Hans Montero2B Tampa Tarpons
Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .275 / .311
PA224
HR5
SB11
K%37
BB%10
BABIP275
ISO133
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -20.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-21BATRUN: +5.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.40.60.80.80.60.40.1+$26M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2034Arb-1$0.4M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Yankees 1 233201 23300 221078 154 114229129359 15240 469 183 -2
202117 ROKDSL Yankees 1 233190 38511 33748 154 200342253595 53316 3214 288 78
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 142119 12110 16585 165 101236126362 25190 4111 187 1
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 142111 20221 24395 165 180350261611 81260 2717 295 84
202319 ROKFCL Yankees 234199 32322 28777 171 161286226512 65250 3312 243 44
202319 ROKFCL Yankees 234183 47635 44487 171 257419404823 148323 2119 379 148
202420 ATampa Tarpons 391354 51746 291755 134 144219237456 93257 457 203 14
202420 ATampa Tarpons 391339 70958 441135 134 206307333640 127282 2911 292 81
202521 ATampa Tarpons 334297 529210 291595 258 175260320580 145323 489 253 52
202521 ATampa Tarpons 334290 7813210 361125 258 269360431791 162400 3411 352 127
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 ANYY 336290 551247 391184 254 190294331625 141286 3512 278 71 -11 +3 +0 +1 +10 0.3
YTD22 ANYY 336277 671459 52834 254 242369426795 184309 2515 355 130 +11 +3 +0 +1 +10 2.6
ROS22 ANYY 0% 224196 35725 23833 112 179275311586 133273 3710 265 61 -10 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
ROS22 MLBNYY 0% 01 0000 000 00 274 258 56 +0 +0
FULL22 ANYY 336291 551247 391184 254 189294330624 141284 3512 278 71 -11 +3 +0 +1 +10 0.3
TOT22 ANYY 560486 9019612 622017 366 185286323610 138282 3611 273 67 -21 +5 +0 +2 +16 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBNYY 34% 581510 9518514 592057 214 186280324603 137274 3510 274 68 -21 +3 +0 +2 +16 -0.0
202824 MLBNYY 46% 609535 10420516 622087 224 194286340627 146277 3410 281 73 -18 +3 +0 +2 +17 0.4
202925 MLBNYY 52% 627550 10921517 642098 225 198291347638 149278 3310 286 77 -16 +2 +0 +2 +18 0.6
203026 MLBNYY 54% 638559 11121517 662118 235 199292345638 147278 3310 288 79 -15 +3 +0 +2 +18 0.8
203127 MLBNYY 54% 634555 11021517 662108 235 198293346638 148278 3310 288 79 -15 +3 +0 +2 +18 0.8
203228 MLBNYY 54% 626547 10820517 662088 214 197293346639 148277 3311 287 78 -16 +3 -1 +2 +18 0.6
203329 MLBNYY 58% 617540 10520416 652067 194 194289335624 141276 3311 285 76 -16 +2 -1 +2 +17 0.4
203430 MLBNYY 60% 606530 10219416 642047 174 192288334622 142275 3411 282 74 -18 +2 -2 +2 +17 0.1
202723 MLBNYY 34% 200176 33625 20712 71 188278330607 142276 3610 267 63 -8 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
202824 MLBNYY 46% 281247 47927 29963 102 190283328611 138279 3410 275 69 -10 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.0
202925 MLBNYY 52% 324284 561129 331084 122 197290345635 148280 3310 280 72 -10 +2 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203026 MLBNYY 54% 346303 6212310 361144 123 205297363660 158280 3310 282 74 -10 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.2
203127 MLBNYY 54% 344301 6112310 361144 122 203296362658 159280 3310 282 74 -10 +2 +0 +1 +10 0.2
203228 MLBNYY 54% 340297 581129 361134 112 195291337628 141279 3311 281 73 -10 +1 -0 +1 +10 0.2
203329 MLBNYY 58% 356311 6212310 381194 112 199295354648 154278 3311 279 72 -11 +1 -1 +1 +10 0.1
203430 MLBNYY 60% 363318 6312310 381224 102 198292349641 151276 3410 276 70 -12 +1 -1 +1 +10 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 25542238 442852070 26685729 8516 197291347638 150281 3410 278 71 -83 +11 -2 +9 +72 0.7
/ 162G 650570 11322518 682187 224 198292349641 151281 3410 278 71 -21 +3 -1 +2 +18 0.2
Career 64965692 104919049153 659232093 26559 184279316595 131276 3610 270 65 -260 +29 -4 +23 +184 -2.8
/ 162G 650570 10519515 662329 276 184279314593 130276 3610 270 65 -26 +3 -0 +2 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Yankees 1 233190 38511 33748 154 200342253595 53316 3214 288 78 -6 +1 +7 0.2
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 142111 20221 24395 165 180350261611 81260 2717 295 84 -3 +1 +4 0.3
202319 ROKFCL Yankees 234183 47635 44487 171 257419404823 148323 2119 379 148 +13 +3 +7 2.3
202420 ATampa Tarpons 391339 70958 441135 134 206307333640 127282 2911 292 81 -8 +1 +11 0.4
202521 ATampa Tarpons 334290 7813210 361125 258 269360431791 162400 3411 352 127 +10 +2 +9 2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,8737496193283335+10+51.31.7
/1626641722+2.4+1.20.3pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Hans Montero (OGILVIE) 22 35 40 60 40 185/286/323 138282 1236 36% 11% 67 +0.2
Jase Bowen
2023 · A
22 39→38 43→50 55 35 192/249/294 102300 1114 38% 5% 47 -1.9 197/249/320 123286 1419 35% 5% 54 -1.4 200/250/342142290172436%5%57-0.7
Tucker Mitchell
2023 · A
22 38 44→50 51→45 35 182/259/292 110306 1211 42% 6% 53 -1.5 199/263/309 110291 137 34% 6% 58 -1.2 187/246/2809326812534%5%40-1.0
Jamari Baylor
2023 · A
22 39 42→45 50→55 42 167/279/271 104330 919 46% 10% 57 -1.2 187/286/292 105341 1016 43% 10% 64 -0.8 174/275/291117297141742%9%57-0.3
Ryan Bliss
2023 · A
23 36→46 45 52→65 39 191/248/311 120257 1421 31% 6% 51 -1.7 219/287/347 128293 1139 27% 8% 77 +0.1 221/289/346125298104327%7%75-0.0
Sean Coyle
2014 · A
22 35→34 49→50 54→50 36 188/246/332 144269 1714 36% 6% 56 -1.3 199/257/342 143302 1813 38% 6% 63 -0.8 180/243/309129278161239%7%46-1.1
Blaze Alexander
2022 · A
23 35→45 42→45 52→50 37 173/243/272 99290 1114 42% 7% 40 -2.4 212/283/342 130324 1410 37% 7% 75 -0.0 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
Corey Joyce
2022 · AA
23 40 39→45 54→50 39 192/262/274 82303 814 37% 7% 48 -1.9 206/305/332 126296 1313 32% 10% 82 +0.5 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
Christopher Bostick
2015 · A
22 41→51 43→45 52→55 39 203/257/321 118288 1015 32% 6% 57 -1.2 221/268/333 112293 914 27% 5% 65 -0.7 242/294/36111931110724%5%79+0.2
Christian Cairo
2023 · A
22 39→46 38→40 53→60 49 182/289/262 80287 616 35% 11% 58 -1.2 202/293/281 79297 523 30% 10% 63 -0.8 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Miguel Hiraldo
2023 · A
22 40→48 42→45 56→55 37 198/247/304 106299 1021 36% 6% 48 -1.9 206/251/309 103330 1020 39% 5% 51 -1.7 204/249/30399331102240%4%46-1.0
Monte Harrison
2018 · A
22 41→44 45→50 53→60 34 200/258/319 119317 1315 39% 5% 58 -1.2 211/264/341 130352 1424 42% 5% 66 -0.6 206/263/349143355183144%5%64-0.5
Ronaldo Urdaneta
2022 · A
23 42 41→40 58→60 40 198/267/289 91321 925 38% 8% 53 -1.5 189/272/270 81309 619 37% 9% 52 -1.6 97/227/1212417702839%12%-4-1.2
Cooper Bowman
2023 · A
23 39 44→45 59→60 43 191/272/302 111287 1131 35% 8% 60 -1.0 201/274/322 121279 1235 31% 8% 66 -0.6 195/268/315120262124029%8%59-0.7
Chris Roller
2019 · A
22 40 41→50 51→55 42 193/268/296 103286 914 34% 8% 56 -1.3 205/269/314 109292 812 30% 6% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Braulio Vasquez
2022 · A
23 40 40→45 55→65 40 189/270/275 87300 731 37% 8% 53 -1.5 224/290/323 99311 626 28% 7% 72 -0.2 245/309/34610132733224%7%81+0.2
Junior Perez
2023 · A
22 41→40 45→50 54→55 41 194/272/317 123324 1319 41% 9% 63 -0.8 173/241/286 113303 1225 43% 8% 43 -2.2 159/228/295136252162342%8%37-2.0
Jordyn Adams
2022 · A
22 38→40 40→45 52→60 35 183/238/269 86312 816 42% 6% 36 -2.7 194/252/291 97301 829 36% 6% 47 -1.9 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
Travis Demeritte
2017 · A
22 38→44 46→60 53→50 37 180/251/315 136320 1411 45% 8% 54 -1.4 196/259/355 159295 187 38% 7% 68 -0.5 205/271/39719229125737%8%80+0.3
Kenedy Corona
2023 · A
23 42→40 47→45 53→55 40 210/270/346 137300 1521 34% 7% 69 -0.4 202/265/316 114286 1124 32% 7% 59 -1.1 197/264/2889227582730%7%49-1.1
Bubba Starling
2015 · A
22 41→46 43→45 54→50 38 202/259/310 108297 1013 34% 6% 56 -1.3 199/243/323 124288 1310 34% 5% 52 -1.6 216/254/336119279141027%4%56-0.6