Kyler Fedko — OGILVIE

Kyler FedkoOF St. Paul Saints

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION267 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .290 / .396

PA178

HR7

SB6

K%29

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO182

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT45

xwOBA

100.166

POWER60

Avg EV

3487.9

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$1M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$18M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	71	13	2	0	0	8	27	1	2	0	183	275	211	486	28	289	33	10	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	68	16	2	0	0	11	19	1	2	0	235	350	265	615	29	320	23	14	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	475	423	90	21	3	9	41	126	6	13	3	213	291	340	632	128	276	27	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	475	408	102	21	4	10	56	91	6	13	3	250	349	395	744	145	295	19	12	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	175	32	4	2	4	31	55	3	5	2	183	316	297	613	114	237	26	15	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	165	40	6	2	6	41	39	3	5	2	242	402	412	814	170	279	18	19	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	260	44	11	0	4	28	82	2	7	4	169	255	258	513	88	225	28	10	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	251	57	14	0	3	37	59	2	7	4	227	331	319	650	92	280	20	13	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	566	501	103	20	0	22	54	166	6	38	8	206	291	377	668	172	255	29	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	566	476	123	25	0	28	79	120	6	38	8	258	371	487	858	229	285	21	14	377	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	MIN	—	267	239	53	9	2	13	20	78	4	9	5	222	293	439	732	218	263	29	7	312	97	-1	-0	+0	-2	+8	0.5
YTD	26	AAA	MIN	—	267	231	61	11	2	16	28	66	4	9	5	264	354	537	890	273	294	25	10	382	151	+15	-0	+0	-2	+8	2.2
ROS	26	AAA	MIN	40%	178	159	34	6	1	7	15	51	2	6	2	214	290	396	686	182	267	29	8	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	MIN	40%	71	64	14	3	0	3	6	20	1	3	1	219	296	406	702	188	268	28	8	299	87	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
FULL	26	AAA	MIN	—	338	303	67	12	2	16	26	98	5	12	6	221	293	432	726	211	264	29	8	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.6
TOT	26	AAA	MIN	—	445	398	87	15	3	20	35	129	6	15	7	219	292	422	714	204	264	29	8	310	95	-2	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	53%	629	562	123	23	2	25	55	176	7	21	8	219	296	400	697	181	268	28	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.1
2028	28	MLB	MIN	60%	616	550	120	23	2	23	54	170	7	20	7	218	296	393	689	175	269	28	9	308	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+17	1.0
2029	29	MLB	MIN	62%	604	538	118	22	2	23	54	167	7	18	7	219	299	396	695	177	270	28	9	307	93	-5	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.9
2027	27	MLB	MIN	53%	335	299	65	12	1	13	29	93	4	11	4	217	295	395	690	177	268	28	9	301	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2028	28	MLB	MIN	60%	371	331	72	14	1	14	33	103	4	12	4	218	296	393	689	175	270	28	9	301	88	-5	+1	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2029	29	MLB	MIN	62%	374	334	73	14	1	14	33	103	4	11	4	219	296	392	689	174	270	28	9	300	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1151	1028	224	43	3	44	101	319	13	37	13	218	296	394	690	176	268	28	9	300	88	-16	+2	-1	-7	+33	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	127	24	2	25	57	180	7	21	7	219	296	396	692	177	269	28	9	300	88	-9	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	3654	3239	677	132	12	117	340	1020	41	130	41	209	292	366	658	157	263	28	9	292	82	-76	+10	-2	-22	+104	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	120	23	2	21	60	181	7	23	7	208	290	365	655	156	261	28	9	292	82	-14	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	68	16	2	0	0	11	19	1	2	0	235	350	265	615	29	320	23	14	292	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	366	320	74	16	3	8	39	69	5	9	2	231	324	375	699	144	269	19	11	315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+10	1.1
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	109	88	28	5	1	2	17	22	1	4	1	318	434	466	900	148	388	20	16	394	159	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	165	40	6	2	6	41	39	3	5	2	242	402	412	814	170	279	18	19	369	140	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	251	57	14	0	3	37	59	2	7	4	227	331	319	650	92	280	20	13	298	86	-4	-0	—	—	+8	0.4
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	187	164	44	10	0	8	21	41	1	12	2	268	355	476	830	207	310	22	11	366	138	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	379	312	79	15	0	20	58	79	5	26	6	253	379	494	872	240	272	21	15	382	151	+22	+3	—	—	+11	3.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,181	45	38	220	295	397	-7	+0	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	25	22	220	295	397	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyler Fedko (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	60	60	219/292/422	204	264	20	15	29%	8%	95	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	44	221/289/403	182	280	23	23	30%	8%	93	+1.3	218/297/368	150	319	17	29	34%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Blake Perkins 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	49→50	56→55	47	208/287/358	150	280	17	19	31%	9%	80	+0.4	234/312/365	131	316	13	21	28%	10%	92	+1.2	239/321/358	119	322	11	25	27%	10%	91	+0.6
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	44→42	51→50	51→55	46	225/296/386	161	279	18	12	26%	8%	91	+1.1	222/301/376	154	297	17	17	30%	7%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	54→55	52→50	50	221/307/408	188	288	21	13	30%	10%	102	+1.8	208/299/363	155	294	17	15	32%	10%	87	+0.8	177/275/304	127	268	13	16	36%	10%	59	-0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	44→47	51→65	51→50	44	226/282/393	166	281	19	12	27%	7%	87	+0.8	182/232/318	136	255	16	9	34%	6%	46	-2.0	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
●Harrison Bader 2020 · MLB	26	46→56	52→55	52→55	46	232/314/397	165	303	20	17	29%	8%	102	+1.9	245/319/418	173	304	20	17	25%	8%	109	+2.4	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2013 · MLB	26	45→49	51→55	52→50	41	229/293/398	169	302	18	15	30%	6%	93	+1.3	203/267/344	141	286	16	15	33%	6%	69	-0.4	198/258/327	129	294	12	8	35%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Keon Broxton 2016 · AAA	26	47→48	49→55	58→60	40	227/283/383	156	332	16	25	35%	7%	84	+0.6	218/290/386	168	342	19	35	39%	9%	89	+0.9	199/280/366	166	324	20	40	42%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Scott Kingery 2020 · MLB	26	47→51	51→55	53→55	42	239/289/406	166	304	17	16	27%	6%	93	+1.3	208/273/349	141	295	14	15	32%	8%	72	-0.2	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
●Chris Young 2010 · MLB	26	45→49	54→60	51→55	51	234/311/430	196	283	21	15	25%	10%	108	+2.3	238/324/422	184	283	20	19	22%	11%	112	+2.6	236/326/419	183	275	21	21	22%	11%	109	+2.2
✕Nick Senzel 2021 · MLB	26	47→56	49→50	51→50	46	235/293/390	155	291	16	17	25%	7%	91	+1.1	231/294/343	112	273	11	12	19%	8%	79	+0.3	215/285/349	134	257	17	9	23%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	40→38	58→60	56→55	46	219/283/421	202	243	26	15	23%	7%	95	+1.4	228/293/391	163	266	18	19	21%	7%	92	+1.2	228/294/377	150	266	16	23	21%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	44→48	53→55	53→55	44	228/293/405	176	290	21	24	29%	8%	95	+1.4	199/253/331	132	275	13	16	31%	6%	59	-1.1	189/253/305	116	256	9	10	28%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Brooks Conrad 2006 · AAA	26	41→44	50→55	54→50	46	216/281/373	157	268	18	16	27%	8%	82	+0.5	196/253/364	168	253	18	12	30%	7%	67	-0.5	225/298/436	211	291	27	7	32%	9%	102	+0.6
✕Jayson Nix 2010 · MLB	27	45→49	51→55	51→55	47	234/299/396	163	275	19	19	23%	8%	95	+1.4	217/282/373	156	265	19	11	25%	7%	82	+0.5	205/268/351	146	255	17	9	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA	26	44→43	51→55	60	40	219/289/375	157	325	20	33	37%	8%	85	+0.7	199/279/367	168	305	21	33	39%	8%	80	+0.4	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1