211/.281/.357	.146	.294	18	20	33%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Nick Senzel 2021 · MLB	26	48→56	50	52→50	46	.241/.298/.399	.158	.298	16	17	25%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.293/.343	.112	.274	11	12	19%	8%	78	+0.2	.209/.282/.339	.129	.252	16	9	23%	8%	71	-0.2
●Harrison Bader 2020 · MLB	26	46→55	52→55	51→55	45	.233/.311/.399	.167	.303	20	17	29%	8%	102	+1.8	.245/.320/.424	.179	.304	21	17	25%	8%	111	+2.5	.254/.315/.421	.167	.304	19	21	22%	7%	102	+0.9
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	40→43	55	51→55	45	.219/.283/.402	.182	.267	25	13	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.216/.279/.378	.162	.291	21	21	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)