Jack Hostetler P Carolina Mudcats
Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%20.1%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.08 (44 IP)-0.1WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4550
CMD3040
K†5055
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202521ACarolina Mudcats5515651450100%2.915.9%9.1%6.9%0.0%5.522.90—
202521ACarolina Mudcats5515651450100%2.921.5%7.7%13.8%0.0%5.522.21—
▸ 2026 Season
202622MLBMIL884518838205100%5.620.1%10.5%9.6%2.9%4.704.70-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBMIL884619542206100%5.821.2%10.0%11.2%2.9%4.584.52+0.0
202824MLBMIL884820144196100%5.921.9%9.7%12.2%2.8%4.484.42+0.1
202925MLBMIL884820345196100%6.022.4%9.6%12.8%2.8%4.404.35+0.1
203026MLBMIL884820346196100%6.022.6%9.5%13.1%2.8%4.364.33+0.1
203127MLBMIL884720045196100%5.922.6%9.6%13.0%2.9%4.364.37+0.1
203228MLBMIL884619444196100%5.822.5%9.7%12.8%3.0%4.424.45+0.1
202723MLBMIL44239721103100%5.821.2%10.0%11.2%2.8%4.554.49+0.0
202824MLBMIL663313931144100%5.521.9%9.7%12.2%2.8%4.454.39+0.1
202925MLBMIL773916537165100%5.622.4%9.6%12.8%2.8%4.374.32+0.1
203026MLBMIL774217740175100%6.022.6%9.5%13.1%2.8%4.334.30+0.1
203127MLBMIL774318241175100%6.122.6%9.6%13.0%2.8%4.334.34+0.1
203228MLBMIL774217740175100%6.022.5%9.7%12.8%2.9%4.394.42+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—38382229382099126100%5.822.3%9.7%12.7%2.8%4.393.99+3.7
/ 200 IP—34342008441888223100%5.822.3%9.7%12.7%2.8%4.393.99+3.3
Career—5515651060100%2.915.9%9.1%6.9%0.0%5.522.90+0.3
/ 200 IP—6868200886141800100%2.915.9%9.1%6.9%0.0%5.522.90+5.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jack Hostetler (OGILVIE) —— 4.70 20.1%10.5%2.9%— 4.43 21.9%12.1%142 -0.27 ———
Levi Wells R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 22 SP 4.32 20.0%12.1%2.5%.360 3.85 19.2%9.8%132 -0.47 3.70 192 88
Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 22 SP 4.86 21.1%11.5%3.8%.309 4.59 17.7%2.6%40 -0.27 4.59 115 87
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 83
Jaxon Wiggins R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 22 SP 3.61 22.5%12.8%1.4%.286 3.29 24.5%11.4%79 -0.32 3.12 132 82
Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 22 SP 4.04 23.1%10.8%2.8%.311 3.85 20.9%11.1%236 -0.19 3.12 482 82
Ryan Harvey R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 22 SP 4.98 16.7%13.1%3.0%.294 3.81 16.9%3.9%66 -1.17 3.56 112 82
Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 22 SP 4.72 19.0%8.9%3.8%.290 5.32 17.8%8.3%120 +0.60 3.31 191 81
Brandon White R 2027 · 5.11 FIP 23 SP 5.11 16.7%10.3%3.8%.264 4.10 17.7%10.4%245 -1.01 3.90 264 81
Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 23 SP 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.76 537 81
Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP 24 SP 3.87 23.2%10.7%2.5%.239 5.71 20.0%6.1%278 +1.84 3.87 325 81
Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 22 SP 4.72 18.8%10.5%3.4%.331 6.04 21.6%9.0%233 +1.32 4.72 283 81
Jeff Criswell R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 22 SP 4.20 18.5%9.2%2.7%.242 5.37 22.2%11.1%306 +1.17 4.20 336 80
Christian Roa R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 22 SP 5.02 19.6%12.4%3.6%.321 4.92 22.7%6.2%260 -0.10 4.38 406 80
Dane Acker R 2027 · 5.44 FIP 23 SP 5.44 19.3%15.2%3.7%.284 4.44 20.3%8.3%215 -1.00 4.23 257 80
Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP 23 SP- 4.58 18.4%11.3%2.9%.315 4.53 21.6%9.0%305 -0.05 4.07 338 80
Kohl Franklin R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 22 SP 5.37 17.8%14.6%3.5%.320 5.45 19.9%7.9%105 +0.08 5.37 174 79
Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 22.2%10.6%2.8%.292 5.42 19.5%6.0%244 +1.35 4.07 378 79
Elvis Luciano R 2025 · 4.99 FIP 21 SP 4.99 17.5%12.6%3.2%.307 — ——— — 3.56 204 79
Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP 22 SP 3.71 21.9%10.5%2.0%.264 4.60 19.1%9.4%359 +0.89 3.71 429 79
Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION74721.9%9.8%1.114.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Bryan Shaw ('23)86421.4%9.4%1.124.19
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
Hansel Robles ('22)75925.3%10.1%1.163.86
Dominic Leone ('23)74624.2%10.1%1.333.81
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82