Josiah Ragsdale — OGILVIE

Josiah RagsdaleOF Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .333 / .360

PA209

HR4

SB11

K%28

BB%12

BABIP321

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED69

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$12M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$50M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	92	81	25	1	0	0	10	20	1	9	3	309	391	321	712	12	410	22	11	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	92	70	21	1	0	0	16	15	1	9	3	300	413	314	727	14	382	16	17	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	MIL	—	314	269	70	17	2	8	41	101	3	26	2	260	364	428	792	167	385	32	13	340	118	+6	+4	+0	-2	+9	1.8
YTD	22	A+	MIL	—	314	250	80	21	2	9	58	75	3	26	2	320	450	528	978	208	425	24	18	430	187	+31	+4	+0	-2	+9	4.3
ROS	22	A+	MIL	0%	209	180	42	9	1	4	25	59	2	11	1	233	333	360	693	128	324	28	12	322	105	+1	+2	+0	-1	+6	0.8
ROS	22	MLB	MIL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						321	0	0	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	MIL	—	315	270	70	17	2	8	41	101	3	26	2	259	363	426	789	167	383	32	13	340	118	+6	+4	+0	-2	+9	1.8
TOT	22	A+	MIL	—	523	449	112	26	3	12	66	160	5	37	3	249	352	401	752	151	358	31	13	333	113	+8	+6	+0	-3	+15	2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIL	35%	546	470	112	23	3	12	66	151	5	19	3	238	338	377	715	138	320	28	12	320	103	+2	+3	+0	-3	+15	1.7
2028	24	MLB	MIL	46%	561	484	116	24	3	13	67	152	5	19	2	240	338	382	720	143	318	27	12	323	105	+3	+3	+0	-3	+16	1.9
2029	25	MLB	MIL	52%	566	489	117	24	3	13	67	152	5	18	2	239	337	380	717	141	317	27	12	325	107	+4	+3	+0	-3	+16	2.0
2030	26	MLB	MIL	54%	565	489	118	24	3	14	66	151	5	18	2	241	338	389	726	147	316	27	12	325	107	+4	+3	+0	-3	+16	2.0
2031	27	MLB	MIL	54%	560	484	116	24	3	13	66	150	5	17	2	240	337	382	719	143	316	27	12	325	107	+4	+3	+0	-3	+16	2.0
2032	28	MLB	MIL	54%	553	477	115	24	3	13	66	149	5	16	2	241	339	386	725	145	315	27	12	324	106	+4	+2	-1	-3	+16	1.8
2033	29	MLB	MIL	53%	545	470	111	23	2	13	65	148	5	15	2	236	335	377	712	140	315	27	12	322	105	+3	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.6
2034	30	MLB	MIL	52%	536	462	108	22	2	12	64	147	5	15	2	234	333	368	701	134	313	27	12	319	102	+2	+2	-2	-3	+15	1.4
2035	31	MLB	MIL	52%	526	453	105	22	2	11	63	146	5	14	2	232	332	362	694	130	311	28	12	315	99	-0	+2	-3	-3	+15	1.1
2036	32	MLB	MIL	52%	516	444	102	21	2	11	62	145	5	13	2	230	331	360	691	131	307	28	12	310	95	-3	+2	-4	-3	+15	0.7
2037	33	MLB	MIL	52%	446	386	86	17	2	9	53	127	4	11	1	223	323	347	670	124	302	28	12	303	90	-5	+2	-4	-3	+13	0.2
2038	34	MLB	MIL	47%	377	326	69	13	1	7	45	110	3	8	1	212	313	322	635	110	296	29	12	294	83	-7	+1	-5	-2	+11	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIL	35%	189	162	38	8	1	4	23	52	2	7	1	235	337	370	707	136	317	28	12	311	96	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2028	24	MLB	MIL	46%	259	224	53	11	1	6	31	70	2	9	1	237	335	375	710	138	316	27	12	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2029	25	MLB	MIL	52%	293	254	60	12	1	7	34	79	3	9	1	236	333	374	707	138	314	27	12	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2030	26	MLB	MIL	54%	306	264	62	13	1	7	36	82	3	10	1	235	333	371	705	136	313	27	12	315	100	-0	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.8
2031	27	MLB	MIL	54%	304	262	62	13	1	7	36	81	3	9	1	237	336	374	710	137	313	27	12	315	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.8
2032	28	MLB	MIL	54%	300	258	61	13	1	7	36	81	3	9	1	236	337	376	713	140	313	27	12	314	99	-0	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.7
2033	29	MLB	MIL	53%	289	249	59	12	1	7	35	78	3	8	1	237	338	378	715	141	312	27	12	313	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.6
2034	30	MLB	MIL	52%	281	242	56	12	1	6	34	77	3	8	1	231	333	364	697	132	311	27	12	310	95	-1	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.5
