Leonel Vivas — OGILVIE

Leonel VivasSS ACL Cubs

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%36

BB%7

BABIP273

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	32	6	1	1	0	11	12	6	9	0	188	469	281	751	94	300	24	22	380	143	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	92	20	3	1	4	19	25	13	10	3	217	419	402	822	185	250	20	15	380	143	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	36	5	1	1	0	7	18	6	9	0	139	367	222	590	83	235	37	14	257	60	-2	+2	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	100	17	2	1	4	11	37	13	10	3	170	331	330	661	160	198	30	9	276	73	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	36	5	1	1	0	7	18	6	9	0	139	367	222	590	83	278	37	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	32	6	1	1	0	11	12	6	9	0	188	469	281	751	94	300	24	22	380	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	100	17	2	1	4	11	37	13	10	3	170	331	330	661	160	217	30	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	92	20	3	1	4	19	25	13	10	3	217	419	402	822	185	250	20	15	380	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	36	5	1	1	0	7	18	6	9	0	139	367	222	590	83	235	37	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	100	17	2	1	4	11	37	13	10	3	170	331	330	661	160	198	30	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	36	5	1	1	0	7	18	6	9	0	139	367	222	590	83	235	37	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	100	17	2	1	4	11	37	13	10	3	170	331	330	661	160	198	30	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CHC	—	151	127	18	2	1	1	16	69	7	8	4	142	273	197	470	55	293	46	11	223	37	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CHC	—	151	117	27	4	1	2	26	48	7	8	4	231	400	333	733	103	368	32	17	346	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CHC	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		271	36	7	254	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CHC	—	165	140	20	2	1	1	17	74	7	8	4	143	268	193	461	50	288	45	10	226	39	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	217	189	35	6	1	4	20	73	6	5	1	185	284	291	575	106	274	34	9	265	65	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	345	301	59	10	2	7	32	113	9	8	2	196	292	312	605	116	277	33	9	273	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	438	384	76	13	3	9	40	140	11	10	3	198	292	318	610	120	278	32	9	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	498	437	87	15	3	11	46	157	12	12	3	199	293	323	616	124	280	32	9	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	538	470	94	16	3	12	50	169	13	13	4	200	295	323	618	123	280	31	9	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	561	490	98	16	3	13	52	176	14	14	4	200	295	324	619	124	281	31	9	284	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	573	500	100	17	3	13	54	180	14	14	4	200	296	324	620	124	280	31	9	284	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	576	501	100	17	3	13	55	181	15	14	4	200	298	323	621	124	280	31	10	285	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	574	500	100	17	3	13	55	182	14	13	4	200	297	324	621	124	280	32	10	284	78	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	565	492	97	16	3	12	54	180	14	13	4	197	295	315	610	118	279	32	10	282	77	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	555	483	95	16	3	12	53	178	14	12	4	197	295	317	611	120	278	32	10	279	75	-16	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	75	66	12	2	1	1	7	25	2	2	1	182	280	288	568	106	276	33	9	246	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	167	146	28	5	1	3	15	55	4	4	1	192	285	301	586	110	279	33	9	255	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	238	208	42	7	2	5	22	76	6	6	2	202	297	327	624	125	281	32	9	260	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	282	247	49	8	2	6	26	89	7	7	2	198	293	320	613	121	282	32	9	264	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	304	265	54	9	2	7	28	96	8	7	2	204	299	332	631	128	283	32	9	265	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	317	276	55	9	2	7	30	100	8	8	2	199	296	322	619	123	283	32	9	266	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	324	283	57	10	2	7	30	102	8	8	2	201	296	325	621	124	283	31	9	266	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	344	299	60	10	2	8	33	108	9	8	2	201	299	328	627	127	282	31	10	266	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	354	308	61	10	2	8	34	112	9	8	2	198	296	321	618	123	282	32	10	265	78	-9	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	355	309	61	10	2	8	34	113	9	8	2	197	295	320	616	123	281	32	10	264	77	-10	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	352	306	60	10	2	7	34	113	9	8	2	196	295	310	606	114	280	32	10	261	75	-10	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3112	2713	539	90	20	67	293	989	79	74	20	199	295	321	616	122	282	32	9	263	76	-86	+7	-3	+33	+67	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	113	19	4	14	61	207	17	15	4	199	297	321	618	122	283	32	9	263	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5628	4896	965	162	32	123	530	1789	155	147	40	197	296	319	614	122	279	32	9	281	76	-153	+11	-4	+58	+118	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	112	19	4	14	61	207	18	17	5	198	296	320	616	122	282	32	9	281	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,229	70	76	199	292	320	+35	+21	4.0	3.7
/162	664	14	16	+7.1	+4.3	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leonel Vivas (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	40→45	54→59	61	173/274/262	88	271	2	4	35%	9%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	210/265/358	148	294	18	11	33%	6%	74	-0.5	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	53	-2.1	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	48	-2.5	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	55	-1.9	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	63	-1.4	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	39	39→45	48→60	39	189/241/283	94	268	6	12	31%	5%	47	-2.6	194/247/269	75	274	3	21	28%	5%	46	-2.6	184/234/247	64	257	1	30	27%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps