Kyler Fedko

OF St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.145 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AAMIN	294	.227/.331/.319	3	7	44	—	.176/.259/.253
2025	25	AAA/AAMIN	566	.258/.371/.487	28	38	82	—	.206/.292/.372
2026	26	AAAMIN	307	.274/.365/.545	17	10	90	—	.217/.289/.409
2026	26	MLBMIN	19	.000/.111/.000	0	0	-64	-0.6
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBMIN	16	.224/.301/.390	1	1	94	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	28	MLBMIN	164	.223/.300/.386	5	5	93	0.1
2029PROJ39% MLB	29	MLBMIN	219	.222/.298/.381	7	6	91	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.145First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Ext$1M2032Ext$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed81

BB%56

Whiff%56

Z-Con%56

K%52

Max EV49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 1.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsStuart Fairchild (age 27) · Alex Call (age 28) · Jayson Nix (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .301 / .390

PA16

HR1

K%25

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO267

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT

xAVG

100.097

POWER

Avg EV

3487.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.145 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	68	16	2	0	0	11	19	1	2	0	235	350	265	615	29	320	23	14	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	366	320	74	16	3	8	39	69	5	9	2	231	324	375	699	144	269	19	11	315	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	109	88	28	5	1	2	17	22	1	4	1	318	434	466	900	148	388	20	16	394	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	165	40	6	2	6	41	39	3	5	2	242	402	412	814	170	279	18	19	369	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	251	57	14	0	3	37	59	2	7	4	227	331	319	650	92	280	20	13	298	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	187	164	44	10	0	8	21	41	1	12	2	268	355	476	830	207	310	22	11	366	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	379	312	79	15	0	20	58	79	5	26	6	253	379	494	872	240	272	21	15	382	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	19	16	0	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	1		111		111			42	11	73	-64	-4	-0	+0	-2	+0	-0.6
2026	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	307	266	73	17	2	17	34	70	4	10	4	274	365	545	910	271	308	23	11	393	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	19	16	0	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	1		111		111			42	11	73	-64	-4	-0	+0	-2	+0	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	71	13	2	0	0	8	26	1	2	0	183	275	211	486	28	279	32	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	366	331	64	14	2	7	28	88	5	9	2	193	266	311	578	118	235	24	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	109	94	27	5	1	2	11	30	1	4	1	287	368	426	793	138	356	28	10	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	176	33	4	2	4	30	51	3	5	2	188	316	301	617	114	231	24	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	261	46	11	0	3	27	75	2	7	4	176	259	253	511	77	225	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	187	171	39	9	0	5	14	50	1	12	2	228	290	368	659	140	284	27	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	379	329	64	11	0	16	41	102	5	26	6	195	293	374	667	179	220	27	11	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	19	16	0	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	1		111		111			42	11	73	-64	-4	-0	+0	-2	+0	-0.6
2026	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	307	276	60	13	2	12	24	84	4	10	4	217	289	409	699	192	258	27	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	71	13	2	0	0	8	26	1	2	0	183	275	211	486	28	283	32	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	68	16	2	0	0	11	19	1	2	0	235	350	265	615	29	320	23	14	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	475	424	88	18	3	8	40	118	6	13	3	208	285	321	606	113	264	25	8	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	475	408	102	21	4	10	56	91	6	13	3	250	349	395	744	145	295	19	12	333	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	176	33	4	2	4	30	51	3	5	2	188	316	301	617	114	236	24	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	165	40	6	2	6	41	39	3	5	2	242	402	412	814	170	279	18	19	369	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	261	46	11	0	3	27	75	2	7	4	176	259	253	511	77	230	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	251	57	14	0	3	37	59	2	7	4	227	331	319	650	92	280	20	13	298	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	500	102	20	0	20	55	152	6	38	8	204	291	364	655	160	246	27	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	566	476	123	25	0	28	79	120	6	38	8	258	371	487	858	229	285	21	14	377	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	326	292	60	13	2	12	26	92	4	10	5	205	280	387	666	182	250	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	326	282	73	17	2	17	36	78	4	10	5	259	351	514	865	255	293	24	11	374	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	81	72	13	2	0	0	8	26	1	2	0	181	275	208	483	28	279	32	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	475	426	88	18	3	8	40	118	6	13	3	207	285	319	604	113	263	25	8	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	211	176	33	4	2	4	30	51	3	5	2	188	316	301	617	114	231	24	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	263	46	11	0	3	27	75	2	7	4	175	259	251	510	76	225	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	500	102	20	0	20	55	152	6	38	8	204	291	364	655	160	241	27	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	326	293	60	13	2	12	26	92	4	10	5	205	280	386	665	181	243	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	294	263	46	11	0	3	27	75	2	7	4	175	259	251	510	76	225	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	500	102	20	0	20	55	152	6	38	8	204	291	364	655	160	241	27	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	326	293	60	13	2	12	26	92	4	10	5	205	280	386	665	181	243	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	376	336	75	16	1	12	33	100	4	13	4	224	301	389	690	165	277	27	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	16	15	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	224	301	390	691	165	277	25	6	307	94	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	555	496	111	23	2	18	49	147	5	17	5	223	300	385	685	162	277	26	9	305	93	-5	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	39%	561	502	112	23	2	18	49	149	5	14	5	222	298	380	678	158	276	27	9	302	91	-6	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	279	251	54	11	1	8	24	75	2	6	2	220	295	373	669	153	275	27	9	299	88	-4	+0	-2	-2	+6	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	164	147	32	7	0	5	14	44	2	5	2	223	300	386	686	162	277	27	9	306	93	-1	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	39%	219	196	44	9	1	7	19	58	2	6	2	222	298	381	679	159	276	26	9	303	91	-2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	126	113	24	5	0	4	11	34	1	3	1	220	296	374	670	154	275	27	9	299	88	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	528	472	100	21	1	16	46	144	5	14	6	212	289	362	651	150	266	27	9	295	80	-9	+0	-2	-5	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	26	1	20	57	177	6	17	7	212	289	363	652	151	265	27	9	295	80	-11	+0	-2	-6	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3503	3111	650	132	12	96	322	926	36	117	36	209	291	352	642	143	262	26	9	286	80	-20	+2	-4	-11	+34	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	120	24	2	18	60	172	7	22	7	208	290	350	640	142	260	26	9	286	80	-8	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 307 PAwOBA .386 → .301 (−85)K% 22.8% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.80%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	27.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.07%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.66%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.23%
Singles /BIP	18.88%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.954	×1.003	16.79%
Doubles /BIP	8.67%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.954	×1.003	6.89%
Triples /BIP	1.02%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.954	×1.003	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	8.67%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	6.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .386 → .301; ISO .271 → .199; BABIP .308 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 379 PAwOBA .376 → .292 (−84)K% 20.8% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.84%	÷0.941	×1.220	—	—	27.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.30%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×0.988	10.67%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	1.13%
Singles /BIP	18.88%	÷1.025	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	15.91%
Doubles /BIP	6.44%	÷1.031	×0.840	×0.950	×0.988	4.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.950	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.58%	÷0.986	×0.800	—	×0.988	6.88%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .376 → .292; ISO .240 → .190; BABIP .272 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 187 PAwOBA .358 → .282 (−76)K% 21.9% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.93%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	26.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.23%	÷1.022	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.72%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.51%
Singles /BIP	21.14%	÷0.944	×0.930	×0.966	×1.018	20.48%
Doubles /BIP	8.13%	÷0.938	×0.830	×0.966	×1.018	7.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.966	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.50%	÷1.253	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .358 → .282; ISO .207 → .135; BABIP .310 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAWichita Wind Surge · 294 PAwOBA .295 → .233 (−63)K% 20.1% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.07%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	25.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.59%	÷0.963	×0.700	—	×0.998	9.13%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.59%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.091	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	16.66%
Doubles /BIP	7.29%	÷0.979	×0.840	×0.950	×0.998	5.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.126	×0.940	×0.950	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷0.845	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 118, 2B 96, 3B 125, K 93, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .295 → .233; ISO .092 → .079; BABIP .280 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 211 PAwOBA .363 → .283 (−80)K% 18.5% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.48%	÷0.977	×1.270	—	—	24.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.43%	÷0.966	×0.710	—	×0.988	14.11%
HBP% /PA	1.42%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.11%
Singles /BIP	20.63%	÷0.989	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	18.02%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.051	×0.810	×0.950	×0.988	3.44%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷0.994	×0.850	×0.950	×0.988	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.134	×0.800	—	×0.988	3.32%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .363 → .283; ISO .170 → .124; BABIP .279 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 366 PAwOBA .309 → .252 (−57)K% 18.9% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.85%	÷0.993	×1.270	—	—	24.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.66%	÷0.983	×0.710	—	×0.998	7.68%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.08%
Singles /BIP	18.73%	÷1.021	×0.920	×0.980	×0.998	16.50%
Doubles /BIP	6.37%	÷0.912	×0.810	×0.980	×0.998	5.54%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.011	×0.850	×0.980	×0.998	0.98%
Home runs /BIP	3.19%	÷0.948	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.69%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 102, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .309 → .252; ISO .144 → .120; BABIP .269 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 109 PAwOBA .395 → .333 (−62)K% 20.2% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.18%	÷0.991	×1.360	—	—	27.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.60%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.990	10.38%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.71%
Singles /BIP	30.30%	÷0.988	×0.920	×1.004	×0.990	28.03%
Doubles /BIP	7.58%	÷0.916	×0.830	×1.004	×0.990	6.82%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.004	×0.990	1.52%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	2.40%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .395 → .333; ISO .148 → .129; BABIP .388 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 81 PAwOBA .289 → .227 (−62)K% 23.5% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.46%	÷0.979	×1.360	—	—	32.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.58%	÷0.976	×0.690	—	—	9.60%
HBP% /PA	1.23%	—	×0.780	—	—	0.96%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.066	×0.920	×1.005	—	24.79%
Doubles /BIP	4.08%	÷0.909	×0.830	×1.005	—	3.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.937	×0.910	×1.005	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.908	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 113, 2B 82, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .289 → .227; ISO .029 → .025; BABIP .320 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#6Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	525	17	14	223	296	382	-3	+0	0.6	0.6
/162	664	21	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyler Fedko (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	222/298/385	163	277	5	5	27%	9%	94	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	45→43	51→50	50→55	43	227/304/392	165	304	19	13	30%	7%	97	+1.1	225/304/372	147	296	15	20	28%	8%	92	+0.7	219/311/363	143	283	14	27	26%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	46→47	49→50	49→50	54	234/323/386	152	268	17	14	19%	10%	103	+1.5	225/321/357	132	265	13	15	19%	11%	95	+1.0	235/338/356	121	285	11	12	20%	12%	102	+0.8
✕Jayson Nix 2010 · MLB	27	46→51	52→55	51→55	47	235/300/400	164	277	19	19	23%	7%	97	+1.1	218/280/375	157	265	19	11	25%	7%	84	+0.1	206/266/355	149	255	17	9	26%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Hiram Bocachica 2003 · MLB	27	45	52→55	46→55	45	233/284/402	169	272	20	12	23%	6%	91	+0.7	228/290/386	158	281	19	14	25%	8%	90	+0.6	234/323/403	169	266	20	25	20%	10%	105	+0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2024 · MLB	28	40→47	49→50	47→50	50	208/293/355	147	263	18	14	28%	10%	84	+0.2	205/299/343	138	278	15	12	29%	11%	84	+0.1	174/284/300	125	238	14	10	30%	12%	68	-0.9
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	41→42	54→55	51→55	46	222/286/397	175	270	23	14	27%	8%	91	+0.7	208/273/352	144	285	18	22	32%	8%	76	-0.4	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	45→49	51→55	48→50	53	227/321/393	167	293	19	7	28%	11%	103	+1.6	196/285/311	115	294	12	11	34%	10%	72	-0.7	174/262/271	97	269	10	12	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Taylor Trammell 2024 · MLB	26	43→48	53→55	50→55	49	221/307/396	175	292	21	17	31%	10%	99	+1.2	211/301/376	165	285	19	18	31%	10%	93	+0.8	195/291/359	164	260	19	18	31%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	46→48	54→55	53→50	50	233/316/425	192	301	20	13	28%	10%	109	+2.0	224/311/389	165	306	17	15	30%	10%	98	+1.2	197/290/337	140	285	14	16	33%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	45→50	52→50	53→55	43	233/289/401	168	290	21	18	27%	6%	93	+0.8	232/293/366	134	294	14	20	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/293/347	117	293	11	21	24%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Chad Hermansen 2005 · MLB	27	45→42	49→55	47→50	46	227/294/379	152	299	17	12	29%	8%	90	+0.6	222/295/361	139	353	14	10	38%	9%	86	+0.3	205/260/306	101	296	11	13	33%	6%	57	-1.3
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	233/292/380	148	284	15	12	24%	7%	89	+0.5	225/269/352	127	292	14	12	27%	5%	74	-0.6	203/242/308	104	268	12	12	28%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Jake Slaughter 2024 · AAA	27	42→48	50	52→55	41	216/288/371	154	291	19	22	32%	7%	86	+0.3	227/291/355	128	317	14	19	31%	7%	83	+0.1	229/290/335	106	327	11	21	31%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	46→52	50→55	51→55	43	231/286/395	164	297	17	13	28%	6%	91	+0.6	198/268/319	121	296	11	18	34%	8%	66	-1.1	188/230/314	126	255	15	17	32%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Michael Hermosillo 2022 · MLB	27	46→49	54→55	50→55	43	231/324/417	186	318	22	15	32%	8%	111	+2.1	213/296/368	155	283	18	15	30%	7%	89	+0.5	169/233/310	141	197	22	17	28%	4%	51	-0.9
●Lane Thomas 2023 · MLB	27	47→52	51→55	47→55	49	238/306/401	163	294	18	10	25%	9%	99	+1.3	246/307/422	176	307	20	20	26%	7%	105	+1.7	242/305/419	176	303	21	25	26%	7%	104	+1.2
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→38	51→55	46→40	49	202/292/372	169	266	17	6	30%	10%	88	+0.4	195/282/347	152	248	18	6	28%	10%	79	-0.2	169/263/310	141	204	20	3	28%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jefry Marte 2018 · MLB	27	43→50	52→55	45→50	47	226/290/392	166	257	20	9	22%	7%	92	+0.7	223/286/374	151	262	18	9	22%	7%	86	+0.3	210/267/353	143	241	18	3	22%	6%	74	-0.2
✕David Cook 2009 · AAA	28	45→49	52→55	48→50	51	230/310/399	169	288	19	11	26%	10%	100	+1.3	219/290/372	153	276	17	9	26%	8%	87	+0.4	204/275/346	143	260	16	8	27%	8%	73	-0.5
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	52→55	51→50	43	241/290/408	167	285	20	14	24%	6%	95	+1.0	236/294/397	161	283	18	7	23%	7%	94	+0.9	227/291/386	158	273	17	3	23%	7%	91	+0.4

Kyler Fedko

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps