Leonel Vivas — OGILVIE

Leonel VivasSS ACL Cubs

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION133 act + 88 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .282 / .270

PA88

HR1

K%35

BB%9

BABIP285

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$23M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	37	5	1	1	0	6	19	6	9	0	135	347	216	563	81	278	39	12	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	32	6	1	1	0	11	12	6	9	0	188	469	281	751	94	300	24	22	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	100	17	2	1	4	11	39	13	10	3	170	331	330	661	160	224	31	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	92	20	3	1	4	19	25	13	10	3	217	419	402	822	185	250	20	15	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	133	109	17	2	1	1	16	61	7	8	4	156	303	220	523	64	333	46	12	244	45	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	133	100	25	4	1	2	25	42	7	8	4	250	432	370	802	120	404	32	19	374	145	+7	+0	+0	+1	+4	1.2
ROS	19	ROK	CHC	0%	88	77	14	2	1	1	8	31	3	3	1	180	282	270	552	90	277	35	9	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CHC	—	133	110	17	2	1	1	16	61	7	8	4	155	303	218	521	64	327	46	12	244	45	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	CHC	—	221	186	31	4	2	2	24	92	10	11	5	166	295	241	536	75	310	42	11	251	50	-12	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CHC	34%	250	217	42	7	2	5	24	84	7	6	2	194	294	313	608	120	278	34	10	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CHC	48%	371	323	63	10	2	8	35	120	10	9	3	195	293	313	606	118	281	32	9	280	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2029	22	MLB	CHC	54%	455	397	79	13	3	10	43	145	12	11	3	199	296	322	619	123	282	32	9	285	76	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2030	23	MLB	CHC	57%	511	444	90	15	3	12	48	160	14	13	4	203	300	331	631	128	284	31	9	288	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2031	24	MLB	CHC	57%	546	474	97	16	3	13	52	171	15	13	4	205	303	333	636	129	284	31	10	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2032	25	MLB	CHC	57%	567	493	101	17	3	14	54	177	15	14	4	205	302	337	639	132	284	31	10	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2033	26	MLB	CHC	56%	577	502	102	17	3	14	55	180	15	14	4	203	301	333	633	129	284	31	10	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2034	27	MLB	CHC	55%	579	503	102	17	3	14	56	181	15	14	4	203	301	332	633	129	284	31	10	292	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2035	28	MLB	CHC	55%	575	499	101	17	3	14	56	181	15	14	4	202	302	333	634	130	284	31	10	291	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.1
2036	29	MLB	CHC	53%	566	491	98	16	3	13	55	179	15	13	4	200	299	324	623	124	283	32	10	289	79	-13	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	CHC	34%	86	76	15	2	1	2	8	29	2	2	1	197	291	329	620	132	279	34	9	252	51	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CHC	48%	180	156	31	5	1	4	17	58	5	4	1	199	298	321	618	122	282	32	9	260	58	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	CHC	54%	247	215	43	7	1	6	23	78	7	6	2	200	298	326	624	126	284	32	9	266	62	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	CHC	57%	289	252	52	9	2	7	27	91	8	7	2	206	303	341	644	135	285	31	9	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2031	24	MLB	CHC	57%	309	269	55	9	2	7	29	97	8	8	2	204	301	331	632	126	286	31	9	272	66	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2032	25	MLB	CHC	57%	320	278	58	10	2	8	30	100	9	8	2	209	306	345	651	137	286	31	9	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB	CHC	56%	326	283	59	10	2	8	31	102	9	8	2	208	307	343	649	134	285	31	10	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2034	27	MLB	CHC	55%	321	278	58	10	2	8	31	101	9	8	2	209	308	345	653	137	285	31	10	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2035	28	MLB	CHC	55%	316	274	56	9	2	8	31	99	8	8	2	204	304	339	643	135	285	31	10	272	67	-12	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.1
2036	29	MLB	CHC	53%	303	262	53	9	2	7	30	96	8	7	2	202	303	332	635	130	284	32	10	271	65	-12	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2697	2344	480	80	17	65	257	851	73	66	18	205	303	337	640	132	288	32	10	270	65	-107	+6	-1	+29	+76	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	116	19	4	16	62	205	18	16	4	205	304	338	642	133	287	32	10	270	65	-26	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5259	4557	911	150	31	122	503	1667	155	143	40	200	301	327	628	127	282	32	10	287	78	-132	+13	-2	+56	+149	8.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	113	19	4	15	62	206	19	18	5	201	301	329	629	128	284	32	10	287	78	-16	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	49	32	6	1	1	0	11	12	6	9	0	188	469	281	751	94	300	24	22	380	149	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	125	92	20	3	1	4	19	25	13	10	3	217	419	402	822	185	250	20	15	380	149	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,831	65	69	203	297	330	+30	+18	4.6	4.4
	/162	664	15	16	203	297	330	+7.1	+4.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leonel Vivas (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	42→47	55→60	62	166/295/241	75	310	2	11	42%	11%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	202/270/401	199	257	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	187/258/394	206	226	30	3	33%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	44→45	46→45	47	180/300/295	115	278	11	11	36%	10%	72	-0.2	153/290/268	115	248	13	6	39%	13%	63	-0.9	133/279/265	132	188	18	5	37%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	69	-0.4	201/299/281	80	274	6	17	26%	10%	66	-0.6	179/307/226	46	224	4	30	20%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A	19	46→36	40→50	50→45	43	217/299/309	92	296	7	7	27%	6%	73	-0.1	202/281/281	79	307	6	5	34%	6%	59	-1.1	202/292/323	121	282	13	6	30%	7%	72	-0.1