Nelson Medina — OGILVIE

Nelson MedinaCF Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 190 proj PA

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .237 / .268

PA190

HR3

K%40

BB%7

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	245	215	26	6	3	1	24	128	6	12	9	121	229	191	419	70	291	52	10	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	245	201	41	10	5	1	38	89	6	12	9	204	347	318	665	114	360	36	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	141	128	16	3	1	2	9	46	3	5	2	125	200	211	411	86	173	33	6	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	141	122	24	5	2	3	15	32	3	5	2	197	300	344	644	148	239	23	11	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	142	120	19	5	1	1	17	43	2	13	2	158	273	242	515	83	228	30	12	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	142	108	26	8	1	1	29	28	2	13	2	241	410	361	771	120	305	20	20	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	54	48	8	1	1	1	4	25	2	2	1	167	259	292	551	125	318	46	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	54	45	14	2	3	2	7	17	2	2	1	311	426	622	1.048	311	462	31	13	449	202	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	276	253	48	9	4	4	21	121	1	11	4	190	255	304	559	115	341	44	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	3 teams	—	276	239	57	10	4	7	35	90	1	11	4	238	338	402	740	163	350	33	13	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	173	162	10	1	1	0	8	111	2	8	0	62	116	80	197	19	192	64	5	95	-69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	173	156	18	3	1	0	14	74	2	8	0	115	198	147	345	32	217	43	8	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	NYY	—	190	173	31	6	1	3	13	76	2	4	1	179	245	277	522	98	285	40	7	232	36	-14	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	NYY	30%	293	268	49	9	2	5	20	112	3	6	1	183	247	287	535	104	287	38	7	245	46	-18	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	NYY	30%	89	82	15	3	0	2	6	34	1	2	0	183	247	293	540	110	288	38	7	241	42	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	89	82	15	3	0	2	6	34	1	2	0	183	247	293	540	110	283	38	7	241	42	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	110	22	0	15	44	248	7	15	0	184	248	295	543	112	283	38	7	241	42	-42	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	1514	1367	207	40	14	17	116	662	21	61	20	151	229	238	467	87	273	44	8	213	21	-135	+4	+0	+5	+43	-8.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	88	17	6	7	50	284	9	26	9	150	228	235	463	85	271	44	8	213	21	-58	+2	+0	+2	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	245	201	41	10	5	1	38	89	6	12	9	204	347	318	665	114	360	36	16	312	97	-1	-1	—	—	+7	0.5
2019	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	141	122	24	5	2	3	15	32	3	5	2	197	300	344	644	148	239	23	11	292	82	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	20	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	142	108	26	8	1	1	29	28	2	13	2	241	410	361	771	120	305	20	20	353	128	+5	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	54	45	14	2	3	2	7	17	2	2	1	311	426	622	1.048	311	462	31	13	449	202	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	22	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	47	45	7	0	1	0	2	15	0	2	1	156	191	200	391	44	233	32	4	180	-4	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	192	163	45	9	3	6	27	58	1	8	3	276	382	479	861	202	390	30	14	380	149	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2023	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	37	31	5	1	0	1	6	17	0	1	0	161	297	290	588	129	308	46	16	277	71	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	173	156	18	3	1	0	14	74	2	8	0	115	198	147	345	32	217	43	8	170	-12	-22	+2	—	—	+5	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Medina (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	174/237/268	94	285	3	4	40%	7%	36	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→39	40	48→50	39	190/264/282	92	318	8	10	40%	8%	51	-1.7	201/280/301	100	296	8	13	32%	9%	63	-0.9	184/275/280	96	259	7	16	29%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Dylan Rosa 2021 · AA	25	38→28	44→45	50→45	36	191/246/302	112	288	12	9	37%	6%	48	-1.9	191/247/329	138	340	16	8	46%	6%	56	-1.3	157/215/303	146	287	19	6	50%	5%	33	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Alex McKenna 2023 · AAA	25	41→38	42→40	50	38	190/265/296	106	332	10	14	42%	8%	55	-1.4	203/275/312	109	336	10	11	39%	8%	63	-0.9	175/256/271	96	295	11	3	41%	9%	41	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Gift Ngoepe 2015 · AA	25	40	43→45	51→50	37	192/250/302	110	306	10	14	39%	7%	50	-1.8	208/262/322	114	317	10	8	36%	6%	59	-1.1	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	34→33	47→50	48→45	30	178/225/314	135	284	15	8	42%	4%	43	-2.2	194/265/328	134	314	15	9	40%	7%	64	-0.8	172/260/302	130	280	15	8	41%	8%	52	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	38	183/255/286	103	300	11	14	40%	7%	49	-1.8	201/273/302	101	301	9	14	34%	8%	59	-1.1	198/297/294	96	260	8	24	25%	10%	65	-0.1
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	37	36→40	50	33	172/230/239	67	312	4	12	43%	6%	24	-3.5	194/246/278	84	292	8	13	34%	6%	41	-2.3	179/231/253	74	263	8	15	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Connor Lien 2019 · AA	25	34→44	45	49→55	29	165/224/282	117	311	13	15	49%	5%	34	-2.8	172/243/313	141	384	17	11	55%	7%	51	-1.7	125/210/272	147	307	19	9	61%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	36→39	46→45	54→50	38	184/255/307	124	295	15	15	41%	8%	54	-1.4	186/245/294	108	295	12	14	39%	6%	45	-2.1	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕C.J. Stubbs 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	45→50	32	176/233/284	108	316	11	9	46%	6%	38	-2.6	158/241/281	123	301	15	14	49%	8%	42	-2.3	141/235/255	115	241	14	11	44%	8%	31	-1.6
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8