2035	31	MLB	MIL	52%	274	237	54	11	1	6	33	76	2	7	1	228	327	359	686	131	308	28	12	306	92	-2	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2036	32	MLB	MIL	52%	267	231	51	10	1	5	32	75	2	7	1	221	321	338	658	117	304	28	12	301	88	-4	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.2
2037	33	MLB	MIL	52%	230	199	44	9	1	4	27	66	2	5	1	221	320	337	657	116	300	29	12	294	83	-4	+1	-2	-1	+7	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	MIL	47%	178	154	33	6	1	3	21	52	1	4	1	214	312	325	637	110	294	29	12	286	77	-5	+0	-2	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3171	2737	633	130	12	69	378	869	29	92	12	231	331	363	694	132	311	27	12	309	95	-20	+14	-10	-19	+90	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	130	27	2	14	77	178	6	19	2	232	330	362	692	130	312	27	12	309	95	-4	+3	-2	-4	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6598	5695	1342	271	30	145	785	1807	60	203	27	236	334	370	705	134	317	27	12	318	102	+13	+30	-20	-40	+187	17.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	132	27	3	14	77	178	6	20	3	235	333	369	702	134	317	27	12	318	102	+1	+3	-2	-4	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	92	70	21	1	0	0	16	15	1	9	3	300	413	314	727	14	382	16	17	340	118	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,171	71	91	235	331	372	-19	+0	8.5	7.6
	/162	664	15	19	235	331	372	-4.0	+0.0	1.8	pk7: 7
#5Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josiah Ragsdale (OGILVIE)	22	35→40	40→45	64→69	70	249/352/401	151	358	12	37	31%	13%	113	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	47→42	47→50	62→55	52	231/311/376	145	274	13	24	21%	9%	95	+1.4	218/293/352	134	280	12	14	25%	8%	81	+0.4	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
★Zach Borenstein 2012 · A	22	45→55	41→60	58→50	46	214/290/318	104	277	6	15	24%	7%	71	-0.3	237/289/419	182	304	21	10	28%	6%	97	+1.5	251/301/452	201	318	25	6	28%	6%	108	+1.8
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→53	44→40	58→65	50	212/296/342	129	289	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	222/282/318	96	284	8	44	23%	6%	66	-0.6	217/280/304	88	276	7	49	23%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	47	42→45	57→55	50	224/306/337	113	303	7	21	27%	10%	82	+0.5	210/274/324	114	288	10	18	29%	8%	65	-0.7	193/262/293	100	274	11	19	32%	8%	49	-1.2
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	67	-0.5	235/295/331	96	314	8	26	26%	7%	76	+0.0	261/318/388	127	324	12	31	22%	7%	96	+1.3
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	82	+0.5	220/282/336	116	290	11	21	26%	7%	72	-0.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	43→53	47→55	56→60	39	220/252/364	144	270	14	16	24%	4%	66	-0.6	223/265/361	138	265	14	16	21%	5%	71	-0.3	250/319/421	170	288	19	27	19%	8%	106	+2.2
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
●Cal Stevenson 2019 · A	22	57→58	39→45	59→60	63	265/358/366	102	307	4	16	14%	13%	111	+2.5	229/304/322	93	288	8	13	21%	10%	77	+0.1	242/335/362	120	310	11	30	23%	12%	99	+1.0
●Grégor Blanco 2006 · AA	22	49→59	42→45	58→60	47	225/301/338	112	336	8	22	33%	10%	79	+0.3	253/330/329	76	335	3	21	22%	10%	89	+1.0	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	19%	9%	88	+0.9	237/317/348	111	278	11	8	18%	9%	90	+1.0	247/347/440	192	279	24	4	20%	12%	124	+2.4
✕Adonis Pacheco 2013 · A	22	45	39→50	57→55	45	213/271/312	99	277	4	16	24%	7%	60	-1.0	204/258/296	92	260	5	11	22%	6%	50	-1.7	160/206/240	80	191	3	9	17%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A	23	49→46	40	59→55	52	231/303/334	103	280	6	19	19%	9%	79	+0.3	219/288/309	90	274	4	26	20%	8%	67	-0.5	214/285/300	86	266	4	31	20%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	49	40	58→60	50	229/302/326	97	301	6	22	24%	9%	77	+0.1	218/282/296	78	282	5	17	23%	7%	61	-1.0	200/262/221	21	248	0	22	18%	6%	30	-0.7
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	49→59	39→50	58→60	50	232/296/323	91	293	5	22	22%	8%	73	-0.1	247/302/350	103	314	8	27	22%	7%	83	+0.6	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8